Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

June 19, 20154 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 19, 2015, 3:59 PM EDT for 4 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 46 min. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 19, 2015, 3:59 PM EDT (19:59 UTC)
Expired
Jun 19, 2015, 4:45 PM EDT
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Catawba County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 149 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 19, 4:07 PM EDTHAIL 15 Nw Davidson, NCREPORT OF QUARTER SIZED HAIL ALONG BRAWLEY SCHOOL ROAD.
Jun 19, 4:13 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG2 Wsw Mooresville, NCTREES DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 21 AND HUNTINGTON ROAD.
Jun 19, 4:22 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG3 Sw Mooresville, NCTWO TREES DOWN.
Jun 19, 4:27 PM EDTTSTM WND DMGSse Mooresville, NCTREES DOWN.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 4 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 8 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2015-06-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 32 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2015-06-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
32 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-222 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1354 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

058 
WUUS52 KGSP 191959
SVRGSP
NCC035-097-109-119-192045-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0098.150619T1959Z-150619T2045Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
359 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTH CENTRAL MECKLENBURG COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH
  CAROLINA...
  SOUTHEASTERN CATAWBA COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHEASTERN IREDELL COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 445 PM EDT

* AT 359 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 16 MILES SOUTH OF STATESVILLE...
  OR OVER LAKE NORMAN...AND MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CORNELIUS...MOORESVILLE...DAVIDSON...WESTPORT...TROUTMAN...LAKE
  NORMAN...LAKE NORMAN STATE PARK...DENVER...SHERRILLS FORD AND
  TERRELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BRIEF DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OVER SMALL
AREAS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3551 8078 3547 8078 3544 8100 3561 8107
      3577 8078 3572 8076 3567 8077 3554 8074
      3551 8074
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 251DEG 9KT 3555 8095 

$$

RWH
2 follow-up statements
607 
WWUS52 KGSP 192014
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
414 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

NCC035-109-119-192024-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-150619T2045Z/
MECKLENBURG NC-CATAWBA NC-LINCOLN NC-
414 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL MECKLENBURG...
SOUTHEASTERN CATAWBA AND NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3551 8091 3549 8095 3550 8096 3553 8095
      3553 8094 3555 8096 3557 8096 3559 8093
      3561 8094 3562 8092 3564 8095 3567 8097
      3577 8078 3572 8076 3567 8077 3551 8074
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 250DEG 12KT 3557 8086 

$$

NCC097-192045-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-150619T2045Z/
IREDELL NC-
414 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN IREDELL COUNTY...

AT 414 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES SOUTH OF STATESVILLE...OR NEAR
MOORESVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOORESVILLE...TROUTMAN...LAKE NORMAN...LAKE NORMAN STATE PARK AND
DOOLIE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BRIEF DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OVER SMALL
AREAS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3551 8091 3549 8095 3550 8096 3553 8095
      3553 8094 3555 8096 3557 8096 3559 8093
      3561 8094 3562 8092 3564 8095 3567 8097
      3577 8078 3572 8076 3567 8077 3551 8074
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 250DEG 12KT 3557 8086 

$$

RWH
498 
WWUS52 KGSP 192043
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
443 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

NCC097-192053-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-150619T2045Z/
IREDELL NC-
443 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN IREDELL COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM EDT...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3551 8091 3549 8095 3550 8096 3553 8095
      3553 8094 3555 8096 3557 8096 3559 8093
      3561 8094 3562 8092 3564 8095 3567 8097
      3577 8078 3572 8076 3567 8077 3551 8074
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 251DEG 9KT 3557 8086 

$$

RWH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 19, 3:58 PM EDT, 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 19, 3:58 PM EDT, 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
358 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL SYSTEM BILL WILL MOVE UP THE
OHIO VALLEY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...WITH ASSOCIATED MOISTURE LIKELY
BRUSHING WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA LATE SATURDAY. A SLIGHT BREAK IN THE
HEAT IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BUT WITH TEMPERATURES STILL
ABOVE NORMAL. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN GRADUALLY GET
REESTABLISHED EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A STATIONARY FRONT DEVELOPING
NORTH OF THE AREA. VERY HOT CONDITIONS WILL RETURN AND PERSIST FOR
MOST OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
2000 UTC UPDATE...POPS AND QPF HAVE BEEN UPDATED PER RADAR
TRENDS... FAVORING THE INTERSTATES 40 AND 77 CORRIDORS. SKY COVER
WAS UPDATED FROM VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY...INCREASING COVERAGE IN
THE NORTH...AND DECREASING IT IN THE SOUTH.

AS OF 230 PM EDT FRIDAY...DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO
PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS HEATING WORKS TO DESTABILIZE THE
ATMOSPHERE.  CURRENTLY...ISOLATED/SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS BEEN ABLE
TO ACHIEVE SEVERE LIMITS WITH WIND DAMAGE REPORTS HAVING BEEN
RECEIVED FROM AREAS OF WESTERN NC.  THE AIRMASS CURRENTLY
EXHIBITS...AND WILL CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND
DOWNDRAFT CAPE TO YIELD PULSE SEVERE STORMS.  GUIDANCE TENDS TO
FAVOR WESTERN NC FOR THE BEST COVERAGE WHERE UPPER HEIGHTS FALLS ARE
BEST DUE TO THE FLATTENED UPPER ANTICYCLONE.  THEREFORE...THE FCST
FEATURES SCATTERED/NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MTNS...EASTWARD ALONG THE ENTIRE I40 CORRIDOR INTO THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS.  FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN NC PIEDMONT...UPSTATE
SC...AND NORTHEAST GA...ISOLATED/SCATTERED POPS ARE FAVORED.

AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE ACROSS
MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY OVERNIGHT...MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS
WILL INTRUDE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPS.  NORTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE
THANKS TO PASSING HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE WAY TO VEERED FLOW AS THE
PG INCREASES AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING CYCLONE.  WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO RAMP UP AROUND LATE MORNING WITH WIDESPREAD GUSTING IN THE
20-30MPH RANGE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY.  SKIES WILL
GRADUALLY LOWER AS HEATING BUILDS GIVING WAY TO LOW LEVEL CU.
SOUNDINGS INDICATE YET ANOTHER UNSTABLE DAY THAT WILL LIKELY YIELD
ISOLATED/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THUS THE POPS REFLECT SUCH WITH THE
HIGHEST POPS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40.  ADDITIONALLY...AS
THE UPPER/SFC WAVES APPROACH ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
BILL...SHEAR WILL GREATLY INCREASE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION WITH THE
BEST SHEAR PRESENT OVER THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU INTO WESTERN NC.  12Z
NAM BUF SOUNDINGS FROM KAVL/KTNB INDICATE APPROXIMATELY 200M2/S2
0-3KM SRH AMONGST STEEP LAPSE RATES SUPPORTIVE OF 2K JOULES SB
CAPE.  WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THESE CAPE VALUES ARE A BIT
OVERDONE AS SKIES WILL BE INCREASINGLY CLOUDY THUS INHIBITING
HEATING.  ALL SAID...THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME ORGANIZED/SEVERE
WITH SOME EMBEDDED ROTATION POSSIBLE OVER THE WESTERN NC MOUNTAINS
WITH DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...AND EVEN AN ISOLATED TORNADO BEING A
POSSIBILITY INTO THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.  FURTHER
SOUTH AND EAST OVER THE LOWER TERRAIN EXPECTING SHEAR TO BE REDUCED
SOMEWHAT THEREFORE ITS LESS LIKELY THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AS
ORGANIZED.  QPF ACROSS THE MTNS IS ALSO ELEVATED...HOWEVER GUIDANCE
FAVORS A FAIRLY FAST MOVING SYSTEM THUS ONLY ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN AND
OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE/EXPECTED.  ALTHOUGH STILL ABOVE
NORMAL...TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL BE A TAD COOLER THAN TODAY
THANKS TO INCREASED CLOUDINESS AND LOWERING THICKNESS VALUES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM EDT FRIDAY...THE MODELS HAVE COME TO A CONSENSUS WITH
MOVING THE UPPER SHORT WAVE TROF ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
BILL ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING AND THEN CARRY IT OFF TO THE
EAST EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. SO...AFTER SOME RESIDUAL CONVECTION
ACROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY...WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO RAMP THE
PRECIP PROB DOWN TO JUST A SMALL CHANCE NEAR THE TN BORDER...WHERE
LEFTOVER MECHANICAL LIFT COULD FORCE A FEW PATCHES OF PRECIP INTO
SUNDAY MORNING. FROM THAT POINT ONWARD...WE HAVE A W/NW FLOW THRU A
FAIRLY DEEP LAYER FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE RESULTING DOWNSLOPE
FLOW E OF THE MTNS SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL HAVE TWO EFFECTS...ONE
WILL BE TO RAISE TEMPS...AND THE OTHER WILL BE TO PROVIDE SOME SMALL
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION WITH A WEAK CAP. HAVE BUMPED TEMPS UP JUST A
BIT ABOVE THE GUIDANCE WITH THE EXPECTATION OF A SLIGHTLY WARMER
TREND. MIN TEMPS WILL ALSO BE QUITE MILD. HAVE ALSO LIMITED THE
PRECIP TO SLIGHT CHANCE E OF THE MTNS. THE NC MTNS COULD SEE
SCATTERED COVERAGE BOTH DAYS. IF WE CAN GET SOMETHING TO GO...THERE
WILL BE A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT BOTH DAYS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 215 PM FRI...IT NOW LOOKS LIKELY THERE WILL BE LITTLE RELIEF
FROM THE HEAT UNTIL NEAR THE END OF THE WEEK AT THE EARLIEST. BROAD
AND STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE FROM THE SRN PLAINS TUE TO THE
SOUTHEAST THU. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT A STRONG
DIURNAL SIGNAL DURING THE PERIOD...BUT THE RIDGE APPEARS TO PROVIDE
ENOUGH SUBSIDENCE CAPPING EAST OF THE PIEDMONT TO MAKE FOR MOSTLY
JUST SCHC POPS. FASTER FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE COULD POTENTIALLY CARRY
REMNANT MCS ACTIVITY AND/OR EDDIES OUT OF THE MIDWEST AND INTO THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. THE GFS DEPICTS ONE SUCH FEATURE MOVING NEARBY
DURING THE DAY WED. CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE OF THE PULSE VARIETY
WHERE IT OCCURS...AS BOTH CAPE/DCAPE WILL BE STRONG BUT SHEAR QUITE
WEAK.

MEANWHILE A SHORTWAVE AND WEAK LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE
US/CANADA BORDER WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT INTO THE OH VALLEY. THE UPPER
PATTERN AMPLIFIES SLIGHTLY BEHIND THAT SYSTEM...AS THE RIDGE BUILDS
EWD ACRS THE SUN BELT. LATEST PROGS SUGGEST THE RIDGE WILL HOLD OFF
THE FRONT AS IT CENTERS OVER OUR CWFA THU...WITH THE FRONT FINALLY
SAGGING THRU LATE FRI. TEMPS LOOK TO TOP OUT NEAR 100 ACRS THE
PIEDMONT TUE-THU WITH RECORDS MOST ENDANGERED WED AND THU. HEAT
INDICES ARE STILL IN QUESTION AS PREVIOUS SHIFT NOTED...WITH
DEWPOINTS POTENTIALLY MIXING OUT MORE THAN GUIDANCE ACCOUNTS FOR.
WILL NOT YET HIGHLIGHT EXCESSIVE HEAT POTENTIAL IN HWO. BY FRIDAY
TEMPS SHOULD COOL A FEW DEGREES BUT REMAIN A COUPLE CATEGORIES ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT KCLT...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE WITH THE
POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF MVFR TSRA RESTRICTIONS THIS AFTERNOON.
INITIALIZED TAF VFR AMIDST SLOWLY VEERING SW FLOW AND SCT LOW VFR
CU.  WINDS WILL CONTINUALLY VEER NW THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS A MESO
HIGH SLIDES BY TO THE NORTH ALLOWING A WEAK BOUNDARY TO INTRUDE
ACROSS WESTERN NC.  LIKEWISE...CONVECTION WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE NC
PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON WITH HEATING...POTENTIALLY AIDED BY
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE AFORE MENTIONED BOUNDARY.  THIS WAS HANDLED
WITH A 4HR TEMPO...THAT COULD BE EXTENDED FURTHER.  BEYOND THAT
EXPECTING CONDITIONS TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE AS NORTHERLY FLOW PREVAILS
OVERNIGHT AND HEATING IS LOST.  SKIES WILL GRADUALLY SCT AND LIFT TO
MID LEVELS BY MORNING WITH WINDS VEERED E TO ESE.  LASTLY...WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO VEER AND INCREASE AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEP
BILL SLIDE ACROSS KY ALLOWING FOR ENHANCED PGF...THUS 20KT-25KT
GUSTING IS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE TAF CYCLE...AND LIKELY IN THE NEXT
TAF CYCLE.

ELSEWHERE...MUCH THE SAME AS KCLT ABOVE WITH VFR PREVAILING ASIDE
FOR AFTERNOON TSRA ALONG WITH VISB/CIG RESTRICTIONS AT THE NC SITES
AND KAND SATURDAY MORNING.  INITIALIZED ALL TAFS VFR WITH TSRA
TEMPOS AT THE NC SITES WHERE CONDITIONS ARE MOST FAVORABLE...AND
VCTS MENTIONS AT THE SC SITES.  PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL LOWER INTO
THE EVENING HOURS AS HEATING IS LOST AND THE ATM BECOMES WORKED
OVER.  LOW VFR CU WILL SCT TO MID LEVELS ASIDE FOR AT KAVL WHERE MTN
VALLEY MVFR/IFR STRATUS/FOG IS POSSIBLE.  WINDS WILL VEER NORTHERLY
AT ALL SITES OVERNIGHT AS THE ABOVE MENTIONED MESO HIGH SLIDES BY TO
THE NORTH...YET WILL VEER/INCREASE SHARPLY BY LATE MORNING ON OUT OF
THE SE THEN SW AS OLD TROPICAL DEP BILL APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
20KT-30KT GUSTING IS LIKELY AT ALL SITES ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

OUTLOOK...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIURNAL AS
ANOTHER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SETS UP LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO THE NEW
WORK WEEK.  AS A RESULT...THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON
SHRA/TSRA WILL BE ACROSS WESTERN NC WHERE THE LEAST SUBSIDENCE WILL
RESIDE.  MORNING RESTRICTIONS DUE TO FOG AND/OR STRATUS ARE
POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY WHERE HEAVY RAIN FELL THE PREVIOUS DAY...AND
IN MTN VALLEYS.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            20-02Z        02-08Z        08-14Z        14-18Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH  95%     MED   65%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH  91%     HIGH  95%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  91%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY JUNE 19TH...

 GSP  103 1887
 CLT  102 1944
 AVL   92 1931/1933

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WIMBERLEY
NEAR TERM...CDG/JAT
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...JP/WIMBERLEY
AVIATION...CDG
CLIMATE...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 19, 5:14 AM EDT, 10 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
514 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

GAZ010-017-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-068-069-501>510-
SCZ001>003-200915-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-
MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
514 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NORTHEAST
GEORGIA MOUNTAINS...THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH
CAROLINA...THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...AND THE MOUNTAINS OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEFLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL AS LARGE AS QUARTERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ070>072-082-SCZ004>014-019-200915-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
514 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...THE
CHARLOTTE METRO AREA...AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEFLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL AS LARGE AS QUARTERS.

IN ADDITION...HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 90S WILL
COMBINE WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S TO PRODUCE HEAT
INDEX VALUES OF 98 TO 103 THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA. STAY
IN AN AIR CONDITIONED AREA AND OUT OF THE SUN AS MUCH AS
POSSIBLE. IF YOU DO GO OUTSIDE...DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...AND WEAR
LIGHT COLORED AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

HG

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 19, 2:40 PM EDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
240 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

NCZ504-506-508-191915-
GREATER RUTHERFORD NC-EASTERN MCDOWELL NC-GREATER BURKE NC-
240 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
BURKE...NORTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD AND SOUTHEASTERN MCDOWELL COUNTIES
UNTIL 315 PM EDT...

AT 240 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MORGANTON...OR 5 MILES SOUTH OF GLEN ALPINE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MORGANTON...GLEN ALPINE...SOUTH MOUNTAINS STATE PARK...DREXEL...
DYSARTSVILLE...OAK HILL AND PLEASANT GROVE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3585 8166 3557 8153 3556 8158 3557 8160
      3556 8166 3558 8169 3554 8169 3551 8186
      3570 8193
TIME...MOT...LOC 1840Z 244DEG 14KT 3565 8180

MOORE
Special weather statement, Jun 19, 3:15 PM EDT, 44 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
315 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

NCZ035-056-502-504-191945-
GREATER BURKE NC-ALEXANDER NC-CATAWBA NC-GREATER CALDWELL NC-
315 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
CALDWELL...SOUTHEASTERN BURKE...CENTRAL CATAWBA AND SOUTHWESTERN
ALEXANDER COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

AT 315 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES EAST OF MORGANTON...OR NEAR VALDESE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HICKORY...MORGANTON...NEWTON...LENOIR...ST. STEPHENS...CONOVER...
LONGVIEW...SAWMILLS...GRANITE FALLS AND VALDESE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES THAT ARE DEAD...OR THAT HAVE WEAKENED
ROOT SYSTEMS. OUTDOOR FURNITURE AND SIMILAR ITEMS CAN BE TOSSED
AROUND IF NOT ANCHORED. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS.

DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL CAN CAUSE CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO VEHICLES.
CONSIDER MOVING VEHICLES TO A COVERED STORAGE AREA BEFORE THE STORM
ARRIVES.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO
GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM
OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC
DEVICES. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM
APPROACHES.

&&

LAT...LON 3570 8117 3561 8162 3581 8171 3596 8128
TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 249DEG 24KT 3573 8157

RWH
Local storm report, Jun 19, 3:28 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
328 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0122 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MILL SPRING             35.30N 82.16W
06/18/2015                   POLK               NC   911 CALL CENTER

            FIRST REPORT. SEVERAL TREES DOWN AROUND MILL SPRING AND
            NEAR COLUMBUS. TREES DOWN ON MOORE RD...JOHN SHEHAN
            RD...AND NEAR POLK CENTRAL SCHOOL.

&&

MOORE
Local storm report, Jun 19, 3:33 PM EDT, 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
333 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0122 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MILL SPRING             35.30N 82.16W
06/19/2015                   POLK               NC   911 CALL CENTER

            FIRST REPORT. SEVERAL TREES DOWN AROUND MILL SPRING AND
            NEAR COLUMBUS. TREES DOWN ON MOORE RD...JOHN SHEHAN
            RD...AND NEAR POLK CENTRAL SCHOOL.

&&

MOORE
Local storm report, Jun 19, 3:42 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
342 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0336 PM     HAIL             SWANNANOA               35.60N 82.39W
06/19/2015  E0.75 INCH       BUNCOMBE           NC   PUBLIC

            BRIEF MARBLE TO PENNY SIZED HAIL AT WARREN WILSON
            COLLEGE. HAD SOME WIND BUT NOT SIGNIFICANT.

&&

OUTLAW
Local storm report, Jun 19, 3:50 PM EDT, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
350 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NE VALDESE            35.77N 81.53W
06/19/2015                   BURKE              NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MANY TREE BRANCHES BLOWN DOWN WITH AT LEAST A FEW OF THEM
            BEING AT LEAST 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER.

&&

OUTLAW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 12:46 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPDavie29 min
Jun 19, 2:24 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPRowan36 min
Jun 19, 12:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPPolk31 min
Jun 19, 1:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPPolk, Rutherford47 min
Jun 19, 1:38 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCatawba52 min
Jun 19, 1:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPMcDowell, Rutherford46 min
Jun 19, 2:03 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPPolk27 min
Jun 19, 2:11 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCaldwell34 min
Jun 19, 2:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCaldwell47 min
Jun 19, 2:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCatawba29 min
Jun 19, 2:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPBurke35 min
Jun 19, 3:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCaldwell30 min
Jun 19, 3:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, McDowell, Yancey52 min
Jun 19, 3:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba48 min
Jun 19, 4:10 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPIredell35 min
Jun 19, 4:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPDavie, Rowan41 min
Jun 19, 4:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCabarrus27 min
Jun 19, 5:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPDavie, Rowan29 min
Jun 19, 5:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPDavie, Rowan42 min
Jun 19, 5:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg32 min
Jun 19, 5:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg, Rowan, Union46 min
Jun 19, 6:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, Henderson40 min
Jun 19, 6:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPYancey33 min
Jun 19, 6:47 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPUnion43 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.