Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 4

January 11, 2014Burke County, Richmond County, Georgia; 30 counties in North Carolina; 17 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 11, 2014, 11:50 AM EST for Burke County, Richmond County, Georgia; 30 counties in North Carolina; 17 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 11, 2014, 11:50 AM EST (16:50 UTC)
Expired
Jan 11, 2014, 6:00 PM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 49 counties

Burke County, GA, Richmond County, GA, Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Aiken County, SC, Bamberg County, SC, Barnwell County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Chesterfield County, SC, Clarendon County, SC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Florence County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lee County, SC, Lexington County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC, Richland County, SC, Sumter County, SC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 11, 12:06 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAnson, Montgomery, Richmond, Stanly39 min
Jan 11, 12:20 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph40 min
Jan 11, 12:45 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAnson, Montgomery, Moore, Richmond60 min
Jan 11, 12:50 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Chatham, Guilford, Randolph55 min
Jan 11, 1:01 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEBurke, Richmond59 min
Jan 11, 1:21 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Durham, Orange54 min
Jan 11, 1:21 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEAiken54 min
Jan 11, 1:22 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHarnett, Hoke, Lee, Moore38 min
Jan 11, 1:23 PM ESTTornado WarningRAHAlamance, Chatham, Orange37 min
Jan 11, 1:41 PM ESTTornado WarningRAHChatham, Durham, Orange, Wake34 min
Jan 11, 1:45 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Granville, Person, Vance, Wake60 min
Jan 11, 1:45 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland, Harnett, Johnston, Nash, Sampson, Wayne and 1 more60 min
Jan 11, 2:01 PM ESTTornado WarningRAHDurham, Johnston, Wake29 min
Jan 11, 2:13 PM ESTTornado WarningRAHFranklin, Granville, Vance, Wake32 min
Jan 11, 2:15 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAECalhoun, Lexington, Orangeburg, Richland, Sumter45 min
Jan 11, 2:20 PM ESTTornado WarningRAHJohnston25 min
Jan 11, 2:22 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHalifax, Nash, Warren53 min
Jan 11, 2:34 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHEdgecombe, Halifax, Wayne, Wilson56 min
Jan 11, 2:59 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMColumbus, Robeson61 min
Jan 11, 3:39 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMBladen, Columbus, Pender, Robeson66 min
Jan 11, 4:34 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMFlorence, Georgetown, Horry, Marion, Williamsburg56 min
Jan 11, 5:40 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMBladen, Brunswick, Columbus65 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-01-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 35 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-01-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 361 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
35 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-173 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
419 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
361 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
406 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

756 
WWUS20 KWNS 111651
SEL4  
SPC WW 111651
GAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-112300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 4
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1150 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EXTREME EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA
  CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
  CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1150 AM UNTIL
  600 PM EST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROANOKE
RAPIDS NORTH CAROLINA TO 15 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF AUGUSTA
GEORGIA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1...WW 2...WW 3...

DISCUSSION...PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  THE STORMS WILL ENCOUNTER A LITTLE GREATER
INSTABILITY WITH EWD EXTENT AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL REMAIN
STRONG...THUS A FEW EMBEDDED CIRCULATIONS/TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE LINE...AS WELL AS WITH ANY MORE ISOLATED STORMS THAT FORM
E OF THE LINE.  OTHERWISE...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN RISK
GIVEN THE OBSERVATIONS OF 50-70 KT WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 11, 8:03 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Baldwin, Bibb, Bleckley, Butts, Calhoun and 53 more27 min
Jan 11, 8:07 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Barrow, Bibb, Bleckley, Butts, Chattahoochee and 63 more7 hr
Jan 11, 9:22 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHart23 min
Jan 11, 9:30 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCColumbia, Elbert, Lincoln, McDuffie6 hr
Jan 11, 11:04 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun, Clay and 20 more6 hr
Jan 11, 12:17 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Bacon, Baldwin, Ben Hill, Bleckley, Bryan and 32 more58 min
Jan 11, 1:51 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Brantley, Bryan, Bulloch and 20 more3 hr
Jan 11, 1:53 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun, Clay and 23 more97 min
Jan 11, 2:04 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRichmond56 min
Jan 11, 3:35 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrantley, Bryan, Camden, Charlton, Chatham, Effingham and 8 more55 min
Jan 11, 11:12 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Caswell, Chatham, Cumberland, Durham and 22 more63 min
Jan 11, 2:13 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven, Dare and 13 more5 hr
Jan 11, 2:30 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Hertford and 3 more4 hr
Jan 11, 4:14 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Edgecombe, Gates and 6 more61 min
Jan 11, 4:37 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven, Hyde and 5 more53 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2014Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2014Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.