Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2014
River Flood Warning 55, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Apr 29, 2014, 10:23 PM CDT for Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida; Baldwin County, Alabama. It was in force for 40 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 29, 2014, 10:23 PM CDT (03:23 UTC)
- Expired
- May 1, 2014, 2:02 PM CDT
- In force
- 40 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Baldwin County, AL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL
The radar
The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Big Coldwater Creek near Milton (MLNF1). The gauge peaked at 10.68 ft at Apr 30, 2014, 9:00 AM CDT.
- Action stage
- 5 ft
- Minor stage
- 10 ft
- Moderate stage
- 15 ft
- Major stage
- 23 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02370500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
253 WGUS44 KMOB 300323 FLWMOB BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1023 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS LA HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA... FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. .VERY HEAVY RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AS A RESULT...RIVER LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO RISE. FUTURE FORECASTS MAY NEED TO REVISE THE STAGE UPWARD DUE TO THE TREMENDOUSLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS THAT WERE OCCURRING. SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. && ALC003-302308- /O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0055.140430T0323Z-140430T2308Z/ /FSHA1.1.ER.140430T0235Z.140430T0600Z.140430T1708Z.UU/ 1023 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS LA HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL * FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING * AT 9 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS...11.0 FEET * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET * FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO A CREST NEAR 11.8 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. * AT 11.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...COUNTY ROAD 48 FLOODS AT BRIDGE $$
8 follow-up statements
175 WGUS44 KMOB 300403 FLWMOB BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1103 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014 ...OBSERVED FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA... ...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA... FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. ..VERY HEAVY RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. && ALC003-010403- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-140501T0718Z/ /FSHA1.2.ER.140430T0230Z.140430T0600Z.140501T0118Z.UU/ 1103 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014 ...OBSERVED FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...... FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL * UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT * AT 10PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS...13.4 FEET * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.6 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING. * AT 13.7 FEET...WATER ON LOWER FLOOR OF HOUSES ON RIVER ROAD EXTENSION. $$
675 WGUS44 KMOB 300507 FLWMOB BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1207 AM CDT WED APR 30 2014 ...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA... FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. .VERY HEAVY RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. && ALC003-010507- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-140502T0000Z/ /FSHA1.3.ER.140430T0230Z.140430T1200Z.140501T1800Z.UU/ 1207 AM CDT WED APR 30 2014 ...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL * UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING * AT 11 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS...15.6 FEET * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.4 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. * AT 15.6 FEET...WATER ON LOWER FLOOR OF HOUSES ON ON KEENY ROAD. * AT 16 FEET...RIVER ROAD FLOODS. * AT 16.2 FEET...HONEY ROAD FLOODS. * AT 16.6 FEET...WATER ON LOWER FLOOR OF HOUSES ON HONEY ROAD. $$
308 WGUS84 KMOB 300738 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 238 AM CDT WED APR 30 2014 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA... FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. .VERY HEAVY RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. && ALC003-010738- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-140502T1232Z/ /FSHA1.3.ER.140430T0230Z.140430T1800Z.140502T0632Z.UU/ 738 AM GMT WED APR 30 2014 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL * UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON * AT 2 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.0 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING. * AT 16.6 FEET...WATER ON LOWER FLOOR OF HOUSES ON HONEY ROAD. * AT 16.2 FEET...HONEY ROAD FLOODS. * AT 16 FEET...RIVER ROAD FLOODS. * AT 15.6 FEET...WATER ON LOWER FLOOR OF HOUSES ON ON KEENY ROAD. $$
810 WGUS84 KMOB 300905 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 405 AM CDT WED APR 30 2014 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA... FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. .VERY HEAVY RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. && ALC003-010905- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-140502T0954Z/ /FSHA1.3.ER.140430T0230Z.140430T1200Z.140502T0354Z.UU/ 905 AM GMT WED APR 30 2014 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL * UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON * AT 4 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.0 FEET * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.9 FEET BY THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING. * AT 16.6 FEET...WATER ON LOWER FLOOR OF HOUSES ON HONEY ROAD. * AT 16.2 FEET...HONEY ROAD FLOODS. * AT 16 FEET...RIVER ROAD FLOODS. * AT 15.6 FEET...WATER ON LOWER FLOOR OF HOUSES ON ON KEENY ROAD. $$
360 WGUS84 KMOB 301439 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 939 AM CDT WED APR 30 2014 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA... THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. .RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. && ALC003-011439- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-140502T0125Z/ /FSHA1.3.ER.140430T0230Z.140430T1100Z.140501T1925Z.UU/ 939 AM CDT WED APR 30 2014 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL * UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING * AT 8:30AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.89 FEET * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. $$ 98/SO
166 WGUS84 KMOB 301945 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 245 PM CDT WED APR 30 2014 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA... THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. .RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. && ALC003-011902- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-140501T1902Z/ /FSHA1.3.ER.140430T0230Z.140430T1100Z.140501T1302Z.UU/ 245 PM CDT WED APR 30 2014 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL * UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON * AT 2PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING. * AT 16.6 FEET...WATER ON LOWER FLOOR OF HOUSES ON HONEY ROAD. $$ 98/SO
299
WGUS44 KMOB 010354
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1053 PM CDT WED APR 30 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN FLORIDA...
BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON AFFECTING OKALOOSA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTIES.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
FLC091-113-011020-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0055.140501T0353Z-140501T1020Z/
/MLNF1.1.ER.140430T0500Z.140430T1230Z.140501T0420Z.NO/
1053 PM CDT WED APR 30 2014
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL LATE TONIGHT
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...10.2 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT.
* AT 10 FEET...FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND SOME FISH CAMPS.
&&
LAT...LON 3091 8696 3088 8694 3081 8700 3068 8696
3068 8697 3080 8704
$$668
WGUS84 KMOB 010758
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
258 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY.
PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK AFFECTING BALDWIN AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES.
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER AFFECTING COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...OKALOOSA AND SANTA
ROSA COUNTIES.
BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON AFFECTING OKALOOSA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTIES.
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.
SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
&&
ALC003-011430-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-140501T1430Z/
/FSHA1.3.ER.140430T0230Z.140430T1100Z.140501T0830Z.UU/
258 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL
* UNTIL THIS MORNING
* AT 2 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING.
* AT 13 FEET...HOUSES ON RIVER RD. BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* AT 11 FEET...FLOODING AT THE COUNTY ROAD 48 BRIDGE.
&&
LAT...LON 3062 8779 3044 8778 3044 8783 3062 8784
$$
ALC003-FLC033-011930-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140501T1930Z/
/BRPF1.1.ER.140430T1144Z.140430T2000Z.140501T1330Z.NO/
258 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON
* AT 2 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING.
* AT 13 FEET...RIVER LEAVES THE BANKS AT THE PARKING LOT OF ADVENTURES UNLIMITED
AND THREATENS SEVERAL PERMANENTLY PARKED TRAVEL TRAILERS.
&&
LAT...LON 3080 8761 3080 8756 3065 8737 3051 8744
3052 8746 3064 8740
$$
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-020112-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-140502T0112Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.140430T0537Z.140430T1031Z.140501T1912Z.NO/
258 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER
* UNTIL THIS EVENING
* AT 2 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 14 FEET...FLOODING OF EAST PARK IN BAKER OCCURS AT 14 FEET AND WEST PARK
BECOMES FLOODED AT 14.5 FEET.
* AT 11 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF SECONDARY ROADS AND LOWLANDS DOWNSTREAM FROM
BAKER.
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$
FLC091-113-011339-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-140501T1339Z/
/MLNF1.1.ER.140430T0500Z.140430T1230Z.140501T0739Z.NO/
258 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON
* UNTIL THIS MORNING
* AT 2 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT THIS
MORNING.
* AT 10 FEET...FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND SOME FISH CAMPS.
&&
LAT...LON 3091 8696 3088 8694 3081 8700 3068 8696
3068 8697 3080 8704
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 29, 5:24 PM CDT, 4 hours 59 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 29, 5:24 PM CDT, 4 hours 59 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
524 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014
.SHORT TERM...[TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY]...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS
OF LA...MS...AL AND NWFL MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 TO 60 MPH. MOST OF
THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN STRONG DURING THE LAST 4 HOURS BUT
REMAINING MOSTLY BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT EXPECT MORE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR FOR MOST AREAS AHEAD OF
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. LATEST MESOSCALE
ANALYSIS FROM SPC SHOW MIXED LAYERED CAPES BETWEEN 500 AND 1000 J/KG
ACROSS MOST OF THE CWFA WITH 0-3 KM HELICITY VALUES BETWEEN 200 AND
450 M2/S2 FORECASTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE
COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND DAYTIME HEATING IS LOST. WHAT THIS MEANS
MOST OF THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN UNDER THE
GUN FOR SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH ABOUT 06Z TONIGHT THEN SHIFT EAST
AFFECTING MAINLY THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWFA THROUGH MOST OF THE WED
MORNING...DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE MAIN UPPER LOW MEANDERING
OVER THE NORTHERN MS RIVER VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION. WITH THIS
ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH WED MORNING
WITH THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES. AS THE
COLD FRONT MOVES EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE WED INTO WED NIGHT
SKIES SHOULD BEGIN TO CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST WITH THE CHANCE FOR
SOME FOG TO DEVELOP MOSTLY DUE TO THE LIGHT WINDS AND A VERY
SATURATED GROUND. ALSO BELIEVE MOST AREAS WILL STILL HAVE CHANCE FOR
FLASH FLOODING THROUGH WED MORNING DUE TO THE COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF RAIN
THAT HAS FALLEN IN THE LAST 36 HOURS. AS A RESULT WILL CONTINUE WITH
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS FOR TEMPS WILL LEAN
TOWARDS THE CURRENT MAV GUIDANCE THROUGH WED MAKING MINOR ADJUSTMENTS
ONLY FOR CONSISTENCY WITH SURROUNDING WFOS. 32/EE
.LONG TERM....WEAK SFC RIDGE BUILDS SLOWLY FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS
THE DEEP SOUTH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH CONTINUED
TROUGHING IN THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS STRETCHING FROM THE GREAT LAKES
REGION TO SOUTHERN TX THROUGH EARLY SAT. WITH THIS SOME AREAS ALONG THE
COAST MOSTLY EAST OF PENSACOLA FL COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS NEAR THE
COAST STRETCHING OFFSHORE THU THROUGH FRI. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS THE MID LEVEL TROF AXIS MOVING EAST OF THE CWFA BY LATE SAT
AFTERNOON WITH BETTER DRYING IN THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS OVER THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. 32/EE
&&
.AVIATION...[29.18Z AND 30.00Z ISSUANCE]...LIFR TO IFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH 30.18Z FOLLOWED BY IFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 01.00Z.
EXPECT LOW CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDDAY WED THEN TAPERING OFF SLOWLY FROM WEST
TO EAST WED AFTERNOON. DUE TO A VERY SATURATED GROUND SURFACE AREAS
OF FOG WILL BE LIKELY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT POSSIBLY BECOMING DENSE AT
TIMES NEAR SUNRISE WED MORNING. WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTH AT
10 TO 15 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT SHIFTING SOUTHWEST THEN WEST THROUGH WED
AFTERNOON. 32/EE
&&
.MARINE...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST
THROUGH TONIGHT THEN MOVE SLOWLY OVER THE MARINE AREA DURING THE DAY
ON WED. AHEAD OF THE FRONT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH A FEW STORMS POSSIBLY BECOMING
STRONG TO SEVERE THROUGH LATE WED MORNING. A MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW
WILL EVENTUALLY DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WED NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY FRI FOLLOWED BY A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW MOSTLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS LATE FRI THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SEAS AT 5
TO 7 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO AROUND 4 TO 5
FEET LATE WED THROUGH FRI MORNING. SEAS AROUND 1 TO 2 FEET CAN BE
EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. 32/EE
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES IN THE FORECAST
AS A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING SLOWLY EAST AND NORTHEAST OUT
OF THE PLAINS WILL KEEP A WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST THROUGH MID WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
MOVES SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE STORMS CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT. FREQUENT LIGHTNING ACTIVITY
LEVELS LIKELY IN STORMS ALONG WITH THE RISK OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS.
DAYTIME DISPERSION IS FORECAST TO BE GOOD THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...DUE TO A VERY SATURATED GROUND AREAS
OF FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT FOR MOST ARRAS. LOCALLY
DENSE FOG WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. PATCHY AREAS OF FOG WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 32/EE
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE 66 79 54 73 51 / 80 50 20 10 30
PENSACOLA 70 76 60 72 56 / 80 60 30 10 30
DESTIN 70 74 64 69 59 / 80 60 30 10 30
EVERGREEN 68 79 53 71 48 / 80 60 20 10 20
WAYNESBORO 60 77 49 70 47 / 60 20 10 10 10
CAMDEN 66 79 51 71 48 / 80 40 10 10 10
CRESTVIEW 72 81 58 74 49 / 80 60 30 10 30
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL MIDNIGHT THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...
WILCOX...
FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL MIDNIGHT THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA
ROSA...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...WAYNE...
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL
TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN
MOBILE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN
MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO
60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20
TO 60 NM...
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 29, 11:00 AM CDT, 11 hours 23 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1100 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-301100- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 1100 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE GREATEST RISK AREAS IS OVER INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF I-65. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT INITIAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OCCURS OVER INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA IN THE NOON TO 2 PM CDT TIME FRAME WEST OF I-65. STORMS BEGIN AS ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AND THEN BEGIN HEADING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST WHILE EXPANDING IN AREAL COVERAGE DURING THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MAIN IMPACTS INCLUDE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...TORNADOES (SOME POSSIBLY STRONG) AND LARGE HAIL. THUNDERSTORMS GRADUALLY SPREAD EAST OF I-65 THIS DURING THE MID AFTERNOON AND EVENING...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY. THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. RAIN TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA NEAR THE STATE LINE...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES FURTHER EAST. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. HIGHER TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE LOCALLY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL LIKELY PERSIST EAST OF I-65 THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING. GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-301100- NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND- PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 545 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT DUE TO A STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND BUILDING SEAS. STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE AFFECTING THE GULF WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...AND LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED. AT LEAST SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY STORMS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WEDNESDAY MORNING. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG. THUNDERSTORMS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Apr 29, 8:20 PM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
820 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0650 PM FLOOD 4 NE ELBERTA 30.44N 87.55W
04/29/2014 BALDWIN AL EMERGENCY MNGR
ROAD FLOODING AT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS. JAKE FRANK ROAD
AND CR 95. FRANK ROAD EAST OF CR 87 AND WEST OF CR 95.
&&Local storm report, Apr 29, 8:31 PM CDT, 1 hour 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
831 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0804 PM TSTM WND GST 10 SW PENSACOLA 30.32N 87.34W
04/29/2014 M52.00 MPH ESCAMBIA FL ASOS
MEASURED AT KNPA.
0820 PM HAIL 6 SE MOBILE AIRPORT 30.62N 88.17W
04/29/2014 E0.50 INCH MOBILE AL TRAINED SPOTTER
DIME SIZE HAIL NEAR INTERSECTION OF GRELOT AND KNOLLWOOD.
&&Local storm report, Apr 29, 8:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
845 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0844 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 E MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.17W
04/29/2014 MOBILE AL STORM CHASER
INTERSECTION OF UNIVERSITY AND OLD SHELL IS UNDERWATER.
&&Local storm report, Apr 29, 9:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
905 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0845 PM HAIL PENSACOLA 30.42N 87.22W
04/29/2014 E0.75 INCH ESCAMBIA FL PUBLIC
&&Local storm report, Apr 29, 10:11 PM CDT, 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1011 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0945 PM FLASH FLOOD SPANISH FORT 30.67N 87.92W
04/29/2014 BALDWIN AL PUBLIC
HIGH WATER OVER HWY 31 NEAR SPANISH FORT BLVD WITH WATER
CASCADING OVER CAR HOODS.
&&Local storm report, Apr 29, 10:15 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1015 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1010 PM FLASH FLOOD CANTONMENT 30.61N 87.34W
04/29/2014 ESCAMBIA FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
*** 1 FATAL *** CONFIRMED FATALITY DROWNING VICTIM IN
SUBMERGED VEHICLE ON HWY 29 NEAR CHEMSTRAND. TIME
ESTIMATED.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 8:07 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 18 hr |
| Apr 29, 8:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Escambia, Santa Rosa | 45 min |
| Apr 29, 8:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Escambia, Santa Rosa | 34 min |
| Apr 29, 8:34 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Okaloosa | 26 min |
| Apr 29, 8:53 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 57 hr |
| Apr 29, 8:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 31 min |
| Apr 29, 9:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 36 min |
| Apr 29, 9:49 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Okaloosa | 26 min |
| Apr 29, 9:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Okaloosa | 61 min |
| Apr 29, 10:28 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 6 hr |
| Apr 29, 11:23 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 49 hr |
| Apr 29, 11:34 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 69 hr |
| Apr 29, 11:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 66 min |
| Apr 30, 1:43 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia | 50 hr |
| Apr 30, 7:06 AM CDT | Coastal Flood Statement | MOB | 8 hr | |
| Apr 30, 10:35 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia | 71 hr |
| Apr 30, 2:06 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 24 hr |
| Apr 29, 7:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Escambia, Monroe | 25 min |
| Apr 29, 7:50 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 115 min |
| Apr 29, 8:18 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 42 min | |
| Apr 29, 8:20 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 25 min | |
| Apr 29, 9:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Covington | 43 min |
| Apr 29, 9:05 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 40 min | |
| Apr 29, 9:07 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 18 hr |
| Apr 29, 10:46 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 89 min | |
| Apr 29, 11:43 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 92 min | |
| Apr 30, 1:26 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 94 min | |
| Apr 30, 2:04 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 26 min | |
| Apr 30, 2:14 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Clarke, Monroe, Wilcox | 46 min |
| Apr 30, 2:48 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 117 min | |
| Apr 30, 4:29 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 2 hr | |
| Apr 30, 6:26 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 2 hr | |
| Apr 30, 9:04 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Covington | 26 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2014River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.