Tornado Warning 44, NWS Amarillo, TX

327 
WWUS54 KAMA 170210
SVSAMA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
810 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

TXC233-170220-
/O.CAN.KAMA.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-151117T0230Z/
HUTCHINSON TX-
810 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN HUTCHINSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT
OF THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CST FOR CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3584 10101 3590 10109 3610 10109 3615 10104
      3599 10078
TIME...MOT...LOC 0210Z 224DEG 38KT 3594 10100 

$$

TXC357-393-170230-
/O.CON.KAMA.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-151117T0230Z/
OCHILTREE TX-ROBERTS TX-
810 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN OCHILTREE AND NORTHWESTERN ROBERTS COUNTIES...
    
AT 810 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SPEARMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45
MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE 
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS 
         LIKELY. 

THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHWESTERN OCHILTREE AND NORTHWESTERN ROBERTS COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORNADOES ARE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. DO NOT
WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3584 10101 3590 10109 3610 10109 3615 10104
      3599 10078
TIME...MOT...LOC 0210Z 224DEG 38KT 3594 10100 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

BRB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
544 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AROUND THE TAF
SITES THROUGH THE MID EVENING. CLOUDS WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT. A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TAF SITES TUESDAY MORNING
WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS OVER 40 KNOTS. CLOUDS WILL LOWER BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT...BUT THEY SHOULD REMAIN VFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 339 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015/

DISCUSSION...
AS A LOW APPROACHES THE AREA...TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON HAVE REACHED THE
70S AND DEW POINTS INTO THE 50S. THIS HAS ALLOWED THE PANHANDLES TO
BE PRIMED FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED OVER THE WESTERN PANHANDLES AND
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST.
SOME OF THE STORMS HAVE ALREADY BEEN SEVERE WITH HAIL UP TO QUARTER
SIZE AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS CAPE OVER THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS
OF THE AREA IS FORECAST TO BE AROUND 1600J/KG. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR
IS LARGE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT DISCRETE SUPERCELLS. HIRES MODELS ARE
INDICATING THESE DISCRETE CELLS WILL TURN INTO A QLCS LATE THIS
EVENING AND THIS LINE OF STORMS SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE PANHANDLES BY
MIDNIGHT IF IT FOLLOWS THE TEXAS TECH WRF. IF IT FOLLOWS THE
HRRR...THE LINE WILL FORM EAST OF THE AREA.

ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW...THE OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE WILL SEE WRAP AROUND PRECIP IN THE FORM OF RAIN
TRANSITIONING TO SNOW ON TUESDAY AND CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
THE NAM AND GFS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT ON THIS PART OF THE EVENT NOW
AND ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE LIGHT WITH TOTALS UP TO ONE HALF
INCH...MOSTLY IN THE NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE. WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN TUESDAY TO THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE SO VISIBILITIES MAY
DROP WHEN SNOW IS FALLING. THESE VALUES ARE CURRENTLY LOWER THAN
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS BUT A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED IF
VISIBILITY DROPS LOW ENOUGH.

AS THE LOW MOVES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST AND PRECIP MOVES OUT OF THE
AREA...WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY ARE LOOKING TO BE DRY. TEMPS
SHOULD BE AROUND SEASONAL VALUES EXCEPT FOR SATURDAY WHEN A DRY COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND COOLS TEMPS FOR THE DAY BUT THE RETURN OF
SOUTHERLY FLOW SHOULD BRING TEMPS BACK UP BY SUNDAY.

BEAT

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

15/10

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
239 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-171200-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
239 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE HAIL TO 2 INCHES AND
DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS ALTHOUGH
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THOUGH SEVERE WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE AREA WIDE...THE GREATEST THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE EAST OF A LINE FROM CLAUDE TO SPEARMAN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY NORTHERN PARTS OF THE COMBINED
PANHANDLES TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW
WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME ESPECIALLY IN THE FAR NORTHWEST
TEXAS AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...AN INCH OR LESS COULD FALL.
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS CAN BE
EXPECTED TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS WILL LIKELY
BE ACTIVATED THROUGH THE EVENING.

BEAT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
717 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0709 PM     TORNADO          6 SE KINGSMILL          35.42N 101.00W
11/16/2015                   GRAY               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TORNADO REPORTED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KINGSMILL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1500771

LORENZEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
719 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0717 PM     TORNADO          5 S ELMWOOD             36.55N 100.52W
11/16/2015                   BEAVER             OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MULTI VORTEX TORNADO.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1500772

LG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
722 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     HAIL             1 S PAMPA               35.53N 100.96W
11/16/2015  E1.75 INCH       GRAY               TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AT THE BOWLING ALLEY IN SOUTH
            PAMPA.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1500773

LG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
726 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0724 PM     TORNADO          4 N BOOKER              36.51N 100.54W
11/16/2015                   BEAVER             OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO REPORTED 4 MILES NORTH OF BOOKER WITH POWER
            FLASHES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1500774

LORENZEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
728 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0712 PM     TORNADO          4 W BOOKER              36.46N 100.61W
11/16/2015                   OCHILTREE          TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BEAVER EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED TORNADO 4 MILES WEST
            OF BOOKER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1500775

LORENZEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
733 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E DUMAS               35.86N 101.97W
11/16/2015                   MOORE              TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            UPROOTED TREE REPORTED IN DUMAS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1500776

LORENZEN