Gale Warning 921, NWS Anchorage, AK

272 
FZAK52 PAFC 230024
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-231345-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A BROAD 982 MB LOW 175 NM WEST OF SHEMYA DISSIPATES TONIGHT. A
NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 165 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA WED MORNING
AT 972 MB AND TO 90 NM N OF KISKA AT 964 MB WED EVENING AND THEN
REMAINS STATIONARY THROUGH THU AFTERNOON. A FRONT IN THE NORTH
PACIFIC QUICKLY DEVELOPS AND MOVES INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
ALASKA PENINSULA THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-231345-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ155-231345-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-231345-
BRISTOL BAY-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-231345-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...W WIND 20 KT
INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW
15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-231345-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-231345-
UNALASKA BAY-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-231345-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 16 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-231345-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-231345-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ175-231345-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-231345-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ177-231345-
ADAK TO KISKA-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 19 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS
24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 31 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ178-231345-
KISKA TO ATTU-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ179-231345-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ180-231345-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-231345-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-231345-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
324 PM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 25 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... E 50 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

683 
FZAK52 PAFC 231212
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-240130-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 975 MB LOW 260 NM SOUTH OF AMCHITKA MOVES TO 240 NM NORTH OF
AMCHITKA AS A 961 MB THU MORNING. THIS LOW SHIFTS TO 160 NM NORTH
OF ADAK AS A 967 MB LOW THU NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING 50 NM NORTH
OF ATKA FRI MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSHES INTO THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS WED AFTERNOON AND DRIVES TO THE WESTERN ALASKA PENINSULA
BY FRI MORNING. A 968 MB LOW AT 410 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR THU
AFTERNOON MOVES TO 125 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY BY FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-240130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ155-240130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ160-240130-
BRISTOL BAY-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-240130-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-240130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ171-240130-
UNALASKA BAY-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-240130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ173-240130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-240130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-240130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-240130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ177-240130-
ADAK TO KISKA-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 18 FT BERING SIDE...22 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 32 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-240130-
KISKA TO ATTU-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ179-240130-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-240130-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-240130-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND 
RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-240130-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
312 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... NE WIND 30 KT
BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

186 
FZAK52 PAFC 240020
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-241300-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 967 MB LOW AT 180 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK MOVES TO 150 NM
NORTHWEST OF ADAK AT 970 MB THU AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATES. A 977
MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 370 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR THU
MORNING THEN TO 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 957 MB THU
EVENING THEN TO 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF COLD BAY AT 950 MB FRI
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-241300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 55 KT.
SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ155-241300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 20
KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ160-241300-
BRISTOL BAY-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING
SE 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-241300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 25 KT.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE
35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT EXCEPT E 50 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-241300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT W OF DUTCH HARBOR 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-241300-
UNALASKA BAY-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-241300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT W OF DUTCH HARBOR
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
W OF DUTCH HARBOR...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-241300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 31 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 31 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ174-241300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING T0 40 KT.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ175-241300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT EXCEPT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT FROM ATKA E
THROUGH THE EVENING. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON FROM
ATKA E...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ176-241300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT FROM ATKA E. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ177-241300-
ADAK TO KISKA-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 29 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ178-241300-
KISKA TO ATTU-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT EXCEPT 40 KT W OF SHEMYA. SEAS 27 FT.
RAIN WITH SNOW.
.THU...NW WIND 50 KT EXCEPT 40 KT W OF SHEMYA. SEAS 27 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
W OF SHEMYA...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 27 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ179-241300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ180-241300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. FROM CAPE NEWENHAM N...E WIND 25 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-241300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-241300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
320 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT S OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. S OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

471 
FZAK52 PAFC 241237
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-250200-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 963 MB LOW 230 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK MOVES TO 75 NM NORTH OF ATKA AS
A 968 MB LOW THU NIGHT AND DISSIPATES FRI MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED
FRONT EXTENDS OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS INTO A SECOND LOW AND
WILL MOVE OVER THE WESTERN ALASKA PENINSULA BY SATURDAY MORNING.
THE SECOND LOW 550 NM SOUTH OF ADAK DRIVES OVER DUTCH HARBOR AS A
951 MB LOW FRI MORNING THEN SHIFTS TO 60 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT AS
961 MB LOW BY SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-250200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF
CHIRIKOF ISLAND...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
CHIRIKOF ISLAND W...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ155-250200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21
FT BUILDING TO 26 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ160-250200-
BRISTOL BAY-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-250200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
12 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT EXCEPT SE 50 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. GUSTS
TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-250200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. FROM DUTCH HARBOR W...E WIND 25 KT
BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE 25 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-250200-
UNALASKA BAY-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-250200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. W OF DUTCH HARBOR...S WIND 35 KT
BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. FROM DUTCH HARBOR W...SE WIND 25 KT
BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
DUTCH HARBOR W...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ173-250200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT BUILDING TO 31 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ174-250200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT BUILDING TO 30 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ175-250200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20
FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19
FT BUILDING TO 27 FT. E OF ADAK...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ176-250200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20
FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT BUILDING TO 30 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 30 FT.

$$

PKZ177-250200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22
FT BUILDING TO 33 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 32 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
30 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ178-250200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 60 KT...EXCEPT NW 45 KT FROM SHEMYA W. SEAS 35 FT
EXCEPT 26 FT FROM SHEMYA W. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
SHEMYA W...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
29 FT EXCEPT 21 FT FROM SHEMYA W. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT. FROM SHEMYA W...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING
VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ179-250200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ180-250200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-250200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY FROM NUNIVAK ISLAND N.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF
NUNIVAK ISLAND.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-250200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
337 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. S OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 50 KT
BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT...EXCEPT 15 FT FROM
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND E. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY FROM
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND N.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM SAINT
MATTHEW E...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT FROM SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND E. SNOW AND RAIN.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT E 35 KT FROM SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND E. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

732 
FZAK52 PAFC 250005
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-251300-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 964 MB LOW 200 NM NORTH OF ADAK WILL MERGE INTO THE INTENSIFYING
LOW THAT IS MOVING TO NORTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR FRI AFTERNOON. A
973 MB LOW 180 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL INTENSIFY TO 952 MB
100 NM NORTH NORTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR FRI AFTERNOON THEN WEAKEN
TO 978 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR SITKINAK SAT AFTERNOON. A 986 MB
LOW FORMING 300 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA FRI NIGHT WILL INTENSIFY TO 973
MB NEAR ADAK SAT EVENING.

$$

PKZ150-251300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 55 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 35 KT.
SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT.

$$

PKZ155-251300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING THEN DIMINISHING
TO 40 KT TOWARD MORNING. W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...SE WIND 45 KT
DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ160-251300-
BRISTOL BAY-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ165-251300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT DEVELOPING
IN THE EVENING. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO
50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO
60 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM PORT
MOLLER E...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 60 KT IN DIMINISHING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ170-251300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
DUTCH HARBOR E...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FROM DUTCH HARBOR E...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ171-251300-
UNALASKA BAY-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 35
KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-251300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
DUTCH HARBOR E...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FROM DUTCH HARBOR E...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ173-251300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT IN THE EARLY MORNING INCREASING TO 55 KT BY
AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 30 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 32 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ174-251300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 29 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 31 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ175-251300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT BY MIDNIGHT. FROM
ATKA E...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 26
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 55 KT. FROM ATKA E...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 30 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 31 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ176-251300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT BY MIDNIGHT. FROM ATKA
E...W WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT
BUILDING TO 28 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ177-251300-
ADAK TO KISKA-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 29 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ178-251300-
KISKA TO ATTU-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT FROM SHEMYA W AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 28 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
SHEMYA W...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT. SEAS 23 FT
SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ179-251300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-251300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN WITH SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-251300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-251300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
305 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT EXCEPT 30 KT S OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT 30 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N AND W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
347 PM AKST MON DEC 21 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
FOG HAS BEEN THE PRIMARY WEATHER CONCERN ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN
MAINLAND ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON. IN SOUTHCENTRAL IN AND AROUND
THE ANCHORAGE BOWL...AREAS OF LOCALLY DENSE FOG FORMED THIS
MORNING IN THE SATURATED LAYER THAT DEVELOPED UNDER A STRONG
SURFACE INVERSION. VERY LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE LOWER HALF OF
THE ATMOSPHERE ALSO INHIBITED MIXING. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVE
APPROACHED THE ANCHORAGE AREA MID-MORNING...CAUSING THE FOG TO
RAPIDLY DIMINISH AFTER SUNRISE. OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WIDESPREAD
FOG INITIATED BY THE SAME PHENOMENA DESCRIBED ABOVE PERSISTS
ACROSS MOST INLAND AREAS FROM BETHEL EAST TO KOLIGANEK AND
SPARREVOHN. BETHELS 12Z SOUNDING THIS MORNING IS NEARLY IDENTICAL
TO ANCHORAGE...SHOWING A NEARLY SATURATED SURFACE INVERSION AND
NEARLY NON-EXISTENT WINDS NEAR THE GROUND. THE LARGER-SCALE
WEATHER MAPS SHOW SURFACE RIDGING ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM RIVER
WITH A COL OVER THE NORTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA...BOTH FEATURES
WHICH RESULT IN LITTLE WIND. THE LIGHT WINDS...NEARLY CLEAR
SKIES AWAY FROM THE COAST...AND AS MINIMAL A SOLAR INFLUENCE
AS IT GETS ALL CONTINUE TO FAVOR PERSISTENT LOCALLY DENSE FOG
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

OVER THE BERING...A STATIONARY FRONT/CONVERGENCE ZONE IS IN PLACE
STRETCHING FROM THE EASTERN BERING ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING.
THE RELATIVE LOW PRESSURE IS SANDWICHED BETWEEN A STRONG SIBERIAN
POLAR HIGH AND A SUBTROPICAL HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.
THUS...STRONG OPPOSING WINDS ON EITHER SIDE OF THE ZONE ARE
PREVENTING ANYTHING MORE THAN VERY SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION. SOUTH OF THIS ZONE...RELATIVELY WARM LOW LEVEL AIR
IS UNDERNEATH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW ASSOCIATED WITH COLD UPPER
LEVEL AIR. THE RESULT IS STRONG INSTABILITY AND "POPCORN" LOOKING
CUMULUS AND OCCASIONAL CUMULONIMBUS OVER A LARGE AREA OF THE
BERING AND NORTH PACIFIC...INCLUDING ALL OF THE ALEUTIANS.
DETECTED LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE BEEN FEW AND FAR BETWEEN...BUT
ARE INDICATIVE OF THE LEVEL OF INSTABILITY IN THAT AREA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN AGREEMENT ABOUT THE MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY
OF THE MAJOR FEATURES IMPACTING THE AOR. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE
PRIMARY PACIFIC JET STREAK REMAINS WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA...KEEPING
MOST OF THE STRONGER STORMS HEADING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. A
DIGGING TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BERING TUESDAY NIGHT HELPS AMPLIFY
A RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SOME
MINOR DIFFERENCES IN THE INTENSITY OF THE JET STREAK THAT FORMS
DOWNSTREAM OF THE RIDGE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA. BIGGER DIFFERENCES
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A STORM MOVING INTO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS WEDNESDAY MORNING...PRIMARILY AS A RESULT OF DIFFERENCES
IN STORM INTENSITY AND HOW FAVORABLE THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES WITH
SUPPORTING A BROAD PRECIPITATION SHIELD. THE NAM WAS THE MODEL OF
CHOICE CONCERNING ALL OF THE ABOVE DIFFERENCES. THE NAMS HIGHER
RESOLUTION AND THE MIDDLE-OF-THE-ROAD SOLUTION WERE THE PRIMARY
FEATURES FAVORING IT OVER THE OTHER MODELS. CONFIDENCE IN THE
FORECAST IS HIGH CONSIDERING LOW MODEL SPREAD AND THE GENERALLY
QUIET WEATHER PATTERN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THERE IS WEAK FLOW ALOFT AND LOOKING FOR ISOLATED PATCHY FOG TO
REDEVELOP FOR THE ANCHORAGE BOWL...MAT-SU VALLEYS AND THE UPPER
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA TONIGHT. WHILE UPSTREAM THE UPPER LEVELS
HAVE A WEAK SHORTWAVE THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHCENTRAL
REGION THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING ISOLATED SNOW
SHOWERS TO THE AOR AND AID IN MIXING OUT THE PATCHY FOG IN THE
REGION. BY TUESDAY NIGHT THE PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL INCREASE
RESULTING IN GUSTY GAP WINDS DEVELOPING THROUGH WHITTIER...PORTAGE
AND OTHER FAVORED TERRAIN GAPS ALONG THE GULF COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE PATTERN WILL BE DOMINATED BY LOW PRESSURE THROUGH MID WEEK
KEEPING LOW CLOUDS OR FOG ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST. THE WEAKENING
SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT WILL BE REPLACED BY A
LOW MOVING INLAND FROM THE EASTERN BERING INTO THE THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA TUESDAY. THIS LOW MOVES A WEAK FRONT TO THE WEST COAST
EARLY TUESDAY AND CONTINUES AN EASTWARD TRACK TO THE ALASKA
RANGE. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WEAKENS QUICKLY AS IT MOVES INLAND
BRINGING LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN AREAS
OF BRISTOL BAY...ELSEWHERE ONLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED. THE LIGHT WIND PATTERN INCREASES OUT OF
THE NORTH TO WEST ON WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE EXITING SURFACE LOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS ALONG A SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS.
THE NEXT STRONG FRONT DEVELOPS IN THE NORTH PACIFIC TUESDAY NIGHT
WHICH WILL INCREASE EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE LOW CENTER TRACKS
NEAR KISKA INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING WEDNESDAY MORNING BRINGING
A DIRECTIONAL WIND CHANGE WITH GUSTY WINDS SPREADING ACROSS THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS TO THE NORTHERN BERING BY THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
MODELS ARE COMING INTO SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT
TO THE MIDWEEK BERING STORM...HOWEVER THERE IS STILL SOME
DISAGREEMENT ABOUT HOW FAR NORTH THE SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK
WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE IT STARTS EAST ON THURSDAY. WITH THE VERY
STRONG JET STREAM TO THE SOUTH AM STILL FAVORING THE MORE SOUTHERN
SOLUTIONS WHICH WHICH WOULD BRING THE LOW ROUGHLY 100 TO 150 NM
INTO THE BERING BEFORE IT GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE BROADER WESTERLY
FLOW AND SWINGS EAST.

THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT POINT OF UNCERTAINTY CONCERNS THE FATE OF THE
NEXT ITERATION OF THIS LOW IN THE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY TIME PERIOD.
THE GFS BRINGS THE LOW INTO BRISTOL BAY WHICH CONTINUES TO SEEM
WELL TOO FAR NORTH. IN THE EC...A NORTH PACIFIC TROUGH SWINGING
AROUND THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE LARGE UPPER LOW SPINS UP INTO ANOTHER
STRONG SURFACE LOW WHICH LIFTS NORTH TO THE WESTERN TIP OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE
CANADIAN MODEL HANGS ON TO THE BERING LOW AS THE MAIN SURFACE
FEATURE BUT TAKES IT MORE ON A SLIGHTLY MORE SOUTHERLY TREK EAST.
ADDITIONALLY IT LIFTS THE FEATURE UP OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC
FASTER AND AS MORE OF A TRIPLE POINT RATHER THAN CLOSED LOW. RIGHT
NOW I AM TENDING TO FAVOR THE EC SOLUTION AS THE MORE SOUTHERLY
SURFACE LOW (RELATIVE TO THE GFS TRACK) IS MORE CONSISTENT WITH
THE UPPER LEVEL JET LOCATION AND STRENGTH. ALSO WITH ALL THE ENERGY
AND COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH SWINGING THROUGH THE NORTH
PACIFIC ON THURSDAY AM FAVORING THE IDEA OF THE WAVE RAPIDLY
DEVELOPING INTO A CLOSED LOW THURSDAY NIGHT.

IMPACT WISE...THE SOLUTION WITH THE STRONG SURFACE LOW SWINGING
ACROSS THE TIP OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL BRING RATHER WINDY
CONDITIONS TO THAT AREA...SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND KODIAK ISLAND
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS WELL AS SUSTAINING THE NORTHERLY
OUTFLOW GAP WINDS IN SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THE MORE SOUTHERLY
POSITION OF THE LOW CENTER HOWEVER WILL LIMIT THE HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION TO COASTAL AREAS. A CONTINUED ACTIVE STORM TRACK
WILL BRING ADDITIONAL STRONG LOWS ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AND INTO
THE BERING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER FURTHER EAST THEY
WILL TEND TO DROP SOUTH CROSSING THE GULF CLOSER TO 50N ONLY
MINIMALLY IMPACTING SOUTHERN SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 132 150 155 165 176 177 178 185.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING 129 180 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...JR