River Flood Warning 3, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

588 
WGUS42 KGSP 021500
FLWGSP

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1100 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

...The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg
has issued a Flood Warning for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...South Carolina...


  French Broad River At Marshall affecting Madison County
  Swannanoa River In Nc At Biltmore affecting Buncombe County
  South Fork Catawba River In Nc At Lowell affecting Gaston County
  Saluda River At West Pelzer affecting Anderson and Greenville 
  Counties
  Saluda River Near Greenville affecting Greenville and Pickens 
  Counties
  Broad River In Sc Near Blacksburg affecting Cherokee and York 
  Counties
  Broad River In Nc At Boiling Springs affecting Cleveland County


in North Carolina...
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers...
  French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania
  Counties


.Runoff from heavy rain will cause the river to rise above flood 
stage.
 Remember...river stage forecasts are based on observed and 
forecasted rainfall. If actual rainfall varies from the forecast 
values...the river stage will vary accordingly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember...nightime makes it
difficult to recognize flooded areas.

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

Please report high water...flooding and landslidesto the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or byposting on our Facebook page...or tweet 
it using hashtagnwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and 
thespecific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC089-175-031500-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0003.151003T2242Z-151006T2100Z/
/BLAN7.2.ER.151003T2242Z.151005T0000Z.151006T0900Z.NO/
1100 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The French Broad River At Blantyre.
* from Saturday evening to Tuesday afternoon...or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Saturday evening and continue 
  to rise to near 19.0 feet by Sunday evening.the river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...The river overtops the railroad and starts 
  to flood a trailer park on river ridge road. Buildings north of 
  grove bridge road along highway 64 will begin to flood. Parts of 
  river road, pleasant grover road, butler bridge road and big willow
  road will be flooded. Local rivers such as little river may have 
  flooding due to high water levels on the french broad river.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

NCC115-031500-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FL.W.0005.151004T1200Z-151005T0000Z/
/MARN7.1.ER.151004T1200Z.151004T1200Z.151004T1200Z.NO/
1100 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the French Broad River At Marshall.
* from Sunday morning to Sunday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 3.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage Sunday
  morning.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage. The river begins to flood some 
  buildings on blennerhassett island and approaches homes along 
  island road. Rollins island will begin to flood. The river will 
  approach the railroad tracks in the back street area.

&&

LAT...LON 3569 8265 3576 8270 3582 8277 3583 8271 3578 8263
      3570 8257             

$$

SCC021-091-031500-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FL.W.0006.151003T2305Z-151005T1525Z/
/BBGS1.1.ER.151003T2305Z.151004T1200Z.151005T0325Z.NO/
1100 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Broad River In Sc Near Blacksburg.
* from Saturday evening to Monday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 4.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Saturday evening and continue 
  to rise to near 19.8 feet by Sunday morning.the river will fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday night.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet...Several roads near the river will be 
  flooded and water will approach the road tthat goes to the dam.

&&

LAT...LON 3524 8159 3518 8156 3509 8152 3507 8161 3516 8167


$$

NCC045-031500-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FL.W.0007.151003T2052Z-151005T1336Z/
/BSPN7.2.ER.151003T2052Z.151004T1200Z.151005T0136Z.NO/
1100 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Broad River In Nc At Boiling Springs.
* from Saturday afternoon to Monday morning...or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At 10:15 AM Friday the stage was 3.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Saturday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 14.9 feet by Sunday morning.the river will
  fall below flood stage by Sunday night.
* Impact...At 14.5 feet...The river upstream of the cliffside area 
  will overflow the banks and start to flood some roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3527 8173 3524 8159 3516 8167 3520 8176


$$

NCC021-031500-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FL.W.0008.151004T0000Z-151004T1200Z/
/BLTN7.1.ER.151004T0000Z.151004T0000Z.151004T0000Z.NO/
1100 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Swannanoa River In Nc At Biltmore.
* from Saturday evening to Sunday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage- the river will cause backwater
  effects on sweeten creek, which will approach some buildings along 
  garfield road. Water will begin flooding parts of nc 81, caledonia 
  road to glendale road and approachs thompson and lodge roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3555 8255 3563 8255 3563 8245 3558 8244


$$

NCC071-031500-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FL.W.0009.151003T1424Z-151005T0830Z/
/LOWN7.1.ER.151003T1424Z.151004T0600Z.151004T2030Z.NO/
1100 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the South Fork Catawba River In Nc At Lowell.
* from Saturday morning to late Sunday night...or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 10:15 AM Friday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late Saturday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 12.2 feet by early Sunday morning.the 
  river will fall below flood stage by Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Water will approach the fire department 
  building in cramerton and the parking lot behind the drug store 
  will be flooded. One home on riverside drive will begin to flood. 
  Flooding will be similar to the flooding that occurred on febraury 
  6, 2010.

&&

LAT...LON 3537 8126 3537 8108 3518 8102 3518 8110


$$

SCC007-045-031500-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FL.W.0010.151004T1117Z-151005T1348Z/
/WEPS1.1.ER.151004T1117Z.151004T1800Z.151005T0148Z.NO/
1100 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Saluda River At West Pelzer.
* from Sunday morning to Monday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river is forecast to have a maximum value of 13.0 
  feet early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage is reached. Further flooding of
  woodlands and fields downstream of gage will occurr. Flooding of a 
  home near culbertson court and arden road will begin (greenville 
  county). Homes on adger street (anderson county) will begin to 
  flood. +

&&

LAT...LON 3477 8250 3478 8241 3473 8242 3461 8238 3459 8249
      3464 8252             

$$

SCC045-077-031500-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FL.W.0011.151003T2338Z-151005T1024Z/
/GSLS1.1.ER.151003T2338Z.151004T1200Z.151004T2224Z.NO/
1100 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Saluda River Near Greenville.
* from Saturday evening to Monday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 3.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Saturday evening and continue 
  to rise to near 12.7 feet by Sunday morning.the river will fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Some homes between the river and riverview 
  circle in greenville county will begin to flood. In pickens county 
  homes between old easley bridge road and the river will be flooded 
  and a business off of floyd circle near the river will begin to 
  flood. +

&&

LAT...LON 3477 8250 3486 8253 3486 8243 3478 8241


$$

298 
WGUS82 KGSP 030255
FLSGSP
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1055 PM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

...The Flood Warning Continues for the FRENCH BROAD RIVER in 
North Carolina at the following locations...

  At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania Counties
  At Marshall affecting Madison County
  Near Fletcher affecting Buncombe and Henderson Counties

.Runoff from heavy rain expected Friday through Sunday will cause 
the river to rise above minor flood stage.

Remember...river stage forecasts are based on actual rainfall and 
forecasted 48-hour rainfall. There is still plenty of uncertainty
with this event and additional changes to the forecasted rainfall
are likely. These changes may increase the forecasted crest so 
please stay tuned to the latest forecasts and warnings from the 
National Weather Service.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

Please report high water...flooding and landslides to the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...
8 0 0...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or by posting on our Facebook page...or 
tweet it using hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the 
event and the specific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC089-175-040255-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.W.0003.151003T2242Z-151006T2100Z/
/BLAN7.2.ER.151003T2242Z.151005T0000Z.151006T0900Z.NO/
1055 PM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The French Broad River At Blantyre
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 930 PM Friday the stage was...10.4 feet
* Moderate flooding is forecast
* Minor flood stage is 16.0 feet
* Moderate flood stage is 19.0 feet
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above minor flood stage 
  Saturday evening and reach moderate flood stage Sunday evening.
  The river is expected to crest at 19.0 feet on Sunday evening.
  The river is expected to fall below minor flood stage by Tuesday
  morning.
* Impacts...At 16.0 feet...farmlands in low-lying area and a local 
  tree farm and greenhouse near Grove Bridge Road will be flooded.  
  Parts of Pleasant Grove Road will be covered with 6 inches of water 
  mainly near Tally Road and Creeks Edge Drive.
  
  At 17.0 feet...water will approach buildings north of Grove Bridge 
  Road along Highway 64.  Farmland between the river and the railroad
  will be flooded.  Water will approach low lying areas on Grove
  Bridge...Pleasant Grove...and Tally Roads.
  
  At 19.0 feet...The river overtops the railroad and starts 
  to flood a trailer park on River Ridge Road. Buildings north of 
  Grove Bridge Road along Highway 64 will begin to flood. Parts of 
  River Road, Pleasant Grove Road, Butler Bridge Road and Big Willow
  Road will be flooded. Local rivers such as Little River may have 
  flooding due to high water levels on the French Broad River.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

NCC021-089-040255-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0004.151003T2315Z-151005T0651Z/
/FLCN7.1.ER.151003T2315Z.151004T0600Z.151004T1851Z.NO/
1055 PM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

The Flood Advisory is extended for
  the French Broad River Near Fletcher
* from Saturday evening to late Sunday afternoon.
* At 09 PM Friday the stage was 7.5 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above minor flood stage 
  Saturday evening and crest at 14.0 feet. The river is expected to 
  fall below minor flood stage by Sunday afternoon.
* Impacts...At 12.0 feet...Glen Bridge Park near Pinner will begin to 
  flood and water will approach Glen Bridge Road.

  At 13.0 feet...Butler Bridge and Banner Farm Roads south 
  of the airport will be flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3541 8257 3550 8262 3550 8254 3540 8250
      3537 8250             

$$

NCC115-040255-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.W.0005.151004T1200Z-151005T0000Z/
/MARN7.1.ER.151004T1200Z.151004T1200Z.151004T1200Z.NO/
1055 PM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

The Flood Advisory continues for
  the French Broad River At Marshall
* from Sunday morning to Sunday evening.
* At 10 PM Friday the stage was 3.8 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 4.5 feet.
* Minor flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to crest at 8.0 feet or minor flood 
  stage Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below minor flood 
  stage by Sunday afternoon.
* Impacts...At 8.0 feet...The river begins to flood some 
  buildings on Blannahhassett island and approaches homes along 
  Island Road. Rollins Island will begin to flood. The river will 
  approach the railroad tracks in the Back Street area.

&&

LAT...LON 3569 8265 3576 8270 3582 8277 3583 8271 3578 8263
      3570 8257             

$$

741 
WGUS82 KGSP 030257
FLSGSP
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1057 PM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

...The Flood Warning Continues for the FRENCH BROAD RIVER in 
North Carolina at the following locations...

  At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania Counties
  At Marshall affecting Madison County
  Near Fletcher affecting Buncombe and Henderson Counties

.Runoff from heavy rain expected Friday through Sunday will cause 
the river to rise above minor flood stage.

Remember...river stage forecasts are based on actual rainfall and 
forecasted 48-hour rainfall. There is still plenty of uncertainty
with this event and additional changes to the forecasted rainfall
are likely. These changes may increase the forecasted crest so 
please stay tuned to the latest forecasts and warnings from the 
National Weather Service.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

Please report high water...flooding and landslides to the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...
8 0 0...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or by posting on our Facebook page...or 
tweet it using hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the 
event and the specific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC089-175-040257-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.W.0003.151003T2242Z-151006T2100Z/
/BLAN7.2.ER.151003T2242Z.151005T0000Z.151006T0900Z.NO/
1057 PM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The French Broad River At Blantyre
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 930 PM Friday the stage was...10.4 feet
* Moderate flooding is forecast
* Minor flood stage is 16.0 feet
* Moderate flood stage is 19.0 feet
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above minor flood stage 
  Saturday evening and reach moderate flood stage Sunday evening.
  The river is expected to crest at 19.0 feet on Sunday evening.
  The river is expected to fall below minor flood stage by Tuesday
  morning.
* Impacts...At 16.0 feet...farmlands in low-lying area and a local 
  tree farm and greenhouse near Grove Bridge Road will be flooded.  
  Parts of Pleasant Grove Road will be covered with 6 inches of water 
  mainly near Tally Road and Creeks Edge Drive.
  
  At 17.0 feet...water will approach buildings north of Grove Bridge 
  Road along Highway 64.  Farmland between the river and the railroad
  will be flooded.  Water will approach low lying areas on Grove
  Bridge...Pleasant Grove...and Tally Roads.
  
  At 19.0 feet...The river overtops the railroad and starts 
  to flood a trailer park on River Ridge Road. Buildings north of 
  Grove Bridge Road along Highway 64 will begin to flood. Parts of 
  River Road, Pleasant Grove Road, Butler Bridge Road and Big Willow
  Road will be flooded. Local rivers such as Little River may have 
  flooding due to high water levels on the French Broad River.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

NCC021-089-040257-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0004.151003T2315Z-151005T0651Z/
/FLCN7.1.ER.151003T2315Z.151004T0600Z.151004T1851Z.NO/
1057 PM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

The Flood Advisory is extended for
  the French Broad River Near Fletcher
* from Saturday evening to late Sunday afternoon.
* At 09 PM Friday the stage was 7.5 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above minor flood stage 
  Saturday evening and crest at 14.0 feet. The river is expected to 
  fall below minor flood stage by Sunday afternoon.
* Impacts...At 12.0 feet...Glen Bridge Park near Pinner will begin to 
  flood and water will approach Glen Bridge Road.

  At 13.0 feet...Butler Bridge and Banner Farm Roads south 
  of the airport will be flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3541 8257 3550 8262 3550 8254 3540 8250
      3537 8250             

$$

NCC115-040257-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.W.0005.151004T1200Z-151005T0000Z/
/MARN7.1.ER.151004T1200Z.151004T1200Z.151004T1200Z.NO/
1057 PM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015

The Flood Advisory continues for
  the French Broad River At Marshall
* from Sunday morning to Sunday evening.
* At 10 PM Friday the stage was 3.8 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 4.5 feet.
* Minor flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to crest at 8.0 feet or minor flood 
  stage Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below minor flood 
  stage by Sunday afternoon.
* Impacts...At 8.0 feet...The river begins to flood some 
  buildings on Blannahassett Island and approaches homes along 
  Island Road. Rollins Island will begin to flood. The river will 
  approach the railroad tracks in the Back Street area.

&&

LAT...LON 3569 8265 3576 8270 3582 8277 3583 8271 3578 8263
      3570 8257             

$$

775 
WGUS82 KGSP 031723
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
123 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers
in North Carolina...South Carolina...


  French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania 
  Counties.
  
  French Broad River Near Fletcher affecting Buncombe and Henderson 
  Counties.
  
  French Broad River At Marshall affecting Madison County.
  South Fork Catawba River In Nc At Lowell affecting Gaston County.
  
  Saluda River At West Pelzer affecting Anderson and Greenville 
  Counties.
  
  Saluda River Near Greenville affecting Greenville and Pickens 
  Counties.
  
  Broad River In Sc Near Blacksburg affecting Cherokee and York 
  Counties.
  
  Broad River In Nc At Boiling Springs affecting Cleveland County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers
in North Carolina...

  French Broad River At Asheville affecting Buncombe County.
  
  Swannanoa River In Nc At Biltmore affecting Buncombe County.
  
  Tuckasegee River At Bryson City affecting Swain County.
  
  Pigeon River In Nc At Canton affecting Haywood County.

  
.Runoff from continuing heavy rain will result in the river 
remaining above flood stage.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

Please report high water...flooding and landslidesto the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or byposting on our Facebook page...or tweet 
it using hashtagnwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and 
thespecific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC021-041723-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.W.0012.151004T0941Z-151005T0742Z/
/AVLN7.1.ER.151004T0941Z.151004T1200Z.151004T1942Z.NO/
123 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

The Flood Advisory continues for
  the French Broad River At Asheville.
* from late tonight to Sunday afternoon.
* At Noon Saturday the stage was 4.7 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 6.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Impact...At 9.5 feet...Flood stage, areas between riverside road 
  and the river near lyman street and south of old burnsville hill 
  road will be flooded. Parts of emma road near craven street and 
  amboy road will be flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 8262 3560 8261 3569 8265 3570 8257 3558 8255
      3550 8254             

$$

NCC089-175-041723-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0003.151004T0012Z-151007T0515Z/
/BLAN7.2.ER.151004T0012Z.151005T0000Z.151006T1715Z.NO/
123 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The French Broad River At Blantyre.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 1230 PM Saturday the stage was...12.9 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...The river overtops the railroad tracks and 
  will start to flood highway 64. A trailer park on river ridge road 
  will be affected and buildings north of grove bridge road will 
  likely flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

NCC021-089-041723-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0004.151003T2300Z-151005T2024Z/
/FLCN7.1.ER.151003T2300Z.151004T1200Z.151005T0824Z.NO/
123 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

The Flood Advisory is extended for
  the French Broad River Near Fletcher
* from this evening to Monday afternoon.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Homes and buildings along the river start 
  to get water in backyards.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3541 8257 3550 8262 3550 8254 3540 8250
      3537 8250             

$$

NCC115-041723-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0005.151004T0738Z-151005T1700Z/
/MARN7.1.ER.151004T0738Z.151004T1800Z.151005T0500Z.NO/
123 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

The Flood Advisory is extended for
  the French Broad River At Marshall.
* from late tonight to Monday afternoon.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 4.0 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 4.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...The river will be close to the top of the 
  railroad tracks and start to flood areas between highway 70 and the
  river. Flooding of buildings along back street and on 
  blennerhassett island will begin.

&&

LAT...LON 3569 8265 3576 8270 3582 8277 3583 8271 3578 8263
      3570 8257             

$$

SCC021-091-041723-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0006.151004T1727Z-151005T1845Z/
/BBGS1.1.ER.151004T1727Z.151005T0000Z.151005T0645Z.NO/
123 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

The Flood Advisory is extended for
  the Broad River In Sc Near Blacksburg.
* from Sunday afternoon to Monday afternoon.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...River and little hope roads near highway 29
  will be flooded along with farmland near the river. Flooding at 
  this level will be similar to flooding that occurred on july 8, 
  2005.

&&

LAT...LON 3524 8159 3518 8156 3509 8152 3507 8161 3516 8167


$$

NCC045-041723-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0007.151004T0753Z-151005T1800Z/
/BSPN7.2.ER.151004T0753Z.151004T1800Z.151005T0600Z.NO/
123 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

The Flood Advisory is extended for
  the Broad River In Nc At Boiling Springs
* from late tonight to Monday afternoon.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 5.4 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Moderate flood stage. Water will reach the 
  steps of mobile homes near the gage site. Local campgrounds near 
  the river will also be affected. Flooding at this level will be 
  similar to flooding that occurred on july 8, 2005.

&&

LAT...LON 3527 8173 3524 8159 3516 8167 3520 8176


$$

NCC021-041200-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.W.0008.151004T0000Z-151004T1200Z/
/BLTN7.1.ER.151004T0000Z.151004T0000Z.151004T0000Z.NO/
123 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

The Flood Advisory continues for
  the Swannanoa River In Nc At Biltmore
* from this evening to Sunday morning.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 5.0 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 8.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage- the river will cause backwater
  effects on sweeten creek, which will approach some buildings along 
  garfield road. Water will begin flooding parts of nc 81, caledonia 
  road to glendale road and approachs thompson and lodge roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3555 8255 3563 8255 3563 8245 3558 8244


$$

NCC173-041723-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.W.0014.151004T1200Z-151005T1232Z/
/TKSN7.1.ER.151004T1200Z.151004T1800Z.151005T0032Z.NO/
123 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

The Flood Advisory continues for
  the Tuckasegee River At Bryson City. 
* from Sunday morning to Monday morning.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 3.5 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...The river will overflow it's banks in the 
  park downtown, and low lying aeas along island and collins streets 
  will begin to flood. Toot hollow branch that flows into the river 
  will likely overflow its banks and flood areas along the branch 
  especially along waters street.

&&

LAT...LON 3547 8339 3543 8339 3541 8348 3544 8348 3544 8342


$$

NCC071-041723-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0009.151004T0400Z-151004T2200Z/
/LOWN7.1.ER.151004T0400Z.151004T0600Z.151004T1000Z.NO/
123 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

The Flood Advisory is extended for
  the South Fork Catawba River In Nc At Lowell. 
* from late tonight to Sunday evening.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 4.8 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...The river will overflow its banks and begin
  to flood the riverside park and portions of goat island park. Water
  approachs riverside drive near 5th and 6th streets in cramerton.

&&

LAT...LON 3537 8126 3537 8108 3518 8102 3518 8110


$$

SCC007-045-041723-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0010.151004T1434Z-151005T2100Z/
/WEPS1.1.ER.151004T1434Z.151005T0000Z.151005T0900Z.NO/
123 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

The Flood Advisory is extended for
  the Saluda River At West Pelzer.
* from Sunday morning to Monday afternoon.
* At 09 AM Saturday the stage was 5.0 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage is reached. Further flooding of
  woodlands and fields downstream of gage will occurr. Flooding of a 
  home near culbertson court and arden road will begin (greenville 
  county). Homes on adger street (anderson county) will begin to 
  flood. +

&&

LAT...LON 3477 8250 3478 8241 3473 8242 3461 8238 3459 8249
      3464 8252             

$$

SCC045-077-041723-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0011.151004T0437Z-151005T1703Z/
/GSLS1.1.ER.151004T0437Z.151004T1200Z.151005T0503Z.NO/
123 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

The Flood Advisory is extended for
  the Saluda River Near Greenville. 
* from late tonight to Monday afternoon.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Impact...At 11.5 feet...Homes will be surrounded by water on 
  riverview circle south of highway 123 and parts of riverview drive 
  will begin to flood. +

&&

LAT...LON 3477 8250 3486 8253 3486 8243 3478 8241


$$

NCC087-041723-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.W.0013.151004T0600Z-151004T1800Z/
/CTPN7.1.ER.151004T0600Z.151004T0600Z.151004T0600Z.NO/
123 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

The Flood Advisory continues for
  the Pigeon River In Nc At Canton.
* from late tonight to Sunday afternoon.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 3.9 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Water surrounds some homes on and near 
  fiberville road.

&&

LAT...LON 3549 8292 3553 8286 3553 8290 3557 8290 3555 8281
      3549 8286             

$$

OUTLAW

332 
WGUS82 KGSP 040351
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1151 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the FRENCH BROAD RIVER
in North Carolina...

  at Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania Counties.
 
.Runoff from previous heavy rain will result in the river exceeding
flood stage beginning tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

Please report high water...flooding and landslidesto the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or byposting on our Facebook page...or tweet 
it using hashtagnwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and 
thespecific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC089-175-050351-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151006T1636Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.151004T0310Z.151005T0600Z.151006T0436Z.NO/
1151 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The French Broad River At Blantyre
* Until Tuesday afternoon
* At 2330 PM Saturday the stage was...16.0 feet
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast
* Minor flood stage is 16.0 feet
* The river will continue rising to near 18.5 feet by early Monday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage early Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impacts...At 18.0 feet...The river will overtop the railroad tracks 
  near Fodderstack Mountain and River Roads. Flooding of most of 
  areas between the river and railroad tracks will continue.
* At 17.5 feet...The river will begin to overtop the 
  railroad tracks south of Grove Road. Flooding of most areas between
  the river and railroad will continue.
* At 17.0 feet...Water will approach buildings north of 
  Grove Bridge Road along Highway 64. Farmland between the river and 
  the railroad will be flooded. Water will approach low lying areas 
  on Grove Bridge, Pleasant Grove and Tally Roads.
* At 16.0 feet...Flood stage is reached, farmfields in low 
  lying areas and a local tree farm and greenhouse near Grove Bridge 
  Road will be flooded. Parts of Pleasant Grove Road will be covered 
  with 6 inches of water mainly on Tally Road and near Creeks Edge 
  drive.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261            

$$

222 
WGUS82 KGSP 041429
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1029 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers
in North Carolina...


  French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania 
  Counties.
 
.Runoff from previous heavy rain will result in the river remaining 
above flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please report high water...flooding and landslidesto the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or byposting on our Facebook page...or tweet 
it using hashtagnwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and 
thespecific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC089-175-051429-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151006T1700Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.151004T0310Z.151005T0600Z.151006T0500Z.NO/
1029 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The French Broad River At Blantyre
* Until Tuesday afternoon
* At 1015 AM Sunday the stage was...17.4 feet
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is still forecast
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet
* The river will continue rising to near 18.0 feet by early Monday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage early Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...The river will overtop the railroad tracks 
  near fodderstack mountain and river roads. Flooding of most of 
  areas between the river and railroad tracks will continue.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

423 
WGUS82 KGSP 050119
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
919 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers
in North Carolina...

  French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania 
  Counties.

 
.Runoff from previous heavy rain will result in the river remaining 
above flood stage through Monday.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

Please report high water...flooding and landslidesto the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or byposting on our Facebook page...or tweet 
it using hashtagnwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and 
thespecific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC089-175-060119-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151006T1700Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.151004T0310Z.151004T2300Z.151006T0500Z.NO/
919 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The French Broad River At Blantyre
* Until Tuesday afternoon
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was...17.9 feet
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet
* The river will continue rising to near 18.0 feet by early Monday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage early Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...The river will overtop the railroad tracks 
  near fodderstack mountain and river roads. Flooding of most of 
  areas between the river and railroad tracks will continue.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$
JPT

319 
WGUS82 KGSP 051421
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1021 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers
in North Carolina...


  French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania 
  Counties.

.Runoff from previous heavy rain will result in the river remaining 
above flood stage.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please report high water...flooding and landslidesto the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or byposting on our Facebook page...or tweet 
it using hashtagnwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and 
thespecific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC089-175-061421-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151006T1832Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.151004T0310Z.151004T2300Z.151006T0632Z.NO/
1021 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2015

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The French Broad River At Blantyre
* Until Tuesday afternoon
* At 1000 AM Monday the stage was...17.7 feet
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.5 feet...The river will begin to overtop the 
  railroad tracks south of grove road. Flooding of most areas between
  the river and railroad will continue.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

399 
WGUS82 KGSP 061236
FLSGSP
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
836 AM EDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the FRENCH BROAD RIVER
in North Carolina...

   At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania Counties.

Runoff from previous heavy rain has worked its way further 
downstream thus...the river will continue to fall slowly.

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

&&

NCC089-175-061306-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151006T1832Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.151004T0310Z.151004T2300Z.151006T0948Z.NO/
836 AM EDT TUE OCT 6 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The FRENCH BROAD RIVER At BLANTYRE.
* At 0815 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.32 feet.
* Action stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall to 10.5 feet 
  by Wednesday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1026 PM EDT THU OCT 1 2015

...HISTORIC...POTENTIALLY LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL EVENT
EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND...

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS STILL EXPECTED TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY
ATOP THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS TROPICAL CYCLONE JOAQUIN
MOVES NORTH THROUGH THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS. VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 1025 PM...SHRA INCREASING IN COVERAGE THIS EVENING AND WILL
BECOME WIDESPREAD BY MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL RATES HAVE NOT BEEN
EXCESSIVE THIS EVENING AND ACTIVITY IS SHOWING MOVEMENT...ALBEIT
SLOW. ALTHOUGH RATES SHOULD NOT BECOME EXCESSIVE OVERNIGHT...WITH
THE INCREASING COVERAGE...SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE SEVERAL ROUNDS
OF MODERATE RAINFALL WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLOODING.
OTHERWISE...GOING FCST IS ON TRACK WITH UPDATES MAINLY FOR CURRENT
CONDITIONS.

AS OF 750 PM...NUMEROUS SHRA...AND ISOLATED TSRA...REMAIN LIMITED TO
THE WRN CWFA...WHILE ISOLATED SHRA DEVELOP ELSEWHERE. ISOLATED
FLOODING IN THE HEAVIER CELLS STILL POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...MAINLY
ACROSS THE WRN CWFA. OTHERWISE...EXPECT PRECIP TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE ACROSS THE ARE THRU THE NITE AS ISENTROPIC LIFT AND
STRONGER ELY FLOW DEVELOP. SHUD SEE INCREASINGLY GUSTY WINDS AS
WELL. TEMPS LOOK ON TRACK.

AS OF 230 PM THURSDAY...AS WE HAVE BEEN ADVERTISING IN PREVIOUS
AFDS...MIDLEVEL LOW HAS CUT OFF OVER TN/KY...WITH ELONGATED
FRONT STRETCHING ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. SURFACE HIGH ACROSS
SOUTHERN CANADA HAS BEGUN TO RIDGE DOWN THE EASTERN SLOPES OF
THE APPALACHIANS WITH NORTHEAST SURFACE FLOW FIRMLY IN PLACE WITH
THE COLD AIR DAMMING. VORT MAX ROTATING AROUND THE MIDLEVEL LOW
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WIDESPREAD SYNOPTIC LIFT TO THE AREA...AND
UPPER DIFFLUENCE ALONG THE DEFORMATION ZONE NORTHEAST OF THE UPPER
LOW WILL ADD TO THIS. UPPER JET STREAK WILL CONTINUE PUSHING NORTH
ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW INCREASES AND MOISTURE BEGINS
POOLING EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS. NEAR RECORD-LEVEL PW VALUES WILL
STREAM INTO THE AREA...WITH TRAJECTORIES BRINGING TROPICAL MOISTURE
FROM JOAQUIN AND SLAMMING IT INTO THE SOUTHEAST. ISENTROPIC LIFT
PICKS UP AS WELL AND WITH STRONG LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW...ALL
THE INGREDIENTS ARE IN PLACE FOR A RAINFALL EVENT OF HISTORIC
PROPORTIONS ACROSS THE AREA. IN COMPARISON...WITH FAY IN 2008 WE HAD
WIDESPREAD 6 OR SO INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS...IN 1995 WE HAD UP
TO 20 INCHES WITH JERRY. STORM TOTAL QPF THROUGH THE NEAR TERM AND
SHORT TERM FOR PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...SPECIFICALLY
THE I-26 CORRIDOR...IS OVER 10 INCHES. FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS
BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA AND EXTENDED
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY. MORE ON THE SHORT TERM BELOW. HEAVY RAIN WILL
BE PUSHING IN FROM THE EAST TOMORROW MORNING WITH WIDESPREAD 2-3
INCHES EXPECTED ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE FOR THIS EVENT. AVOID GETTING OUT ON
THE ROADS THE NEXT FEW DAYS IF POSSIBLE. REMEMBER IT TAKES ONLY
A FOOT OF WATER TO MOVE A CAR...AND IF WATER IS OVER THE ROAD
THERE IS NO WAY FOR YOU TO KNOW IF THE ROAD IS STILL THERE. TURN
AROUND DON/T DROWN! ADDITIONALLY...WHILE NOT AS MUCH OF A CONCERN
FOR THE NEAR TERM... THE LANDSLIDE/DEBRIS FLOW RISK WILL RAMP UP
OVER THE WEEKEND AS WELL. SEE PNS ISSUED AT 1237 PM TODAY WITH
SOME PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION FOR LANDSLIDES.

BEYOND THE RAIN...MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES IN STORE WITH LOWS
TONIGHT DROPPING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 50S AND HIGHS FRIDAY IN
THE UPPER 50S ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...WITH MAYBE A FEW LOWER 60S
IN SOUTHWEST ZONES. WINDS WILL ALSO BE STEADY BETWEEN 10-15MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 25MPH OR SO...WITH WEAKENED ROOT SYSTEMS FROM
THE RECENT RAIN IT IS POSSIBLE SOME TREES MAY START COMING DOWN
AS WINDS PICK UP.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 300 PM EDT THURSDAY...THE SHORT TERM FCST PERIOD INITIALIZES
FRIDAY EVENING AMIDST THE ONSET OF A POTENTIALLY HISTORIC RAINFALL
EVENT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS.
GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT REGARDING ANY DIRECT
IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE JOAQUIN...YIELDING LITTLE TO NO IMMEDIATE
THREAT FOR OUR AREA.  THE PRIMARY FOCUS OF THE FCST WILL BE
THE CUTOFF H5 LOW PARKED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST.  AMPLE UPPER
LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC LIFT WILL BE PRESENT OVER THE SOUTHERN APPS
THANKS TO POTENT UPPER JETMAX ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE LONGWAVE
TROF...WHILE THE LOW/MID LEVELS CONTINUE TO MOISTEN AS BACKWARDS
PARCEL TRAJECTORIES INDICATE MOISTURE SOURCES FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC.  TO COMPLICATE MATTERS...NORTHEAST FLOW AT THE SURFACE
WILL AID DAMMING/WEDGING AND THUS PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR ISENTROPIC
ASCENT OF A FORE MENTIONED MOISTURE ADVECTION.

ALL SAID...THE POTENTIAL FOR CATASTROPHIC FLOODING LOOKS TO BE ON
THE RISE.  LATEST WPC QPF SUPPORTS TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 12-14 INCHES
ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...WITH THE MAXIMUM ALONG THE
I26 CORRIDOR.  OPTED TO LEAN HEAVILY ON SAID WPC TOTALS...WITH SOME
BLENDING OF THE LATEST ECMWF WHICH LOWERED TOTALS A BIT.  AS FOR THE
FCST...LIKELY/CATEGORICAL POPS PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY/SUNDAY WITH
THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL EXPECTED ON SATURDAY...INTO MID/LATE MORNING
ON SUNDAY.  WILL REISSUE THE CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH WITH AN
EMPHASIS ON DEBRIS FLOW OVER THE NC/SC/GA HIGH TERRAIN WHERE UPWARDS
OF 8-12 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD LIFE THREATENING
LAND/MUD SLIDES.  MODELS FAVOR GRADUAL RELIEF INTO MONDAY AS THE
UPPER LOW SLOWLY EJECTS NORTHEAST...WITH POPS COMPLYING.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 215 PM THU...MODEL DIFFERENCES AND RUN-TO-RUN INCONSISTENCY
CONTINUE TO LIMIT FCST CONFIDENCE INTO THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD. 12Z
GFS BEARS MORE SIMILARITY TO 00Z OPNL EC...IN THAT JOAQUIN HINDERS
THE EWD PROGRESSION AND DISSOLUTION OF THE UPPER LOW OVER THE SERN
CONUS EARLY IN THE WEEK. CONSENSUS DOES PUT THE CWFA UNDER A DRIER
AND LESS EFFECTIVE NELY LOW LEVEL FLOW MON NIGHT INTO TUE...ALLOWING
PRECIP TO COME TO AN END AND HYDROLOGIC RECOVERY TO BEGIN. GFS IS
STILL FASTER IN OPENING UP THE LOW AND TAKING IT OUT OF OUR AREA. IN
FACT IT ESSENTIALLY ABSORBS IT INTO THE MEAN PATTERN BY 00Z WED...AS
IT DEPICTS A NRN STREAM TROUGH AMPLIFYING OVER THE NE CONUS. GFS THUS
IS DRY MON NIGHT. THE EC TAKES ABOUT 24 MORE HOURS TO MOVE THE LOW
SUFFICIENTLY EAST FOR PRECIP TO END ACRS THE CWFA. THE FLIP SIDE IS
THAT THE GFS DEPICTION OF A MORE PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN LATER IN
THE WEEK IMPLIES SOONER ARRIVAL OF RETURN FLOW AND PRECIP CHANCES.

THE NEW 12Z EC FIELDS AVAILABLE AT PRESS TIME SUGGEST ITS FCST HAS
CHANGED LITTLE FROM THE 00Z RUN. OUR OFFICIAL FCST WILL LEAN IN FAVOR
OF THE EC GIVEN ITS CONSISTENCY...ALLOWING POPS TO RAMP DOWN THRU THE
FIRST 24 HRS OF THE PERIOD FOLLOWED BY SETTLED WEATHER UNDERNEATH
SHORTWAVE UPPER RIDGE. I DID MAKE A SLIGHT NOD TO THE GFS AND BRING
SCHC POPS IN AGAIN ON THURSDAY. TEMPS WILL MODERATE TO NEAR CLIMO.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...WIDESPREAD MVFR CIGS ATTM WILL BECOME IFR
THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THRU THE PERIOD. SHRA...AND ISOLATED TSRA
NEAR KAVL...WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS WELL...AND COULD BRIEFLY
LOWER VSBY UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT WHEN STEADY AND EVENTUALLY HEAVIER
RA/DZ WILL LOWER VSBY TO LOW MVFR...AND POSSIBLY IFR. GUSTY N TO NE
WIND WILL CONTINUE THRU THE PERIOD AS WELL. KAVL THE EXCEPTION WHERE
NON-GUSTY NLY WIND REMAINS IN PLACE...WITH GUSTS POSSIBLE FRI.

OUTLOOK...A MOIST EASTERLY FLOW WILL SUPPORT AT LEAST PERIODIC
RESTRICTIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HEAVY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ACROSS ALL OR PART OF THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND...AS
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST INTERACTS WITH TROPICAL
MOISTURE.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            02-08Z        08-14Z        14-20Z        20-00Z
KCLT       LOW   52%     LOW   58%     MED   76%     MED   73%
KGSP       MED   62%     MED   65%     MED   78%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       MED   62%     MED   62%     MED   63%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       MED   62%     MED   61%     LOW   51%     MED   64%
KGMU       HIGH  87%     MED   69%     MED   75%     HIGH 100%
KAND       MED   66%     MED   61%     MED   60%     HIGH  83%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 8 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
     FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 8 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
     FOR NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-
     501>510.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 8 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
     FOR SCZ001>014-019.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CSH
NEAR TERM...RWH/TDP
SHORT TERM...CDG
LONG TERM...WIMBERLEY
AVIATION...RWH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
408 PM EDT THU OCT 1 2015

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-022015-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
408 PM EDT THU OCT 1 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

..FRIDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLASH FLOODING LIKELY. SEE THE LATEST
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR DETAILS.
..SATURDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLASH FLOODING LIKELY. SEE THE
LATEST FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR DETAILS.
..SUNDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLASH FLOODING LIKELY. SEE THE LATEST
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR DETAILS.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
719 PM EDT THU OCT 01 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SE CLEMSON            34.67N 82.80W
10/01/2015                   PICKENS            SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL ROADS ARE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER IN THE
            WOODLAND HEIGHTS AND DELLWOOD NEIGHBORHOODS...NEAR SMALL
            TRIBUTARIES TO TWELVE MILE CREEK.

0700 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 NNE CLEMSON           34.74N 82.80W
10/01/2015                   PICKENS            SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING IN CENTRAL. MAW BRIDGE
            ROAD...BLUE JAY ROAD...SPRING FOREST DRIVE...BROCK
            STREET.

&&

WIMBERLEY