Flash Flood Warning 59, NWS Springfield, MO

440 
WGUS73 KSGF 091919
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
219 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

MOC009-109-119-145-100000-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-150710T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARRY MO-MCDONALD MO-NEWTON MO-LAWRENCE MO-
219 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR
BARRY...MCDONALD...NEWTON AND SOUTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES...

AT 217 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA. NEW FLASH FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN THE CASSVILLE AREA...AND AT 
THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY C AND CC IN MCDONALD COUNTY. 

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS CAUSING FLASH FLOODING.
LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...ANDERSON...AURORA...BIG SUGAR
CREEK STATE PARK...CASSVILLE...DIAMOND...EXETER...FAIRVIEW...
GOODMAN...GRANBY...LANAGAN...MARIONVILLE...MONETT...MOUNT VERNON...
NEOSHO...NOEL...PIERCE CITY...PINEVILLE...PURDY...ROARING RIVER STATE
PARK...SENECA...SOUTH WEST CITY...VERONA...WASHBURN AND WHEATON.
CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

HIGHWAY 43 AT BUFFALO CREEK WEST OF ANDERSON...
BUSINESS HIGHWAY 60 JUST NORTH OF NEOSHO...
ROUTE Y AT FLAT CREEK JUST NORTHEAST OF CASSVILLE...
ROUTE C JUST SOUTH OF MCDOWELL...
HIGHWAY 39 AT FLAT CREEK SOUTH OF JENKINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9463 3697 9462 3705 9414 3705 9406
      3707 9405 3714 9361 3682 9361 3682 9359
      3659 9359 3649 9423

$$

059 
WGUS53 KSGF 092343
FFWSGF
MOC009-109-119-145-100600-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-150710T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
643 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  BARRY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  MCDONALD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  NEWTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  SOUTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 100 AM CDT FRIDAY.

* AT 635 PM CDT...THE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION INDICATED THAT
  EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE         
  WARNED AREA. THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE PRODUCING 
  RAINFALL RATES OF ONE HALF TO ONE AND ONE QUARTER INCHES OF        
  RAINFALL IN 30 MINUTES . THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE SHORT LIVED  
  IN NATURE  BUT WITH IT FALLING ON SATURATED GROUNDS FROM RECENT    
  HEAVY RAINS WILL ADD TO THE ONGOING FLOODING ACROSS THE            
  WARNED AREA.. 

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
  SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

HIGHWAY 43 AT BUFFALO CREEK WEST OF ANDERSON...
BUSINESS HIGHWAY 60 JUST NORTH OF NEOSHO...
ROUTE Y AT FLAT CREEK JUST NORTHEAST OF CASSVILLE...
ROUTE C JUST SOUTH OF MCDOWELL...
HIGHWAY 39 AT FLAT CREEK SOUTH OF JENKINS...
ROUTE CC AT LOST CREEK JUST SOUTH OF RACINE...
ROUTE DD AT THE ELK RIVER JUST NORTH OF NOEL...
HIGHWAY 97 JUST SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 37 AT PIERCE CITY...
ROUTE W AT SHOAL CREEK NEAR RITCHEY...
FARM ROAD 2130 AT THE SPRING RIVER WEST OF MOUNT VERNON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9463 3697 9462 3705 9414 3705 9406
      3707 9405 3714 9361 3682 9361 3682 9359
      3659 9359 3649 9423

$$

WISE

406 
WGUS73 KSGF 100044
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
744 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

MOC009-109-119-145-100600-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-150710T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARRY MO-MCDONALD MO-NEWTON MO-LAWRENCE MO-
744 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR
BARRY...MCDONALD...NEWTON AND SOUTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES...

AT 739 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA. THE HEAVY RAINFALL IS COMING TO AN END ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 
LIGHT RAIN WITH PERIOD OF MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING. 
RUNOFF AND FLOODING FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL EARLIER THIS EVENING 
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMINDER OF THE EVENING HOURS. 

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS CAUSING FLASH FLOODING.
CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

HIGHWAY 43 AT BUFFALO CREEK WEST OF ANDERSON...
BUSINESS HIGHWAY 60 JUST NORTH OF NEOSHO...
ROUTE Y AT FLAT CREEK JUST NORTHEAST OF CASSVILLE...
ROUTE C JUST SOUTH OF MCDOWELL...
HIGHWAY 39 AT FLAT CREEK SOUTH OF JENKINS...
ROUTE CC AT LOST CREEK JUST SOUTH OF RACINE...
ROUTE DD AT THE ELK RIVER JUST NORTH OF NOEL...
HIGHWAY 97 JUST SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 37 AT PIERCE CITY...
ROUTE W AT SHOAL CREEK NEAR RITCHEY...
FARM ROAD 2130 AT THE SPRING RIVER WEST OF MOUNT VERNON.

WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE TOWN OF MONETT. POSSIBLE 
EVACUATION OF AN APARTMENT BUILDING MAY BE NEEDED. KELLY CREEK CLOSE 
TO FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9463 3697 9462 3705 9414 3705 9406
      3707 9405 3714 9361 3682 9361 3682 9359
      3659 9359 3649 9423

$$

WISE

762 
WGUS73 KSGF 100402
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1102 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

MOC009-109-119-145-100600-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-150710T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARRY MO-MCDONALD MO-NEWTON MO-LAWRENCE MO-
1102 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR
BARRY...MCDONALD...NEWTON AND SOUTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES...

AT 1057 PM CDT...THE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION...LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS INDICATED THAT 
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THAT OCCURRED EARLIER TODAY WAS PRODUCING FLASH 
FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. ADDITIONAL SCATTERED STORMS ARE 
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT 
HOURS WHICH COULD ADD TO THE ONGOING FLOODING.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS CAUSING FLASH FLOODING.
CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

HIGHWAY 43 AT BUFFALO CREEK WEST OF ANDERSON...
BUSINESS HIGHWAY 60 JUST NORTH OF NEOSHO...
ROUTE Y AT FLAT CREEK JUST NORTHEAST OF CASSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9463 3697 9462 3705 9414 3705 9406
      3707 9405 3714 9361 3682 9361 3682 9359
      3659 9359 3649 9423

$$

WISE

607 
WGUS73 KSGF 100602
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
102 AM CDT FRI JUL 10 2015

MOC009-109-119-145-100611-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-150710T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARRY MO-MCDONALD MO-NEWTON MO-LAWRENCE MO-
102 AM CDT FRI JUL 10 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR BARRY...MCDONALD...NEWTON
AND SOUTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES...

AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA UNTIL 11 AM 
FRIDAY. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR 
LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3650 9463 3697 9462 3705 9414 3705 9406
      3707 9405 3714 9361 3682 9361 3682 9359
      3659 9359 3649 9423

$$

GRIFFIN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1208 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 220 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

Active day of rain and a few frisky storms Wednesday and Wednesday
evening has left a boundary draped across southern Missouri. The
low level jet is gathering strength once again this morning. While
it will not be nearly as strong as the one observed yesterday, it
will still be effective as showers and a few storms will expand
along the boundary as we progress through the overnight hours.
Pockets of brief, heavy rain can be expected through daybreak with
radar echoes in the 40+ dBz range providing the most intense
rates. To this point, these higher cores look to be localized and
progressive in nature, but it will need to be watched very closely
given current conditions and recent heavy rainfall.

It will be the aforementioned boundary and a shortwave lifting
northeast out the Texas panhandle region that will be a main
players in our weather pattern over the next 24 to 36 hours. The
trend from the past few sets of model runs has been to slow the
northward progression of the boundary. As a result, PoPs will
linger into Friday across central Missouri.

The best opportunity for rain today will continue to be across
southern Missouri, with a gradual increase in rain chances across
extreme southeastern Kansas and western Missouri as the shortwave
over the Texas panhandle approaches this afternoon into this
evening. The boundary over southern Missouri will begin lifting to
the north as a warm front overnight tonight, and rain chances will
move northward with it.

The main question is how much rain to expect today and tonight.
The airmass in place remains extraordinarily moist (precipitable
water values in excess of 2 inches). The two areas of greatest
concern will be across southern Missouri, through this afternoon,
and then extreme southeastern Kansas into western and central
Missouri later this afternoon through tonight. Current model and
WPC QPF indicate another 1-2 inches of rain possible in these
areas with pockets of locally higher amounts possible in a
sporadic fashion. Current flash flood guidance across the area
ranges from about 1.5 to 2.5 inches for the 1 and 3 hour time
frames, increasing slight up to near 3 inches for the 6 hour time
step. Rainfall rates will likely mimic what we saw on Wednesday
(long duration of moderate rainfall rates over larger areas)
versus what we saw Tuesday (short duration of of intense rates
over small areas). For now, will hold off on any flood watches,
but will continue to close eye on the need.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 220 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

Rain chances will linger across central Missouri well into Friday
before finally ending as the warm front exits to the north late
Friday afternoon and Friday night. The 00z suite of model output
offers little change to the expectations for the weekend into next
week. Upper level ridging dominates during the weekend with
northwest flow reestablishing itself next week. Temperatures will
warm to typical summer levels, with plenty of humidity to go along
with it. Highs a few degrees either side of 90 and heat index
values in the 95 to around 100 degree range look to be a good bet
into early next week.

The greatest uncertainty next week is just where the axis of
northwest flow sets up. At this point, blurring ones eyes, it
appears this axis will be either over or very near the area. As a
result, will continue above average temperatures and more dry
forecast over western areas with near average temperatures and
rain chances over eastern areas. Being so close to the western
edge of this northwest flow regime will likely result in changes
from upcoming forecasts.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1207 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

Areas of rain and thunderstorms will continue to move through the
region today, with the main axis of rain slowly shifting north as
a warm front moves north through the area into tonight. Low
vis/cigs can be expected near the front, with restrictions to MVFR
or IFR possible within areas of rain.

LLWS will develop tonight at the terminals as the front moves
north, with rain finally ending tomorrow morning.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through Friday morning FOR MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through Friday morning FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Gagan
LONG TERM...Gagan
AVIATION...Boxell

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
450 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-101000-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
450 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI WILL BE A
  FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI
  TODAY. THERE IS AN ELEVATED RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING WHERE THIS
  ACTIVITY TRAINS...OR REPEATEDLY MOVES OVER THE SAME AREAS.

  THIS FRONT WILL SLOWLY LIFT TO THE NORTH LATE THIS AFTERNOON
  THROUGH TONIGHT...AND THE RISK FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH
  FLOODING WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REST OF THE
  OUTLOOK AREA. OVERALL...A GENERAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF
  RAINFALL...WITH LOCALIZED BANDS OF HIGHER AMOUNTS TO AROUND FOUR
  INCHES...IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  RAINFALL WILL MOVE NORTH OUT OF CENTRAL MISSOURI FRIDAY MORNING
  AS THE WARM FRONT EXITS TO THE NORTH.

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 90 TO
  AROUND 100 DEGREES FROM FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

  THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
  MISSOURI OZARKS LATE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GAGAN