Gale Warning 762, NWS Anchorage, AK

783 
FZAK51 PAFC 100917 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

UPDATED ZONES 119 125

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-102215-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 997 MB LOW NEAR SEWARD THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 70 NM
SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT AS A 992 MB LOW TUE MORNING THEN ONSHORE TUE
EVENING. A FRONT WILL SWEEP ONSHORE TUE AFTERNOON. A 964 MB LOW
ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA WED EVENING 80 NM WEST OF
AKHIOK.

$$

PKZ119-102215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-102215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-102215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-102215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-102215-
PORT VALDEZ-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-102215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-102215-
VALDEZ ARM-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.  
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-102215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-102215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-102215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-102215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-102215-
CHINIAK BAY-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-102215-
MARMOT BAY-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-102215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-102215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-102215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-102215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1217 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

582 
FZAK51 PAFC 101231
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-110130-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 991 MB LOW 60 NM EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO NEAR
YAKUTAT AT 992 MB THIS AFTERNOON THEN ONSHORE THIS EVENING. A 
961 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 80 NM EAST OF CHIGNIK WED AFTERNOON AND
TO 120 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 961 MB WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-110130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT NEAR THE COAST. 
SEAS 8 FT EXCEPT 4 FT NEAR THE COAST. RAIN SHOWERS. 
ISOLATED TSTMS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE WIND 10 KT 
NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 4 FT NEAR THE COAST.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-110130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NW 15 KT NEAR THE COAST. 
SEAS 8 FT EXCEPT 4 FT NEAR THE COAST. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NW 10 KT NEAR THE COAST. 
SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 3 FT NEAR THE COAST.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-110130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-110130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING 
VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-110130-
PORT VALDEZ-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-110130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-110130-
VALDEZ ARM-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-110130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT 
NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER 
IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-110130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO NE 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 60 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-110130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING 
TO 10 FT BY AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-110130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-110130-
CHINIAK BAY-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-110130-
MARMOT BAY-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-110130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-110130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 60 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-110130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE MAINLY SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE MAINLY S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-110130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
331 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
459 AM AKST MON NOV 9 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE LARGE UPPER CYCLONE IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA IS THE DOMINANT
FEATURE ALOFT THIS MORNING. ITS CYCLONIC FLOW EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHERN ARCTIC WELL INTO THE NORTHERN PACIFIC. THE JET STREAM IS
RUNNING FROM EAST ASIA AROUND THE TROUGH...PUNCHING UP INTO
SOUTHERN ALASKA AROUND 130 KTS WITH A STRONGER 160 KT CORE TOWARD
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. A DIFFLUENT UPPER TROUGH IS QUICKLY
PROPAGATING THROUGH THE FLOW FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THE FRONT/TRIPLE POINT LOW IS QUICKLY MOVING
OUT OF PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. THE STRONG TURNAGAIN/HIGHER ELEVATION
WINDS QUICKLY ENDED AND HAVE TRANSITIONED TO SOUTHERLY UP-INLET
FLOW AS THE SYSTEM EXITS. BACK BEHIND THE FRONT AN UNSTABLE
WESTERLY FLOW ENCOMPASSES MOST OF THE BERING SEA WITH GALE FORCE
WINDS AND SHOWERY PRECIPITATION MOST EVERYWHERE.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

AS THE CURRENT LARGE BERING STORM BEGINS TO WEAKEN AND
FILL...MODELS HANDLE THE SYNOPTIC EVOLUTION REALLY WELL. THE
LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD OVER MAINLAND
ALASKA. LATE TONIGHT A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE/JET STEAK WILL
PHASE INTO THE NORTHERN STREAM...GUIDANCE HAS BEEN SHOWING THIS
SOLUTION FOR DAYS...DEVELOPING A RATHER PROGRESSIVE BOMB-CYCLONE
OVER THE BERING SEA. THERE IS STILL SOME SLIGHT
PRESSURE/TIMING/LOCATION DIFFERENCES BETWEEN MODELS BUT CONFIDENCE
IS HIGH THAT A COMPACT AND DEEP SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE
CENTRAL/EASTERN ALEUTIANS THIS WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A LARGE UPPER LOW OVER ALASKA THAT IS CENTERED OVER THE SEWARD
PENINSULA THIS MORNING WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND MOVE EAST THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE FLOW ALOFT IS CURRENTLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND
WILL REMAIN SO THROUGH ABOUT TUESDAY MORNING. THE FRONT THAT
PASSED THROUGH THE COOK INLET AREA AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND LAST
NIGHT WILL BE OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN THIS MORNING AND WILL
EXIT INTO NORTHWEST CANADA THIS AFTERNOON. THE FLOW ALOFT IS
CURRENTLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST. SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WILL REMAIN IN
WEAKLY CYCLONIC FLOW PRODUCING OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. WEAK IMPULSES
WILL PERIODICALLY ENHANCE THESE CHANCES...BUT POPS ARE MOSTLY IN
THE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CATEGORIES FOR THESE EVENTS. THE
STRONGEST IMPULSE IS CURRENTLY NEAR THE PRIBILOFS AND WILL MOVE
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. THIS IS NOT
VERY ORGANIZED AND FLOW WILL SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TO WEST...SO
AGAIN POPS NOT VERY HIGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS...MIXED WITH RAIN AT TIMES ALONG THE WEST
COAST...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW ENTRENCHED IN THE LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE ENOUGH LIFT AND INSTABILITY FOR ADDITIONAL
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT. COLDER AIR ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT
ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA DURING THE DAY TODAY AND BY TUESDAY
MORNING...THE BULK OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL SEE LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
EXCEPT FOR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. HOWEVER...IT
LOOKS AS IF THE PROBABILITY OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH A TOUCH
ON TUESDAY AS WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGING ALOFT PUSHES QUICKLY ACROSS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA AHEAD OF ANOTHER POTENT STORM SYSTEM. THE GUSTY
WINDS THAT HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS THE LOW
IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA WEAKENS AND DRIFTS FURTHER NORTH. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AS A RIPE POCKET
OF -40 DEGREES 500 MB TEMPERATURES MOVES OVER MUCH WARMER WATERS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE QUITE COMMON ACROSS THE BERING SEA
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM AS THE STACKED LOW IN THE NORTHERN BERING
SEA ALLOWS FOR NORTHWEST FLOW TO CONTINUE. THIS WILL USHER IN
COLDER AIR FROM SIBERIA AND CREATE A CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE THAT WILL SUPPORT SHOWER DEVELOPMENT. SPEAKING OF
INSTABILITY...QUITE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE
BERING SEA THROUGHOUT THE DAY SUNDAY AS WELL AS EARLY THIS
MORNING. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING AS WEAK
INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD AIR ADVECTION INTERACTS WITH
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO PRODUCE FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES.

ALL EYES THEN TURN TO WHAT APPEARS TO BE QUITE AN IMPACTFUL AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE THAT PUSHES SOUTH OF SHEMYA TUESDAY MORNING. THIS
LOW WILL INTERACT WITH A VERY POTENT JET STREAK AND HAPPENS TO BE
IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION (FAVORABLE FOR CYCLOGENESIS) WHICH SHOULD
PROMOTE EXTREMELY RAPID INTENSIFICATION AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE
ALEUTIAN ISLANDS THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY. A SLUG OF WARM AIR WILL
ACCOMPANY THIS LOW AND KEEP PRECIPITATION TYPE AS RAIN ACROSS THE
ALEUTIANS BUT THE BIGGEST IMPACT WITH THIS LOW WILL BE EXTREMELY
STRONG WINDS. THE TRACK OF THE LOW PUTS ADAK...ATKA AND DUTCH
HARBOR IN A FAVORABLE LOCATION TO SEE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
MODELS HAVE BEEN IN SOLID AGREEMENT FOR DAYS AND HAVE OPTED TO
ISSUE A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR ADAK AND ATKA TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR WIND GUSTS POSSIBLY UP TO 80 MPH WHILE DUTCH
HARBOR/UNALASKA COULD SEE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 100 MPH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

THE POWERFUL LOW IMPACTING THE BERING WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT
MOVES INTO THE GULF LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. PRECEDING THE
LOW...AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MOVES TO THE NORTH GULF COAST
AS WELL AS SOUTHERN COOK INLET AND BARREN ISLANDS WATERS AND
BRINGS SOLID GALE- TO STORM-FORCE WINDS. ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE
LOW...EXCEPTIONALLY HIGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF WHERE A LONG FETCH OF WINDS WILL HELP GENERATE A
LARGE SWELL FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF LATE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY...ARCTIC AIR WILL SPILL THROUGH THE GAPS OF THE ALEUTIANS
AND CHUGACH AND BRING AT LEAST GALE-FORCE WINDS TO MUCH OF THE
GULF WATERS. THE COLD ADVECTION AND STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TO LIGHTEN UP A BIT THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND...KEEPING MOST
OF THE MAINLAND SEASONABLY COLD AND DRY.

OUT WEST...AFTER THE HURRICANE-FORCE LOW DEPARTS THE REGION BY
LATE WEEK COLD ADVECTION AND BROAD NORTHWESTERLY CYCLONIC FLOW
WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUED SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS TO SPILL SOUTH AND
EAST ACROSS THE REGION. THIS FLOW WILL KEEP THE NORTH AND WEST
FACING PARTS OF THE ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA CLOUDY AND ON
THE WET SIDE...WHILE SOUTH AND EAST-FACING SIDES WILL LARGELY
REMAIN PRECIPITATION-FREE WITH ONLY INTERMITTENT CLOUDS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH...185 187.
 		 HIGH SURF ADVISORY...155.
MARINE...GALES...131 132 150 155 160 165 170 172 173 175 178-181
				 185.
         STORMS....174 176 177.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MTL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...CC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1208 PM AKST MON NOV 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     SNOW             3 SW HOUSTON            61.59N 149.85W
11/09/2015  M5.0 INCH                           AK   PUBLIC

0600 AM     SNOW             STERLING                60.52N 150.80W
11/09/2015  M4.0 INCH                           AK   PUBLIC

0600 AM     SNOW             5 SW ANCHORAGE          61.16N 149.98W
11/09/2015  M2.0 INCH                           AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            SNOW DEPTH 3

&&

KUTZ