Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Lincoln, IL

141 
WGUS73 KILX 080251
FFSILX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
951 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

ILC107-125-129-080645-
/O.CON.KILX.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-150608T0645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MASON-MENARD-LOGAN-
951 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN MASON...MENARD AND LOGAN COUNTIES...

AT 950 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED UP TO TWO 
INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
LINCOLN...PETERSBURG...ATHENS...MOUNT PULASKI...GREENVIEW...
TALLULA...ELKHART...LATHAM...MIDDLETOWN...KILBOURNE...CHESTNUT...
CORNLAND...BEASON...OAKFORD...NEW HOLLAND...BROADWELL...SWEETWATER...
ATTERBERRY...LINCOLNS NEW SALEM AND FANCY PRAIRIE.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 155 NEAR MILE MARKER 0.
 INTERSTATE 55 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 112 AND 127.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 4018 8915 3992 8915 3992 8940 3993 8941
      3994 8948 3998 8949 3997 8970 3992 8971
      3992 8977 3990 8977 3990 8999 4009 9000
      4010 9001 4018 9002

$$

GOETSCH

818 
WGUS73 KILX 080522
FFSILX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1222 AM CDT MON JUN 8 2015

ILC107-125-129-080645-
/O.CON.KILX.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-150608T0645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MASON-MENARD-LOGAN-
1222 AM CDT MON JUN 8 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN MASON...MENARD AND LOGAN COUNTIES...

AT 1219 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE 
WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN. AN ADDITIONAL 
INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
LINCOLN...PETERSBURG...ATHENS...MOUNT PULASKI...GREENVIEW...
TALLULA...ELKHART...LATHAM...MIDDLETOWN...KILBOURNE...CHESTNUT...
CORNLAND...BEASON...OAKFORD...NEW HOLLAND...BROADWELL...SWEETWATER...
ATTERBERRY...LINCOLNS NEW SALEM AND FANCY PRAIRIE.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS... INTERSTATE 155 NEAR MILE 
MARKER 0. INTERSTATE 55 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 112 AND 127.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 4018 8915 3992 8915 3992 8940 3993 8941
      3994 8948 3998 8949 3997 8970 3992 8971
      3992 8977 3990 8977 3990 8999 4009 9000
      4010 9001 4018 9002

$$

GOETSCH

810 
WGUS73 KILX 080638
FFSILX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
138 AM CDT MON JUN 8 2015

ILC107-125-129-080648-
/O.EXP.KILX.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-150608T0645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MASON-MENARD-LOGAN-
138 AM CDT MON JUN 8 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASON...MENARD AND LOGAN
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 145 AM CDT...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE
A THREAT.

LAT...LON 4018 8915 3992 8915 3992 8940 3993 8941
      3994 8948 3998 8949 3997 8970 3992 8971
      3992 8977 3990 8977 3990 8999 4009 9000
      4010 9001 4018 9002

$$

BAK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
654 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 329 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

20Z/3PM RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING TO INITIATE
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...MAINLY ALONG A HENRY...TO GALESBURG...TO
FORT MADISON IOWA LINE. THESE STORMS WILL BE INTERACTING WITH A
STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS...CHARACTERIZED BY
SBCAPE VALUES OF 3000 TO 3500J/KG.  0-6KM BULK SHEAR OF 30-35KT
SHOULD HELP ENHANCE/SUSTAIN THE THUNDERSTORM CELLS AS THEY TRACK
E/SE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREATS.  HRRR SHOWS THE CONVECTION PUSHING ACROSS MAINLY
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE KILX CWA...THEN EXITING INTO INDIANA BY
AROUND 01Z.  AFTER THAT...MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THAT ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MISSOURI THIS EVENING...THEN PUSH
EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS OVERNIGHT.  BY THAT
POINT THE AIRMASS WILL LIKELY HAVE BEEN STABILIZED BY THE FIRST
ROUND OF CONVECTION EARLY IN THE EVENING...SO ADDITIONAL SEVERE
WEATHER APPEARS MINIMAL. DESPITE THIS...AM STILL CONCERNED ABOUT THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL GIVEN PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES FROM
1.50 TO 1.75.  SINCE THERE IS CURRENTLY A MONTHLY AND YEARLY
RAINFALL DEFICIT ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND THE STORMS WILL
BE PROGRESSIVE IN NATURE...THINK WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING IS
UNLIKELY.  WILL THEREFORE NOT ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH...BUT
INSTEAD HIT HEAVY RAIN THREAT HARD IN THE HWO...ZONE FORECAST...AND
ESF.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 329 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LINGER IN THE SOUTHEAST
TOMORROW FOLLOWED BY A WEAK TROUGH THAT WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE GRT
LKS REGION TOMORROW AFTERNOON THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING. THEN AS
EVERYTHING PUSHES FURTHER EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA DRY WEATHER
IS EXPECTED LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT. MODELS CONTINUE TO
TRY AND BRING SOME PCPN INTO THE REGION FOR WE AND WED NIGHT BUT
BELIEVE MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED SO IF THERE IS ANY PCPN THEN IT
WILL BE WIDELY SCATTERED AND ONLY WORTH A SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE
GRIDS...WHICH WILL NOT BE MENTIONED IN THE WORDED FORECAST AT THIS
TIME. AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TAKES HOLD OVER THE AREA AND TROUGH
DEVELOPS OUT IN THE PLAINS...PCPN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE
AGAIN FOR LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. MODELS HAVE SOME
DIFFERENCES SO WILL JUST KEEP CHANCE POPS IN THE NORTH OF THUR AND
THUR NIGHT...AND THEN OVER THE WHOLE AREA FOR FRI THROUGH SUNDAY.

TEMPS WILL REMAIN WARM THROUGH THE PERIOD...SITTING IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S MOST OF THE AREA. HIGHS AROUND 90 WILL BE POSSIBLE AT
TIMES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 654 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE SITES TONIGHT. PIA
AND BMI WILL SEE PREDOMINATE STORMS FOR QUITE A FEW HOURS THIS
EVENING WITH A FEW HOURS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. HAVE A TEMPO GROUP TO
COVER THE HEAVIER RAINFALL. THINK THE STORMS SHOULD BE ENDING
AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH CLOUD COVER CONTINUING DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. THEN SKIES SHOULD SCATTER OUT AND CLEAR DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. SPI/DEC/CMI SHOULD BEGIN TO SEE THE STORMS IN THE
NEXT 1-2HRS WITH JUST VCTS FOR WHILE AND A TEMPO GROUP FOR ABOUT
4HRS DURING THE LATE EVENING. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST FOR NOW AND
THEN WESTERLY AFTER THE NEXT WAVE COMES THROUGH LATER TONIGHT.
THEN WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTHWEST AGAIN TOMORROW.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...BARNES
LONG TERM...AUTEN
AVIATION...AUTEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
347 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

ILZ027>031-036>038-040-041-081100-
FULTON-KNOX-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-PEORIA-SCHUYLER-STARK-TAZEWELL-
WOODFORD-
347 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE...PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...HAIL
UP TO QUARTER-SIZED...AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS. LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE PRIMARY
TIME FRAME FOR POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE THROUGH 8 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...WITH A MUCH
LOWER THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

AFTER A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY...PARTICULARLY
THROUGH 8 PM.

ILZ042>057-061-081100-
CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-COLES-DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-LOGAN-MACON-
MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PIATT-SANGAMON-SCOTT-SHELBY-VERMILION-
347 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE...PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...HAIL
UP TO QUARTER-SIZED...AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS. LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE PRIMARY
TIME FRAME FOR POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE BETWEEN 4 PM AND
10 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...WITH A MUCH
LOWER THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

AFTER A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL RETURN FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY...PARTICULARLY
BETWEEN 4 PM AND 10 PM

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-081100-
CLARK-CLAY-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-
347 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT THIS
EVENING. WHILE THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN
NORTH OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR...A FEW STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY
WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
THE PRIMARY TIME FRAME FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 6
PM AND MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...WITH A MUCH
LOWER THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

AFTER A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL RETURN FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY...PARTICULARLY
BETWEEN 6 PM AND MIDNIGHT.

BARNES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
836 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0827 PM     FLOOD            SAN JOSE                40.31N 89.60W
06/07/2015                   MASON              IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING AT SAN JOSE NEAR MASON AND LOGAN COUNTY LINE.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
839 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0834 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNW DANVILLE          40.17N 87.63W
06/07/2015  M1.55 INCH       VERMILION          IL   MESONET

            MEASURED 1.55 INCHES OF RAIN IN PAST HOUR 1.5 MILES NNW
            OF DANVILLE. MINOR FLOODING REPORTED.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
841 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     FLOOD            HARTSBURG               40.25N 89.44W
06/07/2015                   LOGAN              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            UP TO 2 FEET OF WATER REPORTED ON SOME ROADS IN
            HARTSBURG.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
843 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     FLOOD            1 W EMDEN               40.30N 89.50W
06/07/2015                   LOGAN              IL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            FLOODING ON HIGHWAY 136 A MILE WEST OF EMDEN.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
845 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N DANVILLE            40.17N 87.62W
06/07/2015  M1.61 INCH       VERMILION          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MEASURED 1.61 INCHES OF RAIN IN 40 MINUTES NEAR LAKE
            VERMILION.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
847 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0822 PM     TORNADO          8 E PETERSBURG          40.01N 89.70W
06/07/2015                   MENARD             IL   MESONET

            TREES BLOWN DOWN 8 MILES EAST OF PETERSBURG.

&&

07