Gale Warning 71, NWS Fairbanks, AK

280 
FZAK69 PAFG 232312
OFFAFG

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
312 PM AKDT WED SEP 23 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE US ARCTIC WATERS

SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF
THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
TWICE AS HIGH.

PKZ599-241230-
312 PM AKDT WED SEP 23 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC WATERS...
A 994 MB LOW JUST WEST OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 300 NM NORTHWEST
OF BARROW AS A 986 MB LOW BY 4PM THU AND THEN CONTINUE NORTHEAST.
A SECOND SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP AS A 986 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL
CHUKCHI SEA BY 4PM THU...MOVING TO BARROW AS A 989 MB LOW BY 4PM
FRI...AND TO 200 NM NORTH OF BARTER ISLAND AS A 992 MB LOW BY 4AM
SAT.

$$

PKZ500-241230-
WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
312 PM AKDT WED SEP 23 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. FOG. 
.THU...SW WINDS 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 KT. 
SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ505-241230-
CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
312 PM AKDT WED SEP 23 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT. GUSTS UP TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.THU...S WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 55 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. RAIN SHOWERS. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ510-241230-
EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
312 PM AKDT WED SEP 23 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

SEP 15

070 
FZAK69 PAFG 241220
OFFAFG

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
420 AM AKDT THU SEP 24 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE US ARCTIC WATERS

SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF
THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
TWICE AS HIGH.

PKZ599-250030-
420 AM AKDT THU SEP 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC WATERS...
A 986 MB LOW 300 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARROW WILL WEAKEN TO A
992 MB LOW 400 MILES NORTH OF BARROW BY NOON FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ500-250030-
WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
420 AM AKDT THU SEP 24 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 40 KT BECOMING S 20 KT BY NOON.RNOON. SEAS 12
FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING 
TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NW WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ505-250030-
CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
420 AM AKDT THU SEP 24 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ510-250030-
EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
420 AM AKDT THU SEP 24 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

RF SEP 15

189 
FZAK69 PAFG 241220 CCA
OFFAFG

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
420 AM AKDT THU SEP 24 2015

CORRECTED SYNOPSIS

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE US ARCTIC WATERS

SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF
THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
TWICE AS HIGH.

PKZ599-250030-
420 AM AKDT THU SEP 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC WATERS...
A 986 MB LOW 300 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARROW WILL WEAKEN TO A
992 MB LOW 400 MILES NORTH OF BARROW BY NOON FRIDAY. A 987
MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 150 MILES NORTHWEST OF CAPE LISBURNE
THIS AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN TO A 990 MB LOW NEAR BARROW BY NOON
FRIDAY. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN TO A 993 MB CENTER 100 MILES
NORTH OF POINT THOMPSON BY 10 PM FRIDAY.


$$

PKZ500-250030-
WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
420 AM AKDT THU SEP 24 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 40 KT BECOMING S 20 KT BY NOON.RNOON. SEAS 12
FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING 
TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NW WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ505-250030-
CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
420 AM AKDT THU SEP 24 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ510-250030-
EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
420 AM AKDT THU SEP 24 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

RF SEP 15

354 
FZAK69 PAFG 242236
OFFAFG

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
236 PM AKDT THU SEP 24 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE US ARCTIC WATERS

SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF
THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
TWICE AS HIGH.

PKZ599-251345-
236 PM AKDT THU SEP 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC WATERS...
DOUBLE 988 MB LOW CENTERS...ONE 300 NM NORTHWEST OF BARROW WILL
WEAKEN TO A 992 MB LOW 400 MILES NORTH OF BARROW BY NOON FRIDAY.
THE SECOND LOW 150 NM NORTHWEST OF CAPE LISBURNE WILL WEAKEN TO A
990 MB LOW NEAR BARROW BY NOON FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO
BUILD OVER EASTERN SIBERIA FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ500-251345-
WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
236 PM AKDT THU SEP 24 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...N WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW THROUGH THE DAY. FOG IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ505-251345-
CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
236 PM AKDT THU SEP 24 2015

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. SNOW
THROUGH THE NIGHT.
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW THROUGH THE DAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KT. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ510-251345-
EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
236 PM AKDT THU SEP 24 2015

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 KT. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

CF/JK SEP 15

560 
FZAK69 PAFG 251215
OFFAFG

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
415 AM AKDT FRI SEP 25 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE US ARCTIC WATERS

SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF
THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
TWICE AS HIGH.

PKZ599-260015-
415 AM AKDT FRI SEP 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC WATERS...
A 987 MB LOW NEAR CAPE LISBURNE WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE NORTHWEST
ALASKA INTERIOR THIS AFTERNOON. A 990 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 50 MILES
NORTH OF WAINWRIGHT LATE THIS MORNING THEN WEAKEN TO A 998 MB LOW
50 MILES NORTH OF PRUDHOE BAY BY LATE TONIGHT.

$$

PKZ500-260015-
WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
415 AM AKDT FRI SEP 25 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 40 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW WITH
RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 30 DECREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ505-260015-
CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
415 AM AKDT FRI SEP 25 2015

.TODAY...SE WINDS 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING
TO 5 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ510-260015-
EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
415 AM AKDT FRI SEP 25 2015

.TODAY...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

RF SEP 15

299 
FZAK69 PAFG 252256
OFFAFG

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
256 PM AKDT FRI SEP 25 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE US ARCTIC WATERS

SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF
THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
TWICE AS HIGH.

PKZ599-261300-
256 PM AKDT FRI SEP 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC WATERS...
A 992 MB LOW WILL 50 MILES NORTH OF BARROW WILL WEAKEN TO A 994 MB
LOW 75 MILES NORTH OF PRUDHOE BAY BY LATE TONIGHT. WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER EASTERN SIBERIA SATURDAY.

$$

PKZ500-261300-
WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
256 PM AKDT FRI SEP 25 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW IN THE EVENING. SNOW
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ505-261300-
CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
256 PM AKDT FRI SEP 25 2015

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW IN THE EVENING. SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ510-261300-
EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
256 PM AKDT FRI SEP 25 2015

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

CF/JL SEP 15

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
308 AM AKDT WED SEP 23 2015

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS...RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY REMAINS GOOD AT 500 HPA. MODELS
ARE MAINTAINING SIMILAR SOLUTIONS THROUGH 84 HOURS BEFORE
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES SHOW UP. AT THE SURFACE THEY HAVE COME
MORE IN LINE WITH EACH OTHER AND ARE CONSISTENT THROUGH AROUND 84
HOURS ALSO. MOVING INTO THE MIDTERM THEY ARE SHOWING BETTER
AGREEMENT...BUT STILL SHOW QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD IN SOLUTIONS.
WILL LEAN ON A BLEND AGAIN TODAY FOR THE SHORT TERM WITH A NUDGE
TOWARD THE NAM SOLUTION.

ALOFT...AT 500 HPA...LONG WAVE TROUGH CONTINUES TO LINGER OVER
THE ALCAN BORDER AREA WITH THE AXIS FROM KUPARUK TO CORDOVA THIS
MORNING. A 534 DAM CLOSED LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MIDDLE TANANA
VALLEY TODAY AND SLIDE EAST AND NORTH WITH THE LOW MOVING OVER
BARTER ISLAND BY THURSDAY EVENING AT 530 DAM WITH THE TROUGH AXIS
OVER THE ALCAN BORDER. THE TROUGH WILL BE PUSHED EAST BY THE RIDGE
THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIDGE AXIS LIES FROM OVER ADAK TO POINT LAY
AND INTO THE ARCTIC THIS MORNING...ROTATING TO LIE FROM ATKA TO
SLEETMUTE TO DEADHORSE BY THURSDAY MORNING...AND SLIDES EAST TO
LIE FROM CORDOVA TO EAGLE AND NORTH OVER THE ALCAN BORDER BY
FRIDAY MORNING. A DEVELOPING LOW OVER WESTERN SIBERIA WILL MOVE TO
150 NM SOUTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND AT 518 DAM THURSDAY MORNING...THEN
OVER THE WESTERN ARCTIC PLAIN AT 516 DAM FRIDAY MORNING. THE
ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE OVER THE BERING STRAIT LATE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THEN LIE FROM THE LOW TO MANLEY HOT SPRINGS
TO THE WEST SIDE OF COOK INLET BY FRIDAY MORNING CONTINUING EAST
INTO THE YUKON FRIDAY NIGHT. AT 850 HPA...ZERO ISOTHERM LIES FROM
POINT HOPE TO CAPE NEWENHAM THIS MORNING AND WILL LIE FROM POINT
LAY TO TO WESTERN KODIAK ISLAND BY THURSDAY MORNING. COLD AIR
ADVECTION WILL BREAK DOWN THE COLD AIR AND PUSH THE ZERO ISOTHERM
SOUTH TO LIE FROM CAPE ROMANZOF TO MCGRATH TO CORDOVA BY FRIDAY
MORNING.

SURFACE...1000 MB LOW IN THE GULF CONTINUES TO SLIP SOUTH AS
A RIDGE MOVES EAST ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA. THE RIDGE LIES FROM
COLD BAY TO MCGRATH TO BARTER ISLAND THIS MORNING AND WILL ROTATE
SOUTHEAST TO LIE FROM COLD BAY TO DENALI PARK TO BANKS ISLAND BY
THURSDAY MORNING...SLIDING INTO CANADA BY FRIDAY MORNING. A WARM
FRONT EXTENDS SOUTHEAST FROM A LOW NEARING WRANGEL ISLAND THIS
MORNING AND WILL MOVE OVER THE WEST COAST LATER THIS MORNING. THE
LOW MOVES JUST NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND LATER THIS EVENING WITH
THE FRONT WORKING INLAND TO LIE FROM POINT LAY TO UNALAKLEET AND
CONTINUES EAST TO LIE FROM BARROW TO MCGRATH BY THURSDAY MORNING.
AS THE MAIN LOW MOVES NORTHEAST INTO THE ARCTIC A SECONDARY LOW
WILL DEVELOP SOUTHEAST OF WRANGEL ISLAND AND MOVE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE CHUKCHI SEA TO BE OVER THE NORTHWEST COAST BY FRIDAY
MORNING WITH THE FRONT EXTENDING INTO THE EASTERN INTERIOR.

ARCTIC COAST...SOME FLURRIES AND ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY
EAST OF BARROW THIS MORNING...OTHERWISE CLOUDY. EAST TO SOUTHEAST
FLOW OVER THE ARCTIC TODAY BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN AREAS THE FRONT
PASSES THROUGH. STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ON THE NORTHWEST COAST
SOUTH OF POINT LAY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS ON THE
NORTHWEST COAST WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55
MPH...ELSEWHERE WINDS WILL BE 10 TO 20 MPH. RAIN MOVING OVER THE
NORTHWEST COAST THIS MORNING WILL SPREAD SLOWLY EAST OVER THE
WESTERN ARCTIC AND BROOKS RANGE THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
CONTINUING EAST ACROSS THE EASTERN ARCTIC AND BROOKS RANGE FRIDAY
MORNING. TEMPERATURES A LITTLE WARMER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS...SO
EXPECT SNOW TO BEGIN CHANGING TO RAIN IN MOST AREAS BY THURSDAY
MORNING.

WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...PRECIPITATION MOVING OVER THE
COASTAL AREAS THIS MORNING MAY START OUT AS SNOW IN AREAS NORTH OF
THE SEWARD PENINSULA...BUT CHANGE TO RAIN BY NOON IN MOST AREAS.
PRECIPITATION WILL SLOWLY WORK INLAND WITH RAIN MOVING INTO THE
MIDDLE YUKON VALLEY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH
WINDS OVER THE COAST THIS MORNING WILL SWING AROUND TO WEST BEHIND
THE FRONT. STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN THE BERING STRAIT AND ON THE
NORTHERN CHUKCHI SEA COAST WITH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH GUSTING TO
AROUND 45 MPH. THE REMAINDER OF THE COASTAL AREAS WILL HAVE WINDS
IN THE 10 TO 20 MPH RANGE. INLAND AREA WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...SOME LINGERING FLURRIES UNDER THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE MAINLY EAST OF FAIRBANKS. NO
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TODAY. WINDS GENERALLY
NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH. TEMPERATURES RISING 3 TO 8 DEGREES IN
MOST AREAS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NONE AT THIS TIME...BUT THE NOATAK RIVER BASIN COULD
SEE UP TO AN INCH OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS SO WILL KEEP A
CLOSE WATCH OVER THAT AREA.

&&

.SATELLITE...STRATUS IN THE ARCTIC AND IN THE INTERIOR STANDS OUT
PRETTY GOOD ON THE SPORT MODIS 24 HR MICROPHYSICS AT 23/0833Z
PRODUCT. NOT SEEING MUCH MOVEMENT IN EITHER AREA. STRATUS ON THE
WEST COAST IS MASKED BY THE HIGHER CLOUDS IN THE AREA. GOES MVFR
PROBABILITY PRODUCT AT 23/0845Z AND OBSERVATIONS INDICATE VAST
AREAS OF LOWER CLOUDS ACROSS THE STATE WITH A WIDE BAND OF STRATUS
INDICATED WITH THE INCOMING SYSTEM MOVING OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA AND
BERING STRAIT.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR AKZ207.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ225.

&&

SDB SEP 15