Severe Thunderstorm Warning 134, NWS Springfield, MO

640 
WWUS53 KSGF 051408
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
908 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

MOC119-145-051445-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0134.000000T0000Z-140605T1445Z/
MCDONALD MO-NEWTON MO-
908 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
NEWTON AND MCDONALD COUNTIES UNTIL 945 AM CDT...

AT 905 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM GRANBY TO SOUTH WEST CITY...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
         ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ANDERSON...FAIRVIEW...GOODMAN...GRANBY...LANAGAN...NEOSHO...
NEWTONIA...NOEL...PINEVILLE...POWELL...RACINE...ROCKY COMFORT...
SENECA...SOUTH WEST CITY...STARK CITY AND STELLA.

THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES BIG SUGAR CREEK STATE PARK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3649 9462 3650 9463 3699 9462 3692 9406
      3649 9408
TIME...MOT...LOC 1408Z 281DEG 47KT 3693 9427 3652 9455

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

KARDELL

529 
WWUS53 KSGF 051439
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
939 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

MOC119-145-051449-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0134.000000T0000Z-140605T1445Z/
MCDONALD MO-NEWTON MO-
939 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN NEWTON AND MCDONALD
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 945 AM CDT...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE
WARNED AREA.  HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3649 9462 3650 9463 3699 9462 3692 9406
      3649 9408
TIME...MOT...LOC 1439Z 281DEG 47KT 3685 9377 3644 9406

$$

CRAMER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
625 AM CDT Thu Jun 5 2014

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 418 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

Active morning of weather across area this morning. Training
convection extending from the Pittsburg, KS/Joplin, MO area
southeastward toward Branson has produced numerous reports of
hail and very heavy rainfall. Additional isolated storms have
redeveloped over south central Missouri.

Main forecast focus is the developing severe thunderstorm complex
over central Kansas. This system is quickly getting its act
together this morning and will continue to accelerate east,
closely following forward propagating system motion vectors
(currently at 50-60kt to the east southeast).

This convective complex will continue to move into a favorable
environment. There is no lack of thermo ahead of this system with
MUCAPE around/above 2000 J/kg from areas along and south of Nevada
to West Plains. MUCAPE will actually increase a bit this morning,
with the RUC suggesting around 3000 J/kg by the mid/late morning
hours. Deep layer shear of 40 to 50 kt will ensure continued storm
organization. While low level shear is a bit light/disorganized,
low level theta-e differences in the mid/upper 20s C are suggested
by the short term models which indicates good wind potential.
The weak low level shear does keep 0-3km shear vectors in the
20-25kt range (oriented west to east). This is not ideal for
mesovortex production, but it is still plausible to see
mesovorticies with any west to east surges embedded within the
line.

Locations most prone to seeing this squall line will be areas
(roughly) along and south of Nevada to West Plains. Timing wise,
it looks like this system will enter the western portions of the
outlook area by 8 AM, with a progressive acceleration to the east
through the morning hours. Current estimates place the line around
the highway 65 corridor around 10 AM, south central MO by noon.
These will definitely need to be revised as this system matures
and accelerates.

Hazards...the biggest risk will be wind gusts to 70mph. Localized
areas of stronger winds are possible, especially considering the
increase in low level theta-e differences. Hail will likely be
tough to come by, but a few stones to quarter size are possible.
At this point the tornado risk is on the low side given expected
0-3km shear vector orientation and strength. That said, we do have
multiple boundaries in place and line interactions are possible.
As a result, will continue with a few tornadoes possible.

Additional activity is expected tonight as another MCS looks to
develop from convection refiring over KS/OK. This will pose yet
another wind risk. If this does materialize as expected, a flash
flood watch will need to be considered.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 418 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

As has been advertised, Friday through (at least) the weekend will
feature a very active weather pattern. Shortwaves will pass
through a largely zonal flow in periodic fashion. 00z suite of
model agrees with the overall pattern in general. The devil, of
course, will be in the mesoscale details with respect to exact
positioning of the synoptic scale front and shear/instability
profiles.

Bottom line timing from 00z models. Scattered showers/storms are
expected to redevelop during the heat of the day Friday. A
convective complex passage Saturday (originating from the central
Plains). Additional thunderstorm complexes are possible Saturday
night into Sunday, although trust in details at this juncture is
low.

Heading into next week, the ECMWF and GEM produce a cutoff low
over the Midwest during the first half of the week. This will keep
our area unsettled with additional rainfall possible. The GFS is
an outlier keeping the pattern progressive. The current forecast
sides with the cutoff low. Temperatures will remain seasonable
from Friday through the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday Morning)
Issued at 620 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

The region is in a lull between storm systems with VFR ceilings at
the KSGF and KJLN terminals. Some areas of fog were impacting
portions of the area with MVFR to IFR visibilities noted at KBBG.
A severe storm system is expected to move across the region this
morning and into the early afternoon with MVFR to IFR visibilities
and strong gusty winds in storms.

Additional storms are expected to develop during the evening and
overnight with MVFR to IFR flight conditions expected as rain and
fog develop once again.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Gagan
LONG TERM...Gagan
AVIATION...Hatch

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
552 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-061100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
552 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED TO ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  A LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE FROM CENTRAL INTO
  EASTERN KANSAS THIS MORNING. IT IS EXPECTED THAT THESE
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONGEAL INTO A SQUALL LINE AND ACCELERATE TO
  THE SOUTHEAST. THIS SQUALL LINE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
  DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND
  A FEW TORNADOES. LOCALIZED AREAS OF EVEN STRONGER WIND GUSTS ARE
  POSSIBLE. THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL REACH EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
  KANSAS AROUND OR AFTER 8 AM...MOVE INTO MISSOURI AROUND OR JUST
  AFTER 9 AM...REACH THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR AFTER 10 AM AND MOVE
  INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI BY MIDDAY.

  ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED LATE THIS EVENING
  INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE IS A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR SEVERE
  WEATHER WITH THIS ACTIVITY WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE
  HAIL POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  PERIODIC ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.
  STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES. AREAS OF
  HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING WILL BE A CONCERN DEPENDING ON
  THE TRACK AND EVOLUTION OF EACH INDIVIDUAL THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX
  OR LINE OF STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT THREE HOURS FOR
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI. SPOTTER
  ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE MISSOURI
  OZARKS FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GAGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
500 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0942 PM     HAIL             WALNUT GROVE            37.41N 93.55W
06/04/2014  M0.50 INCH       GREENE             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DIME SIZED HAIL REPORTED

1003 PM     HAIL             WINONA                  37.01N 91.32W
06/04/2014  M0.75 INCH       SHANNON            MO   PUBLIC

1052 PM     FLOOD            JASPER                  37.34N 94.30W
06/04/2014                   JASPER             MO   911 CALL CENTER

            K HIGHWAY HAD SEVERAL SECTIONS WITH WATER OVER THE ROAD

1241 AM     HAIL             2 NW AURORA             36.99N 93.74W
06/05/2014  M1.25 INCH       LAWRENCE           MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT NEAR
            LAWRENCE FM 2175 AND HIGHWAY 39

0212 AM     HAIL             2 W STOTTS CITY         37.10N 93.99W
06/05/2014  E0.75 INCH       LAWRENCE           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0221 AM     HAIL             MONETT                  36.92N 93.93W
06/05/2014  E0.88 INCH       BARRY              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0225 AM     HAIL             4 S MONETT              36.86N 93.93W
06/05/2014  E1.75 INCH       BARRY              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

0250 AM     HAIL             6 N SHELL KNOB          36.72N 93.63W
06/05/2014  E1.75 INCH       BARRY              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

0250 AM     HAIL             JENKINS                 36.78N 93.69W
06/05/2014  E1.75 INCH       BARRY              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

0300 AM     HAIL             4 NW SHELL KNOB         36.67N 93.69W
06/05/2014  E1.75 INCH       BARRY              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

0302 AM     HAIL             SHELL KNOB              36.63N 93.63W
06/05/2014  E1.00 INCH       BARRY              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

0315 AM     HAIL             SHELL KNOB              36.63N 93.63W
06/05/2014  E1.25 INCH       BARRY              MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
515 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SHELL KNOB              36.63N 93.63W
06/05/2014                   BARRY              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            POWER LINES REPORTED DOWN AROUND TOWN. A TREE WAS
            REPORTED DOWN ON A HOME.

0300 AM     HAIL             SHELL KNOB              36.63N 93.63W
06/05/2014  E1.50 INCH       BARRY              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            HAIL BROKE OUT SEVERAL WINDOWS AND DAMAGED SHUTTERS ON
            THE WEST SIDE OF TOWN.

0318 AM     HAIL             LAMPE                   36.56N 93.44W
06/05/2014  E1.75 INCH       STONE              MO   PUBLIC

            RELAYED VIA MEDIA.

&&

HATCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
534 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0312 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WNW LAMPE             36.58N 93.49W
06/05/2014                   STONE              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TWO BOAT DOCKS WERE DAMAGED AND SEVERAL OTHERS BROKE
            LOOSE OF THIER MOORINGS AND ARE FLOATING FREE IN THE
            LAKE. SEVERAL HOUSE BOATS ARE FLOATING FREE WITH ONE
            TAKING ON WATER.

&&

HATCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
604 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 N STOTTS CITY         37.13N 93.95W
06/05/2014                   LAWRENCE           MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            MISSOURI HIGHWAY 97 WAS CLOSED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS DUE TO
            FLOODING. BOTH THE SRING RIVER AND STAHL CREEK WERE
            FLOWING OUT OF THIER BANKS. WATER WAS REPORTED OVER THE
            ROAD AND RISING.

&&

HATCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
705 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ066-051230-
BOURBON KS-CHEROKEE KS-CRAWFORD KS-VERNON MO-
705 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BOURBON...CHEROKEE...CRAWFORD AND
EXTREME WESTERN VERNON COUNTIES...

AT 703 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 31 MILES WEST OF
BRONSON TO 32 MILES WEST OF WALNUT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE ARCADIA...ARMA...BAXTER SPRINGS...
BRONSON...CARONA...CHEROKEE...COLUMBUS...ENGLEVALE...FORT SCOTT...
FRONTENAC...FULTON...GALENA...GIRARD...HEPLER...MCCUNE...MULBERRY...
PITTSBURG...REDFIELD...SCAMMON...TREECE...UNIONTOWN...WALNUT...WEIR
AND WEST MINERAL.

PEOPLE IN BOURBON...CHEROKEE...CRAWFORD AND WESTERN VERNON
COUNTIES...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD
SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3804 9509 3803 9460 3700 9462 3700 9508
      3758 9510
TIME...MOT...LOC 1205Z 302DEG 42KT 3793 9562 3743 9561

HATCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
824 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0822 AM     HAIL             10 W COLUMBUS           37.17N 95.03W
06/05/2014  E0.88 INCH       CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WESTERN PART OF THE COUNTY IS RECEIVING HAIL AND WINDS TO
            50 MPH.

&&

RKARDELL