Severe Thunderstorm Warning 59, NWS Lincoln, IL

557 
WWUS53 KILX 080210
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
910 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

ILC019-041-115-139-147-080230-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-150608T0230Z/
PIATT-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-CHAMPAIGN-
910 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT
FOR PIATT...SOUTHERN MACON...NORTHERN MOULTRIE...DOUGLAS AND
CHAMPAIGN COUNTIES...

AT 909 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM LAKE OF THE WOODS TO NEAR ATWOOD TO NEAR DALTON
CITY...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHAMPAIGN...DECATUR...URBANA...RANTOUL...MONTICELLO...TUSCOLA...
SAVOY...MAHOMET...MOUNT ZION...ST. JOSEPH...TOLONO...ARCOLA...VILLA
GROVE...ARTHUR...FISHER...BEMENT...PHILO...CERRO GORDO...LONG CREEK
AND SIDNEY.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 57 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 202 AND 256.
 INTERSTATE 72 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 157 AND 182.
 INTERSTATE 74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 161 AND 198.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3988 8794 3969 8797 3968 8806 3965 8806
      3965 8848 3978 8914 3992 8879 4010 8871
      4010 8869 4014 8869 4028 8858 4028 8846
      4037 8846 4040 8793
TIME...MOT...LOC 0209Z 279DEG 42KT 4021 8833 3985 8848 3974 8875 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BAK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
654 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 329 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

20Z/3PM RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING TO INITIATE
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...MAINLY ALONG A HENRY...TO GALESBURG...TO
FORT MADISON IOWA LINE. THESE STORMS WILL BE INTERACTING WITH A
STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS...CHARACTERIZED BY
SBCAPE VALUES OF 3000 TO 3500J/KG.  0-6KM BULK SHEAR OF 30-35KT
SHOULD HELP ENHANCE/SUSTAIN THE THUNDERSTORM CELLS AS THEY TRACK
E/SE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREATS.  HRRR SHOWS THE CONVECTION PUSHING ACROSS MAINLY
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE KILX CWA...THEN EXITING INTO INDIANA BY
AROUND 01Z.  AFTER THAT...MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THAT ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MISSOURI THIS EVENING...THEN PUSH
EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS OVERNIGHT.  BY THAT
POINT THE AIRMASS WILL LIKELY HAVE BEEN STABILIZED BY THE FIRST
ROUND OF CONVECTION EARLY IN THE EVENING...SO ADDITIONAL SEVERE
WEATHER APPEARS MINIMAL. DESPITE THIS...AM STILL CONCERNED ABOUT THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL GIVEN PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES FROM
1.50 TO 1.75.  SINCE THERE IS CURRENTLY A MONTHLY AND YEARLY
RAINFALL DEFICIT ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND THE STORMS WILL
BE PROGRESSIVE IN NATURE...THINK WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING IS
UNLIKELY.  WILL THEREFORE NOT ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH...BUT
INSTEAD HIT HEAVY RAIN THREAT HARD IN THE HWO...ZONE FORECAST...AND
ESF.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 329 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LINGER IN THE SOUTHEAST
TOMORROW FOLLOWED BY A WEAK TROUGH THAT WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE GRT
LKS REGION TOMORROW AFTERNOON THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING. THEN AS
EVERYTHING PUSHES FURTHER EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA DRY WEATHER
IS EXPECTED LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT. MODELS CONTINUE TO
TRY AND BRING SOME PCPN INTO THE REGION FOR WE AND WED NIGHT BUT
BELIEVE MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED SO IF THERE IS ANY PCPN THEN IT
WILL BE WIDELY SCATTERED AND ONLY WORTH A SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE
GRIDS...WHICH WILL NOT BE MENTIONED IN THE WORDED FORECAST AT THIS
TIME. AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TAKES HOLD OVER THE AREA AND TROUGH
DEVELOPS OUT IN THE PLAINS...PCPN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE
AGAIN FOR LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. MODELS HAVE SOME
DIFFERENCES SO WILL JUST KEEP CHANCE POPS IN THE NORTH OF THUR AND
THUR NIGHT...AND THEN OVER THE WHOLE AREA FOR FRI THROUGH SUNDAY.

TEMPS WILL REMAIN WARM THROUGH THE PERIOD...SITTING IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S MOST OF THE AREA. HIGHS AROUND 90 WILL BE POSSIBLE AT
TIMES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 654 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE SITES TONIGHT. PIA
AND BMI WILL SEE PREDOMINATE STORMS FOR QUITE A FEW HOURS THIS
EVENING WITH A FEW HOURS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. HAVE A TEMPO GROUP TO
COVER THE HEAVIER RAINFALL. THINK THE STORMS SHOULD BE ENDING
AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH CLOUD COVER CONTINUING DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. THEN SKIES SHOULD SCATTER OUT AND CLEAR DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. SPI/DEC/CMI SHOULD BEGIN TO SEE THE STORMS IN THE
NEXT 1-2HRS WITH JUST VCTS FOR WHILE AND A TEMPO GROUP FOR ABOUT
4HRS DURING THE LATE EVENING. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST FOR NOW AND
THEN WESTERLY AFTER THE NEXT WAVE COMES THROUGH LATER TONIGHT.
THEN WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTHWEST AGAIN TOMORROW.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...BARNES
LONG TERM...AUTEN
AVIATION...AUTEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
347 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

ILZ027>031-036>038-040-041-081100-
FULTON-KNOX-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-PEORIA-SCHUYLER-STARK-TAZEWELL-
WOODFORD-
347 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE...PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...HAIL
UP TO QUARTER-SIZED...AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS. LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE PRIMARY
TIME FRAME FOR POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE THROUGH 8 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...WITH A MUCH
LOWER THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

AFTER A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY...PARTICULARLY
THROUGH 8 PM.

ILZ042>057-061-081100-
CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-COLES-DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-LOGAN-MACON-
MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PIATT-SANGAMON-SCOTT-SHELBY-VERMILION-
347 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE...PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...HAIL
UP TO QUARTER-SIZED...AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS. LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE PRIMARY
TIME FRAME FOR POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE BETWEEN 4 PM AND
10 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...WITH A MUCH
LOWER THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

AFTER A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL RETURN FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY...PARTICULARLY
BETWEEN 4 PM AND 10 PM

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-081100-
CLARK-CLAY-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-
347 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT THIS
EVENING. WHILE THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN
NORTH OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR...A FEW STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY
WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
THE PRIMARY TIME FRAME FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 6
PM AND MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...WITH A MUCH
LOWER THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

AFTER A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL RETURN FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY...PARTICULARLY
BETWEEN 6 PM AND MIDNIGHT.

BARNES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
843 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     FLOOD            1 W EMDEN               40.30N 89.50W
06/07/2015                   LOGAN              IL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            FLOODING ON HIGHWAY 136 A MILE WEST OF EMDEN.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
845 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N DANVILLE            40.17N 87.62W
06/07/2015  M1.61 INCH       VERMILION          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MEASURED 1.61 INCHES OF RAIN IN 40 MINUTES NEAR LAKE
            VERMILION.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
847 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0822 PM     TORNADO          8 E PETERSBURG          40.01N 89.70W
06/07/2015                   MENARD             IL   MESONET

            TREES BLOWN DOWN 8 MILES EAST OF PETERSBURG.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
848 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0822 PM     TORNADO          8 E PETERSBURG          40.01N 89.70W
06/07/2015                   MENARD             IL   MESONET

            TREES BLOWN DOWN 8 MILES EAST OF PETERSBURG WITH WINDS
            MEASURED AT 77 MPH.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
851 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     FLOOD            DELAVAN                 40.37N 89.54W
06/07/2015                   TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CREEK FLOODING ALONG SIDE AND OVER STATE HIGHWAY 122 FROM
            A HALF TO 2 MILES WEST OF DELAVAN.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
852 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     HAIL             CHAMPAIGN               40.11N 88.26W
06/07/2015  M1.00 INCH       CHAMPAIGN          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

07