Severe Thunderstorm Warning 140, NWS Springfield, MO

822 
WWUS53 KSGF 051546
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1046 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

MOC067-153-225-229-051615-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0140.000000T0000Z-140605T1615Z/
DOUGLAS MO-OZARK MO-WEBSTER MO-WRIGHT MO-
1046 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
WRIGHT...SOUTHERN WEBSTER...OZARK AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 AM
CDT...

AT 1044 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE 
EXTENDING FROM SEYMOUR THEODOSIA...AND MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS A LONG HISTORY OF PRODUCING BOTH STRUCTURAL 
AND TREE DAMAGE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AVA...BAKERSFIELD...DIGGINS...FORDLAND...GAINESVILLE...MANSFIELD...
NORWOOD...ROGERSVILLE AND SEYMOUR.

THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES BULL SHOALS LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT
THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3680 9277 3681 9291 3708 9290 3709 9306
      3727 9306 3723 9274 3712 9227 3711 9225
      3706 9225 3706 9209 3649 9213 3649 9277
TIME...MOT...LOC 1545Z 289DEG 51KT 3715 9278 3695 9251
          3677 9244 3653 9259

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

CRAMER

397 
WWUS53 KSGF 051600
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1100 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

MOC067-153-225-229-051615-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0140.000000T0000Z-140605T1615Z/
DOUGLAS MO-OZARK MO-WEBSTER MO-WRIGHT MO-
1100 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
WRIGHT...SOUTHEASTERN WEBSTER...OZARK AND EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTIES
UNTIL 1115 AM CDT...

AT 1057 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE 
EXTENDING FROM NEAR VANZANT TO GAINESVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 60 
MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BAKERSFIELD...DIGGINS...GAINESVILLE...MANSFIELD...NORWOOD AND
SEYMOUR.

THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES BULL SHOALS LAKE. 

THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS A LONG HISTORY OF PRODUCING BOTH STRUCTURAL 
AND TREE DAMAGE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT
THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3663 9260 3679 9256 3689 9260 3701 9270
      3714 9287 3718 9296 3724 9291 3723 9274
      3712 9227 3711 9225 3706 9225 3706 9209
      3649 9213 3649 9269
TIME...MOT...LOC 1559Z 289DEG 51KT 3708 9254 3688 9228
          3670 9221 3646 9236

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

CRAMER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
625 AM CDT Thu Jun 5 2014

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 418 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

Active morning of weather across area this morning. Training
convection extending from the Pittsburg, KS/Joplin, MO area
southeastward toward Branson has produced numerous reports of
hail and very heavy rainfall. Additional isolated storms have
redeveloped over south central Missouri.

Main forecast focus is the developing severe thunderstorm complex
over central Kansas. This system is quickly getting its act
together this morning and will continue to accelerate east,
closely following forward propagating system motion vectors
(currently at 50-60kt to the east southeast).

This convective complex will continue to move into a favorable
environment. There is no lack of thermo ahead of this system with
MUCAPE around/above 2000 J/kg from areas along and south of Nevada
to West Plains. MUCAPE will actually increase a bit this morning,
with the RUC suggesting around 3000 J/kg by the mid/late morning
hours. Deep layer shear of 40 to 50 kt will ensure continued storm
organization. While low level shear is a bit light/disorganized,
low level theta-e differences in the mid/upper 20s C are suggested
by the short term models which indicates good wind potential.
The weak low level shear does keep 0-3km shear vectors in the
20-25kt range (oriented west to east). This is not ideal for
mesovortex production, but it is still plausible to see
mesovorticies with any west to east surges embedded within the
line.

Locations most prone to seeing this squall line will be areas
(roughly) along and south of Nevada to West Plains. Timing wise,
it looks like this system will enter the western portions of the
outlook area by 8 AM, with a progressive acceleration to the east
through the morning hours. Current estimates place the line around
the highway 65 corridor around 10 AM, south central MO by noon.
These will definitely need to be revised as this system matures
and accelerates.

Hazards...the biggest risk will be wind gusts to 70mph. Localized
areas of stronger winds are possible, especially considering the
increase in low level theta-e differences. Hail will likely be
tough to come by, but a few stones to quarter size are possible.
At this point the tornado risk is on the low side given expected
0-3km shear vector orientation and strength. That said, we do have
multiple boundaries in place and line interactions are possible.
As a result, will continue with a few tornadoes possible.

Additional activity is expected tonight as another MCS looks to
develop from convection refiring over KS/OK. This will pose yet
another wind risk. If this does materialize as expected, a flash
flood watch will need to be considered.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 418 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

As has been advertised, Friday through (at least) the weekend will
feature a very active weather pattern. Shortwaves will pass
through a largely zonal flow in periodic fashion. 00z suite of
model agrees with the overall pattern in general. The devil, of
course, will be in the mesoscale details with respect to exact
positioning of the synoptic scale front and shear/instability
profiles.

Bottom line timing from 00z models. Scattered showers/storms are
expected to redevelop during the heat of the day Friday. A
convective complex passage Saturday (originating from the central
Plains). Additional thunderstorm complexes are possible Saturday
night into Sunday, although trust in details at this juncture is
low.

Heading into next week, the ECMWF and GEM produce a cutoff low
over the Midwest during the first half of the week. This will keep
our area unsettled with additional rainfall possible. The GFS is
an outlier keeping the pattern progressive. The current forecast
sides with the cutoff low. Temperatures will remain seasonable
from Friday through the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday Morning)
Issued at 620 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

The region is in a lull between storm systems with VFR ceilings at
the KSGF and KJLN terminals. Some areas of fog were impacting
portions of the area with MVFR to IFR visibilities noted at KBBG.
A severe storm system is expected to move across the region this
morning and into the early afternoon with MVFR to IFR visibilities
and strong gusty winds in storms.

Additional storms are expected to develop during the evening and
overnight with MVFR to IFR flight conditions expected as rain and
fog develop once again.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Gagan
LONG TERM...Gagan
AVIATION...Hatch

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
552 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-061100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
552 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED TO ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  A LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE FROM CENTRAL INTO
  EASTERN KANSAS THIS MORNING. IT IS EXPECTED THAT THESE
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONGEAL INTO A SQUALL LINE AND ACCELERATE TO
  THE SOUTHEAST. THIS SQUALL LINE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
  DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND
  A FEW TORNADOES. LOCALIZED AREAS OF EVEN STRONGER WIND GUSTS ARE
  POSSIBLE. THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL REACH EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
  KANSAS AROUND OR AFTER 8 AM...MOVE INTO MISSOURI AROUND OR JUST
  AFTER 9 AM...REACH THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR AFTER 10 AM AND MOVE
  INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI BY MIDDAY.

  ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED LATE THIS EVENING
  INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE IS A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR SEVERE
  WEATHER WITH THIS ACTIVITY WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE
  HAIL POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  PERIODIC ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.
  STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES. AREAS OF
  HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING WILL BE A CONCERN DEPENDING ON
  THE TRACK AND EVOLUTION OF EACH INDIVIDUAL THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX
  OR LINE OF STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT THREE HOURS FOR
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI. SPOTTER
  ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE MISSOURI
  OZARKS FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GAGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
936 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0933 AM     TSTM WND DMG     PIERCE CITY             36.95N 94.00W
06/05/2014                   LAWRENCE           MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE REPORDED DOWN OVER ELM STREET.

&&

RKARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
954 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S MONETT              36.91N 93.93W
06/05/2014                   BARRY              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ACROSS CENTRAL AVE.

&&

RKARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
956 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E ORONOGO             37.19N 94.45W
06/05/2014                   JASPER             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREES BLOWN INTO POWERLINES. COUNTY ROAD 215 BLOCKED.

&&

RKARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
957 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0953 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 N PURDY               36.86N 93.92W
06/05/2014  E70 MPH          BARRY              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

RKARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
958 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0953 AM     TSTM WND DMG     PIERCE CITY             36.95N 94.00W
06/05/2014                   LAWRENCE           MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            PIERCE CITY BANK SIGN BLOWN OVER

&&

RKARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1000 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0953 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CRANE                   36.91N 93.57W
06/05/2014                   STONE              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LIMBS BLOCKING ROADWAY AT SOUTH COMMERCE AN ORCHARD.
            POWERLINES DOWN

&&

RKARDELL