Alert archive / Mississippi / Special Weather Statements in 2015
Special Weather Statement, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this special weather statement at Jul 3, 2015, 9:13 AM CDT for Pontotoc County, Mississippi. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 3, 2015, 9:13 AM CDT (14:13 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 3, 2015, 10:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 47 min
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
County Pontotoc County, MS
The radar
The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1171 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -44 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 937 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 20 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 77 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 31 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 2.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
<meta charset="utf-8">
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
<title>Service Notice</title>
<link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
<main class="wrap">
<section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
<div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
<h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
<p id="message1">
The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
</p>
<p id="message2">
Please try again in a few minutes.
</p>
<p class="small" id="detail">
If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
</p>
</section>
</main>
<script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 3, 8:40 AM CDT, 33 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 8:40 AM CDT, 33 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
840 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015
.UPDATE...
UPDATED FOR FLASH FLOOD ISSUANCE.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM MODEL TRENDS AND RADAR SUGGESTS STORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO BACK BUILD FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
CWA TODAY...WITH NEW DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING TONIGHT. ALREADY
NUMEROUS FLASHFLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BASED OFF REPORTS OF
RAINFALL IN THE 2 TO 4 INCH RANGE IN THE PAST 4 HOURS. RAINFALL
RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED WITH FUTURE STORMS AS
THEY TRACK MAINLY SOUTH OF A WYNNE ARKANSAS TO SAVANNAH TENNESSEE
LINE. EXPANSION OF THE FFA FARTHER NORTH WILL BE MONITORED TODAY.
JAB
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 716 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015/
UPDATE...
UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 404 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015/
DISCUSSION...
THE RECENT WET PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TODAY...COURTESY OF AN
UNSEASONAL UPPER LEVEL LONGWAVE TROF OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY.
EARLY MORNING GOES WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED A SHORTWAVE TROF
CENTERED OVER IOWA. THIS FEATURE WILL DEAMPLIFY AND LIFT EAST TO
THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES TODAY...WHILE A POSITIVELY TILTED MID LEVEL
TROF AXIS DROPS THROUGH THE LOWER AND MIDDLE MS RIVER VALLEYS.
THIS MIDLEVEL TROF AXIS WILL AID IN AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION OVER
THE MIDSOUTH TODAY...AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SURFACE COLD FRONT.
BY LATE THIS EVENING... THE COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY EXTEND ALONG
THE I40 CORRIDOR...WITH GREATEST RAIN CHANCES OCCURING ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE FRONT.
SATURDAY WILL MARK THE BEGINNING OF WEAKENING FLOW ALOFT...AS THE
SOUTHERN EXTENSION OF THE POSITIVELY TILTED TROF IS SEPARATED
FROM ITS NORTHERN BRANCH COMPONENT. DAYTIME CONVECTIVE INHIBITION
WILL REMAIN WEAK...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTH MS...IN IN THE VICINITY
OF THE UPPER TROF AXIS.
UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY BUILD DURING THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK...BUT STILL REMAIN BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS. GFS PROGS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 2 INCHES...WITH WEAK DAYTIME
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION. DAYTIME TEMPS WILL LIKELY WARM TO A FEW
DEGREES SHY OF NORMAL BY MIDWEEK...BUT WILL BE LOCALLY AFFECTED
BY SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
PWB
&&
.AVIATION...
12Z TAF CYCLE
TSRA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH KTUP AND KMEM THIS MORNING.
MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT BOTH SITES AS THE
MORNING CONTINUES. VCTS AND TSRA ARE PROBABLE AT ALL FOUR TAF
SITES THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD DUE TO AN APPROACHING
DISTURBANCE. THE HRRR KEEPS TSRA OVER THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE
DAY. CONFIDENCE IN TIMING WITH TS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT IS LOW
AT THIS POINT. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AND FROM THE SOUTH.
JPM
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR CRITTENDEN-CROSS-
LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS.
MO...NONE.
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.
TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-
HARDIN-MCNAIRY-SHELBY.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 3:18 AM CDT, 5 hours 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 318 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-041030- ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY- COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR- DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD- HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE- LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION- PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN- RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON- TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 318 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY... MAINLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM WALNUT RIDGE ARKANSAS TO PARIS TENNESSEE. DAMAGING WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY... MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. STRONG WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY OVER THE SLIGHT RISK AREA. PWB
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 3, 8:31 AM CDT, 42 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
831 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015
MSZ016-017-024-031415-
LEE MS-ITAWAMBA MS-MONROE MS-
831 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL UNTIL 915 AM CDT FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN LEE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHERN ITAWAMBA COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...
AT 831 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH
WAS LOCATED NEAR AMORY...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.
PEOPLE IN SOUTHEASTERN LEE...SOUTHERN ITAWAMBA AND NORTHERN MONROE
COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.
LAT...LON 3390 8823 3389 8823 3395 8871 3418 8871
3415 8820
TIME...MOT...LOC 1331Z 281DEG 48KT 3406 8853Local storm report, Jul 3, 8:33 AM CDT, 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
833 AM CDT FRI JUL 03 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0825 AM HEAVY RAIN OLIVE BRANCH 34.95N 89.83W
07/03/2015 M3.40 INCH DESOTO MS NWS EMPLOYEE
RAINFALL SINCE 6AM.
&&
JABLocal storm report, Jul 3, 8:49 AM CDT, 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
849 AM CDT FRI JUL 03 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0553 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 S POPE 34.18N 89.95W
07/03/2015 PANOLA MS EMERGENCY MNGR
MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON US HIGHWAY 51 SOUTH OF POPE. TIME
IS RADAR ESTIMATED.
&&
AJCLocal storm report, Jul 3, 8:53 AM CDT, 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
853 AM CDT FRI JUL 03 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 E CROWDER 34.17N 90.09W
07/03/2015 PANOLA MS EMERGENCY MNGR
PORTIONS OF POPE CROWDER ROAD BETWEEN TEASDALE AND US
HIGHWAY 35 WAS INUNDATED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
&&
AJCLocal storm report, Jul 3, 9:10 AM CDT, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
910 AM CDT FRI JUL 03 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0858 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 SE HORN LAKE 34.93N 90.00W
07/03/2015 DESOTO MS TRAINED SPOTTER
MINOR STREET FLOODING OCCURRING. 3.13 INCHES SINCE 550
AM.
&&
JABSpecial weather statement, Jul 3, 9:13 AM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 913 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015 MSZ015-031500- PONTOTOC MS- 913 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL UNTIL 1000 AM CDT FOR... CENTRAL PONTOTOC COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI... AT 913 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED NEAR PONTOTOC...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. PEOPLE IN CENTRAL PONTOTOC COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. LAT...LON 3422 8919 3431 8917 3430 8883 3415 8883 TIME...MOT...LOC 1413Z 277DEG 44KT 3425 8910
The office that day
Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 3:13 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Benton, Itawamba, Lafayette, Lee, Marshall, Prentiss and 3 more | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 5:10 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Itawamba, Lafayette, Lee, Pontotoc, Yalobusha | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 5:17 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Coahoma, Lafayette, Panola, Quitman, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 5:55 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Itawamba, Monroe | 35 min |
| Jul 3, 7:52 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Marshall | 6 hr |
| Jul 3, 8:15 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Benton, Lafayette, Lee, Marshall, Prentiss, Tippah and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 8:31 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | MEG | Alcorn, Benton, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Coahoma, DeSoto and 16 more | 34 hr |
| Jul 3, 8:31 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Monroe | 44 min |
| Jul 3, 8:59 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Lee, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tishomingo | 9 hr |
| Jul 3, 9:30 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Lafayette, Pontotoc | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 10:02 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Tate, Tunica | 30 min |
| Jul 3, 11:09 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Benton, Lafayette, Lee, Marshall, Pontotoc, Prentiss and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 3, 11:10 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MEG | Lafayette, Marshall, Union | 56 hr |
| Jul 3, 11:30 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MEG | Lee | 22 hr |
| Jul 3, 2:00 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Lafayette, Panola, Pontotoc, Yalobusha | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 2:08 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MEG | Monroe | 5 days |
| Jul 3, 2:08 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MEG | Monroe | 68 hr |
| Jul 3, 4:57 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw, Lafayette, Panola, Pontotoc, Yalobusha | 6 hr |
| Jul 3, 5:11 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MEG | Benton, Lafayette, Lee, Marshall, Pontotoc, Prentiss and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 3, 5:58 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc, Prentiss and 1 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 2, 9:05 PM CDT | River Flood Advisory | MEG | Decatur, Hardin | 5 days |
| Jul 2, 10:50 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MEG | Henderson, Madison | 115 min |
| Jul 2, 11:10 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Fayette, Shelby | 50 min |
| Jul 3, 12:00 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Shelby | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 3:13 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MEG | Shelby | 6 hr |
| Jul 2, 8:29 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Lawrence | 46 min |
| Jul 2, 8:38 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Lawrence | 52 min |
| Jul 2, 9:13 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Greene | 32 min |
| Jul 2, 9:15 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MEG | Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Poinsett | 3 hr |
| Jul 2, 9:35 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Poinsett | 40 min |
| Jul 2, 9:53 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Poinsett | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 1:49 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Lawrence | 3 hr |
| Jul 2, 11:03 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Dunklin | 27 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Mississippi, 2015Every special weather statement in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.