Flash Flood Warning 88, NWS Fort Worth, TX

315 
WGUS74 KFWD 252136
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
436 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

TXC139-217-252345-
/O.CON.KFWD.FF.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150525T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HILL TX-ELLIS TX-
436 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR
HILL AND ELLIS COUNTIES...

AT 434 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED THAT THE HEAVY RAIN IS TAPERING OFF 
AND BEGINNING TO END FROM WEST TO EAST.  HOWEVER...FLASH FLOODING 
WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT FOR A WHILE LONGER.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
GRAND PRAIRIE...MANSFIELD...CEDAR HILL...WAXAHACHIE...ENNIS...
MIDLOTHIAN...GLENN HEIGHTS...RED OAK...HILLSBORO...OVILLA...VENUS...
FERRIS...WHITNEY...PALMER...ITALY...ITASCA...HUBBARD...OAK LEAF...
MAYPEARL AND BARDWELL.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

&&

LAT...LON 3207 9690 3182 9672 3171 9693 3186 9704
      3176 9730 3184 9728 3193 9744 3198 9738
      3203 9743 3202 9749 3218 9747 3226 9709
      3255 9709 3254 9652 3253 9651 3245 9650
      3241 9644 3235 9645 3233 9638

$$

75

509 
WGUS74 KFWD 252344
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
644 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

TXC139-217-252354-
/O.EXP.KFWD.FF.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150525T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HILL TX-ELLIS TX-
644 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR HILL AND ELLIS COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
645 PM CDT...

FLOOD WATERS ARE RECEDING...AND ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A 
THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ANY ROAD 
CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 3207 9690 3182 9672 3171 9693 3186 9704
      3176 9730 3184 9728 3193 9744 3198 9738
      3203 9743 3202 9749 3218 9747 3226 9709
      3255 9709 3254 9652 3253 9651 3245 9650
      3241 9644 3235 9645 3233 9638

$$

CAVANAUGH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
253 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...

WATER VAPOR AND RADAR MOSAIC LOOPS SHOW A VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE
NEAR CHILDRESS MOVING NORTHEAST WITH A BAND OF INTENSE AND SEVERE
CONVECTION EXTENDING ACROSS OUT WESTERN COUNTIES AND INTO THE
HILL COUNTY. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...THERE WERE SCATTERED CLUSTERS
OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE LINE WILL CONTINUE MOVING
EAST 30 MPH ACROSS THE REST OF THE CWA THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
SOME OF THE HI-RES MODELS KEEP SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY GOING OVER
THE FAR EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES UNTIL 10 PM.
AFTERWARD...THINK MUCH OF THE CWA WILL BE QUIET BUT HAVE
MAINTAINED 20-30 POPS OVER THE EAST/SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

WE WILL BE REMOVING COUNTIES FROM THE TORNADO WATCH AS THE LINE
PROGRESSES EAST AND THE THREAT ENDS TO THE WEST.

TUESDAY WILL BE ANOTHER DAY OF CONCERN FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS
FORECAST SOUNDINGS REMAIN VERY UNSTABLE AND A DRYLINE WILL
ENCROACH INTO THE FAR WESTERN COUNTIES. WHATEVER GOES UP ALONG THE
DRYLINE WILL HAVE SBCAPE OF 5500 J/KG TO FEED ON...THUS BEING CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WHERE ANY SURFACE BOUNDARIES
REMAIN.

OUR ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN UNSTABLE GOING THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH
MONDAY. HOWEVER...WEAK RIDGING ALOFT WILL OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHICH SHOULD PROVIDE FOR LESS STORM
COVERAGE. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT RETURNS THURSDAY WITH SEVERAL
STRONG SHORT WAVES MOVING ACROSS THE REGION...THUS A RETURN TO
HIGHER POPS THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. OUR UPPER FLOW BECOMES
MORE NORTHWESTERLY SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH
OUT FOR UPSTREAM NOCTURNAL CONVECTION OVER THE PANHANDLE OR
EASTERN COLORADO THAT COULD AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS THE FIRST
HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

DO NOT SEE ANY NEED TO CHANGE OUR TEMPERATURE FORECAST AS LOWS
WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WHILE HIGHS AVERAGE NEAR
NORMAL. AS CONVECTION ENDS TONIGHT...CLOUDS WILL DECREASE AND WE
WILL SEE THE SUN RETURN FOR TOMORROW. HOWEVER...A RETURN OF MOIST
LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BRING MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES BACK TO THE CWA ON
WEDNESDAY...AND THIS PROCESS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
75

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1236 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015/
LINE OF STORMS IS MOVING EASTWARD AND SHOULD ARRIVE IN METROPLEX
FROM WEST TO EAST AND AFFECT TAFS SITES BETWEEN 19Z-22Z. STRONG TO
SEVERE WESTERLY WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH TEMPORARY IFR/LIFR VSBY IN
HEAVY RAINS. ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE RATHER QUICKLY TO THE EAST AND
EXPECT BY 6PM LOCAL AND 23Z TO SEE STORMS EAST OF TAF SITES. WILL
WATCH FOR POSSIBLE REDEVELOPMENT BEHIND SQUALL LINE...BUT BELIEVE
AIRMASS WILL BE TOO WORKED OVER FOR AN ADDITIONAL ROUND.

FOR WACO MORE CELLULAR ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE AHEAD OF LINE AND
WILL SHOW A TEMPO FROM 18Z TO 22Z.

OTHERWISE VFR WILL PREVAIL THIS EVENING AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.
MVFR STRATUS SHOULD ARRIVE BY EARLY MORNING. OUTSIDE OF STORM
INFLUENCES...SOUTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL AT 10-15KT.

ADDITIONAL STORMS POSSIBLE IN TUESDAY AFTERNOON BUT ACTIVITY WILL
BE MORE LIMITED IN COVERAGE. MAY NEED VCTS IN LATER TAF ISSUANCES.

TR.92

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  66  87  70  86  71 /  20  20  30  20  20
WACO, TX              67  86  71  86  71 /  20  20  20  20  20
PARIS, TX             65  82  68  85  69 /  70  20  30  30  20
DENTON, TX            64  86  69  86  70 /  20  20  30  20  20
MCKINNEY, TX          65  84  69  86  70 /  20  20  30  30  20
DALLAS, TX            66  86  71  87  71 /  20  20  30  20  20
TERRELL, TX           66  85  71  88  70 /  50  20  30  20  20
CORSICANA, TX         67  85  72  86  71 /  40  20  20  20  20
TEMPLE, TX            68  87  70  88  71 /  20  20  20  20  20
MINERAL WELLS, TX     64  88  69  86  69 /  20  20  20  20  20

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

/75

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
324 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-261200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
324 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...THEN CONTINUE EAST OF INTERSTATE
35 EARLY THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS...AND
HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE MAIN THREATS. ANY ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAIN WILL RAPIDLY RUN OFF AND ONLY AGGRAVATE ONGOING RIVER
FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN
ON TUESDAY. BEST CHANCES WILL OCCUR NORTHWEST OF A LAMPASAS...TO
HILLSBORO...TO TERRELL...TO PARIS LINE DURING PRIMARILY THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS WEDNESDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES WILL OCCUR LATE THURSDAY INTO
SATURDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN.

ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL THIS WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING AND ACT TO ENHANCE
ONGOING RIVER FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE MORNING
INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
304 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0303 PM     TSTM WND DMG     THORNTON                31.40N  96.58W
05/25/2015                   LIMESTONE          TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DAMAGE IN THORNTON, BLOCKING ROADS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
306 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0304 PM     HAIL             1 NW MOSHEIM            31.63N  97.61W
05/25/2015  E0.88 INCH       BOSQUE             TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            NICKEL HAIL ON FM 217 NW OF MOSHIEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
322 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     HAIL             VAN ALSTYNE             33.42N  96.58W
05/25/2015  E0.88 INCH       GRAYSON            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
323 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0321 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 W DUNCANVILLE         32.65N  96.95W
05/25/2015  E60 MPH          DALLAS             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GUST TO 60MPH 3W OF DUNCANVILLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
328 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0324 PM     HAIL             HEWITT                  31.47N  97.20W
05/25/2015  E1.00 INCH       MCLENNAN           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SPRING VALLEY ROAD AND BAGBY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
335 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

TXZ094-105-252115-
HUNT TX-FANNIN TX-
335 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HUNT AND FANNIN COUNTIES UNTIL
415 PM CDT...

AT 334 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
LEONARD...OR 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BONHAM...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GREENVILLE...BONHAM...COMMERCE...LEONARD...HONEY GROVE...WOLFE
CITY...CADDO MILLS...SAVOY...CELESTE...ECTOR...CAMPBELL...DODD
CITY...BAILEY...RAVENNA...BONHAM STATE PARK...JOSEPHINE...TRENTON...
LADONIA...LONE OAK AND PECAN GAP.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 30 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 82 AND 109.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
TEXAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3385 9586 3298 9586 3299 9630 3334 9629
      3334 9638 3370 9638 3369 9632 3377 9628
      3376 9619 3381 9616 3381 9618 3384 9615
      3384 9605 3386 9603 3384 9602 3387 9600
      3385 9598 3386 9594 3389 9593
TIME...MOT...LOC 2034Z 274DEG 40KT 3339 9631

CAVANAUGH