Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

June 19, 2015Caldwell County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 19, 2015, 2:13 PM EDT for Caldwell County, North Carolina. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 19, 2015, 2:13 PM EDT (18:13 UTC)
Expired
Jun 19, 2015, 3:00 PM EDT
In force
47 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon

County Caldwell County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 142 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2015-06-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 32 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2015-06-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
32 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-222 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1354 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

847 
WUUS52 KGSP 191813
SVRGSP
NCC027-191900-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0095.150619T1813Z-150619T1900Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
213 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 300 PM EDT

* AT 212 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM
  WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF BLOWING ROCK...AND MOVING EAST AT 10
  MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE DAMAGING WINDS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  PATTERSON...EDGEMONT...UPTON...GLOBE AND LENOIR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. BRIEF LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3612 8155 3610 8152 3610 8150 3609 8147
      3593 8152 3598 8179 3607 8174 3607 8175
      3609 8176 3609 8177 3612 8176
TIME...MOT...LOC 1812Z 277DEG 9KT 3604 8168 

$$

MOORE
1 follow-up statement
209 
WWUS52 KGSP 191829
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
229 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

NCC027-191900-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-150619T1900Z/
CALDWELL NC-
229 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN CALDWELL COUNTY...

AT 228 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF BLOWING ROCK...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. PENNY
SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE DAMAGING WINDS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PATTERSON...EDGEMONT...UPTON...GLOBE AND LENOIR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. BRIEF LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3612 8155 3610 8152 3610 8150 3609 8147
      3593 8152 3598 8179 3607 8174 3612 8165
TIME...MOT...LOC 1828Z 281DEG 13KT 3602 8165 

$$

MOORE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 19, 1:56 PM EDT, 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 19, 1:56 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
156 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL SYSTEM BILL WILL MOVE UP THE
OHIO VALLEY TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH ASSOCIATED MOISTURE LIKELY
BRUSHING WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA SATURDAY NIGHT. A SLIGHT BREAK IN
THE HEAT IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BUT WITH TEMPERATURES
STILL ABOVE NORMAL. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN GRADUALLY GET
REESTABLISHED THROUGH NEXT WEEK...WITH A STATIONARY FRONT DEVELOPING
JUST NORTH OF THE AREA. VERY HOT CONDITIONS WILL RETURN AND PERSIST
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 155 PM EDT FRIDAY...TWEAKED POPS/TEMPS/SKY TO ACCOUNT FOR MOST
RECENT RADAR/OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS AND LEFT THE REMAINDER OF THE
IMMEDIATE NEAR TERM UNCHANGED.   FULL FCST DISCUSSION TO FOLLOW
WITHIN THE HOUR.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

MAX TEMPS AND HI VALUES WILL AGAIN BE THE MAIN ISSUE FOR THIS
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER..UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS DROP ACROSS THE NRN ZONES AS
THE H5 RIDGE FLATTENS WHILE LLVL THICKNESSES LOWER AS WELL. MAX
TEMPS WILL BE LOWER THAN RECENT LEVELS...ESP ACROSS THE I-40
CORRIDOR. WITH TD/S MIXING OUT THIS AFTERNOON...HI LEVELS OVER THE
NRN ZONES WILL BE CLOSE TO AMBIENT TEMPS...WHILE THE HI AROUND AND
SOUTH OF I-85 WILL REACH THE U90S TO ARND 100 F. SO...WILL MAINTAIN
HIGH HI MENTION IN THE HWO THIS AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON CONVECTION
SHOULD HAVE NO PROBLEM INITIATING ACROSS THE NRN ZONES WHERE
DAYTIME HEATING AND THE LOSS OF A MLVL CAP ALLOW MODERATE SBCAPE
VALUES IN A MOIST ENVIRONMENT. STORMS SHOULD BECOME NUMEROUS ACROSS
THE MTNS/FTHILLS...THEN ISOL/SCT ALONG NE GA AND THE SC/NC PIEDMONT.
PULSE SEVERE WILL BE THE MODE...WITH MORE OF A WIND THREAT DUE TO
PRECIP LOADING AND HIGH SFC-BASED LAPSE RATES.

OVERNIGHT...CONVECTION WILL AGAIN WANE QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET WITH
ISOL LINGERING ACTIVITY TIL MIDNIGHT MAINLY OVER THE SRN ZONES DUE
TO A SFC HIGH PUSHING INTO THE NC FOOTHILLS/PIEDMONT. INCREASING
AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE WILL ADV INTO THE SW MTNS AHEAD OF THE REMNANTS
OF TS BILL WHICH COULD KEEP -SHRA/TSTMS ACTIVE THROUGH DAYBREAK. MIN
TEMPS WILL BE A LITTLE LOWER...YET STILL ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABV NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 245 AM EDT FRIDAY...EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF AT LEAST MID 90S
TEMPS ACROSS THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA ON SATURDAY...BUT WITH
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS WEST IN GREATER CLOUDINESS. THE TROUGH
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM BILL WILL CROSS THE
SRN/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS MAINLY DURING THE LATE SAT/SAT NIGHT TIME
FRAME. THE BEST DEEP LAYER DPVA WILL PASS N OF THE REGION THROUGH
THE VIRGINIAS...BUT IMPROVING S TO SW FLOW SHOULD YIELD AT LEAST
NUMEROUS SHOWER/TSTM COVERAGE ACROSS THE NRN/WRN MTNS AND POSSIBLY
THE NRN TIER OF WRN NC THROUGH SAT NIGHT. ALTHOUGH SHEAR PROFILES
INCREASE...BULK SHEAR VALUES WILL NOT BE TERRIBLY IMPRESSIVE AND
THERE SHOULD BE LITTLE BACKING OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. IN
ADDITION...THE MAINLY NIGHTTIME PASSAGE WILL KEEP SURFACE BASED
INSTABILITY SOMEWHAT LIMITED TO CURTAIL THE SEVERE TSTM THREAT. THE
NRN MTNS COULD SEE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL...BUT THE RELATIVELY SHORT
LIVED NATURE OF THE HEAVIER PRECIP SHOULD CURTAIL ANY SIGNIFICANT
HYDRO ISSUES.

NW UPSLOPE FLOW MOISTURE MAY CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHOWERS ALONG THE
SPINE OF THE MTNS INTO SUNDAY MORNING...BUT A DRYING NW FLOW IS
EXPECTED EAST OF THE HIGH TERRAIN THROUGH LATE WEEKEND. ALTHOUGH
THERE ARE VARYING DEGREES OF MODEL INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA
SUNDAY AFTN...THE GFS PROFILES HAVE A STRONGER CAPPING INVERSION
ALOFT. WILL THUS HOLD COVERAGE AT CHC WESTERN MTNS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
SE SECTIONS THROUGH LATE WEEKEND. MAX TEMPS WILL START TO RISE AGAIN
BY LAKE WEEKEND BEHIND THE DEPARTING WAVE...WITH PLENTY OF MID 90S
EAST OF THE MTNS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 255 AM EDT FRIDAY...THE HEAT SHOULD RETURN IN EARNEST NEXT
WEEK. A BROAD WRN RIDGE AND ERN TROUGH PATTERN WILL DEVELOP THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. CONTINUED HIGH LOW LEVEL THETA E VALUES MAY PERMIT
SB CAPE TO REACH 2000 TO 3000 J/KG ACROSS THE REGION MON AFTN...BUT
WARM CAPPING TEMPS ALOFT MAY CONTINUE TO CURTAIL CONVECTION. THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL THEN BECOME RESURGENT FROM THE W TUE THROUGH
THU...WHILE A STATIONARY FRONT WILL SET UP JUST NORTH OF THE AREA
THROUGH NEXT WEEK. THERE IS NOW LITTLE INDICATION OF MUCH
BACKDOORING OF THE FRONTAL ZONE...SO UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 TEMPS
WILL BECOME COMMON EAST OF THE MTNS TUE TO THU...WITH LOWER 90S IN
THE MTN VALLEYS. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR UPSTREAM CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY TO SLIDE SOUTHEAST ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL ZONE AND
APPROACH THE FORECAST AREA...WHICH COULD LEAD TO BETTER THAN CLIMO
COVERAGE AND PERHAPS SOME INCREASE SKY COVER TO CAP TEMPS.
HOWEVER...MAINLY DIURNAL ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION SEEMS A
BETTER BET.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT KCLT...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE WITH THE
POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF MVFR TSRA RESTRICTIONS THIS AFTERNOON.
INITIALIZED TAF VFR AMIDST SLOWLY VEERING SW FLOW AND SCT LOW VFR
CU.  WINDS WILL CONTINUALLY VEER NW THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS A MESO
HIGH SLIDES BY TO THE NORTH ALLOWING A WEAK BOUNDARY TO INTRUDE
ACROSS WESTERN NC.  LIKEWISE...CONVECTION WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE NC
PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON WITH HEATING...POTENTIALLY AIDED BY
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE AFORE MENTIONED BOUNDARY.  THIS WAS HANDLED
WITH A 4HR TEMPO...THAT COULD BE EXTENDED FURTHER.  BEYOND THAT
EXPECTING CONDITIONS TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE AS NORTHERLY FLOW PREVAILS
OVERNIGHT AND HEATING IS LOST.  SKIES WILL GRADUALLY SCT AND LIFT TO
MID LEVELS BY MORNING WITH WINDS VEERED E TO ESE.  LASTLY...WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO VEER AND INCREASE AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEP
BILL SLIDE ACROSS KY ALLOWING FOR ENHANCED PGF...THUS 20KT-25KT
GUSTING IS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE TAF CYCLE...AND LIKELY IN THE NEXT
TAF CYCLE.

ELSEWHERE...MUCH THE SAME AS KCLT ABOVE WITH VFR PREVAILING ASIDE
FOR AFTERNOON TSRA ALONG WITH VISB/CIG RESTRICTIONS AT THE NC SITES
AND KAND SATURDAY MORNING.  INITIALIZED ALL TAFS VFR WITH TSRA
TEMPOS AT THE NC SITES WHERE CONDITIONS ARE MOST FAVORABLE...AND
VCTS MENTIONS AT THE SC SITES.  PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL LOWER INTO
THE EVENING HOURS AS HEATING IS LOST AND THE ATM BECOMES WORKED
OVER.  LOW VFR CU WILL SCT TO MID LEVELS ASIDE FOR AT KAVL WHERE MTN
VALLEY MVFR/IFR STRATUS/FOG IS POSSIBLE.  WINDS WILL VEER NORTHERLY
AT ALL SITES OVERNIGHT AS THE ABOVE MENTIONED MESO HIGH SLIDES BY TO
THE NORTH...YET WILL VEER/INCREASE SHARPLY BY LATE MORNING ON OUT OF
THE SE THEN SW AS OLD TROPICAL DEP BILL APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
20KT-30KT GUSTING IS LIKELY AT ALL SITES ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

OUTLOOK...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIURNAL AS
ANOTHER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SETS UP LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO THE NEW
WORK WEEK.  AS A RESULT...THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON
SHRA/TSRA WILL BE ACROSS WESTERN NC WHERE THE LEAST SUBSIDENCE WILL
RESIDE.  MORNING RESTRICTIONS DUE TO FOG AND/OR STRATUS ARE
POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY WHERE HEAVY RAIN FELL THE PREVIOUS DAY...AND
IN MTN VALLEYS.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            18-24Z        00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH  97%     MED   64%     HIGH  94%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH  94%     HIGH  97%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  94%     HIGH  97%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY JUNE 19TH...

 GSP  103 1887
 CLT  102 1944
 AVL   92 1931/1933

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HG
NEAR TERM...CDG/SBK
SHORT TERM...HG
LONG TERM...HG
AVIATION...CDG
CLIMATE...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 19, 5:14 AM EDT, 8 hours 59 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
514 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

GAZ010-017-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-068-069-501>510-
SCZ001>003-200915-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-
MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
514 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NORTHEAST
GEORGIA MOUNTAINS...THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH
CAROLINA...THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...AND THE MOUNTAINS OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEFLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL AS LARGE AS QUARTERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ070>072-082-SCZ004>014-019-200915-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
514 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...THE
CHARLOTTE METRO AREA...AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEFLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL AS LARGE AS QUARTERS.

IN ADDITION...HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 90S WILL
COMBINE WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S TO PRODUCE HEAT
INDEX VALUES OF 98 TO 103 THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA. STAY
IN AN AIR CONDITIONED AREA AND OUT OF THE SUN AS MUCH AS
POSSIBLE. IF YOU DO GO OUTSIDE...DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...AND WEAR
LIGHT COLORED AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

HG

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 19, 10:05 AM EDT, 4 hours 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1005 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     HAIL             1 NE AVERY CREEK        35.47N 82.56W
06/18/2015  M1.75 INCH       BUNCOMBE           NC   COCORAHS

            LARGEST STONES. AVERAGE SIZE WAS 1.25 INCH DIAMETER.

&&

MOORE
Special weather statement, Jun 19, 12:53 PM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1253 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

SCZ001-004-191745-
GREATER OCONEE SC-OCONEE MOUNTAINS SC-
1253 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL OCONEE
COUNTY UNTIL 145 PM EDT...

AT 1253 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES NORTH OF TOCCOA...OR 4 MILES EAST OF TALLULAH GORGE STATE
PARK...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SENECA...WALHALLA...WESTMINSTER...SALEM...LAKE KEOWEE AND LONG CREEK.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3476 8332 3479 8332 3491 8291 3482 8290
      3479 8288 3474 8290 3473 8287 3467 8285
      3463 8325 3465 8329 3467 8331 3468 8334
      3469 8334 3470 8335 3473 8335
TIME...MOT...LOC 1653Z 255DEG 21KT 3471 8328

MOORE
Special weather statement, Jun 19, 12:59 PM EDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1259 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

NCZ508>510-191730-
EASTERN POLK NC-GREATER RUTHERFORD NC-POLK MOUNTAINS NC-
1259 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL RUTHERFORD
AND POLK COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM EDT...

AT 1259 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR COLUMBUS...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLUMBUS...TRYON...MILL SPRING...LAKE ADGER...GREEN CREEK AND GREEN
HILL.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3542 8204 3520 8195 3520 8226 3534 8230
TIME...MOT...LOC 1659Z 253DEG 16KT 3528 8219

MOORE
Special weather statement, Jun 19, 1:38 PM EDT, 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
138 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

NCZ056-504-191830-
GREATER BURKE NC-CATAWBA NC-
138 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN BURKE
AND SOUTHWESTERN CATAWBA COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM EDT...

AT 138 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES SOUTHWEST OF HICKORY...OR 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HILDEBRAN...
MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HICKORY...NEWTON...HILDEBRAN...MOUNTAIN VIEW...ICARD...LONGVIEW...
CONOVER...PROPST...COOKSVILLE AND STARTOWN.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3572 8124 3556 8127 3560 8154 3564 8158
      3572 8153
TIME...MOT...LOC 1738Z 271DEG 11KT 3566 8145

MOORE
Special weather statement, Jun 19, 2:03 PM EDT, 10 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
203 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

NCZ508-510-191830-
EASTERN POLK NC-GREATER RUTHERFORD NC-
203 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
RUTHERFORD AND EASTERN POLK COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM EDT...

AT 202 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES NORTHEAST OF COLUMBUS...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

IN ADDITION...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL TRACK SLOWLY EAST ACROSS
NORTHERN RUTHERFORD COUNTY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FOREST CITY...RUTHERFORDTON...SPINDALE...BOSTIC...CAROLEEN...
HENRIETTA...GREEN CREEK...MILL SPRING AND HARRIS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3541 8177 3522 8179 3519 8213 3519 8216
      3535 8219
TIME...MOT...LOC 1802Z 252DEG 13KT 3529 8208

MOORE
Special weather statement, Jun 19, 2:11 PM EDT, 2 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
211 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

NCZ501-502-191845-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS NC-GREATER CALDWELL NC-
211 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN
CALDWELL COUNTY UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

AT 210 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6
MILES SOUTH OF BLOWING ROCK...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LENOIR...PATTERSON...EDGEMONT...UPTON AND GLOBE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3612 8155 3610 8152 3610 8150 3609 8147
      3593 8152 3598 8179 3607 8174 3607 8176
      3609 8177 3612 8176
TIME...MOT...LOC 1810Z 276DEG 10KT 3604 8168

MOORE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 12:46 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPDavie29 min
Jun 19, 2:24 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPRowan36 min
Jun 19, 12:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPPolk31 min
Jun 19, 1:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPPolk, Rutherford47 min
Jun 19, 1:38 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCatawba52 min
Jun 19, 1:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPMcDowell, Rutherford46 min
Jun 19, 2:03 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPPolk27 min
Jun 19, 2:11 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCaldwell34 min
Jun 19, 2:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCatawba29 min
Jun 19, 2:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPBurke35 min
Jun 19, 3:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCaldwell30 min
Jun 19, 3:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, McDowell, Yancey52 min
Jun 19, 3:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba48 min
Jun 19, 3:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCatawba, Iredell, Lincoln, Mecklenburg46 min
Jun 19, 4:10 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPIredell35 min
Jun 19, 4:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPDavie, Rowan41 min
Jun 19, 4:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCabarrus27 min
Jun 19, 5:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPDavie, Rowan29 min
Jun 19, 5:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPDavie, Rowan42 min
Jun 19, 5:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg32 min
Jun 19, 5:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg, Rowan, Union46 min
Jun 19, 6:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, Henderson40 min
Jun 19, 6:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPYancey33 min
Jun 19, 6:47 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPUnion43 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.