Gale Warning 922, NWS Anchorage, AK

794 
FZAK51 PAFC 231213
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240045-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 995 MB LOW 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT WEAKENS INTO A TROUGH
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA COAST AND DISSIPATES THU MORNING. A
FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA THU NIGHT AND PRESSES
OVER KODIAK CITY AND THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-240045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-240045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-240045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-240045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-240045-
PORT VALDEZ-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-240045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-240045-
VALDEZ ARM-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-240045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING AND TO 50 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-240045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-240045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-240045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ136-240045-
CHINIAK BAY-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-240045-
MARMOT BAY-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-240045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-240045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-240045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-240045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
313 AM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

508 
FZAK51 PAFC 240043
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-241330-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 998 MB LOW 90 NM NORTHWEST OF SITKA WEAKENS INTO A TROUGH ALONG
THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA COAST AND DISSIPATES THU MORNING. A FRONT
MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA THU NIGHT AND THE CENTRAL
GULF THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-241330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
NORTH GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ120-241330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-241330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-241330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-241330-
PORT VALDEZ-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-241330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-241330-
VALDEZ ARM-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-241330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-241330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING NE 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-241330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-241330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N
OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT BUILDING TO
13 FT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-241330-
CHINIAK BAY-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-241330-
MARMOT BAY-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-241330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-241330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT NW 20 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT. SEAS
2 FT...EXCEPT 5 FT S OF ANCHOR POINT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-241330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-241330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
343 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT...EXCEPT W 15 KT OVER THE OUTER
BAY. SEAS 2 FT...EXCEPT 4 FT OVER THE OUTER BAY.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT EXCEPT NE 15 KT OVER THE OUTER BAY. SEAS 2
FT...EXCEPT 4 FT OVER THE OUTER BAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT 20 KT OVER THE OUTER BAY. SEAS
2 FT...EXCEPT 4 FT OVER THE OUTER BAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

429 
FZAK51 PAFC 241228
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-250045-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1006 MB LOW OVER PORT ALEXANDER ANCHORS AN ELONGATED TROUGH
ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA COASTS. THIS
TROUGH WILL DISSIPATE FRIDAY MORNING. A WEATHER FRONT ENTERS THE
WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND FRIDAY MORNING AND
DRIVES TO THE NORTH AND SOUTHEASTERN GULF COASTS BY SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-250045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ120-250045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-250045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-250045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-250045-
PORT VALDEZ-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-250045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-250045-
VALDEZ ARM-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-250045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-250045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-250045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-250045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-250045-
CHINIAK BAY-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-250045-
MARMOT BAY-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-250045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-250045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-250045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-250045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
328 AM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
503 AM AKST TUE DEC 22 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
FOG CONTINUES TO BE THE PRIMARY WEATHER CONCERN ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHERN MAINLAND ALASKA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AND INTO
THE MORNING HOURS. OVER PARTS OF SOUTHCENTRAL...SOME PATCHY FOG
CONTINUES TO LINGER AS THESE AREAS REMAIN SATURATED AND UNDER A
FAIRLY STRONG SURFACE INVERSION. AS THE LOW OVER THE GULF
CONTINUES TO PUSH EASTWARD THIS MORNING...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST AND BEGIN A COOLING AND DRYING TREND OVER THE AREA. OUT
WEST...PATCHY FOG INITIATED BY THE SAME PHENOMENA DESCRIBED ABOVE
PERSISTS ACROSS THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND
BRISTOL BAY. A WEAK FRONT HAS STARTED TO WORK ITS WAY INTO THE
SOUTHWEST COAST FROM THE EASTERN BERING...WHICH WILL BEGIN TO
SPREAD SNOW INLAND THROUGH THIS MORNING. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE STRONG AREA OF INSTABILITY OVER MUCH OF THE ALEUTIANS
AND BERING SEA... WHICH HAS RESULTED IN SOME GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS
AND INSTABILITY SHOWERS. CURRENT IR SATELLITE IMAGERY IS ALSO
SHOWING A LOW PRESSURE CIRCULATION DEVELOPING OVER THE FAR WESTERN
ALEUTIANS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
OVERALL THE MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT REGARDING
THE MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY OF THE MAJOR FEATURES IMPACTING THE
AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE PRIMARY PACIFIC
JET STREAK REMAINS WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA...KEEPING MOST OF THE
STRONGER STORMS HEADING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. A DIGGING
TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BERING TUESDAY NIGHT HELPS AMPLIFY A RIDGE
OVER THE EASTERN BERING BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SOME MINOR
DIFFERENCES IN THE INTENSITY OF THE JET STREAK THAT FORMS
DOWNSTREAM OF THE RIDGE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA. MODELS HAVE COME
INTO BETTER AGREEMENT REGARDING A NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVING INTO
THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WEDNESDAY MORNING...HOWEVER...
THEY CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THIS
SYSTEM AS IT CROSSES INTO THE BERING SEA WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE
NAM AND EC WERE THE MODELS OF CHOICE CONCERNING THE ABOVE
MENTIONED DIFFERENCES...WITH THE GFS BEING THE SLIGHTLY FASTER AND
WEAKER SOLUTION. CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST IS HIGH CONSIDERING
LOW MODEL SPREAD.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE WEAK UPPER TROUGH OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WILL MOVE EAST
INTO CANADA THIS AFTERNOON. SOME SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TODAY FROM
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND EAST AND OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN THEN END
THIS EVENING AS THE TROUGH EXITS THE AREA. FOR MUCH OF SOUTH
CENTRAL ALASKA...SOME LOW/MID CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER FLOW IS WEAK BEHIND THIS TROUGH. LOW LEVEL
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...KEEPING
THE WINDS GOING AT SEWARD AND WHITTIER. THESE WINDS WILL FURTHER
INCREASE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM
THE WEST AHEAD OF A STRONG STORM OVER THE BERING SEA. THIS RIDGE
WILL ALSO HELP TO CLEAR SKIES OVER INLAND SOUTH CENTRAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A WEAK FRONT WILL PUSH ONSHORE THE MAINLAND TODAY BRINGING AREAS
OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND GREATER BRISTOL BAY. THE
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY BRINGING A CHANCE
OF LIGHT SNOW TO THAT AREA AS WELL. BEHIND THE FRONT...A SHOWERY
REGIME WILL MOVE IN WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS BEING THE
BRISTOL BAY AREA. ANY LINGERING SHOWERS WILL EXIT ON
WEDNESDAY...THEN A FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WHICH WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW TO MAINLY COASTAL AREAS OF
THE MAINLAND WITH A CHANCE OF BLOWING SNOW AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
TODAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS. OVERNIGHT...A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING
NORTH PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE WILL SPREAD FIRST SNOW...THEN RAIN OVER
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. WITH A STRONG JET OVERHEAD...AND A DRY SLOT
PUNCHING IN BEHIND THE FRONT THERE IS AMPLE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH
WINDS TO MIX DOWN FROM ABOVE THE SURFACE. A HIGH WIND WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS FOR WEDNESDAY. THE SAME
FRONT WILL SPREAD SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN FOR THE DUTCH HARBOR...THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS...AND ALASKA PENINSULA. BEFORE SNOW CHANGES TO
RAIN ON THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS...GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

MODELS ARE COMING INTO SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO
THE MIDWEEK BERING STORM...HOWEVER THERE IS STILL SOME
DISAGREEMENT ABOUT HOW FAR NORTH THE SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK
WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE IT STARTS EAST ON THURSDAY. WITH THE VERY
STRONG JET STREAM TO THE SOUTH AM STILL FAVORING THE MORE SOUTHERN
SOLUTIONS WHICH WHICH WOULD BRING THE LOW ROUGHLY 100 TO 150 NM
INTO THE BERING BEFORE IT GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE BROADER WESTERLY
FLOW AND SWINGS EAST.

THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT POINT OF UNCERTAINTY CONCERNS THE FATE OF THE
NEXT ITERATION OF THIS LOW IN THE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY TIME PERIOD.
THE PREFERRED EC CONTINUES TO DEPICT A NORTH PACIFIC TROUGH
SWINGING AROUND THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE LARGE UPPER LOW...WHICH SPINS
UP ANOTHER STRONG SURFACE LOW WHICH LIFTS NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN
BERING TO THE NORTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS SOLUTION IS CONSISTENT
WITH THE UPPER LEVEL JET LOCATION AND STRENGTH...WITH LAST
EVENING'S GFS AND GEM MODELS NOW TRENDING SIMILAR TO THE EC. ALSO
WITH ALL THE ENERGY AND COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH
SWINGING THROUGH THE NORTH PACIFIC ON THURSDAY AM FAVORING THE
IDEA OF THE WAVE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING INTO A CLOSED LOW THURSDAY
NIGHT.

IMPACT WISE...THE SOLUTION WITH THE STRONG SURFACE LOW SWINGING
ACROSS THE TIP OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL BRING RATHER WINDY
CONDITIONS TO MUCH OF THE BERING REGION...AND MAY RESULT IN FUTURE
HIGH WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY FOR
THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THIS WILL ALSO HELP SUSTAIN THE
NORTHERLY OUTFLOW GAP WINDS IN SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.
HOWEVER...HEAVIER PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY TO BE LIMITED TO JUST
THE EASTERN BERING AND ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS OF THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND. A CONTINUED ACTIVE STORM TRACK WILL BRING ADDITIONAL
STRONG LOWS ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AND INTO THE BERING THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER FARTHER EAST THEY WILL TEND TO DROP SOUTH
CROSSING THE GULF CLOSER TO 50N...ONLY MINIMALLY IMPACTING
SOUTHERN SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH...187
MARINE...GALES...127 131 132 150 155 170 172-176 179 185
         STORMS...177 178
         HVY FRZG SPRY...127 180 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...TP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MTL
LONG TERM...JR/CC