Small Craft Advisory 1017, NWS Anchorage, AK

703 
FZAK51 PAFC 230016
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231315-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A BROAD 992 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF YAKUTAT DISSIPATES WED. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH THU EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-231315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
COPPER RIVER DELTA.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-231315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-231315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-231315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-231315-
PORT VALDEZ-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-231315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-231315-
VALDEZ ARM-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-231315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-231315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-231315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-231315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-231315-
CHINIAK BAY-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-231315-
MARMOT BAY-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-231315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-231315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT 15 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT. 
SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT NW 25 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT. 
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT NW 20 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-231315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-231315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
316 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT NW 10 KT OVER THE OUTER BAY.
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

794 
FZAK51 PAFC 231213
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240045-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 995 MB LOW 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT WEAKENS INTO A TROUGH
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA COAST AND DISSIPATES THU MORNING. A
FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA THU NIGHT AND PRESSES
OVER KODIAK CITY AND THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-240045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-240045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-240045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-240045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-240045-
PORT VALDEZ-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-240045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-240045-
VALDEZ ARM-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-240045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING AND TO 50 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-240045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-240045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-240045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ136-240045-
CHINIAK BAY-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-240045-
MARMOT BAY-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-240045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-240045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-240045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-240045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

508 
FZAK51 PAFC 240043
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-241330-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 998 MB LOW 90 NM NORTHWEST OF SITKA WEAKENS INTO A TROUGH ALONG
THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA COAST AND DISSIPATES THU MORNING. A FRONT
MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA THU NIGHT AND THE CENTRAL
GULF THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-241330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
NORTH GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ120-241330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-241330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-241330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-241330-
PORT VALDEZ-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-241330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-241330-
VALDEZ ARM-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-241330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-241330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING NE 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-241330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-241330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N
OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT BUILDING TO
13 FT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-241330-
CHINIAK BAY-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-241330-
MARMOT BAY-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-241330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-241330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT NW 20 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT. SEAS
2 FT...EXCEPT 5 FT S OF ANCHOR POINT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-241330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-241330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT...EXCEPT W 15 KT OVER THE OUTER
BAY. SEAS 2 FT...EXCEPT 4 FT OVER THE OUTER BAY.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT EXCEPT NE 15 KT OVER THE OUTER BAY. SEAS 2
FT...EXCEPT 4 FT OVER THE OUTER BAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT 20 KT OVER THE OUTER BAY. SEAS
2 FT...EXCEPT 4 FT OVER THE OUTER BAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

429 
FZAK51 PAFC 241228
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-250045-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1006 MB LOW OVER PORT ALEXANDER ANCHORS AN ELONGATED TROUGH
ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA COASTS. THIS
TROUGH WILL DISSIPATE FRIDAY MORNING. A WEATHER FRONT ENTERS THE
WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND FRIDAY MORNING AND
DRIVES TO THE NORTH AND SOUTHEASTERN GULF COASTS BY SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-250045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ120-250045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-250045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-250045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-250045-
PORT VALDEZ-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-250045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-250045-
VALDEZ ARM-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-250045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-250045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-250045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-250045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-250045-
CHINIAK BAY-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-250045-
MARMOT BAY-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-250045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-250045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-250045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-250045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
347 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
FOG HAS BEEN THE PRIMARY WEATHER CONCERN ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN
MAINLAND ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON. IN SOUTHCENTRAL IN AND AROUND
THE ANCHORAGE BOWL...AREAS OF LOCALLY DENSE FOG FORMED THIS
MORNING IN THE SATURATED LAYER THAT DEVELOPED UNDER A STRONG
SURFACE INVERSION. VERY LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE LOWER HALF OF
THE ATMOSPHERE ALSO INHIBITED MIXING. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVE
APPROACHED THE ANCHORAGE AREA MID-MORNING...CAUSING THE FOG TO
RAPIDLY DIMINISH AFTER SUNRISE. OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WIDESPREAD
FOG INITIATED BY THE SAME PHENOMENA DESCRIBED ABOVE PERSISTS
ACROSS MOST INLAND AREAS FROM BETHEL EAST TO KOLIGANEK AND
SPARREVOHN. BETHELS 12Z SOUNDING THIS MORNING IS NEARLY IDENTICAL
TO ANCHORAGE...SHOWING A NEARLY SATURATED SURFACE INVERSION AND
NEARLY NON-EXISTENT WINDS NEAR THE GROUND. THE LARGER-SCALE
WEATHER MAPS SHOW SURFACE RIDGING ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM RIVER
WITH A COL OVER THE NORTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA...BOTH FEATURES
WHICH RESULT IN LITTLE WIND. THE LIGHT WINDS...NEARLY CLEAR
SKIES AWAY FROM THE COAST...AND AS MINIMAL A SOLAR INFLUENCE
AS IT GETS ALL CONTINUE TO FAVOR PERSISTENT LOCALLY DENSE FOG
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

OVER THE BERING...A STATIONARY FRONT/CONVERGENCE ZONE IS IN PLACE
STRETCHING FROM THE EASTERN BERING ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING.
THE RELATIVE LOW PRESSURE IS SANDWICHED BETWEEN A STRONG SIBERIAN
POLAR HIGH AND A SUBTROPICAL HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.
THUS...STRONG OPPOSING WINDS ON EITHER SIDE OF THE ZONE ARE
PREVENTING ANYTHING MORE THAN VERY SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION. SOUTH OF THIS ZONE...RELATIVELY WARM LOW LEVEL AIR
IS UNDERNEATH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW ASSOCIATED WITH COLD UPPER
LEVEL AIR. THE RESULT IS STRONG INSTABILITY AND "POPCORN" LOOKING
CUMULUS AND OCCASIONAL CUMULONIMBUS OVER A LARGE AREA OF THE
BERING AND NORTH PACIFIC...INCLUDING ALL OF THE ALEUTIANS.
DETECTED LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE BEEN FEW AND FAR BETWEEN...BUT
ARE INDICATIVE OF THE LEVEL OF INSTABILITY IN THAT AREA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN AGREEMENT ABOUT THE MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY
OF THE MAJOR FEATURES IMPACTING THE AOR. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE
PRIMARY PACIFIC JET STREAK REMAINS WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA...KEEPING
MOST OF THE STRONGER STORMS HEADING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. A
DIGGING TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BERING TUESDAY NIGHT HELPS AMPLIFY
A RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SOME
MINOR DIFFERENCES IN THE INTENSITY OF THE JET STREAK THAT FORMS
DOWNSTREAM OF THE RIDGE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA. BIGGER DIFFERENCES
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A STORM MOVING INTO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS WEDNESDAY MORNING...PRIMARILY AS A RESULT OF DIFFERENCES
IN STORM INTENSITY AND HOW FAVORABLE THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES WITH
SUPPORTING A BROAD PRECIPITATION SHIELD. THE NAM WAS THE MODEL OF
CHOICE CONCERNING ALL OF THE ABOVE DIFFERENCES. THE NAMS HIGHER
RESOLUTION AND THE MIDDLE-OF-THE-ROAD SOLUTION WERE THE PRIMARY
FEATURES FAVORING IT OVER THE OTHER MODELS. CONFIDENCE IN THE
FORECAST IS HIGH CONSIDERING LOW MODEL SPREAD AND THE GENERALLY
QUIET WEATHER PATTERN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THERE IS WEAK FLOW ALOFT AND LOOKING FOR ISOLATED PATCHY FOG TO
REDEVELOP FOR THE ANCHORAGE BOWL...MAT-SU VALLEYS AND THE UPPER
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA TONIGHT. WHILE UPSTREAM THE UPPER LEVELS
HAVE A WEAK SHORTWAVE THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHCENTRAL
REGION THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING ISOLATED SNOW
SHOWERS TO THE AOR AND AID IN MIXING OUT THE PATCHY FOG IN THE
REGION. BY TUESDAY NIGHT THE PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL INCREASE
RESULTING IN GUSTY GAP WINDS DEVELOPING THROUGH WHITTIER...PORTAGE
AND OTHER FAVORED TERRAIN GAPS ALONG THE GULF COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE PATTERN WILL BE DOMINATED BY LOW PRESSURE THROUGH MID WEEK
KEEPING LOW CLOUDS OR FOG ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST. THE WEAKENING
SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT WILL BE REPLACED BY A
LOW MOVING INLAND FROM THE EASTERN BERING INTO THE THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA TUESDAY. THIS LOW MOVES A WEAK FRONT TO THE WEST COAST
EARLY TUESDAY AND CONTINUES AN EASTWARD TRACK TO THE ALASKA
RANGE. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WEAKENS QUICKLY AS IT MOVES INLAND
BRINGING LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN AREAS
OF BRISTOL BAY...ELSEWHERE ONLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED. THE LIGHT WIND PATTERN INCREASES OUT OF
THE NORTH TO WEST ON WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE EXITING SURFACE LOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS ALONG A SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS.
THE NEXT STRONG FRONT DEVELOPS IN THE NORTH PACIFIC TUESDAY NIGHT
WHICH WILL INCREASE EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE LOW CENTER TRACKS
NEAR KISKA INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING WEDNESDAY MORNING BRINGING
A DIRECTIONAL WIND CHANGE WITH GUSTY WINDS SPREADING ACROSS THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS TO THE NORTHERN BERING BY THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
MODELS ARE COMING INTO SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT
TO THE MIDWEEK BERING STORM...HOWEVER THERE IS STILL SOME
DISAGREEMENT ABOUT HOW FAR NORTH THE SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK
WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE IT STARTS EAST ON THURSDAY. WITH THE VERY
STRONG JET STREAM TO THE SOUTH AM STILL FAVORING THE MORE SOUTHERN
SOLUTIONS WHICH WHICH WOULD BRING THE LOW ROUGHLY 100 TO 150 NM
INTO THE BERING BEFORE IT GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE BROADER WESTERLY
FLOW AND SWINGS EAST.

THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT POINT OF UNCERTAINTY CONCERNS THE FATE OF THE
NEXT ITERATION OF THIS LOW IN THE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY TIME PERIOD.
THE GFS BRINGS THE LOW INTO BRISTOL BAY WHICH CONTINUES TO SEEM
WELL TOO FAR NORTH. IN THE EC...A NORTH PACIFIC TROUGH SWINGING
AROUND THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE LARGE UPPER LOW SPINS UP INTO ANOTHER
STRONG SURFACE LOW WHICH LIFTS NORTH TO THE WESTERN TIP OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE
CANADIAN MODEL HANGS ON TO THE BERING LOW AS THE MAIN SURFACE
FEATURE BUT TAKES IT MORE ON A SLIGHTLY MORE SOUTHERLY TREK EAST.
ADDITIONALLY IT LIFTS THE FEATURE UP OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC
FASTER AND AS MORE OF A TRIPLE POINT RATHER THAN CLOSED LOW. RIGHT
NOW I AM TENDING TO FAVOR THE EC SOLUTION AS THE MORE SOUTHERLY
SURFACE LOW (RELATIVE TO THE GFS TRACK) IS MORE CONSISTENT WITH
THE UPPER LEVEL JET LOCATION AND STRENGTH. ALSO WITH ALL THE ENERGY
AND COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH SWINGING THROUGH THE NORTH
PACIFIC ON THURSDAY AM FAVORING THE IDEA OF THE WAVE RAPIDLY
DEVELOPING INTO A CLOSED LOW THURSDAY NIGHT.

IMPACT WISE...THE SOLUTION WITH THE STRONG SURFACE LOW SWINGING
ACROSS THE TIP OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL BRING RATHER WINDY
CONDITIONS TO THAT AREA...SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND KODIAK ISLAND
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS WELL AS SUSTAINING THE NORTHERLY
OUTFLOW GAP WINDS IN SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THE MORE SOUTHERLY
POSITION OF THE LOW CENTER HOWEVER WILL LIMIT THE HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION TO COASTAL AREAS. A CONTINUED ACTIVE STORM TRACK
WILL BRING ADDITIONAL STRONG LOWS ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AND INTO
THE BERING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER FURTHER EAST THEY
WILL TEND TO DROP SOUTH CROSSING THE GULF CLOSER TO 50N ONLY
MINIMALLY IMPACTING SOUTHERN SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 132 150 155 165 176 177 178 185.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING 129 180 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...JR