Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 372, NWS Louisville, KY

December 23, 20156 counties in Kentucky

NWS Louisville, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Dec 23, 2015, 7:58 PM EST for 6 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 47 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Dec 23, 2015, 7:58 PM EST (00:58 UTC)
Expired: Dec 23, 2015, 8:45 PM EST
In force: 47 min
Issued by: NWS Louisville, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Anderson County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Dec 23, 7:58 PM EST	TSTM WND DMG	3 N Highgrove, KY	COUNTY EM REPORTED TREES DOWN ON MAX ROUSE RD IN SOUTHWEST SPENCER. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
Dec 23, 8:10 PM EST	HAIL 0.75	Fairfield, KY	ALSO REPORTED A 50 MPH WIND GUST.
Dec 23, 8:12 PM EST	TSTM WND DMG	1 Ene Wakefield, KY	MORE TREES DOWN ON CECIL NOEL ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON TDWR.
Dec 23, 8:13 PM EST	TSTM WND GST 50	Fairfield, KY	MEASURED AT PRIVATE WEATHER STATION.
Dec 23, 8:14 PM EST	TSTM WND DMG	1 S Shelbyville, KY	TREE DOWN ON KENTUCKY STREET. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 3 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 0 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Dec 23, 1:28 PM EST	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr
Dec 23, 7:25 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 203 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 21 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -105 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 861 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 313 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 304 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

315 
WUUS53 KLMK 240058
SVRLMK
KYC005-029-073-179-211-215-240145-
/O.NEW.KLMK.SV.W.0372.151224T0058Z-151224T0145Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
758 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  SPENCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  NELSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  NORTHEASTERN BULLITT COUNTY IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  SHELBY COUNTY IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  ANDERSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 845 PM EST

* AT 758 PM EST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHWEST
  OF BARDSTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SHELBYVILLE...BARDSTOWN...LAWRENCEBURG...TAYLORSVILLE...MOUNT
  WASHINGTON...BLOOMFIELD...ELMBURG...HATTON...DRYDOCK...KLONDYKE...
  FOX CREEK...WATERFORD...SAMUELS FIELD AIRPORT...CRENSHAW...JOYES...
  PEYTONA...CHAPLIN...WILSONVILLE...HOOPER AND OLIVE BRANCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT...POST YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET YOUR
REPORT USING HASHTAG L...M...K...SPOTTER.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EST FOR CENTRAL
KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3834 8504 3799 8487 3790 8511 3791 8511
      3789 8515 3789 8519 3790 8520 3787 8519
      3786 8523 3787 8523 3787 8525 3785 8524
      3785 8528 3782 8530 3770 8562 3809 8552
      3812 8543 3815 8542 3834 8506
TIME...MOT...LOC 0058Z 240DEG 49KT 3793 8553 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MJ

3 follow-up statements

695 
WWUS53 KLMK 240107
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
807 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

KYC029-240117-
/O.CAN.KLMK.SV.W.0372.000000T0000Z-151224T0145Z/
BULLITT KY-
807 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN BULLITT COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EST FOR CENTRAL
KENTUCKY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EST FOR
CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3799 8487 3790 8511 3792 8512 3789 8515
      3789 8519 3790 8520 3787 8520 3786 8523
      3787 8523 3787 8525 3786 8526 3785 8524
      3785 8528 3782 8530 3774 8551 3809 8547
      3811 8543 3815 8542 3834 8506 3834 8504
TIME...MOT...LOC 0107Z 234DEG 54KT 3802 8538 

$$

KYC005-073-179-211-215-240145-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0372.000000T0000Z-151224T0145Z/
FRANKLIN KY-SPENCER KY-NELSON KY-SHELBY KY-ANDERSON KY-
807 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EST
FOR SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN...SPENCER...NORTHEASTERN NELSON...SHELBY
AND ANDERSON COUNTIES...

AT 807 PM EST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER
TAYLORSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE 
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SHELBYVILLE...BARDSTOWN...LAWRENCEBURG...TAYLORSVILLE...BLOOMFIELD...
ELMBURG...HATTON...DRYDOCK...KLONDYKE...FOX CREEK...WATERFORD...
SAMUELS FIELD AIRPORT...CRENSHAW...JOYES...PEYTONA...CHAPLIN...
WILSONVILLE...HOOPER...OLIVE BRANCH AND LITTLE MOUNT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT...POST YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET YOUR
REPORT USING HASHTAG L...M...K...SPOTTER.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EST FOR CENTRAL
KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3799 8487 3790 8511 3792 8512 3789 8515
      3789 8519 3790 8520 3787 8520 3786 8523
      3787 8523 3787 8525 3786 8526 3785 8524
      3785 8528 3782 8530 3774 8551 3809 8547
      3811 8543 3815 8542 3834 8506 3834 8504
TIME...MOT...LOC 0107Z 234DEG 54KT 3802 8538 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

MJ

321 
WWUS53 KLMK 240118
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
818 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

KYC005-073-179-211-215-240145-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0372.000000T0000Z-151224T0145Z/
FRANKLIN KY-SPENCER KY-NELSON KY-SHELBY KY-ANDERSON KY-
818 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EST
FOR SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN...CENTRAL SPENCER...NORTHEASTERN NELSON...
SHELBY AND ANDERSON COUNTIES...

AT 818 PM EST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF
SHELBYVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE 
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SHELBYVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...TAYLORSVILLE...BLOOMFIELD...ELMBURG...
HATTON...HARRISONVILLE...DRYDOCK...KLONDYKE...FOX CREEK...VAN
BUREN...AVENSTOKE...RIVALS...JOYES...PEYTONA...YODER...CHAPLIN...
WAYSIDE...GRAEFENBURG AND HOOPER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT...POST YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET YOUR
REPORT USING HASHTAG L...M...K...SPOTTER.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EST FOR CENTRAL
KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3799 8487 3790 8511 3792 8512 3789 8515
      3789 8519 3790 8520 3787 8520 3786 8523
      3787 8523 3787 8525 3786 8526 3785 8524
      3785 8528 3782 8530 3779 8539 3802 8535
      3811 8534 3821 8530 3834 8506 3834 8504
TIME...MOT...LOC 0118Z 240DEG 49KT 3810 8521 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

MJ

370 
WWUS53 KLMK 240145
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
845 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

KYC005-073-179-211-215-240155-
/O.EXP.KLMK.SV.W.0372.000000T0000Z-151224T0145Z/
FRANKLIN KY-SPENCER KY-NELSON KY-SHELBY KY-ANDERSON KY-
845 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN...
CENTRAL SPENCER...NORTHEASTERN NELSON...SHELBY AND ANDERSON COUNTIES
HAS EXPIRED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EST FOR CENTRAL
KENTUCKY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EST FOR
CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3799 8487 3790 8511 3792 8512 3789 8515
      3789 8519 3790 8520 3787 8520 3786 8523
      3787 8523 3787 8525 3786 8526 3785 8524
      3785 8528 3782 8530 3779 8539 3802 8535
      3811 8534 3821 8530 3834 8506 3834 8504
TIME...MOT...LOC 0141Z 240DEG 49KT 3810 8521 

$$

MJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Dec 23, 6:36 PM EST, 1 hour 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 23, 6:36 PM EST, 1 hour 22 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
636 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM (Now through Thursday Night)...
Issued at 248 PM EST Wed Dec 23 2015

...Severe Thunderstorms With Damaging Winds and Tornadoes Late This
Afternoon into this Evening...

The synoptic pattern early this afternoon features a very amplified
ridge off the eastern seaboard, with a trough sliding into the
central CONUS.  Within this trough, a negatively-tilted shortwave/PV
anomaly was noted across portions of the Central Plains.  This will
slide into northeastern Canada through the period, helping to deepen
a surface low over the Upper Midwest and drag an associated cold
front through the Ohio Valley late tonight.

All focus is on the severe weather threat starting now in southern
IN, and likely to increase through the evening hours across the rest
of Kentucky. Despite virtually no breaks in the cloud cover,
temperatures have managed to climb into the mid and upper 60s across
the region. While a few locations may creep to 70 later this
afternoon/evening, think many areas will remain in the upper 60s.
Therefore, our destabilization will have to take place via low-level
moisture advection, which is ongoing across portions west TN.  Here,
dewpoints have risen into the mid 60s, which should advect northeast
into central KY this evening.  Therefore, despite limited insolation
today, think we will have enough to push SBCAPEs in the 300-700 J/kg
range, perhaps pushing 1000 J/kg across southern KY.

Low-level shear parameters are very impressive given good low-level
turning. Effective SRH values are in excess of 400 m2/s2 across
western TN/eastern AR. Therefore, any storm will have the ability to
rotate. The main complicating factor continues to be storm
mode/coverage, and the effect the current QLCS moving through
western KY/IL/IN will have on storm evolution this evening.  The
near term threat will come from this QLCS now pushing into southern
IN/northern KY. Damaging winds and a few weak tornadoes will be
possible with this activity as it pushes northeast.  There is some
question as to how far east into central KY this activity gets.  The
southern edge has recently slowed, thus do not expect it to cross
portions of central KY.

If indeed central KY remains in the clear from this first QLCS, then
attention will turn to the southwest.  Convection is beginning to
fill in across portions of western TN/eastern AR, where supercells
have begun to develop over the past hour or so within the exit
region of a 110-knot upper-level jet streak.  This activity should
rapidly push northeast into south-central KY this evening. Storm
mode with this round is a bit in question, but semi-discrete
supercells will be possible especially in areas west of I-65 and to
the south of where the current QLCS stalls.  Coordinated with SPC on
the Moderate Risk, thus like the current placement and the main
emphasis on damaging winds (some in excess of 70 mph) and isolated
tornadoes.  Any strong tornado threat will hinge on storm mode once
the convection makes it into southern KY, but a strong tornado
cannot be ruled out across the southwestern CWA given very low
LCLs (around 500m) and impressive low-level shear/helicities.

All this activity will race east and will likely be out of the area
by 5Z or so.  Cooler and drier air will lag the cold front, so
expect overnight lows to remain mild and highs on Thursday to still
climb into the 60s.
.

.LONG TERM (Friday through Wednesday)...
Issued at 255 PM EST Wed Dec 23 2015

...Active Weather Continues Into Early Next Week, Heavy Rain Main
Concern...

Given the very active short term period, will leave the previous
discussion in place.  The main long term impact continues to be on
the potential for heavy rainfall Friday into early next week.  Still
looks like 3 to locally 5 inches of rainfall will be possible during
this timeframe, which may result in some flooding especially across
the northern portions of the forecast area.

Previous Discussion:
Christmas Eve Night...

We'll actually see a brief break in the action Christmas Eve night
as the frontal boundary and deeper moisture feed are shunted off to
the SE. Still some question as to how far SE this front will hang up
given the strength of the Bermuda High. ECMWF continues to be an
outlier during this time, bringing overrunning precipitation chances
back into our region before dawn on Christmas Day. Will mention some
chances mainly across south central KY toward dawn. Temps will be a
bit cooler on the north side of this boundary, with upper 40s north
to mid and upper 50s south.

Christmas Day - Sunday...

The overall pattern as we head through the holiday weekend will
feature troughing across the western CONUS, and strong Bermuda High
holding. We'll be under the SW flow aloft, which will help to
continually pump deep moisture along a stalled frontal boundary
waffling near our region. This will ultimately result in a very mild
and very wet period of weather.

Christmas Day continues to trend toward the wetter scenario as
models generally agree on the warm front slowly lifting north over
our region. Precipitation look to at least make it to the Ohio River
by afternoon, then persisting into the overnight. The pattern then
amplifies Saturday and Sunday as a SW CONUS cutoff low digs into the
Rio Grande River Valley and SE Ridge responds. This will shift the
focus of the frontogenetical rainfall more across southern Indiana
where the bulk of the rainfall will fall through the weekend. This
will also bring the warmer temps on the south side of the boundary
with small diurnal ranges. This system will have plenty of moisture
to work with as soundings show precipitable water values rising to
1.3-1.6 inches, generally over the 90th percentile for this time of
year. Thus, rain could be moderate to heavy at times.

Christmas Day highs should range in the upper 50s and low 60s north,
to mid 60s south. Expect highs in the upper 60s and low 70s
Saturday, with a slightly cooler Sunday as the front dips back down
into our region a bit. Will still be mostly in the 60s. Lows during
this time will be quite mild in the upper 50s and low 60s.

Sunday Night - Tuesday...

Confidence lowers during this time as models diverge on how quick
the upper low ejects out of Texas into the Great Lakes. The models
are playing into their typical biases, with the slower ECMWF holding
onto the SW energy, and the GFS blasting it through. Actually like
the ECMWF solution and its support from the GEM as the Bermuda Ridge
could continue to play a factor in slow overall progress. So,
depending on which solution, or some compromise between the two,
occurs we'll either see a final strong surge of showers and storms
on Monday or Tuesday. Will have to watch and see if another round of
strong storms will be possible early next week as some instability
could occur in the warm sector ahead of the passing front.

Overall, data still suggest that around 3-5 inches of rain could
fall between Christmas and Tuesday, with the bulk of it across
southern Indiana. Given the amount of rainfall from recent days and
the potential for periods of moderate to heavy rainfall, some minor
flooding could become a concern. Still not overly confident given
the subtle model variability with placement of frontogenetical
precipitation. Will continue to monitor latest trends. Will also
note that this active period of weather will likely push SDF and LEX
higher on the standings of the all time wettest year. SDF ranks 9th
as of Dec 21, and LEX ranks 14th.

&&

.AVIATION (00Z TAF Update)...
Updated at 625 PM EST Wed Dec 23 2015

Severe squall line currently moving toward TAF sites.  Eastward
motion of the line is 40 kts, with individual cells moving NE at 55
to 70 kts. Surface winds have topped 50 kts in several locations in
western KY. Isolated cells have produced hail up to 1.75" west of
SDF.

Precipitation to continue after main line goes through for up to 3
hours, with enough moisture to affect cigs and vsbys through the
night.  For now am going above most pessimistic guidance with MVFR
cigs, but there is potential for IFR indicated by some MOS, so will
be closely monitored for possible amendments.

&&

.LMK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

Short Term........KJD
Long Term.........KJD
Aviation..........JBS

Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 23, 7:37 PM EST, 21 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
737 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>034-038-045-053-061>063-070>072-
250045-
ORANGE-WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-HARRISON-
FLOYD-CLARK-HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-MEADE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN-BULLITT-
OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-SPENCER-NELSON-LARUE-BUTLER-EDMONSON-
HART-LOGAN-WARREN-SIMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...ORLEANS...FRENCH LICK...SALEM...
SCOTTSBURG...AUSTIN...MADISON...JASPER...HUNTINGBURG...BROWNSTOWN...
MILLTOWN...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...
JEFFERSONVILLE...CLARKSVILLE...LEWISPORT...HAWESVILLE...
HARDINSBURG...IRVINGTON...CLOVERPORT...BRANDENBURG...MULDRAUGH...
BEAVER DAM...HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...RADCLIFF...
FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...HILLVIEW...BROOKS...
LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BUCKNER...CRESTWOOD...PEWEE VALLEY...
BEDFORD...MILTON...EMINENCE...NEW CASTLE...PLEASUREVILLE...
CAMPBELLSBURG...SHELBYVILLE...TAYLORSVILLE...BARDSTOWN...
HODGENVILLE...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...HORSE CAVE...MUNFORDVILLE...
RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...PROVIDENCE
737 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015 /637 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015/

...TORNADO WATCH 560 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE OHIO
VALLEY. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 70 MPH IN THE STRONGEST CORES...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SOME HEAVY RAINFALL MAY DEVELOP LATE FRIDAY THROUGH THE MONDAY AS
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA PRODUCING 2
TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE NEEDED THIS EVENING.

KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-054>057-064>067-073>078-081-082-250045-
FRANKLIN-SCOTT-HARRISON-ANDERSON-WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON-NICHOLAS-
WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-CLARK-MARION-BOYLE-GARRARD-MADISON-GREEN-
TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-ALLEN-BARREN-MONROE-METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-
CUMBERLAND-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...
LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...
SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WILMORE...WINCHESTER...
LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...RICHMOND...BEREA...GREENSBURG...
CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...RUSSELL SPRINGS...JAMESTOWN...
SALEM...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY
737 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015 /637 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015/

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 565 IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST /2 AM CST/
THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BLUE
GRASS. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH IN THE STRONGEST CORES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SOME HEAVY RAINFALL MAY DEVELOP LATE FRIDAY THROUGH THE MONDAY AS
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA PRODUCING 2
TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE NEEDED THIS EVENING.

13

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 23, 7:06 PM EST, 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
706 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NNE MCQUADY           37.71N 86.51W
12/23/2015  E61 MPH          BRECKINRIDGE       KY   MESONET

&&

MRC

Local storm report, Dec 23, 7:21 PM EST, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
721 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0714 PM     HAIL             SHORT CREEK             37.53N 86.48W
12/23/2015  E0.88 INCH       GRAYSON            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MRC

Local storm report, Dec 23, 7:33 PM EST, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
733 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0722 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NE LOUISVILLE         38.24N 85.71W
12/23/2015                   JEFFERSON          KY   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN ON A BUILDING.

&&

MRC

Local storm report, Dec 23, 7:36 PM EST, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
736 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0704 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NNE SHIVELY           38.23N 85.80W
12/23/2015                   JEFFERSON          KY   PUBLIC

            TREES DOWN.

&&

MRC

Local storm report, Dec 23, 7:39 PM EST, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
739 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NE LOUISVILLE         38.24N 85.71W
12/23/2015                   JEFFERSON          KY   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN ON A BUILDING.

&&

MRC

Local storm report, Dec 23, 7:43 PM EST, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
743 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 ENE HOWE VALLEY       37.70N 86.02W
12/23/2015  E55 MPH          HARDIN             KY   MESONET

&&

MRC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 23, 7:00 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Breckinridge, Grayson, Hardin	30 min
Dec 23, 7:05 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Henry, Jefferson, Oldham, Shelby, Trimble	40 min
Dec 23, 7:12 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Butler, Edmonson, Grayson, Logan, Ohio, Warren	33 min
Dec 23, 7:17 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bullitt, Hardin, Jefferson, Nelson, Shelby, Spencer	43 min
Dec 23, 7:29 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning	LMK	Jefferson	3 hr
Dec 23, 7:30 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Breckinridge, Grayson, Hardin, Meade	30 min
Dec 23, 7:45 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Butler, Edmonson, Grayson, Logan, Warren	30 min
Dec 23, 7:50 PM EST	Tornado Warning	LMK	Butler, Edmonson, Warren	25 min
Dec 23, 8:06 PM EST	Tornado Warning	LMK	Edmonson, Grayson, Hart	24 min
Dec 23, 8:23 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Grayson, Green, Hardin, Hart, Larue, Marion and 1 more	37 min
Dec 23, 8:24 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Anderson, Franklin, Henry, Scott, Shelby, Woodford	36 min
Dec 23, 8:39 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Allen, Simpson, Warren	36 min
Dec 23, 8:59 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bourbon, Fayette, Harrison, Nicholas, Scott, Woodford	46 min
Dec 23, 9:34 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	LMK	Fayette, Jessamine, Woodford	3 hr
Dec 23, 9:38 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Green, Hart, Larue, Taylor	22 min
Dec 23, 9:41 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Adair, Green, Hart, Metcalfe	19 min
Dec 23, 10:01 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Green, Taylor	29 min
Dec 23, 10:18 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	LMK	Bourbon, Harrison, Nicholas, Scott	3 hr
Dec 23, 10:19 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	LMK	Anderson, Mercer, Washington	3 hr
Dec 23, 10:50 PM EST	River Flood Advisory	LMK	Bourbon	36 hr
Dec 23, 10:58 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Adair, Casey, Lincoln	47 min
Dec 23, 11:00 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Adair, Casey, Lincoln	45 min
Dec 23, 11:03 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Adair, Casey	27 min
Dec 23, 11:14 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Adair, Cumberland, Metcalfe, Russell	36 min
Dec 23, 11:20 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Casey, Lincoln	40 min
Dec 23, 11:57 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Clinton	33 min
Dec 24, 12:02 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Garrard, Lincoln, Madison	43 min
Dec 24, 10:14 AM EST	River Flood Warning	LMK	Hardin, Nelson	5 days
Dec 24, 2:17 PM EST	River Flood Advisory	LMK	Nicholas, Robertson	52 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.