Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015
Flash Flood Warning 70, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this flash flood warning at Jul 3, 2015, 2:00 PM CDT for 5 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 3, 2015, 2:00 PM CDT (19:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 3, 2015, 5:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Calhoun County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS
The radar
The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 88 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1171 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -44 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 937 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 20 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 77 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 31 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 2.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
876
WGUS54 KMEG 031900
FFWMEG
MSC013-071-107-115-161-032200-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FF.W.0070.150703T1900Z-150703T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
200 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHERN YALOBUSHA COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...
WESTERN PONTOTOC COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHEASTERN PANOLA COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 500 PM CDT
* AT 159 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAS
OCCURRED EARLIER TODAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT 3 HOURS.
* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
OXFORD...BATESVILLE...WATER VALLEY...GEORGE PAYNE STATE PARK...
HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...TULA...SPRINGDALE...DENMARK...
BURGESS...RANDOLPH...PARIS...BANNER...THAXTON...ALGOMA...TAYLOR...
TOCCOPOLA...SAREPTA...EUREKA SPRINGS...ROBBS AND PANNELL.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.
TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.
&&
LAT...LON 3408 8992 3435 8992 3438 8912 3407 8903
3407 8914 3406 8914
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 3, 12:22 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 12:22 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1222 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015
.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED FOR 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 951 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015/
UPDATE...
UPDATED TO LOWER HIGH TEMPERATURES AND INCREASE AFTERNOON POPS.
DISCUSSION...
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND CLOUD COVER THROUGHOUT THE DAY WILL KEEP
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S...TO MAYBE THE LOW 80S TODAY.
SO LOWERED FORECAST HIGHS ACCORDINGLY. SECOND COMPLEX OF STORMS
NOW MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN DELTA COUNTIES AND EXTENDS WEST
OF LITTLE ROCK. THIS AREA OF RAIN WILL SLIDE EAST OVER ALREADY
WELL SATURATED GROUND IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI PRODUCING AN
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF UP TO 5 INCHES. AS A RESULT HAVE INCREASED
AFTERNOON POPS IN THE FFA...AND LOWERED THEM SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE
FAR NORTH WHERE ACTIVITY WILL BE MORE SCATTERED.
JAB
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 404 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015/
DISCUSSION...
THE RECENT WET PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TODAY...COURTESY OF AN
UNSEASONAL UPPER LEVEL LONGWAVE TROF OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY.
EARLY MORNING GOES WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED A SHORTWAVE TROF
CENTERED OVER IOWA. THIS FEATURE WILL DEAMPLIFY AND LIFT EAST TO
THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES TODAY...WHILE A POSITIVELY TILTED MID LEVEL
TROF AXIS DROPS THROUGH THE LOWER AND MIDDLE MS RIVER VALLEYS.
THIS MIDLEVEL TROF AXIS WILL AID IN AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION OVER
THE MIDSOUTH TODAY...AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SURFACE COLD FRONT.
BY LATE THIS EVENING... THE COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY EXTEND ALONG
THE I40 CORRIDOR...WITH GREATEST RAIN CHANCES OCCURING ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE FRONT.
SATURDAY WILL MARK THE BEGINNING OF WEAKENING FLOW ALOFT...AS THE
SOUTHERN EXTENSION OF THE POSITIVELY TILTED TROF IS SEPARATED
FROM ITS NORTHERN BRANCH COMPONENT. DAYTIME CONVECTIVE INHIBITION
WILL REMAIN WEAK...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTH MS...IN IN THE VICINITY
OF THE UPPER TROF AXIS.
UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY BUILD DURING THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK...BUT STILL REMAIN BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS. GFS PROGS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 2 INCHES...WITH WEAK DAYTIME
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION. DAYTIME TEMPS WILL LIKELY WARM TO A FEW
DEGREES SHY OF NORMAL BY MIDWEEK...BUT WILL BE LOCALLY AFFECTED
BY SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
PWB
&&
.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
VERY ACTIVE TAF PERIOD WITH MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND
T-STORMS. HEAVIEST ACTIVITY WILL PRODUCE TEMPORARY IFR
CONDITIONS...AND POSSIBLY BRIEF LIFR VSBY. LATER TONIGHT OUTSIDE
OF STORMS STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO FORM WITH BORDERLINE LIFR/IFR
CIGS. NOT ANTICIPATING MUCH IMPROVEMENT WITH CONDITIONS BEFORE
04/18Z. WINDS WILL BE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 KTS...WITH
POTENTIAL GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS IN T-STORMS. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
SWING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT JBR LATE.
JAB
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR CRITTENDEN-CROSS-
LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS.
MO...NONE.
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.
TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-
HARDIN-MCNAIRY-SHELBY.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 1:39 PM CDT, 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 139 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-042045- ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY- COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR- DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD- HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE- LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION- PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN- RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON- TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 139 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE MIDSOUTH. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE ANTICIPATED. THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY EVENING FOR THE ENTIRE MIDSOUTH. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY... MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. STRONG WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED TODAY OVER THE ENTIRE MIDSOUTH. PLEASE REPORT FLASH FLOODING OR SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NWS OFFICE IN MEMPHIS...YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...OR YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT PERSONNEL. JAB
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 3, 11:40 AM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1140 AM CDT FRI JUL 03 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1125 AM FLASH FLOOD NEW ALBANY 34.49N 89.02W
07/03/2015 UNION MS EMERGENCY MNGR
MULTIPLE ROADS CLOSED ACROSS THE COUNTY. CR115, CR45,
CR51, HIGHWAY 178, CR238, CR16, CR180, CR180. COUNTY ROAD
238 IS COMPLETELY CLOSED AND LIKELY WASHED OUT IN AREAS.
&&
AJCLocal storm report, Jul 3, 11:48 AM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1148 AM CDT FRI JUL 03 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW PONTOTOC 34.24N 89.02W
07/03/2015 PONTOTOC MS PUBLIC
FLOODED UNDER TANGLEFOOT BRIDGE NEAR PIGGLY WIGGLY.
&&
AJCLocal storm report, Jul 3, 11:49 AM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1149 AM CDT FRI JUL 03 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0553 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 S POPE 34.18N 89.95W
07/03/2015 PANOLA MS EMERGENCY MNGR
MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON US HIGHWAY 51 SOUTH OF POPE. TIME
IS RADAR ESTIMATED.
0715 AM FLASH FLOOD TUPELO 34.26N 88.73W
07/03/2015 LEE MS EMERGENCY MNGR
INTERSECTION OF JEFFERSON ST. AND BROADWAY WAS CLOSED DUE
TO HIGH WATER.
0825 AM HEAVY RAIN OLIVE BRANCH 34.95N 89.83W
07/03/2015 M3.40 INCH DESOTO MS NWS EMPLOYEE
RAINFALL SINCE 6AM.
0858 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 SE HORN LAKE 34.93N 90.00W
07/03/2015 DESOTO MS TRAINED SPOTTER
MINOR STREET FLOODING OCCURRING. 3.13 INCHES SINCE 550
AM.
0900 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 S HOLLY SPRINGS 34.67N 89.44W
07/03/2015 M5.00 INCH MARSHALL MS PUBLIC
STORM TOTAL THROUGH 9AM CDT.
0900 AM HEAVY RAIN NEW ALBANY 34.49N 89.02W
07/03/2015 M5.25 INCH UNION MS PUBLIC
STORM TOTAL THROUGH 9AM CDT.
0935 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 E NEW ALBANY 34.49N 88.93W
07/03/2015 M6.32 INCH UNION MS PUBLIC
RAINFALL TOTAL THROUGH 935AM CDT.
1000 AM FLASH FLOOD HERNANDO 34.83N 89.99W
07/03/2015 DESOTO MS BROADCAST MEDIA
ROADS IN MONTCLAIR SUBDIVISION ARE FLOODED.
1008 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 SE SOUTHAVEN 34.95N 89.97W
07/03/2015 DESOTO MS PUBLIC
PORTIONS OF RASCO ROAD CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
1012 AM FLASH FLOOD ALGOMA 34.18N 89.04W
07/03/2015 PONTOTOC MS PUBLIC
FLOODING UP TO FRONT PORCH OF HOUSE.
1016 AM HEAVY RAIN HERNANDO 34.83N 89.99W
07/03/2015 M3.80 INCH DESOTO MS PUBLIC
NEARLY FOURS INCHES TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 10AM CDT.
1100 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW PONTOTOC 34.24N 89.02W
07/03/2015 PONTOTOC MS PUBLIC
FLOODED UNDER TANGLEFOOT BRIDGE NEAR PIGGLY WIGGLY.
1125 AM FLASH FLOOD NEW ALBANY 34.49N 89.02W
07/03/2015 UNION MS EMERGENCY MNGR
MULTIPLE ROADS CLOSED ACROSS THE COUNTY. CR115, CR45,
CR51, HIGHWAY 178, CR238, CR16, CR180, CR180. COUNTY ROAD
238 IS COMPLETELY CLOSED AND LIKELY WASHED OUT IN AREAS.
&&
AJCLocal storm report, Jul 3, 11:57 AM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1157 AM CDT FRI JUL 03 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1145 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 NE HORN LAKE 34.97N 90.02W
07/03/2015 DESOTO MS PUBLIC
CAR PARTIALLY SUBMERGED DUE TO HIGH WATER IN SUTTON
SUBDIVISION.
&&
AJCLocal storm report, Jul 3, 12:02 PM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1202 PM CDT FRI JUL 03 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1158 AM FLASH FLOOD RALEIGH 35.21N 89.91W
07/03/2015 SHELBY TN BROADCAST MEDIA
WATER FLOODING INTO HOME NEAR INTERSECTION OF BATTLEFIELD
DRIVE AND KERWIN DRIVE.
&&
AJCLocal storm report, Jul 3, 12:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1213 PM CDT FRI JUL 03 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1158 AM FLASH FLOOD NEW ALBANY 34.49N 89.02W
07/03/2015 UNION MS EMERGENCY MNGR
THE LITTLE TALLAHATCHIE RIVER HAS BEGUN TO OVERSPILL IT
BANKS INTO DOWNTOWN NEW ALBANY. THE PARK ADJACENT TO THE
RIVER HAS BEEN CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
&&
AJCThe office that day
Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 3:13 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Benton, Itawamba, Lafayette, Lee, Marshall, Prentiss and 3 more | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 5:10 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Itawamba, Lafayette, Lee, Pontotoc, Yalobusha | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 5:17 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Coahoma, Lafayette, Panola, Quitman, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 5:55 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Itawamba, Monroe | 35 min |
| Jul 3, 7:52 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Marshall | 6 hr |
| Jul 3, 8:15 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Benton, Lafayette, Lee, Marshall, Prentiss, Tippah and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 8:31 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | MEG | Alcorn, Benton, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Coahoma, DeSoto and 16 more | 34 hr |
| Jul 3, 8:31 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Monroe | 44 min |
| Jul 3, 8:59 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Lee, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tishomingo | 9 hr |
| Jul 3, 9:13 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Pontotoc | 47 min |
| Jul 3, 9:30 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Lafayette, Pontotoc | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 10:02 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Tate, Tunica | 30 min |
| Jul 3, 11:09 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Benton, Lafayette, Lee, Marshall, Pontotoc, Prentiss and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 3, 11:10 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MEG | Lafayette, Marshall, Union | 56 hr |
| Jul 3, 11:30 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MEG | Lee | 22 hr |
| Jul 3, 2:08 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MEG | Monroe | 5 days |
| Jul 3, 2:08 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MEG | Monroe | 68 hr |
| Jul 3, 4:57 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw, Lafayette, Panola, Pontotoc, Yalobusha | 6 hr |
| Jul 3, 5:11 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MEG | Benton, Lafayette, Lee, Marshall, Pontotoc, Prentiss and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 3, 5:58 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc, Prentiss and 1 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2015Every flash flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.