Severe Thunderstorm Warning 77, NWS Lincoln, IL

826 
WWUS53 KILX 110437
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1137 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

ILC095-143-110447-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-150611T0515Z/
PEORIA-KNOX-
1137 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR PEORIA AND KNOX COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4056 9044 4052 8987 4051 8987 4052 8986
      4050 8959 4042 8959 4019 8986 4021 9045
TIME...MOT...LOC 0437Z 310DEG 35KT 4025 9003 

$$

ILC057-125-179-110515-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-150611T0515Z/
MASON-TAZEWELL-FULTON-
1137 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN MASON...SOUTHWESTERN TAZEWELL AND FULTON COUNTIES...

AT 1137 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HAVANA...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CANTON...HAVANA...LEWISTOWN...MANITO...CUBA...SOUTH PEKIN...
ASTORIA...GREEN VALLEY...VERMONT...ST. DAVID...IPAVA...EASTON...
UNION...TABLE GROVE...DUNFERMLINE...BERNADOTTE...FOREST CITY...
SMITHFIELD...BRYANT AND BANNER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4056 9044 4052 8987 4051 8987 4052 8986
      4050 8959 4042 8959 4019 8986 4021 9045
TIME...MOT...LOC 0437Z 310DEG 35KT 4025 9003 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

AUTEN

860 
WWUS53 KILX 110454
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1154 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

ILC057-125-179-110503-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-150611T0515Z/
MASON-TAZEWELL-FULTON-
1154 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MASON...
SOUTHWESTERN TAZEWELL AND FULTON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS
AND EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
LINCOLN.

LAT...LON 4056 9044 4052 8987 4051 8987 4052 8986
      4050 8959 4042 8959 4019 8986 4021 9045
TIME...MOT...LOC 0451Z 291DEG 47KT 4017 8976 

$$

AUTEN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
915 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 915 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

HAVE ALREADY UPDATED ONCE. STORMS ONGOING IN NORTHERN PART OF THE
CWA AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THE REST OF THE EVENING AND POSSIBLY
INTO OVERNIGHT. WILL TRY TO UPDATE SHORTLY TO FRESHEN GRIDS AND
WORDING FOR REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 303 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

COLD FRONT SLOWLY EDGING TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON IN
A MUGGY AIRMASS.  LAPS DATA SHOWING 4000-5000 J/KG AVAILABLE ENERGY
BUT SO FAR, CONVECTION HAS NOT YET STARTED.  HOWEVER, CONVECTION IS
ANTICIPATED ALONG THE BOUNDARY AS IT SAGS INTO ILX NORTHERN TIER.
ADVANCEMENT OF THE FRONT IN THE OVERNIGHT IS LIMITED WITH STRONG WAA
AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ANTICIPATED TO
REMAIN IN THE NORTHERN TIER AT LEAST IN THE IMMEDIATE TERM.  CAPE
WILL DECREASE SOMEWHAT ONCE THE SUN SETS AND THE DIURNAL INFLUENCE
IS LOST.  THAT BEING SAID, STILL ENOUGH OF A HUMID AND HOT AIRMASS
TO PROVIDE AMPLE MOISTURE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND
NORTH OF A LINE FROM ROUGHLY HAVANA TO DANVILLE. EVEN WITH PWS IN
EXCESS OF 1.5-2"...THE HRRR AND RAP/RUC IS SOMEWHAT LIMITING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  THAT BEING SAID, THE
NORTHERN TIER OF ILX IS STILL IN A SLIGHT RISK THROUGH THE
EVENING...AND WITH AMPLE CAPE, EVEN WITHOUT A LOT OF DEEP LAYER
SHEAR, STORMS CAN EASILY DEVELOP SOME GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 303 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

THE 12Z MODELS SHOW THE COLD FRONT PROGRESSING NORTHWARD IN THE
MORNING, IN RESPONSE TO DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW AND MOISTURE WILL CREATE A HOT AND
HUMID DAY ACROSS CENTRAL AND SE IL. STORM CHANCES WILL BE TIED TO
THE MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT NORTHWARD, SO AREAS NORTH OF A LINE FROM
RUSHVILLE TO LINCOLN TO BLOOMINGTON WILL HAVE THE BETTER CHANCES.
SPC INCREASED OUR SEVERE POTENTIAL FROM MARGINAL TO SLIGHT RISK IN
THAT GENERAL AREA, WITH ELEVATED CAPES OF 2-2500 J/KG AND BULK SHEAR
OF 20-25KTS PER BUFKIT SOUNDINGS. SO DOWNBURST WINDS AND HAIL WILL
BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS FOR THURS AFTN/EVE.

THURSDAY NIGHT...THE SURFACE LOW IN EASTERN NEBRASKA WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS IOWA. A BREAK IN THE STORMS APPEARS LIKELY, UNTIL AROUND
SUNRISE ON FRIDAY AS THE LOW REACHES CLOSE TO NW IL. STORM CHANCES
WILL EXPAND TO THE SOUTHEAST ON FRIDAY...AS THE LOW PASSES TO OUR
NORTH AND IT DRAGS A COLD FRONT INTO OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES. THE
FRONT WILL TRIGGER STORMS, SOME POSSIBLE SEVERE WITH HAIL AND WIND.
SPC HAS US IN A MARGINAL RISK FOR FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT. WE FOLLOWED
THE PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS OUR AREA WITH
LIKELY POPS, FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

THE GFS/ECMWF/CANADIAN ALL SHOW THE COLD FRONT STALLING OUT ACROSS
OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES ON SATURDAY...KEEPING THE FOCUS FOR STORMS
SOUTH OF PEORIA TO BLOOMINGTON. THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT SHOULD
HELP LOWER HIGH TEMPS NORTH OF THE FRONT INTO THE LOWER 80S, BUT
HUMIDITY WILL NOT IMPROVE MUCH AS DEWPOINTS REMAIN MID TO UPPER 60S.

THE FRONT WILL RETURN NORTHWARD SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY, WITH
STORM CHANCES INCREASING TO LIKELY ON SUNDAY WEST OF A LINE FROM
EFFINGHAM TO DANVILLE...AS A COUPLE OF STRONG SHORTWAVES TRIGGER
PERIODIC STORMS. LIKELY CHANCES OF RAIN LINGER NORTH OF PEORIA
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES FROM THE PLAINS INTO
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. MORE LIKELY POPS APPEAR EVIDENT IN THE EXTENDED
MODELS FOR TUESDAY ACROSS OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES AS A STRONG
SHORTWAVE PROGRESSES FROM KANSAS INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS.

ONE MAIN THEME THROUGHOUT THE 7 DAY FORECAST IS HIGH MOISTURE
CONTENT IN THE AIRMASS, AND INSTABILITY EVERYDAY. SHEAR PARAMETERS
GENERALLY REMAIN LESS THAN 25KTS, WHICH LENDS TOWARD SLOW MOVING
STORMS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. FLASH FLOODING
COULD BECOME A REAL CONCERN IN AREAS THAT SEE REPEATED STORM TRACKS
OVER THE NEXT WEEK. RAINFALL RATES OVER SHORT PERIODS OF TIME COULD
EASILY CLIMB AS HIGH AS 3 INCHES PER HOUR...AS PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES REPEATEDLY CLIMB TOWARD 2 INCHES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 735 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

REMOVED ALL MENTION OF PCPN IN ALL TAFS FOR NEXT 24HRS. STORM
NORTH OF BOTH PIA AND BMI THIS EVENING AND SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF
THEM AND DIMINISH BEFORE IT GETS TO EITHER ONE. SO VFR CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE AT ALL SITES NEXT 24HRS. IF SHOWERS AND STORMS LOOK
LIKE THEY WILL GET CLOSER TO PIA AND BMI...WILL BE UPDATING TO
INCLUDE PCPN...BUT FOR NOW THINK THEY WILL REMAIN NORTH OF BOTH
SITES.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...AUTEN
SHORT TERM...HJS
LONG TERM...SHIMON
AVIATION...AUTEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
315 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>046-111100-
CHAMPAIGN-DE WITT-FULTON-KNOX-LOGAN-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-PEORIA-
PIATT-SCHUYLER-STARK-TAZEWELL-VERMILION-WOODFORD-
315 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND
WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING HAIL TO AROUND ONE INCH
DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY ALSO PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING. AREAS OF RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ON
PORTIONS OF THE ILLINOIS AND SANGAMON RIVERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PERIODIC THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. THE THREAT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW. AREAS OF
RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK ON PORTIONS
OF THE ILLINOIS AND SANGAMON RIVERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ILZ047>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-111100-
CASS-CHRISTIAN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-
EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-MACON-MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-RICHLAND-
SANGAMON-SCOTT-SHELBY-
315 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

AREAS OF RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ON PORTIONS OF THE
LITTLE WABASH AND EMBARRAS RIVERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT FROM I-70 NORTHWARD...HOWEVER THE THREAT FOR
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PERIODIC THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DEVELOP AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY. THE THREAT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW.
AREAS OF RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK ON
PORTIONS OF THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY.

HJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1023 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 PM     FLASH FLOOD      WASHBURN                40.92N 89.29W
06/10/2015                   WOODFORD           IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROUTE 89 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER

&&

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1040 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 PM     HEAVY RAIN       MARSHALL COUNTY AIRPORT 41.02N 89.39W
06/10/2015  M3.92 INCH       MARSHALL           IL   AWOS

            4 HOUR TOTAL

&&

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1049 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     HAIL             4 N ABINGDON            40.86N 90.40W
06/10/2015  E1.75 INCH       KNOX               IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0940 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 N ABINGDON            40.86N 90.40W
06/10/2015  E60 MPH          KNOX               IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0940 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 N ABINGDON            40.82N 90.40W
06/10/2015                   KNOX               IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE LIMBS DOWN

&&

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1051 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N ABINGDON            40.82N 90.40W
06/10/2015                   KNOX               IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE LIMBS DOWN

&&

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1055 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NNW HOPEDALE          40.48N 89.45W
06/10/2015                   TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            14-16 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN BLOCKING TOWNLINE ROAD AT
            MACKINAW RIVER BRIDGE

&&

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1109 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 PM     TSTM WND GST     GALESBURG AIRPORT       40.94N 90.43W
06/10/2015  M56 MPH          KNOX               IL   AWOS

&&

25