Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 30, NWS Raleigh, NC

December 23, 2015Harnett County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Dec 23, 2015, 10:18 PM EST for Harnett County, North Carolina. It took effect at Dec 23, 2015, 11:05 PM EST. It was in force for 58 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 23, 2015, 10:18 PM EST (03:18 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 23, 2015, 11:05 PM EST
Expired
Dec 26, 2015, 9:18 AM EST
In force
58 hr
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Harnett County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cape Fear River at Lillington (LLLN7). The gauge peaked at 15.58 ft at Dec 24, 2015, 11:00 AM EST.

actionminormoderate510152012/2412/2512/2612/27
Action stage
13 ft
Minor stage
14 ft
Moderate stage
19 ft
Major stage
27 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02102500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

435 
WGUS42 KRAH 240318
FLWRAH


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
1018 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015



...The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC085-241518-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0030.151224T0405Z-151226T1418Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.151224T0405Z.151225T0000Z.151226T0218Z.NO/
1018 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:01 PM Wednesday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  tonight and continue to rise to near 18.8 feet by tomorrow 
  evening.The river will fall below flood stage by Friday before 
  midnight.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, The storm drains on the north bank are 
  inundated.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Cape Fear
 Lillington       14  13.3 Wed 10 PM   17.4  17.0  12.0   9.6   8.8      


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:



        Lillington:     104.60



&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$
4 follow-up statements
527 
WGUS82 KRAH 241018
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
518 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015





...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County

  Rocky River Near Norwood affecting Anson and Stanly Counties

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

  Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-242218-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-151225T1840Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.151223T1930Z.151224T1200Z.151225T0640Z.NO/
518 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* At  3:45 AM Thursday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage late tonight.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet, Flooding will occur upstream of the gage site along 
  North Plank Road, especially just south of Highway 421 in Lee county, and 
  on R Jordan Road in Chatham county. Road closures may result. At the gage site, 
  flooding of pasture and woods along the river will occur.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon  

Cape Fear
  Moncure      9  11.1 Thu 04 AM    11.1   7.6   4.1   3.5   3.5


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 150.00

       
&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-242218-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-151226T1418Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.151224T0515Z.151225T0000Z.151226T0218Z.NO/
518 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At  4:30 AM Thursday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.8 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late 
  evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Water may enter homes on Riverside Hills Drive, and
  the storm drains on the north bank are inundated.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon  

Cape Fear
  Lillington  14  15.0 Thu 04 AM    17.4  17.0  12.0   9.6   8.8


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 104.60
     

&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC001-242218-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-151225T0613Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.151224T0435Z.151224T1200Z.151224T1813Z.NO/
518 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River At Haw River.
* At  4:30 AM Thursday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage this afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Overflow will occur on both banks at the water
  treatment plant, with the the most overflow on the right 
  bank opposite the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   

Haw River
  Haw River   18  18.6 Thu 04 AM    18.3  13.5   9.9   7.4   6.0


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 471.69
     

&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
          3604 7944 3613 7954         

$$

NCC037-242218-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-151225T2320Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.151223T1355Z.151224T0846Z.151225T1120Z.NO/
518 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* At  4:31 AM Thursday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, The river widens up to 600 feet across, but 
  flooding remains confined to extensive stretches of woods and 
  pastureland along the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Haw River
  Bynum       11  14.3 Thu 05 AM    14.3  10.9   8.6   7.3   6.5


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 283.31
      

&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

NCC051-242218-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0026.151224T1200Z-151227T1617Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.151224T1200Z.151225T1200Z.151227T0417Z.NO/
518 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* until Sunday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  4:45 AM Thursday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage today
  and continue to rise to near 21 feet by tomorrow morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Saturday night.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Minor flooding occurs in Fort Bragg, near the 
  water treatment plant. The water may also approach Manchester Road near
  the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon  

Lower Little River
  Manchester  18  16.3 Thu 05 AM    18.0  21.2  19.8  17.1  14.9


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 122.16
       

&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

NCC101-242218-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-151225T2200Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.151223T2125Z.151224T1800Z.151225T1000Z.NO/
518 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  4:15 AM Thursday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The Neuse River Greenway at Covered Bridge 
  Road will flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Neuse River
  Clayton      9  10.8 Thu 04 AM    10.7   8.8   6.4   4.4   3.2


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 128.41
    
    
&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-242218-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-151227T0051Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.151223T1837Z.151225T0000Z.151226T1251Z.NO/
518 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  4:15 AM Thursday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.6 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  17.4 Thu 04 AM    17.4  17.3  15.1  12.2   9.3


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 99.26
      

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC007-167-242218-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-151225T0154Z/
/NRWN7.1.ER.151224T0048Z.151224T0430Z.151224T1354Z.NO/
518 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rocky River Near Norwood.
* At  4:30 AM Thursday the stage was 20.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. There is significant 
  overflow into adjacent pasture and lowlands.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon 

Rocky River
  Norwood     20  20.4 Thu 04 AM    20.7  10.7   5.6   4.2   3.6


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 212.91
      

&&

LAT...LON 3525 8027 3521 8015 3519 8004 3511 8009
          3515 8028                   

$$
869 
WGUS82 KRAH 241530
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1030 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC085-250330-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-151226T1115Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.151224T0515Z.151225T0000Z.151225T2315Z.NO/
1030 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At 10:16 AM Thursday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.4 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water threatens homes upstream on Riverside 
  Hills Drive.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Cape Fear
  Lillington  14  15.6 Thu 10 AM          15.7  12.0  10.2   9.1


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Lillington      104.60
        
&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$
059 
WGUS82 KRAH 242218
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
518 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC085-251018-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-151226T1056Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.151224T0515Z.151225T0000Z.151225T2256Z.NO/
518 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At  4:46 PM Thursday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.4 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water threatens homes upstream on Riverside 
  Hills Drive.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Cape Fear
 Lillington       14  14.9 Thu 05 PM  14.8  12.0  10.2   9.1   8.7


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Lillington:     104.60
     
&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-251018-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-151228T0200Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.151224T1328Z.151226T0000Z.151227T1400Z.NO/
518 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At  4:00 PM Thursday the stage was 38.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 45.0 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage late Sunday
  morning.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Cape Fear
 Fayetteville     35  38.2 Thu 04 PM  44.0  42.4  35.4  30.9  27.5


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Fayetteville:    20.52

&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

NCC001-251018-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-151226T0112Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.151224T0435Z.151225T0000Z.151225T1312Z.NO/
518 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River At Haw River.
* At  5:00 PM Thursday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late this 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 20.1 feet by this 
  evening.The river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right 
  bank opposite the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Haw River
 Haw River        18  17.2 Thu 05 PM  18.3  13.1   9.7   7.6   6.3


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

	    Haw River:      471.69


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
          3604 7944 3613 7954         

$$

NCC037-251017-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-151226T0417Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.151223T1355Z.151224T0846Z.151225T1617Z.NO/
518 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* At  5:01 PM Thursday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It 
  floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Haw River
 Bynum            11  12.8 Thu 05 PM  11.5   9.3   7.9   6.9   6.4


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Bynum:          283.31

&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$
152 
WGUS82 KRAH 250156
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
856 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-251356-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SMFN7.2.ER.151223T1837Z.151225T0045Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
856 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  8:15 PM Thursday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 13.6 feet 
  by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  18.3 Thu 08 PM    17.5  13.6  12.0  13.5  14.8


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Smithfield:      99.26

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC085-250226-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-151226T1056Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.151224T0515Z.151224T1716Z.151225T0106Z.NO/
856 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At  8:31 PM Thursday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* fell below flood stage at  8:06 PM Thursday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 9.7 feet by Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and 
  wooden deck at Howards Barbeque are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Cape Fear
  Lillington  14  13.9 Thu 09 PM    12.6   9.7   9.1   7.3   6.7


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Lillington      104.60

&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-251356-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-151227T0834Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.151224T1328Z.151225T1200Z.151226T2034Z.NO/
856 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At  8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 39.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 41.3 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday 
  afternoon.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Cape Fear
  Fayettevil  35  39.3 Thu 08 PM    41.3  37.1  31.9  28.5  24.0


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Fayetteville:    20.52

&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

NCC001-250226-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-151226T0112Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.151224T0435Z.151224T0945Z.151224T1456Z.NO/
856 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Haw River At Haw River.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* fell below flood stage at  9:56 AM Thursday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 13.7 feet by Saturday
  morning.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Haw River
  Haw River   18  16.9 Thu 08 PM    17.4  13.7   9.9   7.8   6.4


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Haw River:      471.69
 
&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
          3604 7944 3613 7954         

$$

NCC037-251356-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-151226T0430Z/
/BYNN7.3.ER.151223T1355Z.151224T2146Z.151225T1630Z.NR/
856 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It 
  floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Haw River
  Bynum       11  12.4 Thu 08 PM    11.3   9.8   8.7   7.4   6.7


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Bynum:          283.31
 
&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

NCC069-251356-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-151226T1410Z/
/LOUN7.1.ER.151224T2005Z.151225T0600Z.151226T0210Z.NO/
856 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Louisburg.
* At  8:31 PM Thursday the stage was 21.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.9 feet  
  after midnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage 
  late tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Flooding begins in 
  Pruitt and Shannon Villages on the east side of town.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Tar River
  Louisburg   20  21.2 Thu 09 PM    21.7  17.9  13.7  10.2   8.4


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Louisburg:      176.71
 

&&

LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
          3606 7830 3613 7838         

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 23, 9:30 PM EST, 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 23, 9:30 PM EST, 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
930 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT
AND EARLY THURSDAY... THEN STALL OVER THE REGION THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
THE FRONT WILL MOVE BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST CONDITIONS WITH
A SOUTHERLY FLOW THROUGHOUT THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES THIS
WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 930 PM WEDNESDAY...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES ACROSS THE WESTERN PIEDMONT...

THE NEGATIVELY TILTED MID/UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO PRESS
NORTHEAST OVER THE MIDWEST TO THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. THE PARENT
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTHWEST (IA-WI)... BUT
THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT FROM
TENNESSEE. A LINGERING BUT WEAKENING CAD WEDGE BOUNDARY REMAINED
OVER THE FAR NW PIEDMONT/NORTHERN FOOTHILLS WHERE TEMPS WERE IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. TO THE EAST. TEMPERATURES WERE WELL INTO THE
60S WITH EVEN 70S IN THE EAST BEFORE THE INITIAL CONVECTIVE LINE
MOVED THROUGH EARLIER THIS EVENING MAKING IT MORE STABLE IN THE
EAST.

THE MAIN THREAT OF SEVERE WILL REMAIN ALONG AND WEST OF THE
MOUNTAINS IN TN/AL... HOWEVER... OUR EARLIER THREAT WITH A SLIGHT
RISK IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HAS LESSENED. GIVEN THE
FRONT TO THE WEST WILL SLOW DOWN AND STALL NEAR THE MOUNTAINS... THE
AIR MASS IN OUR AREA WILL CONTINUE TO STABILIZE WITH THE PASSAGE OF
THE INITIAL CONVECTION... AND WITH THE LONG NIGHTTIME
STABILIZATION... WILL ALLOW THE NEXT COUPLE OF ROUNDS OF LIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING SHORT WAVES IN THE SW FLOW ALOFT TO
COME WITH A LESS OF A WIND THREAT. AGAIN... INSTABILITY HAS BEEN
NEARLY ELIMINATED AND THE SHEAR WILL LESSEN OVERNIGHT ESPECIALLY IN
THE SOUTHEAST.

THEREFORE... A COUPLE MORE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL MOVE NE ACROSS OUR REGION OVERNIGHT... WITH RAINFALL BEING THE
MAIN THREAT. SOME OF THE RAINFALL IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE LOCALLY
HEAVY WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN EXPECTED IN OUR WESTERN AREAS CURRENTLY
UNDER THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH. QPF OF 0.25 TO 0.50 ADDITIONALLY IS
FORECAST EAST... WITH 0.50 TO 1 INCH IN THE WEST. LOCALLY 1.5 INCHES
WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG/NEAR THE YADKIN RIVER. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE SOME LOCAL FLASH FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA.

CATEGORICAL POP OVERNIGHT FOR SHOWERS/ISO THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
HOLDING NEARLY STEADY IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

SEVERAL RIVERS CONTINUE TO BE IN MINOR FLOOD... AND THE RIVER
STATEMENTS/WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED THROUGH THE LATE EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 245 PM WEDNESDAY...

THE ANOMALOUS RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL BUILD AGAIN ON
THURSDAY....WITH RECORD WARMTH EXPECTED WITH A CONTINUED MOIST
SOUTHERLY FLOW.  A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE VICINITY OF THE
MOUNTAINS SHOULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY A CONVECTIVE LINE THAT IS
FORECAST TO MOSTLY DISSIPATE AS IT RUNS INTO AN INCREASINGLY WARMER
AIRMASS ALOFT.  SCATTERED SHOWER OR AN ISOLATES STORMS IS ALSO
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN.  HIGHS WILL RANGE
FROM 73-80 NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST.  LOWS CHRISTMAS EVE WILL BE IN
THE MID 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 300 PM WEDNESDAY...

FRI-SUN NIGHT: A POTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ATTENDANT SFC
CYCLONE WILL RAPIDLY PROGRESS NORTHEAST THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT
LAKES INTO CANADA TONIGHT/THURSDAY. AS THE ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT(APPROACHING THE APPALACHIANS FROM THE WEST TONIGHT)
BECOMES INCREASINGLY SEPARATED FROM THE PARENT WAVE/LOW...THE FRONT
WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN...SLOW DOWN AND ASSUME A MORE WSW-ENE
ORIENTATION OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC THU/THU
NIGHT. THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE FRONT WILL STALL NORTH
OF CENTRAL NC IN A WEST-EAST ORIENTATION OVER THE VIRGINIAS ON
FRI/FRI NIGHT...THEN LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC INTO NEW
ENGLAND AS A WARM FRONT OVER THE WEEKEND IN RESPONSE TO A DEEP
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF A POTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW EXPECTED TO TRACK
SLOWLY EAST FROM THE DESERT SW INTO TEXAS. CONSEQUENTLY...AN
UNSEASONABLY WARM/MOIST AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER CENTRAL
NC. HOWEVER...WITH FORCING CONFINED TO SMALL AMPLITUDE WAVES
EMBEDDED WITHIN UNIDIRECTIONAL (SW) FLOW ALOFT...IT MAY BE DIFFICULT
FOR ANYTHING MORE THAN ISOLD/SCT DIURNAL SHOWERS TO DEVELOP
EACH AFTERNOON.

MON-WED: UNCERTAINTY INCREASES DRAMATICALLY IN THIS PERIOD DUE TO
AVERY ACTIVE/COMPLEX SYNOPTIC PATTERN IN PLACE OVER NORTH AMERICA.
AS A RESULT...FORECAST SPECIFICS (TEMPERATURES AND PRECIP CHANCES/
TIMING) ARE DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE TO DETERMINE AT THIS
TIME.BROADLY SPEAKING...PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY...
WITH TEMPERATURES INITIALLY ABOVE NORMAL THOUGH POSSIBLY DECREASING
TO NEAR NORMAL BY TUE-WED. -VINCENT

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 800 PM WEDNESDAY...

MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT IN THE EAST... WITH LOWER CIGS (IFR
TO LIFR)IN THE WEST. PERIODS OF RAIN WILL REDUCE VSBYS MOSTLY INTO
THE MVFR RANGE... WITH FOG COMBINING WITH THE PERIODS OF RAIN TO
REDUCE VSBYS INTO THE LIFR RANGE IN THE AREAS AROUND KINT/KGSO.
SW WINDS AROUND 10KT EXPECTED.

SHOWERS WILL GENERALLY LESSEN IN COVERAGE OVERNIGHT...WITH CEILINGS
LIKELY TO LOWER TO IFR OR LIFR AGAIN IN THE EAST. VSBYS SHOULD
REMAIN MVFR TO VFR IN THE EAST.

SOME SMALL IMPROVEMENTS WILL OCCUR ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST ON
THURSDAY AS CIGS SHOULD BECOME MVFR AND VSBYS VFR. THERE WILL BE A
CONTINUED CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY
EVENING.

OUTLOOK...WITH DEEP AND MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW CONTINUING FRIDAY
THROUGH THE THIS WEEKEND... PERIODS OF POOR AVIATION CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST...ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT WITH AREAS OF FOG.
&&

.CLIMATE...

HERE ARE THE AREA RECORD MAXIMUMS AND HIGH MINIMUMS FOR DECEMBER 24TH
AND 25TH. RECORDS HAVE BEEN KEPT IN THE GREENSBORO AREA SINCE
1903... IN THE RALEIGH AREA SINCE 1887... AND IN THE FAYETTEVILLE
AREA SINCE 1910.

DEC 24:       RECORD MAXIMUM   HIGH MINIMUM
GREENSBORO    71 (1964)        52 (1904)
RALEIGH       75 (1931)        59 (1891)
FAYETTEVILLE  78 (1931)        66 (1990)

DEC 25:       RECORD MAXIMUM   HIGH MINIMUM
GREENSBORO    74 (1955)        58 (1932)
RALEIGH       75 (1955)        63 (1932)
FAYETTEVILLE  79 (1932)        68 (1932)

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BADGETT
NEAR TERM...BADGETT
SHORT TERM...22
LONG TERM...VINCENT
AVIATION...BADGETT
CLIMATE...RAH
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 23, 4:40 AM EST, 17 hours 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
440 AM EST WED DEC 23 2015

NCZ021>023-038-039-073-074-083-084-240945-
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-ANSON-
RICHMOND-
440 AM EST WED DEC 23 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ007>011-024>028-040>043-075>078-085-086-088-089-240945-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-
EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
440 AM EST WED DEC 23 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN TODAY MAY RESULT IN
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS. ADDITIONALLY...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY ALONG US HIGHWAY 1. THE MAIN THREAT IS
DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 23, 5:32 PM EST, 4 hours 46 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
532 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

NCZ007-008-232330-
PERSON NC-GRANVILLE NC-
532 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF PERSON AND NORTHERN
GRANVILLE COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EST...

AT 530 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROUGEMONT...OR 8 MILES
EAST OF PROSPECT HILL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROXBORO...STOVALL...MAYO RESERVOIR...BEREA...OAK HILL...SURL...BETHEL
HILL AND BUSHY FORK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
40 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION WITH THIS STORM. IF THE
STORM INTENSIFIES AND ROTATION STRENGTHENS...A WARNING MAY NEED TO BE
ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3654 7860 3642 7853 3624 7886 3624 7915
      3632 7915 3654 7890
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 230DEG 44KT 3627 7905

77
Special weather statement, Dec 23, 5:41 PM EST, 4 hours 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
541 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

NCZ075>077-085-086-088-232345-
SCOTLAND NC-CUMBERLAND NC-LEE NC-HOKE NC-MOORE NC-HARNETT NC-
541 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

 ...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF EASTERN
SCOTLAND...CUMBERLAND...SOUTHEASTERN LEE...HOKE...EAST CENTRAL MOORE
AND HARNETT COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM EST...

AT 540 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES
NORTHWEST OF RAEFORD TO NEAR CLIO...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FAYETTEVILLE...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...LILLINGTON...FORT BRAGG...
ANGIER...MAXTON...POPE AFB...ANTIOCH AND HOPE MILLS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
45 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND RESULT IN
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. DRIVERS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE
EXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION WITH THIS STORM. IF THE
STORM INTENSIFIES AND ROTATION STRENGTHENS...A WARNING MAY NEED TO BE
ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3468 7951 3521 7931 3558 7892 3551 7869
      3549 7867 3485 7877 3483 7890 3490 7894
      3495 7904 3483 7919 3484 7935 3477 7933
      3463 7947
TIME...MOT...LOC 2240Z 245DEG 31KT 3507 7927 3459 7946

77
Special weather statement, Dec 23, 7:07 PM EST, 3 hours 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
707 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

NCZ088-089-240100-
CUMBERLAND NC-SAMPSON NC-
707 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
CUMBERLAND AND SAMPSON COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM EST...

AT 706 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR JEROME...OR 17 MILES NORTH OF
ELIZABETHTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLINTON...ROSEBORO...STEDMAN...NEWTON GROVE...SALEMBURG...TURKEY...
AUTRYVILLE...CEDAR CREEK...HOBBTON AND BUSHY LAKE NATURAL AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
45 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3485 7849 3485 7875 3498 7882 3527 7849
      3526 7841 3529 7830 3522 7824 3520 7816
      3509 7817 3507 7816 3494 7815 3484 7843
TIME...MOT...LOC 0006Z 237DEG 38KT 3487 7868

77
Special weather statement, Dec 23, 7:29 PM EST, 2 hours 49 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
729 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

NCZ089-240115-
SAMPSON NC-
729 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHERN SAMPSON
COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM EST...

AT 728 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES WEST OF CLINTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40
MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLINTON...ROSEBORO...SALEMBURG AND HOBBTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
45 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION WITH THIS STORM. IF THE
STORM INTENSIFIES AND ROTATION STRENGTHENS...A WARNING MAY NEED TO BE
ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3490 7855 3491 7854 3491 7856 3494 7857
      3495 7860 3498 7863 3526 7828 3522 7824
      3521 7818 3519 7816 3509 7817 3508 7816
      3504 7816 3488 7852
TIME...MOT...LOC 0028Z 235DEG 35KT 3497 7854

77
Special weather statement, Dec 23, 8:01 PM EST, 2 hours 17 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
801 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

NCZ078-089-240200-
WAYNE NC-SAMPSON NC-
801 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN WAYNE AND
NORTHEASTERN SAMPSON COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM EST...

AT 800 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES WEST OF MOUNT OLIVE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GOLDSBORO...MOUNT OLIVE...WALNUT CREEK...SEVEN SPRINGS...BROGDEN...
MAR-MAC...GRANTHAM...CLIFFS OF THE NEUSE STATE PARK...HOBBTON AND
ELROY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
45 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND RESULT IN
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. DRIVERS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE
EXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION WITH THIS STORM. IF THE
STORM INTENSIFIES AND ROTATION STRENGTHENS...A WARNING MAY NEED TO BE
ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3534 7782 3521 7783 3516 7796 3519 7802
      3518 7807 3519 7816 3509 7817 3508 7816
      3503 7827 3519 7839 3551 7783 3543 7783
      3540 7780 3538 7780
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 239DEG 26KT 3516 7825

77
Local storm report, Dec 23, 8:19 PM EST, 1 hour 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
819 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     FLASH FLOOD      POLKTON                 35.01N  80.20W
12/23/2015                   ANSON              NC   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL ONGOING ROAD CLOSURES DUE TO FLOODING NEAR
            POLKTON AND ANSONVILLE

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1501025

SEC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 23, 7:07 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHSampson53 min
Dec 23, 7:29 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHSampson46 min
Dec 23, 8:01 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHWayne59 min
Dec 23, 8:32 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRAHAnson, Stanly12 hr
Dec 23, 11:42 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRAHAlamance21 hr
Dec 24, 12:26 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningRAHDurham, Orange9 hr
Dec 24, 6:04 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRAHCumberland4 days
Dec 24, 10:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRAHFranklin44 hr
Dec 24, 10:39 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHDavidson, Forsyth, Guilford51 min
Dec 24, 3:01 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHAlamance44 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.