Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 19, 2015, 3:59 PM EDT for 4 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 46 min. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 19, 2015, 3:59 PM EDT (19:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 19, 2015, 4:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 46 min
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
Counties Catawba County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 149 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 4:07 PM EDT | HAIL 1 | 5 Nw Davidson, NC | REPORT OF QUARTER SIZED HAIL ALONG BRAWLEY SCHOOL ROAD. |
| Jun 19, 4:13 PM EDT | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Wsw Mooresville, NC | TREES DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 21 AND HUNTINGTON ROAD. |
| Jun 19, 4:22 PM EDT | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Sw Mooresville, NC | TWO TREES DOWN. |
| Jun 19, 4:27 PM EDT | TSTM WND DMG | Sse Mooresville, NC | TREES DOWN. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 4 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 8 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 32 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -222 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1354 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 34 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 43 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
058
WUUS52 KGSP 191959
SVRGSP
NCC035-097-109-119-192045-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0098.150619T1959Z-150619T2045Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
359 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL MECKLENBURG COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH
CAROLINA...
SOUTHEASTERN CATAWBA COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
SOUTHEASTERN IREDELL COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
* UNTIL 445 PM EDT
* AT 359 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 16 MILES SOUTH OF STATESVILLE...
OR OVER LAKE NORMAN...AND MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CORNELIUS...MOORESVILLE...DAVIDSON...WESTPORT...TROUTMAN...LAKE
NORMAN...LAKE NORMAN STATE PARK...DENVER...SHERRILLS FORD AND
TERRELL.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BRIEF DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OVER SMALL
AREAS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.
PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3551 8078 3547 8078 3544 8100 3561 8107
3577 8078 3572 8076 3567 8077 3554 8074
3551 8074
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 251DEG 9KT 3555 8095
$$
RWH2 follow-up statements
607
WWUS52 KGSP 192014
SVSGSP
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
414 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015
NCC035-109-119-192024-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-150619T2045Z/
MECKLENBURG NC-CATAWBA NC-LINCOLN NC-
414 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL MECKLENBURG...
SOUTHEASTERN CATAWBA AND NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
LAT...LON 3551 8091 3549 8095 3550 8096 3553 8095
3553 8094 3555 8096 3557 8096 3559 8093
3561 8094 3562 8092 3564 8095 3567 8097
3577 8078 3572 8076 3567 8077 3551 8074
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 250DEG 12KT 3557 8086
$$
NCC097-192045-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-150619T2045Z/
IREDELL NC-
414 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN IREDELL COUNTY...
AT 414 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES SOUTH OF STATESVILLE...OR NEAR
MOORESVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOORESVILLE...TROUTMAN...LAKE NORMAN...LAKE NORMAN STATE PARK AND
DOOLIE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BRIEF DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OVER SMALL
AREAS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.
PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3551 8091 3549 8095 3550 8096 3553 8095
3553 8094 3555 8096 3557 8096 3559 8093
3561 8094 3562 8092 3564 8095 3567 8097
3577 8078 3572 8076 3567 8077 3551 8074
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 250DEG 12KT 3557 8086
$$
RWH498
WWUS52 KGSP 192043
SVSGSP
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
443 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015
NCC097-192053-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-150619T2045Z/
IREDELL NC-
443 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN IREDELL COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM EDT...
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.
LAT...LON 3551 8091 3549 8095 3550 8096 3553 8095
3553 8094 3555 8096 3557 8096 3559 8093
3561 8094 3562 8092 3564 8095 3567 8097
3577 8078 3572 8076 3567 8077 3551 8074
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 251DEG 9KT 3557 8086
$$
RWHWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 19, 3:58 PM EDT, 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 19, 3:58 PM EDT, 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
358 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL SYSTEM BILL WILL MOVE UP THE
OHIO VALLEY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...WITH ASSOCIATED MOISTURE LIKELY
BRUSHING WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA LATE SATURDAY. A SLIGHT BREAK IN THE
HEAT IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BUT WITH TEMPERATURES STILL
ABOVE NORMAL. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN GRADUALLY GET
REESTABLISHED EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A STATIONARY FRONT DEVELOPING
NORTH OF THE AREA. VERY HOT CONDITIONS WILL RETURN AND PERSIST FOR
MOST OF NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
2000 UTC UPDATE...POPS AND QPF HAVE BEEN UPDATED PER RADAR
TRENDS... FAVORING THE INTERSTATES 40 AND 77 CORRIDORS. SKY COVER
WAS UPDATED FROM VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY...INCREASING COVERAGE IN
THE NORTH...AND DECREASING IT IN THE SOUTH.
AS OF 230 PM EDT FRIDAY...DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO
PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS HEATING WORKS TO DESTABILIZE THE
ATMOSPHERE. CURRENTLY...ISOLATED/SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS BEEN ABLE
TO ACHIEVE SEVERE LIMITS WITH WIND DAMAGE REPORTS HAVING BEEN
RECEIVED FROM AREAS OF WESTERN NC. THE AIRMASS CURRENTLY
EXHIBITS...AND WILL CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND
DOWNDRAFT CAPE TO YIELD PULSE SEVERE STORMS. GUIDANCE TENDS TO
FAVOR WESTERN NC FOR THE BEST COVERAGE WHERE UPPER HEIGHTS FALLS ARE
BEST DUE TO THE FLATTENED UPPER ANTICYCLONE. THEREFORE...THE FCST
FEATURES SCATTERED/NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MTNS...EASTWARD ALONG THE ENTIRE I40 CORRIDOR INTO THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS. FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN NC PIEDMONT...UPSTATE
SC...AND NORTHEAST GA...ISOLATED/SCATTERED POPS ARE FAVORED.
AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE ACROSS
MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY OVERNIGHT...MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS
WILL INTRUDE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPS. NORTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE
THANKS TO PASSING HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE WAY TO VEERED FLOW AS THE
PG INCREASES AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING CYCLONE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO RAMP UP AROUND LATE MORNING WITH WIDESPREAD GUSTING IN THE
20-30MPH RANGE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY. SKIES WILL
GRADUALLY LOWER AS HEATING BUILDS GIVING WAY TO LOW LEVEL CU.
SOUNDINGS INDICATE YET ANOTHER UNSTABLE DAY THAT WILL LIKELY YIELD
ISOLATED/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THUS THE POPS REFLECT SUCH WITH THE
HIGHEST POPS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. ADDITIONALLY...AS
THE UPPER/SFC WAVES APPROACH ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
BILL...SHEAR WILL GREATLY INCREASE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION WITH THE
BEST SHEAR PRESENT OVER THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU INTO WESTERN NC. 12Z
NAM BUF SOUNDINGS FROM KAVL/KTNB INDICATE APPROXIMATELY 200M2/S2
0-3KM SRH AMONGST STEEP LAPSE RATES SUPPORTIVE OF 2K JOULES SB
CAPE. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THESE CAPE VALUES ARE A BIT
OVERDONE AS SKIES WILL BE INCREASINGLY CLOUDY THUS INHIBITING
HEATING. ALL SAID...THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME ORGANIZED/SEVERE
WITH SOME EMBEDDED ROTATION POSSIBLE OVER THE WESTERN NC MOUNTAINS
WITH DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...AND EVEN AN ISOLATED TORNADO BEING A
POSSIBILITY INTO THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. FURTHER
SOUTH AND EAST OVER THE LOWER TERRAIN EXPECTING SHEAR TO BE REDUCED
SOMEWHAT THEREFORE ITS LESS LIKELY THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AS
ORGANIZED. QPF ACROSS THE MTNS IS ALSO ELEVATED...HOWEVER GUIDANCE
FAVORS A FAIRLY FAST MOVING SYSTEM THUS ONLY ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN AND
OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE/EXPECTED. ALTHOUGH STILL ABOVE
NORMAL...TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL BE A TAD COOLER THAN TODAY
THANKS TO INCREASED CLOUDINESS AND LOWERING THICKNESS VALUES.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM EDT FRIDAY...THE MODELS HAVE COME TO A CONSENSUS WITH
MOVING THE UPPER SHORT WAVE TROF ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
BILL ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING AND THEN CARRY IT OFF TO THE
EAST EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. SO...AFTER SOME RESIDUAL CONVECTION
ACROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY...WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO RAMP THE
PRECIP PROB DOWN TO JUST A SMALL CHANCE NEAR THE TN BORDER...WHERE
LEFTOVER MECHANICAL LIFT COULD FORCE A FEW PATCHES OF PRECIP INTO
SUNDAY MORNING. FROM THAT POINT ONWARD...WE HAVE A W/NW FLOW THRU A
FAIRLY DEEP LAYER FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE RESULTING DOWNSLOPE
FLOW E OF THE MTNS SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL HAVE TWO EFFECTS...ONE
WILL BE TO RAISE TEMPS...AND THE OTHER WILL BE TO PROVIDE SOME SMALL
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION WITH A WEAK CAP. HAVE BUMPED TEMPS UP JUST A
BIT ABOVE THE GUIDANCE WITH THE EXPECTATION OF A SLIGHTLY WARMER
TREND. MIN TEMPS WILL ALSO BE QUITE MILD. HAVE ALSO LIMITED THE
PRECIP TO SLIGHT CHANCE E OF THE MTNS. THE NC MTNS COULD SEE
SCATTERED COVERAGE BOTH DAYS. IF WE CAN GET SOMETHING TO GO...THERE
WILL BE A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT BOTH DAYS.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 215 PM FRI...IT NOW LOOKS LIKELY THERE WILL BE LITTLE RELIEF
FROM THE HEAT UNTIL NEAR THE END OF THE WEEK AT THE EARLIEST. BROAD
AND STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE FROM THE SRN PLAINS TUE TO THE
SOUTHEAST THU. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT A STRONG
DIURNAL SIGNAL DURING THE PERIOD...BUT THE RIDGE APPEARS TO PROVIDE
ENOUGH SUBSIDENCE CAPPING EAST OF THE PIEDMONT TO MAKE FOR MOSTLY
JUST SCHC POPS. FASTER FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE COULD POTENTIALLY CARRY
REMNANT MCS ACTIVITY AND/OR EDDIES OUT OF THE MIDWEST AND INTO THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. THE GFS DEPICTS ONE SUCH FEATURE MOVING NEARBY
DURING THE DAY WED. CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE OF THE PULSE VARIETY
WHERE IT OCCURS...AS BOTH CAPE/DCAPE WILL BE STRONG BUT SHEAR QUITE
WEAK.
MEANWHILE A SHORTWAVE AND WEAK LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE
US/CANADA BORDER WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT INTO THE OH VALLEY. THE UPPER
PATTERN AMPLIFIES SLIGHTLY BEHIND THAT SYSTEM...AS THE RIDGE BUILDS
EWD ACRS THE SUN BELT. LATEST PROGS SUGGEST THE RIDGE WILL HOLD OFF
THE FRONT AS IT CENTERS OVER OUR CWFA THU...WITH THE FRONT FINALLY
SAGGING THRU LATE FRI. TEMPS LOOK TO TOP OUT NEAR 100 ACRS THE
PIEDMONT TUE-THU WITH RECORDS MOST ENDANGERED WED AND THU. HEAT
INDICES ARE STILL IN QUESTION AS PREVIOUS SHIFT NOTED...WITH
DEWPOINTS POTENTIALLY MIXING OUT MORE THAN GUIDANCE ACCOUNTS FOR.
WILL NOT YET HIGHLIGHT EXCESSIVE HEAT POTENTIAL IN HWO. BY FRIDAY
TEMPS SHOULD COOL A FEW DEGREES BUT REMAIN A COUPLE CATEGORIES ABOVE
NORMAL.
&&
.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT KCLT...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE WITH THE
POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF MVFR TSRA RESTRICTIONS THIS AFTERNOON.
INITIALIZED TAF VFR AMIDST SLOWLY VEERING SW FLOW AND SCT LOW VFR
CU. WINDS WILL CONTINUALLY VEER NW THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS A MESO
HIGH SLIDES BY TO THE NORTH ALLOWING A WEAK BOUNDARY TO INTRUDE
ACROSS WESTERN NC. LIKEWISE...CONVECTION WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE NC
PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON WITH HEATING...POTENTIALLY AIDED BY
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE AFORE MENTIONED BOUNDARY. THIS WAS HANDLED
WITH A 4HR TEMPO...THAT COULD BE EXTENDED FURTHER. BEYOND THAT
EXPECTING CONDITIONS TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE AS NORTHERLY FLOW PREVAILS
OVERNIGHT AND HEATING IS LOST. SKIES WILL GRADUALLY SCT AND LIFT TO
MID LEVELS BY MORNING WITH WINDS VEERED E TO ESE. LASTLY...WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO VEER AND INCREASE AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEP
BILL SLIDE ACROSS KY ALLOWING FOR ENHANCED PGF...THUS 20KT-25KT
GUSTING IS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE TAF CYCLE...AND LIKELY IN THE NEXT
TAF CYCLE.
ELSEWHERE...MUCH THE SAME AS KCLT ABOVE WITH VFR PREVAILING ASIDE
FOR AFTERNOON TSRA ALONG WITH VISB/CIG RESTRICTIONS AT THE NC SITES
AND KAND SATURDAY MORNING. INITIALIZED ALL TAFS VFR WITH TSRA
TEMPOS AT THE NC SITES WHERE CONDITIONS ARE MOST FAVORABLE...AND
VCTS MENTIONS AT THE SC SITES. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL LOWER INTO
THE EVENING HOURS AS HEATING IS LOST AND THE ATM BECOMES WORKED
OVER. LOW VFR CU WILL SCT TO MID LEVELS ASIDE FOR AT KAVL WHERE MTN
VALLEY MVFR/IFR STRATUS/FOG IS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL VEER NORTHERLY
AT ALL SITES OVERNIGHT AS THE ABOVE MENTIONED MESO HIGH SLIDES BY TO
THE NORTH...YET WILL VEER/INCREASE SHARPLY BY LATE MORNING ON OUT OF
THE SE THEN SW AS OLD TROPICAL DEP BILL APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
20KT-30KT GUSTING IS LIKELY AT ALL SITES ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIURNAL AS
ANOTHER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SETS UP LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO THE NEW
WORK WEEK. AS A RESULT...THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON
SHRA/TSRA WILL BE ACROSS WESTERN NC WHERE THE LEAST SUBSIDENCE WILL
RESIDE. MORNING RESTRICTIONS DUE TO FOG AND/OR STRATUS ARE
POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY WHERE HEAVY RAIN FELL THE PREVIOUS DAY...AND
IN MTN VALLEYS.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
20-02Z 02-08Z 08-14Z 14-18Z
KCLT HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KGSP HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KAVL HIGH 100% HIGH 95% MED 65% HIGH 100%
KHKY HIGH 100% HIGH 91% HIGH 95% HIGH 100%
KGMU HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KAND HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 91% HIGH 100%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES
&&
.CLIMATE...
RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY JUNE 19TH...
GSP 103 1887
CLT 102 1944
AVL 92 1931/1933
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...WIMBERLEY
NEAR TERM...CDG/JAT
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...JP/WIMBERLEY
AVIATION...CDG
CLIMATE...Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 19, 5:14 AM EDT, 10 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 514 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 GAZ010-017-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-068-069-501>510- SCZ001>003-200915- RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY- MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL- BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- 514 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NORTHEAST GEORGIA MOUNTAINS...THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE MOUNTAINS OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEFLY HEAVY RAINFALL. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL AS LARGE AS QUARTERS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ070>072-082-SCZ004>014-019-200915- STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 514 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA...AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEFLY HEAVY RAINFALL. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL AS LARGE AS QUARTERS. IN ADDITION...HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 90S WILL COMBINE WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S TO PRODUCE HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 98 TO 103 THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA. STAY IN AN AIR CONDITIONED AREA AND OUT OF THE SUN AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU DO GO OUTSIDE...DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...AND WEAR LIGHT COLORED AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. HG
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 19, 2:40 PM EDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
240 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015
NCZ504-506-508-191915-
GREATER RUTHERFORD NC-EASTERN MCDOWELL NC-GREATER BURKE NC-
240 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
BURKE...NORTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD AND SOUTHEASTERN MCDOWELL COUNTIES
UNTIL 315 PM EDT...
AT 240 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MORGANTON...OR 5 MILES SOUTH OF GLEN ALPINE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MORGANTON...GLEN ALPINE...SOUTH MOUNTAINS STATE PARK...DREXEL...
DYSARTSVILLE...OAK HILL AND PLEASANT GROVE.
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 3585 8166 3557 8153 3556 8158 3557 8160
3556 8166 3558 8169 3554 8169 3551 8186
3570 8193
TIME...MOT...LOC 1840Z 244DEG 14KT 3565 8180
MOORESpecial weather statement, Jun 19, 3:15 PM EDT, 44 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 315 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 NCZ035-056-502-504-191945- GREATER BURKE NC-ALEXANDER NC-CATAWBA NC-GREATER CALDWELL NC- 315 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CALDWELL...SOUTHEASTERN BURKE...CENTRAL CATAWBA AND SOUTHWESTERN ALEXANDER COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT... AT 315 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES EAST OF MORGANTON...OR NEAR VALDESE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HICKORY...MORGANTON...NEWTON...LENOIR...ST. STEPHENS...CONOVER... LONGVIEW...SAWMILLS...GRANITE FALLS AND VALDESE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... GUSTY WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES THAT ARE DEAD...OR THAT HAVE WEAKENED ROOT SYSTEMS. OUTDOOR FURNITURE AND SIMILAR ITEMS CAN BE TOSSED AROUND IF NOT ANCHORED. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS. DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL CAN CAUSE CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO VEHICLES. CONSIDER MOVING VEHICLES TO A COVERED STORAGE AREA BEFORE THE STORM ARRIVES. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS... STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC DEVICES. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM APPROACHES. && LAT...LON 3570 8117 3561 8162 3581 8171 3596 8128 TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 249DEG 24KT 3573 8157 RWH
Local storm report, Jun 19, 3:28 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
328 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0122 PM TSTM WND DMG MILL SPRING 35.30N 82.16W
06/18/2015 POLK NC 911 CALL CENTER
FIRST REPORT. SEVERAL TREES DOWN AROUND MILL SPRING AND
NEAR COLUMBUS. TREES DOWN ON MOORE RD...JOHN SHEHAN
RD...AND NEAR POLK CENTRAL SCHOOL.
&&
MOORELocal storm report, Jun 19, 3:33 PM EDT, 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
333 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0122 PM TSTM WND DMG MILL SPRING 35.30N 82.16W
06/19/2015 POLK NC 911 CALL CENTER
FIRST REPORT. SEVERAL TREES DOWN AROUND MILL SPRING AND
NEAR COLUMBUS. TREES DOWN ON MOORE RD...JOHN SHEHAN
RD...AND NEAR POLK CENTRAL SCHOOL.
&&
MOORELocal storm report, Jun 19, 3:42 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
342 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0336 PM HAIL SWANNANOA 35.60N 82.39W
06/19/2015 E0.75 INCH BUNCOMBE NC PUBLIC
BRIEF MARBLE TO PENNY SIZED HAIL AT WARREN WILSON
COLLEGE. HAD SOME WIND BUT NOT SIGNIFICANT.
&&
OUTLAWLocal storm report, Jun 19, 3:50 PM EDT, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
350 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0328 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NE VALDESE 35.77N 81.53W
06/19/2015 BURKE NC TRAINED SPOTTER
MANY TREE BRANCHES BLOWN DOWN WITH AT LEAST A FEW OF THEM
BEING AT LEAST 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER.
&&
OUTLAWThe office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 12:46 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Davie | 29 min |
| Jun 19, 2:24 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Rowan | 36 min |
| Jun 19, 12:59 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Polk | 31 min |
| Jun 19, 1:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Polk, Rutherford | 47 min |
| Jun 19, 1:38 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Catawba | 52 min |
| Jun 19, 1:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | McDowell, Rutherford | 46 min |
| Jun 19, 2:03 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Polk | 27 min |
| Jun 19, 2:11 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Caldwell | 34 min |
| Jun 19, 2:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Caldwell | 47 min |
| Jun 19, 2:31 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Catawba | 29 min |
| Jun 19, 2:40 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Burke | 35 min |
| Jun 19, 3:15 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Caldwell | 30 min |
| Jun 19, 3:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Buncombe, McDowell, Yancey | 52 min |
| Jun 19, 3:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Alexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba | 48 min |
| Jun 19, 4:10 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Iredell | 35 min |
| Jun 19, 4:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Davie, Rowan | 41 min |
| Jun 19, 4:48 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Cabarrus | 27 min |
| Jun 19, 5:01 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Davie, Rowan | 29 min |
| Jun 19, 5:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Davie, Rowan | 42 min |
| Jun 19, 5:13 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Cabarrus, Mecklenburg | 32 min |
| Jun 19, 5:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Cabarrus, Mecklenburg, Rowan, Union | 46 min |
| Jun 19, 6:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Buncombe, Henderson | 40 min |
| Jun 19, 6:27 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Yancey | 33 min |
| Jun 19, 6:47 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Union | 43 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.