Tornado Warning 99, NWS Fort Worth, TX

173 
WWUS54 KFWD 252151 RRA
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
451 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

TXC161-252200-
/O.CAN.KFWD.TO.W.0099.000000T0000Z-150525T2200Z/
FREESTONE TX-
451 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN FREESTONE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT 
OF THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR 
FREESTONE COUNTY.


LAT...LON 3188 9633 3228 9630 3228 9628 3225 9628
      3225 9624 3220 9619 3221 9615 3218 9618
      3216 9617 3215 9612 3210 9612 3208 9611
      3208 9606 3204 9607 3201 9605
TIME...MOT...LOC 2150Z 185DEG 26KT 3202 9622 

$$

TXC349-252200-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0099.000000T0000Z-150525T2200Z/
NAVARRO TX-
451 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
NAVARRO COUNTY...
    
AT 450 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 
WAS LOCATED OVER RICHLAND CHAMBERS LAKE OR 7 MILES SOUTH OF 
KERENS...OR 14 MILES EAST OF CORSICANA...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE 
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS 
         LIKELY. 

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  KERENS AROUND 500 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE
EUREKA...GOODLOW...STREETMAN AND MILDRED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A 
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE 
HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND 
PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3188 9633 3228 9630 3228 9628 3225 9628
      3225 9624 3220 9619 3221 9615 3218 9618
      3216 9617 3215 9612 3210 9612 3208 9611
      3208 9606 3204 9607 3201 9605
TIME...MOT...LOC 2150Z 185DEG 26KT 3202 9622 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

92

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
253 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...

WATER VAPOR AND RADAR MOSAIC LOOPS SHOW A VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE
NEAR CHILDRESS MOVING NORTHEAST WITH A BAND OF INTENSE AND SEVERE
CONVECTION EXTENDING ACROSS OUT WESTERN COUNTIES AND INTO THE
HILL COUNTY. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...THERE WERE SCATTERED CLUSTERS
OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE LINE WILL CONTINUE MOVING
EAST 30 MPH ACROSS THE REST OF THE CWA THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
SOME OF THE HI-RES MODELS KEEP SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY GOING OVER
THE FAR EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES UNTIL 10 PM.
AFTERWARD...THINK MUCH OF THE CWA WILL BE QUIET BUT HAVE
MAINTAINED 20-30 POPS OVER THE EAST/SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

WE WILL BE REMOVING COUNTIES FROM THE TORNADO WATCH AS THE LINE
PROGRESSES EAST AND THE THREAT ENDS TO THE WEST.

TUESDAY WILL BE ANOTHER DAY OF CONCERN FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS
FORECAST SOUNDINGS REMAIN VERY UNSTABLE AND A DRYLINE WILL
ENCROACH INTO THE FAR WESTERN COUNTIES. WHATEVER GOES UP ALONG THE
DRYLINE WILL HAVE SBCAPE OF 5500 J/KG TO FEED ON...THUS BEING CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WHERE ANY SURFACE BOUNDARIES
REMAIN.

OUR ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN UNSTABLE GOING THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH
MONDAY. HOWEVER...WEAK RIDGING ALOFT WILL OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHICH SHOULD PROVIDE FOR LESS STORM
COVERAGE. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT RETURNS THURSDAY WITH SEVERAL
STRONG SHORT WAVES MOVING ACROSS THE REGION...THUS A RETURN TO
HIGHER POPS THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. OUR UPPER FLOW BECOMES
MORE NORTHWESTERLY SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH
OUT FOR UPSTREAM NOCTURNAL CONVECTION OVER THE PANHANDLE OR
EASTERN COLORADO THAT COULD AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS THE FIRST
HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

DO NOT SEE ANY NEED TO CHANGE OUR TEMPERATURE FORECAST AS LOWS
WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WHILE HIGHS AVERAGE NEAR
NORMAL. AS CONVECTION ENDS TONIGHT...CLOUDS WILL DECREASE AND WE
WILL SEE THE SUN RETURN FOR TOMORROW. HOWEVER...A RETURN OF MOIST
LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BRING MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES BACK TO THE CWA ON
WEDNESDAY...AND THIS PROCESS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
75

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1236 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015/
LINE OF STORMS IS MOVING EASTWARD AND SHOULD ARRIVE IN METROPLEX
FROM WEST TO EAST AND AFFECT TAFS SITES BETWEEN 19Z-22Z. STRONG TO
SEVERE WESTERLY WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH TEMPORARY IFR/LIFR VSBY IN
HEAVY RAINS. ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE RATHER QUICKLY TO THE EAST AND
EXPECT BY 6PM LOCAL AND 23Z TO SEE STORMS EAST OF TAF SITES. WILL
WATCH FOR POSSIBLE REDEVELOPMENT BEHIND SQUALL LINE...BUT BELIEVE
AIRMASS WILL BE TOO WORKED OVER FOR AN ADDITIONAL ROUND.

FOR WACO MORE CELLULAR ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE AHEAD OF LINE AND
WILL SHOW A TEMPO FROM 18Z TO 22Z.

OTHERWISE VFR WILL PREVAIL THIS EVENING AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.
MVFR STRATUS SHOULD ARRIVE BY EARLY MORNING. OUTSIDE OF STORM
INFLUENCES...SOUTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL AT 10-15KT.

ADDITIONAL STORMS POSSIBLE IN TUESDAY AFTERNOON BUT ACTIVITY WILL
BE MORE LIMITED IN COVERAGE. MAY NEED VCTS IN LATER TAF ISSUANCES.

TR.92

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  66  87  70  86  71 /  20  20  30  20  20
WACO, TX              67  86  71  86  71 /  20  20  20  20  20
PARIS, TX             65  82  68  85  69 /  70  20  30  30  20
DENTON, TX            64  86  69  86  70 /  20  20  30  20  20
MCKINNEY, TX          65  84  69  86  70 /  20  20  30  30  20
DALLAS, TX            66  86  71  87  71 /  20  20  30  20  20
TERRELL, TX           66  85  71  88  70 /  50  20  30  20  20
CORSICANA, TX         67  85  72  86  71 /  40  20  20  20  20
TEMPLE, TX            68  87  70  88  71 /  20  20  20  20  20
MINERAL WELLS, TX     64  88  69  86  69 /  20  20  20  20  20

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

/75

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
324 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-261200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
324 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...THEN CONTINUE EAST OF INTERSTATE
35 EARLY THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS...AND
HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE MAIN THREATS. ANY ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAIN WILL RAPIDLY RUN OFF AND ONLY AGGRAVATE ONGOING RIVER
FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN
ON TUESDAY. BEST CHANCES WILL OCCUR NORTHWEST OF A LAMPASAS...TO
HILLSBORO...TO TERRELL...TO PARIS LINE DURING PRIMARILY THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS WEDNESDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES WILL OCCUR LATE THURSDAY INTO
SATURDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN.

ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL THIS WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING AND ACT TO ENHANCE
ONGOING RIVER FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE MORNING
INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
323 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0321 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 W DUNCANVILLE         32.65N  96.95W
05/25/2015  E60 MPH          DALLAS             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GUST TO 60MPH 3W OF DUNCANVILLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
328 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0324 PM     HAIL             HEWITT                  31.47N  97.20W
05/25/2015  E1.00 INCH       MCLENNAN           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SPRING VALLEY ROAD AND BAGBY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
335 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

TXZ094-105-252115-
HUNT TX-FANNIN TX-
335 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HUNT AND FANNIN COUNTIES UNTIL
415 PM CDT...

AT 334 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
LEONARD...OR 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BONHAM...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GREENVILLE...BONHAM...COMMERCE...LEONARD...HONEY GROVE...WOLFE
CITY...CADDO MILLS...SAVOY...CELESTE...ECTOR...CAMPBELL...DODD
CITY...BAILEY...RAVENNA...BONHAM STATE PARK...JOSEPHINE...TRENTON...
LADONIA...LONE OAK AND PECAN GAP.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 30 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 82 AND 109.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
TEXAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3385 9586 3298 9586 3299 9630 3334 9629
      3334 9638 3370 9638 3369 9632 3377 9628
      3376 9619 3381 9616 3381 9618 3384 9615
      3384 9605 3386 9603 3384 9602 3387 9600
      3385 9598 3386 9594 3389 9593
TIME...MOT...LOC 2034Z 274DEG 40KT 3339 9631

CAVANAUGH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
352 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0347 PM     LIGHTNING        3 W HILLSBORO           32.00N  97.18W
05/25/2015                   HILL               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ON HWY 22 LIGHTNING STRUCK TWO CARS ON I-35 CAUSING
            AIRBAGS TO DEPLOY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
403 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0403 PM     TORNADO          KIRVIN                  31.77N  96.33W
05/25/2015                   FREESTONE          TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS TORNADO NEAR KIRVIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
432 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     TSTM WND GST     TERRELL                 32.73N  96.28W
05/25/2015  M60 MPH          KAUFMAN            TX   ASOS

            TRL ASOS REPORTS GUST OF 51KTS