Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2014
River Flood Warning 57, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Apr 29, 2014, 11:34 PM CDT for Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida; Baldwin County, Alabama. It was in force for 69 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 29, 2014, 11:34 PM CDT (04:34 UTC)
- Expired
- May 2, 2014, 8:12 PM CDT
- In force
- 69 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Major
Counties Baldwin County, AL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL
The river
Written for the forecast point Styx River near Elsanor (STXA1). The gauge peaked at 20.87 ft at Apr 30, 2014, 8:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 7 ft
- Minor stage
- 12 ft
- Moderate stage
- 14 ft
- Major stage
- 17 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02377570, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
366 WGUS44 KMOB 300434 FLWMOB BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1134 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS LA HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA... BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON AFFECTING OKALOOSA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTIES. .VERY HEAVY RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AS A RESULT...RIVER LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO RISE AND A FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT. SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. && FLC091-113-010434- /O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0057.140430T0434Z-140502T0824Z/ /MLNF1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140430T1800Z.140502T0224Z.NO/ 1134 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS LA HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON * FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT * AT 10 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET * RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.0 FEET WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND FISH CAMPS ALONG THE CREEK WILL SUBSIDE AS THE LEVEL DROPS BELOW 10 FEET. $$
8 follow-up statements
244 WGUS84 KMOB 301555 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1055 AM CDT WED APR 30 2014 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA... THE BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON AFFECTING OKALOOSA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTIES. .RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. && FLC091-113-011555- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-140501T1648Z/ /MLNF1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140430T1800Z.140501T1048Z.NO/ 1055 AM CDT WED APR 30 2014 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON * UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING * AT 09AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.61 FEET * FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET * THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR 10.7 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN BEGIN TO FALL. * AT 11.0 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND FISH CAMPS ALONG THE CREEK WILL SUBSIDE AS THE LEVEL DROPS BELOW 10 FEET. $$ 98/SO
753 WGUS84 KMOB 302032 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 332 PM CDT WED APR 30 2014 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA... THE BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON AFFECTING OKALOOSA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTIES .RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. && FLC091-113-011000- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-140501T1000Z/ /MLNF1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140430T1930Z.140501T0400Z.NO/ 332 PM CDT WED APR 30 2014 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON * UNTIL LATE TONIGHT * AT 3PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET * THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TONIGHT. * AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND SOME FISH CAMPS WILL OCCUR AS THE CREEK RISES ABOVE 10 FEET. $$ 98/SO
263 WGUS44 KMOB 010401 FLWMOB BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1101 PM CDT WED APR 30 2014 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER INALABAMA... STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. .RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. && ALC003-020401- /O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0057.140501T0401Z-140502T1957Z/ /STXA1.3.ER.140430T0439Z.140501T0100Z.140502T1357Z.NO/ 1101 PM CDT WED APR 30 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR * FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON * AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...20.8 FEET * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING. * AT 21 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING TO HOUSES ALONG RIVER IN SEMINOLE LANDING. * AT 12 FEET...FLOODING AT HOUSES IN THE SEMINOLE LANDING AREA. && LAT...LON 3063 8758 3060 8749 3057 8751 3062 8759 $$
702 WGUS84 KMOB 010801 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 301 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2014 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA... STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. .RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. && ALC003-020801- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-140502T1934Z/ /STXA1.3.ER.140430T0439Z.140501T0100Z.140502T1334Z.NO/ 301 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2014 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR * UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON * AT 2 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.6 FEET * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING. * AT 21 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING TO HOUSES ALONG RIVER IN SEMINOLE LANDING. * AT 12 FEET...FLOODING AT HOUSES IN THE SEMINOLE LANDING AREA. && LAT...LON 3063 8758 3060 8749 3057 8751 3062 8759 $$
557
WGUS84 KMOB 011644
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1144 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK AFFECTING BALDWIN AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES.
STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY.
SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC003-021644-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-140503T0152Z/
/STXA1.3.ER.140430T0439Z.140501T0100Z.140502T1952Z.NO/
1144 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.3 FEET
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY
AFTERNOON.
* AT 21 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING TO HOUSES ALONG RIVER IN SEMINOLE LANDING.
* AT 12 FEET...FLOODING AT HOUSES IN THE SEMINOLE LANDING AREA
&&
LAT...LON 3063 8758 3060 8749 3057 8751 3062 8759
$$
FLC091-021644-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-140504T1930Z/
/CRVF1.2.ER.140430T0542Z.140502T0000Z.140504T1330Z.NO/
1144 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER
WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 14 FEET...RESIDENTIAL FLOODING IN THE TREVOR COURT AREA WILL LIKELY OCCUR
AS THE RIVER RISES ABOVE 14 FEET.
* AT 13 FEET...RESIDENTIAL FLOODING ON SOUTH BANK.
* AT 10 FEET...FLOOD WATERS FLOOD TRAILERS NORTH OF THE OKALOOSA CORRECTIONAL
CENTER AND SURROUNDS TRAILERS ON SOWELL ROAD.
&&
LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
3070 8663 3070 8655
$$
ALC003-FLC033-012116-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140501T2116Z/
/BRPF1.1.ER.140430T1144Z.140430T2000Z.140501T1516Z.NO/
1144 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING.
* AT 13 FEET...RIVER LEAVES THE BANKS AT THE PARKING LOT OF ADVENTURES UNLIMITED
AND THREATENS SEVERAL PERMANENTLY PARKED TRAVEL TRAILERS.
&&
LAT...LON 3080 8761 3080 8756 3065 8737 3051 8744
3052 8746 3064 8740
$$152 WGUS84 KMOB 020151 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 851 PM CDT THU MAY 1 2014 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA... STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. .RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. && ALC003-030151- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-140503T0351Z/ /STXA1.3.ER.140430T0439Z.140501T0100Z.140502T2151Z.NO/ 851 PM CDT THU MAY 1 2014 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR * UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING * AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. && LAT...LON 3063 8758 3060 8749 3057 8751 3062 8759 $$
113 WGUS84 KMOB 020716 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 216 AM CDT FRI MAY 2 2014 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA... STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. .RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. && ALC003-030048- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-140503T0048Z/ /STXA1.3.ER.140430T0439Z.140501T0100Z.140502T1848Z.NO/ 216 AM CDT FRI MAY 2 2014 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR * UNTIL THIS EVENING * AT 1AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON. && LAT...LON 3063 8758 3060 8749 3057 8751 3062 8759 $$
834
WGUS84 KMOB 021757
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1256 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK AFFECTING BALDWIN AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES.
STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC003-FLC033-031756-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-140503T1845Z/
/BRPF1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140502T1800Z.140503T1245Z.NO/
1256 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
THE PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 12 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.6 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER
WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 13 FEET...RIVER LEAVES THE BANKS AT THE PARKING LOT OF ADVENTURES UNLIMITED
AND THREATENS SEVERAL PERMANENTLY PARKED TRAVEL TRAILERS.
&&
LAT...LON 3080 8761 3080 8756 3065 8737 3051 8744
3052 8746 3064 8740
$$
ALC003-030112-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-140503T0112Z/
/STXA1.3.ER.140430T0439Z.140501T0100Z.140502T1912Z.NO/
1256 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL THIS EVENING
* AT 12 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
NEAR 12.3 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 12 FEET...FLOODING AT HOUSES IN THE SEMINOLE LANDING AREA
&&
LAT...LON 3063 8758 3060 8749 3057 8751 3062 8759
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 29, 5:24 PM CDT, 6 hours 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 29, 5:24 PM CDT, 6 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
524 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014
.SHORT TERM...[TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY]...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS
OF LA...MS...AL AND NWFL MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 TO 60 MPH. MOST OF
THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN STRONG DURING THE LAST 4 HOURS BUT
REMAINING MOSTLY BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT EXPECT MORE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR FOR MOST AREAS AHEAD OF
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. LATEST MESOSCALE
ANALYSIS FROM SPC SHOW MIXED LAYERED CAPES BETWEEN 500 AND 1000 J/KG
ACROSS MOST OF THE CWFA WITH 0-3 KM HELICITY VALUES BETWEEN 200 AND
450 M2/S2 FORECASTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE
COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND DAYTIME HEATING IS LOST. WHAT THIS MEANS
MOST OF THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN UNDER THE
GUN FOR SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH ABOUT 06Z TONIGHT THEN SHIFT EAST
AFFECTING MAINLY THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWFA THROUGH MOST OF THE WED
MORNING...DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE MAIN UPPER LOW MEANDERING
OVER THE NORTHERN MS RIVER VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION. WITH THIS
ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH WED MORNING
WITH THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES. AS THE
COLD FRONT MOVES EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE WED INTO WED NIGHT
SKIES SHOULD BEGIN TO CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST WITH THE CHANCE FOR
SOME FOG TO DEVELOP MOSTLY DUE TO THE LIGHT WINDS AND A VERY
SATURATED GROUND. ALSO BELIEVE MOST AREAS WILL STILL HAVE CHANCE FOR
FLASH FLOODING THROUGH WED MORNING DUE TO THE COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF RAIN
THAT HAS FALLEN IN THE LAST 36 HOURS. AS A RESULT WILL CONTINUE WITH
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS FOR TEMPS WILL LEAN
TOWARDS THE CURRENT MAV GUIDANCE THROUGH WED MAKING MINOR ADJUSTMENTS
ONLY FOR CONSISTENCY WITH SURROUNDING WFOS. 32/EE
.LONG TERM....WEAK SFC RIDGE BUILDS SLOWLY FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS
THE DEEP SOUTH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH CONTINUED
TROUGHING IN THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS STRETCHING FROM THE GREAT LAKES
REGION TO SOUTHERN TX THROUGH EARLY SAT. WITH THIS SOME AREAS ALONG THE
COAST MOSTLY EAST OF PENSACOLA FL COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS NEAR THE
COAST STRETCHING OFFSHORE THU THROUGH FRI. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS THE MID LEVEL TROF AXIS MOVING EAST OF THE CWFA BY LATE SAT
AFTERNOON WITH BETTER DRYING IN THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS OVER THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. 32/EE
&&
.AVIATION...[29.18Z AND 30.00Z ISSUANCE]...LIFR TO IFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH 30.18Z FOLLOWED BY IFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 01.00Z.
EXPECT LOW CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDDAY WED THEN TAPERING OFF SLOWLY FROM WEST
TO EAST WED AFTERNOON. DUE TO A VERY SATURATED GROUND SURFACE AREAS
OF FOG WILL BE LIKELY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT POSSIBLY BECOMING DENSE AT
TIMES NEAR SUNRISE WED MORNING. WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTH AT
10 TO 15 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT SHIFTING SOUTHWEST THEN WEST THROUGH WED
AFTERNOON. 32/EE
&&
.MARINE...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST
THROUGH TONIGHT THEN MOVE SLOWLY OVER THE MARINE AREA DURING THE DAY
ON WED. AHEAD OF THE FRONT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH A FEW STORMS POSSIBLY BECOMING
STRONG TO SEVERE THROUGH LATE WED MORNING. A MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW
WILL EVENTUALLY DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WED NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY FRI FOLLOWED BY A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW MOSTLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS LATE FRI THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SEAS AT 5
TO 7 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO AROUND 4 TO 5
FEET LATE WED THROUGH FRI MORNING. SEAS AROUND 1 TO 2 FEET CAN BE
EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. 32/EE
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES IN THE FORECAST
AS A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING SLOWLY EAST AND NORTHEAST OUT
OF THE PLAINS WILL KEEP A WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST THROUGH MID WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
MOVES SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE STORMS CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT. FREQUENT LIGHTNING ACTIVITY
LEVELS LIKELY IN STORMS ALONG WITH THE RISK OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS.
DAYTIME DISPERSION IS FORECAST TO BE GOOD THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...DUE TO A VERY SATURATED GROUND AREAS
OF FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT FOR MOST ARRAS. LOCALLY
DENSE FOG WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. PATCHY AREAS OF FOG WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 32/EE
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE 66 79 54 73 51 / 80 50 20 10 30
PENSACOLA 70 76 60 72 56 / 80 60 30 10 30
DESTIN 70 74 64 69 59 / 80 60 30 10 30
EVERGREEN 68 79 53 71 48 / 80 60 20 10 20
WAYNESBORO 60 77 49 70 47 / 60 20 10 10 10
CAMDEN 66 79 51 71 48 / 80 40 10 10 10
CRESTVIEW 72 81 58 74 49 / 80 60 30 10 30
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL MIDNIGHT THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...
WILCOX...
FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL MIDNIGHT THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA
ROSA...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...WAYNE...
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL
TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN
MOBILE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN
MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO
60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20
TO 60 NM...
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 29, 10:45 PM CDT, 49 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1045 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-010345- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 1045 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT SEVERAL ROUNDS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE AREA OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. RAIN TOTALS OF 5 TO 11 INCHES HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED ACROSS PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY FOR AREA ALONG INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. HIGHER TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE LOCALLY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL LIKELY PERSIST EAST OF I-65 THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING. GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-010345- NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND- PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1045 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT DUE TO A STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND BUILDING SEAS. STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE AFFECTING THE GULF WATERS OVERNIGHT. FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...AND LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY STORMS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WEDNESDAY MORNING. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG. THUNDERSTORMS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Apr 29, 8:20 PM CDT, 3 hours 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
820 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0650 PM FLOOD 4 NE ELBERTA 30.44N 87.55W
04/29/2014 BALDWIN AL EMERGENCY MNGR
ROAD FLOODING AT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS. JAKE FRANK ROAD
AND CR 95. FRANK ROAD EAST OF CR 87 AND WEST OF CR 95.
&&Local storm report, Apr 29, 8:31 PM CDT, 3 hours 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
831 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0804 PM TSTM WND GST 10 SW PENSACOLA 30.32N 87.34W
04/29/2014 M52.00 MPH ESCAMBIA FL ASOS
MEASURED AT KNPA.
0820 PM HAIL 6 SE MOBILE AIRPORT 30.62N 88.17W
04/29/2014 E0.50 INCH MOBILE AL TRAINED SPOTTER
DIME SIZE HAIL NEAR INTERSECTION OF GRELOT AND KNOLLWOOD.
&&Local storm report, Apr 29, 8:45 PM CDT, 2 hours 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
845 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0844 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 E MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.17W
04/29/2014 MOBILE AL STORM CHASER
INTERSECTION OF UNIVERSITY AND OLD SHELL IS UNDERWATER.
&&Local storm report, Apr 29, 9:05 PM CDT, 2 hours 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
905 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0845 PM HAIL PENSACOLA 30.42N 87.22W
04/29/2014 E0.75 INCH ESCAMBIA FL PUBLIC
&&Local storm report, Apr 29, 10:11 PM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1011 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0945 PM FLASH FLOOD SPANISH FORT 30.67N 87.92W
04/29/2014 BALDWIN AL PUBLIC
HIGH WATER OVER HWY 31 NEAR SPANISH FORT BLVD WITH WATER
CASCADING OVER CAR HOODS.
&&Local storm report, Apr 29, 10:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1015 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1010 PM FLASH FLOOD CANTONMENT 30.61N 87.34W
04/29/2014 ESCAMBIA FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
*** 1 FATAL *** CONFIRMED FATALITY DROWNING VICTIM IN
SUBMERGED VEHICLE ON HWY 29 NEAR CHEMSTRAND. TIME
ESTIMATED.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 8:07 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 18 hr |
| Apr 29, 8:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Escambia, Santa Rosa | 45 min |
| Apr 29, 8:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Escambia, Santa Rosa | 34 min |
| Apr 29, 8:34 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Okaloosa | 26 min |
| Apr 29, 8:53 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 57 hr |
| Apr 29, 8:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 31 min |
| Apr 29, 9:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 36 min |
| Apr 29, 9:49 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Okaloosa | 26 min |
| Apr 29, 9:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Okaloosa | 61 min |
| Apr 29, 10:23 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 40 hr |
| Apr 29, 10:28 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 6 hr |
| Apr 29, 11:23 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 49 hr |
| Apr 29, 11:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 66 min |
| Apr 30, 1:43 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia | 50 hr |
| Apr 30, 7:06 AM CDT | Coastal Flood Statement | MOB | 8 hr | |
| Apr 30, 10:35 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia | 71 hr |
| Apr 30, 2:06 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 24 hr |
| Apr 29, 7:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Escambia, Monroe | 25 min |
| Apr 29, 7:50 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 115 min |
| Apr 29, 8:18 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 42 min | |
| Apr 29, 8:20 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 25 min | |
| Apr 29, 9:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Covington | 43 min |
| Apr 29, 9:05 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 40 min | |
| Apr 29, 9:07 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 18 hr |
| Apr 29, 10:46 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 89 min | |
| Apr 29, 11:43 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 92 min | |
| Apr 30, 1:26 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 94 min | |
| Apr 30, 2:04 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 26 min | |
| Apr 30, 2:14 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Clarke, Monroe, Wilcox | 46 min |
| Apr 30, 2:48 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 117 min | |
| Apr 30, 4:29 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 2 hr | |
| Apr 30, 6:26 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 2 hr | |
| Apr 30, 9:04 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Covington | 26 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2014River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.