Severe Thunderstorm Warning 61, NWS Lincoln, IL

022 
WWUS53 KILX 080252
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
952 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

ILC139-080301-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-150608T0315Z/
MOULTRIE-
952 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN MOULTRIE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR
EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

LAT...LON 3948 8754 3949 8777 3947 8846 3947 8847
      3979 8847 3979 8846 3982 8846 3986 8835
      3998 8818 4018 8800 4040 8794 4044 8793
      4037 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 0251Z 289DEG 39KT 4032 8786 3993 8789 3977 8802 3959
8832

$$

ILC019-029-041-045-183-080315-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-150608T0315Z/
COLES-VERMILION-EDGAR-DOUGLAS-CHAMPAIGN-
952 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT
FOR COLES...VERMILION...EDGAR...DOUGLAS AND SOUTHEASTERN CHAMPAIGN
COUNTIES...

AT 951 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR POTOMAC TO NEAR ALLERTON TO NEAR NEWMAN TO
HUMBOLDT...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DANVILLE...CHARLESTON...MATTOON...PARIS...TUSCOLA...ST. JOSEPH...
GEORGETOWN...WESTVILLE...ARCOLA...TILTON...VILLA GROVE...ARTHUR...
CATLIN...OAKWOOD...PHILO...CHRISMAN...ROSSVILLE...SIDNEY...ATWOOD AND
HOMER.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 57 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 189 AND 219.
 INTERSTATE 74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 192 AND 220.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3948 8754 3949 8777 3947 8846 3947 8847
      3979 8847 3979 8846 3982 8846 3986 8835
      3998 8818 4018 8800 4040 8794 4044 8793
      4037 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 0251Z 289DEG 39KT 4032 8786 3993 8789 3977 8802 3959
8832

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BAK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
926 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 927 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

STORMS ARE VINALLY PROGRESSING SOUTHEAST OVER THE CWA THIS
EVENING. WILL BE WORKING TO UPDATE THE FORECAST TO LOWER POPS AND
TO REMOVE PARTS OF THE WATCH. UPDATE WILL BE FORTHCOMING BUT MAY
TAKE A LITTLE TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 329 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

20Z/3PM RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING TO INITIATE
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...MAINLY ALONG A HENRY...TO GALESBURG...TO
FORT MADISON IOWA LINE. THESE STORMS WILL BE INTERACTING WITH A
STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS...CHARACTERIZED BY
SBCAPE VALUES OF 3000 TO 3500J/KG.  0-6KM BULK SHEAR OF 30-35KT
SHOULD HELP ENHANCE/SUSTAIN THE THUNDERSTORM CELLS AS THEY TRACK
E/SE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREATS.  HRRR SHOWS THE CONVECTION PUSHING ACROSS MAINLY
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE KILX CWA...THEN EXITING INTO INDIANA BY
AROUND 01Z.  AFTER THAT...MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THAT ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MISSOURI THIS EVENING...THEN PUSH
EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS OVERNIGHT.  BY THAT
POINT THE AIRMASS WILL LIKELY HAVE BEEN STABILIZED BY THE FIRST
ROUND OF CONVECTION EARLY IN THE EVENING...SO ADDITIONAL SEVERE
WEATHER APPEARS MINIMAL. DESPITE THIS...AM STILL CONCERNED ABOUT THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL GIVEN PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES FROM
1.50 TO 1.75.  SINCE THERE IS CURRENTLY A MONTHLY AND YEARLY
RAINFALL DEFICIT ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND THE STORMS WILL
BE PROGRESSIVE IN NATURE...THINK WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING IS
UNLIKELY.  WILL THEREFORE NOT ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH...BUT
INSTEAD HIT HEAVY RAIN THREAT HARD IN THE HWO...ZONE FORECAST...AND
ESF.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 329 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LINGER IN THE SOUTHEAST
TOMORROW FOLLOWED BY A WEAK TROUGH THAT WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE GRT
LKS REGION TOMORROW AFTERNOON THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING. THEN AS
EVERYTHING PUSHES FURTHER EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA DRY WEATHER
IS EXPECTED LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT. MODELS CONTINUE TO
TRY AND BRING SOME PCPN INTO THE REGION FOR WE AND WED NIGHT BUT
BELIEVE MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED SO IF THERE IS ANY PCPN THEN IT
WILL BE WIDELY SCATTERED AND ONLY WORTH A SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE
GRIDS...WHICH WILL NOT BE MENTIONED IN THE WORDED FORECAST AT THIS
TIME. AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TAKES HOLD OVER THE AREA AND TROUGH
DEVELOPS OUT IN THE PLAINS...PCPN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE
AGAIN FOR LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. MODELS HAVE SOME
DIFFERENCES SO WILL JUST KEEP CHANCE POPS IN THE NORTH OF THUR AND
THUR NIGHT...AND THEN OVER THE WHOLE AREA FOR FRI THROUGH SUNDAY.

TEMPS WILL REMAIN WARM THROUGH THE PERIOD...SITTING IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S MOST OF THE AREA. HIGHS AROUND 90 WILL BE POSSIBLE AT
TIMES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 654 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE SITES TONIGHT. PIA
AND BMI WILL SEE PREDOMINATE STORMS FOR QUITE A FEW HOURS THIS
EVENING WITH A FEW HOURS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. HAVE A TEMPO GROUP TO
COVER THE HEAVIER RAINFALL. THINK THE STORMS SHOULD BE ENDING
AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH CLOUD COVER CONTINUING DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. THEN SKIES SHOULD SCATTER OUT AND CLEAR DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. SPI/DEC/CMI SHOULD BEGIN TO SEE THE STORMS IN THE
NEXT 1-2HRS WITH JUST VCTS FOR WHILE AND A TEMPO GROUP FOR ABOUT
4HRS DURING THE LATE EVENING. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST FOR NOW AND
THEN WESTERLY AFTER THE NEXT WAVE COMES THROUGH LATER TONIGHT.
THEN WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTHWEST AGAIN TOMORROW.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...AUTEN
SHORT TERM...BARNES
LONG TERM...AUTEN
AVIATION...AUTEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
347 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

ILZ027>031-036>038-040-041-081100-
FULTON-KNOX-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-PEORIA-SCHUYLER-STARK-TAZEWELL-
WOODFORD-
347 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE...PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...HAIL
UP TO QUARTER-SIZED...AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS. LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE PRIMARY
TIME FRAME FOR POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE THROUGH 8 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...WITH A MUCH
LOWER THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

AFTER A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY...PARTICULARLY
THROUGH 8 PM.

ILZ042>057-061-081100-
CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-COLES-DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-LOGAN-MACON-
MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PIATT-SANGAMON-SCOTT-SHELBY-VERMILION-
347 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE...PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...HAIL
UP TO QUARTER-SIZED...AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS. LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE PRIMARY
TIME FRAME FOR POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE BETWEEN 4 PM AND
10 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...WITH A MUCH
LOWER THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

AFTER A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL RETURN FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY...PARTICULARLY
BETWEEN 4 PM AND 10 PM

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-081100-
CLARK-CLAY-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-
347 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT THIS
EVENING. WHILE THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN
NORTH OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR...A FEW STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY
WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
THE PRIMARY TIME FRAME FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 6
PM AND MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...WITH A MUCH
LOWER THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

AFTER A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL RETURN FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY...PARTICULARLY
BETWEEN 6 PM AND MIDNIGHT.

BARNES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
920 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W CLINTON             40.15N 88.98W
06/07/2015                   DE WITT            IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE TREE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS HIGHWAY 10 A MILE WEST OF
            CLINTON.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
922 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GEORGETOWN              39.98N 87.64W
06/07/2015                   VERMILION          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE BRANCHES BLOWN AGAINST TRAILOR IN GEORGETOWN. COUPLE
            REPORTS OF LARGE TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
926 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0922 PM     FLOOD            2 NE EMDEN              40.32N 89.46W
06/07/2015                   LOGAN              IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER RESCUE 2 MILES NORTH OF HIGHWAY 136 AND EAST OF
            I-155 NEAR NORTHEAST OF EMDEN NEAR LOGAN AND TAZEWELL
            COUNTY LINE.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
927 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0920 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N DANVILLE            40.17N 87.62W
06/07/2015  M2.60 INCH       VERMILION          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MEASURED 2.60 INCHES OF RAIN IN 1.5 HOURS NEAR LAKE
            VERMILION.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
928 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0920 PM     TSTM WND GST     WILLARD AIRPORT         40.04N 88.28W
06/07/2015  M61 MPH          CHAMPAIGN          IL   ASOS

            MEASURED 61 MPH WIND GUSTS AT CHAMPAIGN AIRPORT.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
929 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0920 PM     HEAVY RAIN       TILTON                  40.09N 87.64W
06/07/2015  M2.50 INCH       VERMILION          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MEASURED 2.50 INCHES OF RAIN IN PAST HOUR.

&&

07