Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 70, NWS Atlanta, GA

November 2, 2015Elbert County, Madison County, Oglethorpe County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Nov 2, 2015, 2:21 PM EST for Elbert County, Madison County, Oglethorpe County, Georgia. It took effect at Nov 2, 2015, 4:07 PM EST. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 2, 2015, 2:21 PM EST (19:21 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 2, 2015, 4:07 PM EST
Expired
Nov 3, 2015, 4:01 PM EST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Elbert County, GA, Madison County, GA, Oglethorpe County, GA

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Broad River in GA above Carlton (CARG1).

Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
34 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02191300, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

255 
WGUS42 KFFC 021921
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
221 PM EST MON NOV 2 2015

...The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Broad River near Carlton affecting Elbert...Madison and Oglethorpe
  Counties


.Recent heavy rainfall has caused significant runoff into streams and
rivers which will cause flooding in some areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest
forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect
life and property.

The latest stage data was furnished in cooperation with the United 
States Geological Survey.

&&

GAC105-195-221-030921-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0070.151102T2107Z-151103T1814Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.151102T2107Z.151103T0600Z.151103T1214Z.UU/
221 PM EST MON NOV 2 2015

The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a
* Flood Warning for 
  The Broad River near Carlton.
* From this afternoon until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 1 PM Monday the stage was 13.9 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 17.1 feet by early Tuesday morning.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by mid morning Tuesday.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding will expand further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on the Georgia Highway 72 bridge. A sand dredge operation 
  on the left bank near the gage will become flooded. A large portion
  of Roy Wood Road will be flooded with several feet of water and the
  Broad River Outpost for Canoes and Kayaks location will be under 
  water. Flooding of the yard behind an assisted living home off of 
  Roy Wood Road will continue to expand.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312             

$$
6 follow-up statements
591 
WGUS82 KFFC 030143
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
843 PM EST MON NOV 2 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Middle Oconee River near Arcade affecting Barrow and Jackson 
  Counties 

  Broad River near Carlton affecting Elbert...Madison and Oglethorpe
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

 
GAC013-157-031543-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-151103T1708Z/
/ACDG1.1.ER.151103T0443Z.151103T0600Z.151103T1108Z.NO/
843 PM EST MON NOV 2 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Middle Oconee River near Arcade.
* From tonight until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 7 PM Monday the stage was 14.1 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage to near 16.6 feet by early Tuesday morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage by late Tuesday morning.
* At 16 feet...Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands...fields and pasture upstream and downstream from the 
  gage at Georgia Highway 82. A few dirt access roads will be 
  flooded. A residential yard just downstream will begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3404 8377 3410 8375 3406 8355 3400 8347
      3395 8352 3402 8363             

$$

GAC105-195-221-031542-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-151103T1815Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.151102T1940Z.151103T0600Z.151103T1215Z.UU/
843 PM EST MON NOV 2 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Broad River near Carlton.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 7 PM Monday the stage was 17.7 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.1 feet by early Tuesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by mid morning Tuesday.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding will expand further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on the Georgia Highway 72 bridge. A sand dredge operation 
  on the left bank near the gage will become flooded. A large portion
  of Roy Wood Road will be flooded with several feet of water and the
  Broad River Outpost for Canoes and Kayaks location will be under 
  water. Flooding of the yard behind an assisted living home off of 
  Roy Wood Road will continue to expand.

&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312             

$$

GAC059-133-219-031542-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0065.151103T0815Z-151105T1635Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151103T0815Z.151104T0600Z.151105T1035Z.NO/
843 PM EST MON NOV 2 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* From early Tuesday until Thursday morning.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 12.1 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 16 feet by early Wednesday morning. The river will
  fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* At 17 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures near the river. The water level is very 
  close to Ward Road on the right bank. Flood waters will be 
  approaching irrigation systems and they may need to be moved to 
  higher ground.
  
&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$
703 
WGUS82 KFFC 030741
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
241 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Big Creek near Cumming affecting Forsyth County 

  Suwanee Creek near Suwanee affecting Gwinnett County 

  Yellow River near Conyers below Milstead affecting Newton and 
  Rockdale Counties 

  Middle Oconee River near Arcade affecting Barrow and Jackson 
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

  Flint River near Lovejoy affecting Clayton...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Whitewater Creek near Starrs Mill affecting Fayette County 

  Broad River near Carlton affecting Elbert...Madison and Oglethorpe
  Counties 


GAC117-031306-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-151103T1306Z/
/CMGG1.1.ER.151102T1407Z.151102T2315Z.151103T0706Z.UU/
241 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until this morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Big Creek near Cumming.
* Until this morning.
* At 145 AM Tuesday the stage was 6.4 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 6 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early this 
  morning.
* At 6 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding will expand 
  into the natural flood plain of the creek upstream and downstream 
  from the gage at Atlanta Highway or Georgia Highway 9. Large 
  portions of the sidewalk and boardwalk of the Big Creek Greenway 
  will begin to flood. The areas under the Georgia 400 Highway and 
  McFarland Road will be covered with around one foot of water. A 
  portion of the sidewalk under Majors Road will be covered with 
  around two feet of water. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3418 8424 3417 8420 3411 8419 3410 8420
      3410 8425 3411 8424             

$$

GAC117-121-032141-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-151105T0051Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.151101T2322Z.151103T1800Z.151104T1851Z.NO/
241 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 145 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.3 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.6 feet by this afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday evening.
* At 10 feet...Minor flooding expands along the creek from near 
  Cumming to Alpharetta and Roswell. Backyards of homes off Seale 
  Drive and Gunter Court and portions of the Golf of Georgia are 
  under a foot of water. The Big Creek Greenway experiences 
  significant flooding up to 4 feet deep with closure of the paths. 
  This especially occurs upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  Kimball Bridge Road and Rock Hill Park. A large portion of the YMCA
  Campground off Preston Ridge Road will be under a two feet of 
  water. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

GAC135-032141-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-151104T0125Z/
/SWEG1.1.ER.151102T1802Z.151103T0300Z.151103T1925Z.NO/
241 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Suwanee Creek near Suwanee.
* Until this evening.
* At 2 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.6 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* At 10 feet...Minor flooding expands further into the flood plain 
  from Suwanee Creek Park through Martin Farm Park to George Pierce 
  Park. The Suwanee Creek Greenway and trails are completely flooded 
  with the water approaching the Swift Atlanta Company parking lot. 
  Suwanee Creek Road begins to flood in low areas near Bennett Creek 
  Bridge. In addition...yards begin to flood off Bend Creek Trail and
  Mill Creek Run. Portions of the playground behind the Suwanee 
  Elementary School will be flooded.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3412 8403 3410 8396 3403 8398 3401 8413
      3403 8412 3406 8409             

$$

GAC063-113-255-032141-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0061.151103T1424Z-151104T0600Z/
/LOVG1.1.ER.151103T1424Z.151103T1800Z.151104T0000Z.NO/
241 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Flint River near Lovejoy.
* From late this morning until late tonight.
* At 145 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.3 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 12.3 feet by this afternoon.The river will
  fall below flood stage by tonight.
* At 12 feet...Flood Stage is reached and minor flooding begins. 
  Flooding of Rivers Edge Golf Course begins. Several holes and 
  fairways will flood. Flooding of some yards begins upstream of gage
  between Upper Riverdale Road and Highway 138.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3360 8444 3363 8438 3354 8434 3340 8435
      3340 8443 3354 8441             

$$

GAC113-032141-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SMFG1.1.ER.151103T0146Z.151103T0430Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
241 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Whitewater Creek near Starrs Mill.
* Until further notice.
* At 2 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.3 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* At 10 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands and fields along the creek downstream from the Starrs 
  Mill Dam to Line Creek. The parking lot will begin to flood at 
  Starrs Mill Park. Concrete picnic tables at the park will be under 
  water.Flood waters will begin to flow through the concrete 
  spillway.

&&

LAT...LON 3336 8449 3336 8453 3328 8451 3327 8450


$$

GAC217-247-032100-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151103T2100Z/
/MYRG1.1.ER.151103T0838Z.151103T1200Z.151103T1500Z.UU/
241 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Yellow River near Conyers below Milstead.
* From early this morning until this afternoon.
* At 2 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.7 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* At 12 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands...fields 
  and pasture along the river upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on Gees Mill Road in Rockdale County. Large portions of Sockwell 
  Road by the river in Newton County will be up to 3 feet under 
  water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3366 8399 3371 8395 3359 8387 3356 8393


$$

GAC013-157-031733-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-151103T1733Z/
/ACDG1.1.ER.151103T0447Z.151103T0645Z.151103T1133Z.NO/
241 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Middle Oconee River near Arcade.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 145 AM Tuesday the stage was 17.1 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river continues to rise though will likely fall below flood stage 
  by this afternoon.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands...fields 
  and pasture upstream and downstream from the gage at Georgia 
  Highway 82. A few dirt access roads and a residential yard just 
  downstream will be flooded with up to two feet of water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3404 8377 3410 8375 3406 8355 3400 8347
      3395 8352 3402 8363             

$$

GAC105-195-221-031815-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-151103T1815Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.151102T1940Z.151103T0300Z.151103T1215Z.UU/
241 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Broad River near Carlton.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 145 AM Tuesday the stage was 17.4 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this afternoon.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding will expand further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on the Georgia Highway 72 bridge. A sand dredge operation 
  on the left bank near the gage will become flooded. A large portion
  of Roy Wood Road will be flooded with several feet of water and the
  Broad River Outpost for Canoes and Kayaks location will be under 
  water. Flooding of the yard behind an assisted living home off of 
  Roy Wood Road will continue to expand.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312             

$$

GAC059-133-219-032141-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0065.151103T0725Z-151105T1635Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151103T0655Z.151104T0600Z.151105T1035Z.NO/
241 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 2 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.0 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 16 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* At 17 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures near the river. The water level is very 
  close to Ward Road on the right bank. Flood waters will be 
  approaching irrigation systems and they may need to be moved to 
  higher ground.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$
208 
WGUS82 KFFC 031124
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
624 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Big Creek near Cumming affecting Forsyth County

  Whitewater Creek near Starrs Mill affecting Fayette County

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

  Suwanee Creek near Suwanee affecting Gwinnett County 

  Flint River near Lovejoy affecting Clayton...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Yellow River near East Lithonia affecting De Kalb and Rockdale 
  Counties 

  Yellow River near Conyers below Milstead affecting Newton and 
  Rockdale Counties 

  Middle Oconee River near Arcade affecting Barrow and Jackson 
  Counties 

  Broad River near Carlton affecting Elbert...Madison and Oglethorpe
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  South River near Snapping Shoals affecting Butts...Henry and 
  Newton Counties 

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 


GAC117-031154-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-151103T1306Z/
/CMGG1.1.ER.151102T1407Z.151102T2315Z.151103T0731Z.UU/
624 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Big Creek near Cumming.
* This takes affect immediately.
* At 545 AM Tuesday the stage was 4.2 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 6 feet.
* The creek/river will continue to fall.
* At 5 feet...Bankfull conditions continue to expand into low lying
  areas of the creek upstream and downstream from the gage at Atlanta
  Highway or Georgia Highway 9. Portions of the sidewalk on the Big 
  Creek Greenway under the Georgia 400 Highway and McFarland Road 
  begin to flood. A portion of the sidewalk under Majors Road will be
  covered with around one foot of water. The water level will begin 
  reaching the bottom of the boardwalk along several sections of the 
  Greenway.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3418 8424 3417 8420 3411 8419 3410 8420
      3410 8425 3411 8424             

$$

GAC117-121-040124-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-151104T2240Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.151101T2322Z.151103T1800Z.151104T1640Z.NO/
624 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 545 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.6 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.7 feet by this afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday afternoon.
* At 10 feet...Minor flooding expands along the creek from near 
  Cumming to Alpharetta and Roswell. Backyards of homes off Seale 
  Drive and Gunter Court and portions of the Golf of Georgia are 
  under a foot of water. The Big Creek Greenway experiences 
  significant flooding up to 4 feet deep with closure of the paths. 
  This especially occurs upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  Kimball Bridge Road and Rock Hill Park. A large portion of the YMCA
  Campground off Preston Ridge Road will be under a two feet of 
  water. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

GAC135-031930-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-151103T1930Z/
/SWEG1.1.ER.151102T1802Z.151103T0300Z.151103T1330Z.NO/
624 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Suwanee Creek near Suwanee.
* Until late this morning.
* At 545 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.5 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  morning.
* At 9 feet...Minor flooding expands along the creek upstream and 
  downstream from the gage at U S Highway 23 or Buford Highway. Most 
  of the Suwanee Creek Greenway and trails are flooded from the 
  Suwanee Creek Park to George Pierce Park. The minor flooding will 
  also begin to affect portions of the playground area behind the 
  Suwanee Elementary School. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3412 8403 3410 8396 3403 8398 3401 8413
      3403 8412 3406 8409             

$$

GAC063-113-255-040124-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0061.151103T1101Z-151104T1100Z/
/LOVG1.1.ER.151103T0855Z.151103T1800Z.151104T0500Z.NO/
624 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Flint River near Lovejoy.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 545 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.4 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.3 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage after midnight tonight.
* At 14 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Significant flooding 
  occurs of residential yards upstream of the gage betweenUpper 
  Riverdale Road and Georgia Highway 138. Some roads begin to flood 
  such as Upper Riverdale Road and Mockingbird Road. Flooding expands
  on portions of the Rivers Edge Golf Course. Several holes and 
  fairways will flood. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3360 8444 3363 8438 3354 8434 3340 8435
      3340 8443 3354 8441             

$$

GAC113-031154-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-151103T1124Z/
/SMFG1.1.ER.151103T0146Z.151103T0430Z.151103T0940Z.UU/
624 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Whitewater Creek near Starrs Mill.
* This takes affect immediately.
* At 615 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.9 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* The creek/river will continue to fall.
* At 10 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands and fields along the creek downstream from the Starrs 
  Mill Dam to Line Creek. The parking lot will begin to flood at 
  Starrs Mill Park. Concrete picnic tables at the park will be under 
  water.Flood waters will begin to flow through the concrete 
  spillway.

&&

LAT...LON 3336 8449 3336 8453 3328 8451 3327 8450


$$

GAC035-151-217-040124-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPGG1.1.ER.151102T2128Z.151103T1030Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
624 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South River near Snapping Shoals.
* Until further notice.
* At 530 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.4 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 12 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on Georgia Highway 81. Much further downstream...portions 
  of Lucy Lane and Lunsford Road in north Butts County begin to 
  flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3353 8410 3357 8404 3350 8392 3341 8388
      3339 8393 3346 8398             

$$

GAC089-247-031856-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-151103T1856Z/
/YLOG1.1.ER.151103T0615Z.151103T1045Z.151103T1256Z.UU/
624 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Yellow River near East Lithonia.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 545 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.5 feet...and slowly rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* At 13 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding will occur in
  portions of the woodlands and fields near the river upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on Pleasant Hill Road.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3377 8409 3377 8402 3372 8399 3367 8403


$$

GAC217-247-031930-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151103T1930Z/
/MYRG1.1.ER.151103T1030Z.151103T1200Z.151103T1330Z.UU/
624 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Yellow River near Conyers below Milstead.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 6 AM Tuesday the stage was 11 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.2 feet by later this morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by this afternoon.
* At 11 feet...Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands...fields and pasture along the river  upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on Gees Mill Road in Rockdale County. 
  Portions of Sockwell Road by the river in Newton County will be 
  around two feet under water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3366 8399 3371 8395 3359 8387 3356 8393


$$

GAC021-153-169-207-289-040124-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0076.151104T0508Z-151107T0224Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.151104T0508Z.151105T1200Z.151106T2024Z.NO/
624 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* From this evening until Friday evening.
* At 530 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.0 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and 
  continue to rise to near 21.1 feet by Thursday morning.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Friday evening.
* At 21 feet...Minor flooding expands. An increasing amount of the 
  Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the Martin 
  Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be up to two 
  feet deep on portions of the trail and both banks overflow upstream
  from the bridge. Large portions of agricultural lands east of Macon
  and well downstream will be under 1 to 4 feet of water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC013-157-040124-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-151104T0504Z/
/ACDG1.1.ER.151103T0447Z.151103T1045Z.151103T2304Z.NO/
624 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Middle Oconee River near Arcade.
* Until late this evening.
* At 545 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.2 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  evening.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands...fields 
  and pasture upstream and downstream from the gage at Georgia 
  Highway 82. A few dirt access roads and a residential yard just 
  downstream will be flooded with up to two feet of water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3404 8377 3410 8375 3406 8355 3400 8347
      3395 8352 3402 8363             

$$

GAC105-195-221-031800-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-151103T1800Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.151102T1940Z.151103T0300Z.151103T1200Z.UU/
624 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Broad River near Carlton.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 545 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.7 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding will expand further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on the Georgia Highway 72 bridge. A sand dredge operation 
  on the left bank near the gage will become flooded. A large portion
  of Roy Wood Road will be flooded with several feet of water and the
  Broad River Outpost for Canoes and Kayaks location will be under 
  water. Flooding of the yard behind an assisted living home off of 
  Roy Wood Road will continue to expand.


&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312             

$$

GAC059-133-219-040124-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-151106T0313Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151103T0655Z.151105T0000Z.151105T2113Z.NO/
624 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 6 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.5 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 16.5 feet by Wednesday  
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday evening.
* At 17 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures near the river. The water level is very 
  close to Ward Road on the right bank. Flood waters will be 
  approaching irrigation systems and they may need to be moved to 
  higher ground.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$
985 
WGUS82 KFFC 031528
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1028 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Broad River near Carlton affecting Elbert...Madison and Oglethorpe
  Counties 

 
GAC105-195-221-040448-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-151104T0448Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.151102T1940Z.151103T0300Z.151103T2248Z.UU/
1028 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...

  For the Broad River near Carlton.
* Until this evening.
* At 945 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.1 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring...and Minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* The river will continue to fall...dropping below flood stage by 
  early this evening.
* At 15 feet...Minor flooding occurs in the woodlands and fields 
  upstream and downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 72 
  bridge. A sand dredge operation on the left bank near the gage is 
  affected and a portion of Roy Wood Road will be flooded with a few 
  feet of water. The dirt parking lot of the Broad River Outpost for 
  Canoes and Kayaks will begin to flood and a wooden pier and 
  portions of the yard behind an assisted living home off of Roy 
  Wood Road will be flooded.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312             

$$
013 
WGUS82 KFFC 031900
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
200 PM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Flint River near Lovejoy affecting Clayton...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Yellow River near East Lithonia affecting DeKalb and Rockdale 
  Counties 

  Broad River near Carlton affecting Elbert...Madison and Oglethorpe
  Counties 

  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

  South River near Snapping Shoals affecting Butts...Henry and 
  Newton Counties 

  Yellow River near Conyers below Milstead affecting Newton and 
  Rockdale Counties 

  Middle Oconee River near Arcade affecting Barrow and Jackson 
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 


GAC117-121-040900-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-151105T0000Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.151101T2322Z.151104T0000Z.151104T1800Z.NO/
200 PM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 1245 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.8 feet...and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring...and Minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* At 10 feet...Minor flooding expands along the creek from near 
  Cumming to Alpharetta and Roswell. Backyards of homes off Seale 
  Drive and Gunter Court and portions of the Golf of Georgia are 
  under a foot of water. The Big Creek Greenway experiences 
  significant flooding with water up to 4 feet deep and closure of 
  the paths. This especially occurs upstream and downstream from the 
  gage on Kimball Bridge Road and Rock Hill Park. A large portion of 
  the YMCA Campground off Preston Ridge Road will be under up to two 
  feet of water as well. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

GAC063-113-255-040730-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-151104T0730Z/
/LOVG1.1.ER.151103T0855Z.151103T1515Z.151104T0130Z.NO/
200 PM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...

  For the Flint River near Lovejoy.
* Until late tonight.
* At 1245 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.5 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring...and Minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue to fall...dropping below flood stage this 
  evening.
* At 12 feet...Minor flooding occurs. Flooding of the Rivers Edge 
  Golf Course begins with several greens and fairways flooded. 
  Flooding of some yards begins upstream of gage between Upper 
  Riverdale Road and Highway 138.


&&

LAT...LON 3360 8444 3363 8438 3354 8434 3340 8435
      3340 8443 3354 8441             

$$

GAC035-151-217-040900-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPGG1.1.ER.151102T2128Z.151103T1500Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
200 PM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South River near Snapping Shoals.
* Until further notice.
* At 130 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.5 feet...and slowly falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring...and minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 12 feet...Flood stage is reached and minor flooding occurs in 
  the woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream 
  from the gage on Georgia Highway 81. Much further downstream...
  portions of Lucy Lane and Lunsford Road in north Butts County 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3353 8410 3357 8404 3350 8392 3341 8388
      3339 8393 3346 8398             

$$

GAC089-247-040325-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-151104T0325Z/
/YLOG1.1.ER.151103T0615Z.151103T1545Z.151103T2125Z.UU/
200 PM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...

  For the Yellow River near East Lithonia.
* Until this evening.
* At 1245 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.7 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring...and minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue to fall...dropping below flood stage by 
  early this evening.
* At 13 feet...Minor flooding occurs in portions of the woodlands 
  and fields near the river upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on Pleasant Hill Road.


&&

LAT...LON 3377 8409 3377 8402 3372 8399 3367 8403


$$

GAC217-247-040859-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151104T1549Z/
/MYRG1.1.ER.151103T1030Z.151104T0000Z.151104T0949Z.UU/
200 PM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow River near Conyers below Milstead.
* From late this afternoon until Wednesday morning.
* At 130 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.6 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring...and Minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising...reaching near 11.7 feet by this 
  evening before beginning to fall late tonight. The river will fall 
  below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* At 12 feet...Minor flooding occurs in the woodlands...fields and 
  pastures along the river upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  Gees Mill Road in Rockdale County. Large portions of Sockwell Road 
  by the river in Newton County will be under up to 3 feet of water.


&&

LAT...LON 3366 8399 3371 8395 3359 8387 3356 8393


$$

GAC013-157-040859-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-151104T1104Z/
/ACDG1.1.ER.151103T0447Z.151103T1645Z.151104T0504Z.NO/
200 PM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Middle Oconee River near Arcade.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 145 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.3 feet...and slowly falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring...and Minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue to fall...dropping below flood stage after 
  midnight Wednesday morning.
* At 20 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands...fields 
  and pastures upstream and downstream from the gage at Georgia 
  Highway 82. A few dirt access roads and a residential yard just 
  downstream will be flooded with up to 4 feet of water.


&&

LAT...LON 3404 8377 3410 8375 3406 8355 3400 8347
      3395 8352 3402 8363             

$$

GAC105-195-221-040427-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-151104T0427Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.151102T1940Z.151103T0300Z.151103T2227Z.UU/
200 PM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Broad River near Carlton.
* Until this evening.
* At 145 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.6 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring...and minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* The river will continue to fall...dropping below flood stage late 
  this afternoon.
* At 15 feet...Minor flooding of woodlands and fields occurs upstream 
  and downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 72 bridge. A 
  sand dredge operation on the left bank near the gage will become 
  affected and a portion of Roy Wood Road will be flooded with a few 
  feet of water. The dirt parking lot of the Broad River Outpost for 
  Canoes and Kayaks will begin to flood and a wooden pier along with  
  portions of the yard behind an assisted living home off of Roy Wood 
  Road will be flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312             

$$

GAC059-133-219-040859-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-151106T0752Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151103T0655Z.151105T0600Z.151106T0152Z.NO/
200 PM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 130 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.2 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring...and Minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue rising...reaching near 17.1 feet by early 
  Thursday morning before starting to fall. The river will fall below 
  flood stage Thursday evening.
* At 17 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures near the river. The water level is very 
  close to Ward Road on the right bank and flood waters will be 
  approaching irrigation systems that may need to be moved to higher 
  ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$
397 
WGUS82 KFFC 032101
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
401 PM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Broad River near Carlton affecting Elbert...Madison and Oglethorpe
  Counties

 
GAC105-195-221-032131-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-151104T0427Z/
/CARG1.1.ER.151102T1940Z.151103T0300Z.151103T2007Z.UU/
401 PM EST TUE NOV 3 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Broad River near Carlton.
* At 345 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.8 feet...and 
  falling quickly.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3419 8308 3407 8295 3401 8285 3396 8286
      3402 8300 3414 8312             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 2, 1:19 PM EST, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 2, 1:19 PM EST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
119 PM EST MON NOV 2 2015

.UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION

UPDATE...

YET ANOTHER STRONG SURGE OF LOW LEVEL WINDS AT 925MB MOVED NORTH
OUT OF THE GULF COAST REGION THIS MORNING AND ENERGIZED AREA OF
RAINFALL ALREADY IN PLACE. THIS ENHANCED RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE
GENERALLY QUARTER INCH PER HOUR UP TO A HALF INCH OR MORE PER
HOUR. THIS HAS DRIVEN RAINFALL TOTALS SINCE LATE YESTERDAY TO 2 TO
2 AND A HALF INCHES ALONG THE I85 CORRIDOR FROM LA GRANGE TO
NEWNAN AND GENERALLY AROUND 2 INCHES FOR THE ATLANTA
METRO...ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR MINOR RIVER FLOODING AND PROMPTING THE
ISSUANCE OF AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING.

BASED ON LATEST WATER VAPOR...THIS AXIS SHOULD BE SHIFTING SOUTH
AND EAST WITH DRIER AIR PUSHING IN FROM THE SOUTH. THIS IS INDEED
TRANSLATING TO THE RADAR PORTION AS WELL WITH A SHIFT IN THE MAIN
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN BAND ALTHOUGH THIS HAS BEEN A SLOW
TRANSITION ALLOWING FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING. HAVE ADJUSTED POPS
BASED ON THESE TRENDS BUT NO CHANGES AT THIS TIME TO ONGOING FLOOD
WATCH. WILL NEED TO MONITOR SE COUNTIES FOR POSSIBLE INCLUSION BUT
SHOULD SEE LESSER AMOUNTS CLOSE TO AN INCH AND A HALF.

MOST OF THE THUNDER HAS ABATED BUT WILL KEEP THUNDER IN FOR
SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING.
ENHANCED LOW LEVEL HELICITY AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL REQUIRE
A CAREFUL EYE ON RADAR FOR ANY POSSIBLE SPIN UPS THIS AFTERNOON.

DEESE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED /

.FLOODING THREAT CONTINUES INTO THIS EVENING FOR MUCH OF NORTH
AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA ALONG WITH ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT FOR
CENTRAL GEORGIA...

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER LOW OVER EAST TX THIS MORNING FORECAST TO PULL NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT. CONTINUOUS FEED OF DEEP
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND DIMINISH TONIGHT AS THE SURFACE
SYSTEM WEAKENS AND PUSHES TO THE EAST. THE NORTH REMAINS IN A WEDGE
PATTERN WHILE THE SURFACE WARM FRONT PERSISTS VICINITY OF CENTRAL
GA. MODELS INDICATE THE WARM FRONT MAY BE ALMOST STATIONARY AND THE
WEDGE WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTH THROUGH TONIGHT. ENOUGH SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY EXIST IN THE WARM FRONT AREA TO SUPPORT A FEW STRONG OR
POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL GA TODAY AND
TONIGHT. THE LOCATION OF THE BOUNDARY WILL AFFECT TEMPERATURES...BUT
IN GENERAL HAVE KEPT A SMALL DIURNAL RANGE TODAY MAINLY NORTH WITH
SOME WARMING FOR TUESDAY. BOTH NAM AND GFS SEEM TO KEEP MOISTURE
ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL AREAS TUESDAY AS WE CONTINUE WITH AN
EASTERLY FLOW. HAVE KEPT LOW POPS FOR THAT AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT
AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. OTHERWISE...DRYING FOR MUCH OF WEST AND
NORTH TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

41

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
LINGERING LOW LEVEL GULF/ATLANTIC MOISTURE ADVECTION INTO MIDWEEK
SHOULD ALLOW FOR SLIGHT TO LOW END CHANCE OF MAINLY LIGHT RAIN OR
DRIZZLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA DRIVEN BY ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE
AGAINST A HYBRID CAD WEDGE. WEAKENING WEDGE BY THURSDAY SO HAVE
MOSTLY DRY. NEXT MAIN SYSTEM IS COMING INTO SOME BETTER CONSENSUS
AMONG MODEL SOLUTIONS WITH A LESS PROGRESSIVE FRONTAL SYSTEM FROM
THE NW. STILL GETTING PRETTY ELONGATED IN THE MOISTURE FIELD AND
REMOVED FROM GOOD DYNAMICS. THE FRONT SHOULD SLOWLY DRAG
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE CWA LATE FRIDAY INTO POSSIBLY SUNDAY SO
HAVE TRENDED MAINLY HIGHER CHANCE POPS ACCORDINGLY AND LINGER POPS
AT END OF PERIOD BASED ON PREVIOUS INCONSISTENCIES IN TIMING.
PROGGED INSTABILITY IS RATHER MODEST BUT ENOUGH TO INCLUDE SLIGHT
CHANCE THUNDER. TEMPS THROUGH FRIDAY SHOULD BE ABOVE NORMS WITH
MANY AREAS HAVING HIGHS OF LOW TO MID 70S THEN COOLING BACK DOWN
BY SATURDAY NIGHT BEHIND AFOREMENTIONED FRONT.

BAKER

HYDROLOGY...
WHILE AREAS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GA HAVE ALREADY HAD RECENT
RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...PORTIONS MAY SEE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3
INTO THIS EVENING AS ABNORMALLY EFFICIENT GULF MOISTURE CONTINUES
TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD. TRAINING CELLS MORE CONVECTIVE IN NATURE
MAY END UP DROPPING LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL THIS
MORNING AND ALSO LATER TODAY WITH AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM AND INTERACTIONS ALONG A LIFTING WARM/WEDGE FRONT. HAVE
EXPANDED THE CURRENT FLOOD WATCH INTO PARTS OF THE FAR NE AND MORE
OF WEST CENTRAL GA. KEPT TIMING THROUGH 7 PM THIS EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR THAT WAS GENERATED LARGELY BY THE FACT THAT
SHRA ACTIVITY WAS ABLE TO DISPERSE THE CIGS HAS SINCE ABATED. WHAT
WE ARE LEFT WITH IS PRETTY MUCH ALL IFR OVER THE NORTHERN MOST TAF
SITES WITH PERIODS OF -DZ AS WELL. EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONTINUE
FOR THE ENTIRE OVERNIGHT PERIOD WITH SOME LIFR AND EVEN VLIFR
POSSIBLE BY TUE MORNING. EXCEPTION WILL BE OVER MCN WHERE TSRA
WILL BE POSSIBLE AND WILL INCLUDE A TEMPO THERE FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. EVENTUALLY THOUGH...LIFR WILL TAKE HOLD THERE AS
WELL WITH NOT MUCH IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUE.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON TSRA POTENTIAL AND TIMING OF LIFR.
HIGH ON REMAINING ELEMENTS.

DEESE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          68  59  67  58 / 100  30  20  20
ATLANTA         69  60  68  59 / 100  20  10  10
BLAIRSVILLE     64  55  69  54 / 100  30  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    67  59  69  58 / 100  30  10  10
COLUMBUS        76  64  74  63 / 100  20  10  20
GAINESVILLE     64  58  66  57 / 100  20  10  20
MACON           79  64  72  62 / 100  50  20  20
ROME            68  59  70  58 / 100  30   5  10
PEACHTREE CITY  71  59  69  59 / 100  20  10  10
VIDALIA         85  69  77  66 /  60  60  20  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BANKS...BARROW...BARTOW...BIBB...BUTTS...CARROLL...
CHATTAHOOCHEE...CHEROKEE...CLARKE...CLAYTON...COBB...COWETA...
CRAWFORD...CRISP...DAWSON...DEKALB...DOOLY...DOUGLAS...FANNIN...
FAYETTE...FORSYTH...GILMER...GREENE...GWINNETT...HALL...
HARALSON...HARRIS...HEARD...HENRY...HOUSTON...JACKSON...JASPER...
JONES...LAMAR...LUMPKIN...MACON...MADISON...MARION...
MERIWETHER...MONROE...MORGAN...MUSCOGEE...NEWTON...NORTH
FULTON...OCONEE...OGLETHORPE...PAULDING...PEACH...PICKENS...
PIKE...POLK...PUTNAM...ROCKDALE...SCHLEY...SOUTH FULTON...
SPALDING...STEWART...SUMTER...TALBOT...TALIAFERRO...TAYLOR...
TOWNS...TROUP...UNION...UPSON...WALTON...WEBSTER...WHITE...
WILKES.

TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: BIBB...BLECKLEY...CRISP...DODGE...DOOLY...EMANUEL...
HOUSTON...JEFFERSON...JOHNSON...LAURENS...MACON...MONTGOMERY...
PEACH...PULASKI...SUMTER...TELFAIR...TOOMBS...TREUTLEN...
TWIGGS...WASHINGTON...WHEELER...WILCOX...WILKINSON.

&&

SHORT TERM...DEESE
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...DEESE
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 2, 1:55 PM EST, 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
155 PM EST MON NOV 2 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-031545-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
155 PM EST MON NOV 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

...SEVERE THREAT INCREASING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH GEORGIA...
...FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS
AND SHORT-LIVED TORNADOES IS INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS FOR
AREAS MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST OF AN AMERICUS TO MACON TO MILLEDGVILLE
LINE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTH GEORGIA THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORMS...PRODUCING AN ADDITIONAL 1/2 TO 1
INCH WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES. MINOR FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS...ALONG WITH CREEKS...SMALL STREAMS AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS CAN BE EXPECTED.

FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR SEVERAL CREEKS AND STREAMS
ACROSS METRO ATLANTA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE LATE FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY WITH AN APPROACHING FRONT FROM THE
NORTHWEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN COUNTIES OF THE FORECAST AREA CURRENTLY UNDER A TORNADO
WATCH. PLEASE SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY
GOING TO WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

DJN

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 2, 8:37 AM EST, 5 hours 44 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
837 AM EST MON NOV 2 2015

GAZ066-078-079-089-021415-
MUSCOGEE GA-HARRIS GA-TALBOT GA-TROUP GA-
837 AM EST MON NOV 2 2015

AT 837 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR BIBB CITY...OR 7 MILES NORTHEAST
OF SMITHS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

  HAZARD...40 TO 50 MPH WIND AND ENHANCED RISK OF A BRIEF SPIN UP.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. WHILE
           WINDS SHOULD RESULT IN MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND
           BLOWING AROUND OF LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS...THE LEADING
           EDGE OF THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS ALSO EXHIBITED AREAS OF
           LOCALIZED ROTATION. A BRIEF TORNADO COULD QUICKLY FORM.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
HAMILTON...PINE MOUNTAIN...WAVERLY HALL...GOAT ROCK LAKE...BAUGHS
CROSSROADS...JONES CROSSROADS...MOUNTAIN HILL...GREEN ISLAND HILLS...
BARTLETTS FERRY DAM...MULBERRY GROVE...FORTSON...LAKE HARDING...F.D.
ROOSEVELT STATE PARK...ELLERSLIE...COLUMBUS METROPOLITAN AIRPORT...
WHITESVILLE-PINE LAKE...CATAULA...LAUREL HILLS...MIDLAND AND FLAT
ROCK.

LAT...LON 3294 8503 3288 8486 3287 8486 3287 8482
      3280 8462 3262 8473 3249 8497 3262 8509
      3263 8508 3264 8511 3266 8509 3269 8512
      3272 8512 3274 8511 3274 8512
TIME...MOT...LOC 1337Z 239DEG 49KT 3260 8498
Local storm report, Nov 2, 9:13 AM EST, 5 hours 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
913 AM EST MON NOV 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0808 AM     FLOOD            1 SSE NORTH POINT       34.00N  84.38W
11/02/2015                   FULTON             GA   PUBLIC

            STANDING WATER IN BOTH LANES OF WILLEO RD NEAR
            CHATTAHOOCHEE NATURE CENTER REPORTED VIA TWITTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500660

SNELSON
Special weather statement, Nov 2, 1:37 PM EST, 44 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
137 PM EST MON NOV 2 2015

GAZ104-021915-
SUMTER GA-
137 PM EST MON NOV 2 2015

AT 131 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR SMITHVILLE...OR 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF
LEESBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. WEAK ROTATION HAS BEEN
DETECTED WITH THIS STORM AND MAY BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

  HAZARD...40 TO 50 MPH WIND AND ENHANCED RISK OF A BRIEF TORNADO.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. WHILE
           WINDS SHOULD RESULT IN MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND
           BLOWING AROUND OF LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS...THE LEADING
           EDGE OF THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS ALSO EXHIBITED AREAS OF
           LOCALIZED ROTATION. A BRIEF TORNADO COULD QUICKLY FORM.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE LESLIE...
...DESOTO AND COBB.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...WEATHER.GOV OR OTHER MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS OR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS ON THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3192 8421 3205 8397 3203 8396 3202 8396
      3202 8395 3200 8395 3199 8394 3199 8395
      3197 8393 3193 8393 3193 8392 3191 8392
TIME...MOT...LOC 1831Z 238DEG 29KT 3182 8425
Special weather statement, Nov 2, 2:02 PM EST, 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
202 PM EST MON NOV 2 2015

GAZ104>106-021930-
SUMTER GA-CRISP GA-DOOLY GA-
202 PM EST MON NOV 2 2015

AT 201 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR DESOTO...OR 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
AMERICUS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. WEAK ROTATION HAS BEEN
DETECTED WITH THIS STORM AND MAY BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

  HAZARD...40 TO 50 MPH WIND AND ENHANCED RISK OF A BRIEF TORNADO.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. WHILE
           WINDS SHOULD RESULT IN MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND
           BLOWING AROUND OF LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS...THE LEADING
           EDGE OF THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS ALSO EXHIBITED AREAS OF
           LOCALIZED ROTATION. A BRIEF TORNADO COULD QUICKLY FORM.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE VIENNA...
LESLIE...DESOTO...COBB...GEORGIA VETERANS MEMORIAL ST PK AND DRAYTON.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...WEATHER.GOV OR OTHER MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS OR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS ON THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3196 8411 3212 8391 3211 8381 3199 8381
      3191 8401 3191 8405
TIME...MOT...LOC 1901Z 228DEG 27KT 3195 8405

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 1, 7:39 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCWilcox36 min
Nov 2, 6:25 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCClayton, Cobb, DeKalb, Douglas, Fulton, Gwinnett65 min
Nov 2, 7:29 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBarrow, Clarke, Clayton, Cobb, Coweta, DeKalb and 10 more61 min
Nov 2, 7:52 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHarris38 min
Nov 2, 8:00 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth22 hr
Nov 2, 8:03 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCTroup27 min
Nov 2, 8:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDeKalb, Fulton13 hr
Nov 2, 8:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDeKalb, Fulton12 hr
Nov 2, 8:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDeKalb, Fulton13 hr
Nov 2, 8:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCGwinnett13 hr
Nov 2, 8:37 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHarris38 min
Nov 2, 8:40 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningFFCBanks, Barrow, Clayton, DeKalb, Fayette, Forsyth and 4 more12 hr
Nov 2, 9:27 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCGwinnett27 hr
Nov 2, 9:27 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCClayton, Fayette, Spalding48 hr
Nov 2, 9:27 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDeKalb, Rockdale29 hr
Nov 2, 9:27 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCNewton, Rockdale43 hr
Nov 2, 9:27 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCBarrow, Jackson43 hr
Nov 2, 9:27 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCClarke, Greene, Oconee4 days
Nov 2, 9:44 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCGwinnett, Walton15 hr
Nov 2, 9:52 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDeKalb, Fulton8 hr
Nov 2, 9:52 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDeKalb13 hr
Nov 2, 12:01 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDawson, Forsyth13 hr
Nov 2, 1:37 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCSumter38 min
Nov 2, 2:02 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDooly28 min
Nov 2, 2:56 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCarroll, Coweta, Heard42 hr
Nov 2, 3:03 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCPulaski27 min
Nov 2, 3:59 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBleckley31 min
Nov 2, 4:00 PM ESTTornado WarningFFCTelfair30 min
Nov 2, 4:07 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMontgomery23 min
Nov 2, 4:27 PM ESTTornado WarningFFCTelfair, Wheeler33 min
Nov 2, 4:31 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCWashington29 min
Nov 2, 4:51 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCButts, Henry, Newton25 hr
Nov 2, 4:51 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCNewton, Rockdale24 hr
Nov 2, 4:59 PM ESTTornado WarningFFCMontgomery, Toombs, Wheeler46 min
Nov 2, 5:44 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCToombs16 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.