Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2015

Storm Warning 103, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 9, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 9, 2015, 3:05 PM AKST. It was in force for 60 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 9, 2015, 3:05 PM AKST (00:05 UTC)
Expired
Nov 12, 2015, 3:29 AM AKST
In force
60 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

102 
FZAK62 PAFC 100005
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
305 PM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-101500-
305 PM AKST MON NOV 9 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 962 MB LOW NEAR 64N 168W WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ONSHORE OVER
THE SEWARD PENINSULA MON EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL SWING
OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA AND MOVE INTO SOUTHWESTERN AND
WESTERN ALASKA MON NIGHT. A 993 MB LOW AT 51N 174E WILL MOVE TO
57N 159W AS A 956 MB LOW THEN ONSHORE WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-101500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
305 PM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57 N.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 TO 35 KT BY MIDDAY.
SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
N OF 57N.
.WED...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-101500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
305 PM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO
16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW.
.WED...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.

$$

PKZ413-101500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
305 PM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING NE 35 TO 50 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT.

$$

PKZ414-101500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
305 PM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 TO 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING NE 45 TO 60 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NW WIND 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.

$$
5 follow-up statements
330 
FZAK62 PAFC 101204
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
304 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-110245-
304 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 991 MB LOW NEAR 51N 174E WILL MOVE TO 56N 165W AT 958 MB TONIGHT
THEN TO 56N 156W AT 961 MB WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-110245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
304 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-110245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
304 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW.
.WED...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ413-110245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
304 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT BECOMING N 50 TO 65 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. E OF 177W...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 TO 45 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT BUILDING TO 15 TO 20 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 TO 65 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO 30 TO
45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. E OF 176W...S WIND 30 TO 45 KT BECOMING NW
55 TO 70 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 TO 26 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.WED...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ414-110245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
304 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON W OF 169W. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT BECOMING NE 45 TO 60 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 40 TO 55 KT BECOMING NW 30 TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

$$
000 
FZAK62 PAFC 110027
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
327 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-111500-
327 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 992 MB LOW NEAR 51N 173E STRENGTHENS TO 967 MB AS IT MOVES TO
55N 165W BY WED MORNING BEFORE CROSSING THE WESTERN ALASKA
PENINSULA. THE LOW EMERGES AROUND 56N 160W AT 964 MB WED AFTERNOON AND
MOVES TO 59N 141W AS A 962 MB LOW THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-111500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
327 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015


.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-111500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
327 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. SNOW.
.WED...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ413-111500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
327 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 16 TO 25 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ414-111500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
327 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT BECOMING NE 40 TO 55 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 40 TO 55 KT BECOMING NW 30 TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 TO 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$
358 
FZAK62 PAFC 111203
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-120230-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 966 MB LOW NEAR 55N 165W MOVES TO 56N 156W AT 962 MB THIS
AFTERNOON THEN MOVES EAST INTO THE GULF. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH THU.

$$

PKZ411-120230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY N OF 57N.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-120230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.THU...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ413-120230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ414-120230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$
586 
FZAK62 PAFC 120005
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
305 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-121445-
305 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 964 MB LOW AT 56N 156W MOVES TO THE CENTRAL GULF AT 961 MB THU
MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THIS
EVENING AND PERSIST THROUGH THU EVENING. A 1010 MB LOW OVER
KAMCHATKA THU EVENING THEN MOVES TO 61N 179W AT 1000 MB FRI
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-121445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
305 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-121445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
305 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ413-121445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
305 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 TO 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ414-121445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
305 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 TO 50 KT DIMINISHING 25 TO 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 TO 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW.
.THU...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

$$
798 
FZAK62 PAFC 121229
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
329 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-130230-
329 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 1005 MB LOW NEAR 60N 171E LATE THU NIGHT MOVES TO 60N 177W AT
992 MB LATE FRI NIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN
BERING MIDDAY FRI AND MOVES INTO THE EASTERN BERING LATE FRI
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-130230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
329 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ412-130230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
329 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ413-130230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
329 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ414-130230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
329 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.FRI...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N IN THE MORNING.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 9, 4:59 AM AKST, 10 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 9, 4:59 AM AKST, 10 hours 6 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
459 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE LARGE UPPER CYCLONE IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA IS THE DOMINANT
FEATURE ALOFT THIS MORNING. ITS CYCLONIC FLOW EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHERN ARCTIC WELL INTO THE NORTHERN PACIFIC. THE JET STREAM IS
RUNNING FROM EAST ASIA AROUND THE TROUGH...PUNCHING UP INTO
SOUTHERN ALASKA AROUND 130 KTS WITH A STRONGER 160 KT CORE TOWARD
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. A DIFFLUENT UPPER TROUGH IS QUICKLY
PROPAGATING THROUGH THE FLOW FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THE FRONT/TRIPLE POINT LOW IS QUICKLY MOVING
OUT OF PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. THE STRONG TURNAGAIN/HIGHER ELEVATION
WINDS QUICKLY ENDED AND HAVE TRANSITIONED TO SOUTHERLY UP-INLET
FLOW AS THE SYSTEM EXITS. BACK BEHIND THE FRONT AN UNSTABLE
WESTERLY FLOW ENCOMPASSES MOST OF THE BERING SEA WITH GALE FORCE
WINDS AND SHOWERY PRECIPITATION MOST EVERYWHERE.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

AS THE CURRENT LARGE BERING STORM BEGINS TO WEAKEN AND
FILL...MODELS HANDLE THE SYNOPTIC EVOLUTION REALLY WELL. THE
LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD OVER MAINLAND
ALASKA. LATE TONIGHT A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE/JET STEAK WILL
PHASE INTO THE NORTHERN STREAM...GUIDANCE HAS BEEN SHOWING THIS
SOLUTION FOR DAYS...DEVELOPING A RATHER PROGRESSIVE BOMB-CYCLONE
OVER THE BERING SEA. THERE IS STILL SOME SLIGHT
PRESSURE/TIMING/LOCATION DIFFERENCES BETWEEN MODELS BUT CONFIDENCE
IS HIGH THAT A COMPACT AND DEEP SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE
CENTRAL/EASTERN ALEUTIANS THIS WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A LARGE UPPER LOW OVER ALASKA THAT IS CENTERED OVER THE SEWARD
PENINSULA THIS MORNING WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND MOVE EAST THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE FLOW ALOFT IS CURRENTLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND
WILL REMAIN SO THROUGH ABOUT TUESDAY MORNING. THE FRONT THAT
PASSED THROUGH THE COOK INLET AREA AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND LAST
NIGHT WILL BE OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN THIS MORNING AND WILL
EXIT INTO NORTHWEST CANADA THIS AFTERNOON. THE FLOW ALOFT IS
CURRENTLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST. SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WILL REMAIN IN
WEAKLY CYCLONIC FLOW PRODUCING OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. WEAK IMPULSES
WILL PERIODICALLY ENHANCE THESE CHANCES...BUT POPS ARE MOSTLY IN
THE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CATEGORIES FOR THESE EVENTS. THE
STRONGEST IMPULSE IS CURRENTLY NEAR THE PRIBILOFS AND WILL MOVE
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. THIS IS NOT
VERY ORGANIZED AND FLOW WILL SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TO WEST...SO
AGAIN POPS NOT VERY HIGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS...MIXED WITH RAIN AT TIMES ALONG THE WEST
COAST...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW ENTRENCHED IN THE LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE ENOUGH LIFT AND INSTABILITY FOR ADDITIONAL
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT. COLDER AIR ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT
ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA DURING THE DAY TODAY AND BY TUESDAY
MORNING...THE BULK OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL SEE LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
EXCEPT FOR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. HOWEVER...IT
LOOKS AS IF THE PROBABILITY OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH A TOUCH
ON TUESDAY AS WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGING ALOFT PUSHES QUICKLY ACROSS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA AHEAD OF ANOTHER POTENT STORM SYSTEM. THE GUSTY
WINDS THAT HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS THE LOW
IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA WEAKENS AND DRIFTS FURTHER NORTH. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AS A RIPE POCKET
OF -40 DEGREES 500 MB TEMPERATURES MOVES OVER MUCH WARMER WATERS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE QUITE COMMON ACROSS THE BERING SEA
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM AS THE STACKED LOW IN THE NORTHERN BERING
SEA ALLOWS FOR NORTHWEST FLOW TO CONTINUE. THIS WILL USHER IN
COLDER AIR FROM SIBERIA AND CREATE A CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE THAT WILL SUPPORT SHOWER DEVELOPMENT. SPEAKING OF
INSTABILITY...QUITE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE
BERING SEA THROUGHOUT THE DAY SUNDAY AS WELL AS EARLY THIS
MORNING. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING AS WEAK
INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD AIR ADVECTION INTERACTS WITH
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO PRODUCE FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES.

ALL EYES THEN TURN TO WHAT APPEARS TO BE QUITE AN IMPACTFUL AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE THAT PUSHES SOUTH OF SHEMYA TUESDAY MORNING. THIS
LOW WILL INTERACT WITH A VERY POTENT JET STREAK AND HAPPENS TO BE
IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION (FAVORABLE FOR CYCLOGENESIS) WHICH SHOULD
PROMOTE EXTREMELY RAPID INTENSIFICATION AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE
ALEUTIAN ISLANDS THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY. A SLUG OF WARM AIR WILL
ACCOMPANY THIS LOW AND KEEP PRECIPITATION TYPE AS RAIN ACROSS THE
ALEUTIANS BUT THE BIGGEST IMPACT WITH THIS LOW WILL BE EXTREMELY
STRONG WINDS. THE TRACK OF THE LOW PUTS ADAK...ATKA AND DUTCH
HARBOR IN A FAVORABLE LOCATION TO SEE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
MODELS HAVE BEEN IN SOLID AGREEMENT FOR DAYS AND HAVE OPTED TO
ISSUE A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR ADAK AND ATKA TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR WIND GUSTS POSSIBLY UP TO 80 MPH WHILE DUTCH
HARBOR/UNALASKA COULD SEE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 100 MPH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

THE POWERFUL LOW IMPACTING THE BERING WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT
MOVES INTO THE GULF LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. PRECEDING THE
LOW...AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MOVES TO THE NORTH GULF COAST
AS WELL AS SOUTHERN COOK INLET AND BARREN ISLANDS WATERS AND
BRINGS SOLID GALE- TO STORM-FORCE WINDS. ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE
LOW...EXCEPTIONALLY HIGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF WHERE A LONG FETCH OF WINDS WILL HELP GENERATE A
LARGE SWELL FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF LATE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY...ARCTIC AIR WILL SPILL THROUGH THE GAPS OF THE ALEUTIANS
AND CHUGACH AND BRING AT LEAST GALE-FORCE WINDS TO MUCH OF THE
GULF WATERS. THE COLD ADVECTION AND STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TO LIGHTEN UP A BIT THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND...KEEPING MOST
OF THE MAINLAND SEASONABLY COLD AND DRY.

OUT WEST...AFTER THE HURRICANE-FORCE LOW DEPARTS THE REGION BY
LATE WEEK COLD ADVECTION AND BROAD NORTHWESTERLY CYCLONIC FLOW
WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUED SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS TO SPILL SOUTH AND
EAST ACROSS THE REGION. THIS FLOW WILL KEEP THE NORTH AND WEST
FACING PARTS OF THE ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA CLOUDY AND ON
THE WET SIDE...WHILE SOUTH AND EAST-FACING SIDES WILL LARGELY
REMAIN PRECIPITATION-FREE WITH ONLY INTERMITTENT CLOUDS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH...185 187.
 		 HIGH SURF ADVISORY...155.
MARINE...GALES...131 132 150 155 160 165 170 172 173 175 178-181
				 185.
         STORMS....174 176 177.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MTL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...CC

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 9, 12:08 PM AKST, 2 hours 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1208 PM AKST MON NOV 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     SNOW             3 SW HOUSTON            61.59N 149.85W
11/09/2015  M5.0 INCH                           AK   PUBLIC

0600 AM     SNOW             STERLING                60.52N 150.80W
11/09/2015  M4.0 INCH                           AK   PUBLIC

0600 AM     SNOW             5 SW ANCHORAGE          61.16N 149.98W
11/09/2015  M2.0 INCH                           AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            SNOW DEPTH 3

&&

KUTZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 9, 3:25 PM AKSTHurricane Force Wind WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 9, 3:25 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 9, 3:32 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 9, 4:00 PM AKSTHigh Wind WarningAFC53 hr
Nov 10, 3:04 AM AKSTHurricane Force Wind WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 10, 3:04 AM AKSTHurricane Force Wind WarningAFC13 hr
Nov 10, 3:04 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC13 hr
Nov 10, 3:04 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC13 hr
Nov 10, 3:31 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Nov 10, 3:31 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC48 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every storm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.