Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015
Gale Warning 165, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Feb 14, 2015, 3:27 PM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 14, 2015, 3:27 PM AKST (00:27 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 16, 2015, 3:45 AM AKST
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
474 FZAK52 PAFC 150027 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-151345- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 996 MB LOW 110 NM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA WILL MOVE TO 160 NM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA TONIGHT AT 992 MB THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC ON SUN. A PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 170 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT SUN AFTERNOON AT 972 MB THEN TO 80 NM NORTH OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 975 MB MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-151345- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ155-151345- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ160-151345- BRISTOL BAY- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. $$ PKZ165-151345- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ170-151345- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ171-151345- UNALASKA BAY- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-151345- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ173-151345- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ174-151345- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ175-151345- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ176-151345- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ177-151345- ADAK TO KISKA- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ178-151345- KISKA TO ATTU- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ179-151345- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ180-151345- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. $$ PKZ181-151345- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. $$ PKZ185-151345- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 327 PM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
966 FZAK52 PAFC 151255 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-160200- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 170 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT SUN AFTERNOON AT 972 MB THEN TO 90 NM WEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM AT 984 MB MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-160200- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ155-160200- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ160-160200- BRISTOL BAY- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. $$ PKZ165-160200- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ170-160200- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ171-160200- UNALASKA BAY- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-160200- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ173-160200- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ174-160200- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ175-160200- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ176-160200- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ177-160200- ADAK TO KISKA- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ178-160200- KISKA TO ATTU- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ179-160200- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ180-160200- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ181-160200- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SNOW. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. $$ PKZ185-160200- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 355 AM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$
886 FZAK52 PAFC 160012 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-161245- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 970 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO NEAR COLD BAY AT 972 MB MON AFTERNOON THEN TO NEAR MEKORYUK TUE AFTERNOON AT 990 MB. $$ PKZ150-161245- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ155-161245- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ160-161245- BRISTOL BAY- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. $$ PKZ165-161245- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT EXCEPT S 40 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ170-161245- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .MON...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ171-161245- UNALASKA BAY- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-161245- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .MON...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ173-161245- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ174-161245- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ175-161245- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...W WIND 20 DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ176-161245- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING N WIND 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ177-161245- ADAK TO KISKA- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ178-161245- KISKA TO ATTU- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ179-161245- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. .MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ180-161245- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. $$ PKZ181-161245- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SNOW. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. $$ PKZ185-161245- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 312 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2015 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 14, 5:21 AM AKST, 10 hours 6 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 14, 5:21 AM AKST, 10 hours 6 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
521 AM AKST SAT FEB 14 2015
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
VERY BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW EXISTS IN THE UPPER LEVELS FROM THE
CENTRAL BERING SEA THOUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA...EXTENDING WELL
SOUTH INTO THE MID-LATITUDES. THE LONG-WAVE REMAINS CENTERED WEST
OF UNALASKA WHILE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES RIDE THE JET FROM THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC TOWARD THE GULF. THE WEST COAST NORTH AMERICAN
RIDGE HAS BEEN AT LEAST TEMPORARILY SUPPRESSED BY THE WAVE
TRAIN...BUT RIDGING STILL SITS OVER THE INTERIOR BENDING BACK INTO
THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. THE CURRENT WAVE-DU-JOUR ENCOMPASSES THE
WESTERN GULF BUT DOESN'T HAVE AN OVERLY IMPRESSIVE WIND FIELD
ASSOCIATED WITH IT. THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD IS MAINLY IMPACTING
THE WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND ZONE AND TO A LESSER EXTENT THE
NORTH GULF COAST. NO PRECIPITATION IS CURRENTLY MAKING IT OVER THE
MOUNTAINS AS THE COOK INLET REGION REMAINS DOWNSLOPED. FOG AND LOW
STRATUS HAS NOT BEEN AN ISSUE TONIGHT WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL
WINDS AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
GUIDANCE IS IN GREAT AGREEMENT WITH THE UPPER LEVEL HEIGHT
FIELDS...LOW LEVEL PRESSURE FIELDS AS WELL AS THE WEAKENING OF THE
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE AS IT MOVES INLAND. THE BIGGEST QUESTION
HOWEVER...WHAT DO THE PRECIPITATION FIELDS DO? FOR THE MOST PART
GUIDANCE IS SIGNALING A DOWNSLOPE REGIME SETTING UP BUT THE CORE
OF THE CROSS-BARRIER FLOW LOOKS BOTH EASTERLY AND NEAR OR ABOVE
MOUNTAIN TOP LEVEL...BOTH OF WHICH BODE WELL FOR SOME
PRECIPITATION SLOPPING OVER THE MOUNTAINS. THIS SIGNAL IS SHOWN BY
THE GFS AND ECMWF WHEREAS THE HIGHER RESOLUTION GUIDANCE KEEPS THE
ANCHORAGE AREA MAINLY DRY UNTIL UPPER TROUGH PASSAGE. THE BIGGER
STORY COMES LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS A STRONG SYSTEM DEVELOPS IN
THE NORTH PACIFIC AND SENDS A STRONG FRONT INTO THE GULF.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE GULF WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN TODAY AND
MOVE INTO COOK INLET. EARLY ON TODAY PRECIPITATION WILL BE RAIN
FALLING MAINLY ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST AND WESTERN PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND REGION. IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW
WILL START TO WORK SOUTH TO NORTH OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA.
ANCHORAGE WILL STAY MOSTLY DRY BUT A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION
COULD MAKE IT OVER THE MOUNTAINS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TOWN AS A
WARM LAYER REMAINS IN PLACE...BUT SHOULD WET-BULB OUT THROUGH THE
NIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION COMES OVERNIGHT WHEN THE
UPPER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH. THIS SHOULD BRING SOUTHERLY WINDS OFF
TURNAGAIN ARM AND BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES AND RAIN TO MOST OF
ANCHORAGE EXCEPT FOR MAYBE THE EAST/NORTHEAST SIDE. DRIER
CONDITIONS AND SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SUNDAY. LATE
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY A STRONG FRONT ENTERS THE GULF.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...THE WEATHER
THIS MORNING IS FAIRLY QUIET OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA WITH UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE MAINLAND. A TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE LOW
IN THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TO THE LOW IN THE GULF CURRENTLY
STRETCHES ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND WILL CONTINUE TO BRING
PRECIPITATION TO THAT AREA TODAY. THE TROUGH WILL START LIFTING
NORTH THIS EVENING AS THE GULF LOW SWINGS INLAND AND NORTH
BRINGING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS TO THE BRISTOL BAY AREA
THIS EVENING AND THE KUSKOKWIM ZONES LATER TONIGHT.
THE NEXT RATHER POTENT FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE ALASKA
PENINSULA ON SUNDAY...CROSS INTO BRISTOL BAY SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THE
SURFACE LOW FOLLOWING MONDAY. THE BIGGEST IMPACT WITH THIS FRONTAL
SYSTEM FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL LIKELY BE THE STRONG EASTERLY
WINDS ACCOMPANYING IT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ACCELERATION THROUGH
GAPS AND PASSES AS WELL AS DOWNSLOPING DOWN THE LEE SIDE OF THE
ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES. ADDITIONALLY THE FRONT WILL BRING A
BROAD AREA OF PRECIPITATION AS WELL AS WARMING CONDITIONS WITH
SNOW MIXING OVER TO RAIN IN MOST AREAS WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION
OF THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WHERE COLD AIR WILL PERSIST LONGER
KEEPING SNOW THE PREDOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE WITH THE
POSSIBILITIES FOR SOME PATCHY FREEZING RAIN AS THE WARM
OVERRUNNING INCREASES.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...FOR THE
BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS PERSIST WITH
SNOW AND RAIN OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TAPERING TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS FURTHER WEST. THE CURRENT SURFACE LOW WILL
WEAKEN AND DRIFT SOUTHWEST TO BE REPLACED BY THE NEW STRONGER LOW
HEADED FOR UNIMAK PASS MONDAY MORNING.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
AN UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW WILL BE LOCATED NEAR THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS BY MONDAY WITH AN ASSOCIATED TROUGH EXTENDING JUST SOUTH
OF KODIAK ISLAND. THESE FEATURES ARE REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE WITH
A STORM FORCE LOW JUST SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR EARLY MONDAY MORNING
AND A WEATHER FRONT THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF. THIS WILL BRING
ABUNDANT MOISTURE WITH HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES TO THE WESTERN/NORTHERN
GULF AND SPREAD INLAND BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE ANCHORAGE BOWL
AND WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA WILL HAVE DRIER CONDITIONS DUE TO
DOWNSLOPING. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL STRENGTHEN RESULTING IN
GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE TURNAGAIN ARM...THE BARREN ISLANDS AND GAP
WINDS THROUGH THE ALASKA RANGE. THE GFS/EC MODELS ARE IN BETTER
AGREEMENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW POSITIONED
NEAR DUTCH HARBOR...EXCEPT FOR THE NAM BEING THE OUTLIER IN
PUSHING THIS SYSTEM FASTER AND FARTHER NORTH INTO THE BERING SEA
ON MONDAY. THIS LOW WILL TRACK NEAR THE PRIBILOF ISLAND LATE
MONDAY AND BECOME ELONGATED WITH A SECONDARY LOW FORMING NORTH OF
NUNIVAK ISLAND BY TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE
EASTERN BERING SEA...WARMER TEMPERATURES AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST
ALASKA REGION. THE NEXT NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK INTO THE
SOUTHERN GULF BY WEDNESDAY BRINGING MORE MOISTURE/PRECIPITATION TO
THE NORTHERN GULF AND ALONG THE COASTLINES. THIS WILL BRING GALE
FORCE WINDS TO THE NORTHERN GULF AND ALONG THE COAST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE GFS MODEL TRACKS THE LOW NEAR SEWARD...VERSUS THE
ECMWF MODEL TRACKING THE LOW NEAR YAKUTAT BY THURSDAY. THE GFS STORM
TRACK WILL BRING MORE PRECIPITATION TO SOUTHCENTRAL REGION...WHILE
THE ECMWF STORM TRACK WILL BRING LESS PRECIPITATION. THE GULF WILL
REMAIN IN SOUTHERLY FLOW THROUGH FRIDAY. THE BERING SEA WILL HAVE
PREDOMINANT NORTHERLY FLOW WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
SIBERIA REMAINING IN PLACE HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. BY FRIDAY
THERE WILL BE A NORTH PACIFIC LOW APPROACHING THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS WITH MORE WARM BEING PUSHED INTO THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN
BEFORE SPILLING OVER INTO THE CENTRAL/EASTERN BERING SEA HEADING
INTO THE WEEKEND.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...120 130 131 138 150 155 160 165 170 172
175 177 180.
STORM WARNING...132 136 137.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MTL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MTL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JR
LONG TERM...PLDThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 3:15 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Feb 14, 3:27 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Feb 14, 3:27 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Feb 14, 3:27 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Feb 14, 3:32 PM AKST | Brisk Wind Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Feb 14, 3:32 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Feb 14, 3:32 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Feb 14, 3:32 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Feb 15, 2:51 AM AKST | Freezing Rain Advisory | AFC | 4 hr | |
| Feb 15, 3:48 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 35 hr | |
| Feb 15, 3:48 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Feb 15, 3:48 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Feb 15, 3:55 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Feb 15, 4:58 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Feb 15, 4:58 AM AKST | Freezing Rain Advisory | AFC | 43 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.