Severe Thunderstorm Warning 59, NWS Jackson, MS

283 
WWUS54 KJAN 290338
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1038 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

MSC055-125-290348-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-140329T0400Z/
SHARKEY MS-ISSAQUENA MS-
1038 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ISSAQUENA AND
SOUTHERN SHARKEY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE THREAT HAS ENDED FOR THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3248 9079 3257 9074 3257 9073 3258 9072
      3268 9067 3280 9066 3281 9046 3267 9048
      3251 9055 3248 9061
TIME...MOT...LOC 0338Z 269DEG 26KT 3279 9060 3266 9062
          3252 9073

$$

MSC149-163-290400-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-140329T0400Z/
WARREN MS-YAZOO MS-
1038 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN
YAZOO AND NORTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 PM CDT...

AT 1038 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HOLLY BLUFF TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST
OF PHOENIX TO REDWOOD...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  PHOENIX AROUND 1050 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE SATARTIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3248 9079 3257 9074 3257 9073 3258 9072
      3268 9067 3280 9066 3281 9046 3267 9048
      3251 9055 3248 9061
TIME...MOT...LOC 0338Z 269DEG 26KT 3279 9060 3266 9062
          3252 9073

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

BK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
855 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

.UPDATE...HAVE UPDATED FORECAST EARLIER THIS EVENING TO INCLUDE
TORNADO WATCH FOR THE NORTHWEST TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA. SURFACE
ANALYSIS HAD A 1007MB LOW OVER WESTERN LOUISIANA BETWEEN SHREVEPORT
AND LAKE CHARLES. A BAND OF STORMS WAS NOTED ON REGIONAL RADARS
STRETCHING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOW ACROSS OUR DELTA REGION. A BOWING
LINE OF STORMS WAS NOTED FROM THE LOW BACK INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS OUR CWA TONIGHT AS THE LOW
PROGRESSES. THERE REMAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS...
QUARTER SIZE HAIL OR LARGER AND A TORNADO WITH THE STORMS TONIGHT.
IF THE BOWING LINE OF STORMS HOLDS TOGETHER...THE AREA SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE TWENTY MAY SEE MORE WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE THAN THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS. CONSIDERING THE AMOUNT OF RAIN THAT WAS RECENTLY
RECORDED ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN ZONES...A FLASH FLOOD CONCERN REMAINS
AS WELL WITH THE LINE OF STORMS. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 TONIGHT WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT. OVERALL...THE TIMING OF
STORMS IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN EXPECTED BUT THE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
TO SHIFT EAST OF OUR AREA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. /22/

&&

.AVIATION...AT 01Z SAT IFR CIGS WERE BEING REPORTED IN THE SE WITH
MVFR CIGS CNTRL AND VFR CONDS GWO-GTR. GLH WAS OBSERVING TSTM
ACTIVITY IN ADVANCE OF A LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT WL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT AND DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH IN ITS WAKE.
SEVERE TSTMS WITH WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60KTS AND HAIL QUARTER TO
GOLFBALL SIZE WILL BE PSBL WITH THE STORMS. GWO-GTR WL SEE TSTMS
04-06Z WITH THE OTHER TAF SITES AFFECTED 06Z-11Z BEFORE THE ACTIVITY
SHIFTS EAST. CIGS WL IMPROVE TO VFR AFTER 14Z SAT BUT GUSTY NORTH
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 20KTS WL BE OBSERVED THROUGH THE AFTN. VFR CONDS
WL LAST THROUGH SAT NIGHT. /22/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 445 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014/

..SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
REGION TONIGHT...

DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL HAVE
RECENTLY DEVELOPED IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND OTHER STORMS ARE
ORGANIZING IN EASTERN TX. THIS IS ALL IN RESPONSE TO A POTENT
INCOMING DISTURBANCE REACTING WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY...
PLENTIFUL INSTABILITY AND ADEQUATE DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR. SOME OF
THESE SUPERCELLS IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS WILL LIKELY BUILD DOWN INTO
PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS DELTA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND THIS
EXPLAINS THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THOSE LOCATIONS
THROUGH 10 PM CDT.

MUCH OF THE INITIAL CELLULAR ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE INCOMING
DISTURBANCE WILL LIKELY JUST CLIP NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON WITH THE MORE
CONSOLIDATED INFLUX OF THUNDERSTORMS HOLDING OFF UNTIL THIS EVENING.
BUT BY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS NOW DEVELOPING NEAR THE ARKLATEX SOUTH
THROUGH EAST TEXAS SHOULD GROW UPSCALE INTO A CONVECTIVE LINE WHICH
ADVANCES SOLIDLY INTO THE HEART OF THE REGION BY LATE EVENING. MEAN
LAYER CAPE VALUES WITH ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON IN THE ARKLAMISS
DELTA WILL PEAK BETWEEN 1500 AND 2000 J/KG...BUT PEAK VALUES IN
WESTERN ZONES ASSOCIATED WITH THE INCOMING LINEAR COMPLEX SHOULD BE
MORE IN THE 1000-1500 J/KG RANGE. POTENTIAL FOR FORWARD PROPAGATION
OF SEGMENTS INTO THE UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL ENHANCE RISK FOR
SIGNIFICANT WIND GUSTS WHILE LARGE HAIL TO AT LEAST GOLF BALL SIZE
IS A CONSIDERABLE RISK. LOW LEVEL SHEAR THROUGH THIS EVENING IS
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW TORNADIC THRESHOLDS BUT I DO
THINK ENHANCEMENT OF SHEAR IN THE VICINITY OF CONVECTIVELY-INDUCED
MESOLOWS COULD BE ENOUGH TO HELP GENERATE A FEW EMBEDDED TORNADOES
REGARDLESS. THIS SHOULD MAINLY BE IN THE CASE IN WESTERN ZONES
WHERE CONVECTION WILL REMAIN INTENSE THIS EVENING.

ACTIVITY SHOULD TEND TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT HEADS EAST INTO AN
INCREASINGLY STABLE AIR MASS...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF SIGNIFICANT
WEAKENING QUITE HIGH BY THE TIME CONVECTION REACHES THE ALABAMA
BORDER AND THE COOLING EFFECTS OF LAST NIGHTS CONVECTION LINGER
LONGEST. HOWEVER...THIS WEAKENING TREND WITH EASTWARD MOVEMENT MAY
NOT HOLD UP IN MY FAR SOUTHERN ZONES DUE TO BAROCLINIC ENHANCEMENT
OF LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS BECAUSE OF THE PROXIMITY OF THE BOUNDARY
PUT DOWN IN THE WAKE OF LAST NIGHTS STORMS. ADDITIONALLY...POTENTIAL
FOR STRENGTHENING SOUTH FLOW IN SOUTHERN ZONES JUST AHEAD OF
CONVECTION COULD PULL UP GULF MOISTURE QUICKLY ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN
STORM INTENSITIES WELL INTO THE NIGHT. THE BAROCLINIC ENHANCEMENT
OF SHEAR IN SOUTHERN ZONES IS ALSO WHY WE ARE ADVERTISING THE
POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED TORNADOES WITH ACTIVITY DOWN THERE WELL INTO
THE NIGHT.

FINALLY IN REGARDS TO ACTIVITY TONIGHT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WAS
ISSUED THROUGH THE NIGHT IN ROUGHLY THE SAME LOCATIONS WHICH
RECEIVED A BIG DUMPING OF RAINFALL LAST NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE
PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH WHERE FLOODING WOULD NOT BE A BIG WORRY BY
ITSELF...BUT UPON SATURATED GROUND A QUICK ONE TO TWO INCHES COULD
CAUSE SOME HIGH WATER ISSUES.

ALL THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE CLEARING TO THE EAST LATE TONIGHT
WITH A COLD FRONT DRIVING SOUTH TO THE COAST DURING THE FIRST HALF
OF THE DAY TOMORROW. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL BE FOUND BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT AND CONDITIONS COULD BE A LITTLE CHILLY BEFORE MIDDAY AS
CLOUDS WILL BE SLOW TO CLEAR AND SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE COULD LINGER IN
SPOTS. BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD BE RELATIVELY MILD BY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON WITH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND PLEASANT AND ONLY A LITTLE
COOLER THAN AVERAGE. /BB/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 435 AM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014/

SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SHORT LIVED AT THE
BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AS PROGRESSIVE MID LEVEL FLOW ALLOWS IT TO
QUICKLY PUSH EAST AND SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS TO RETURN BY SUNDAY
NIGHT. NEXT SHORTWAVE PULLS OUT OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO THE
PLAINS ON MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL DRAG A WEAK FRONT TO THE
NORTHWEST DOORSTEP OF THE FORECAST AREA BY TUESDAY...BUT DOES NOT
SEEM TO HAVE MUCH AFFECT ON OUR FORECAST OTHER THAN TO INCREASE
CLOUDINESS.

PATTERN LOOKS TO AMPLIFY MOVING INTO THE MID WEEK TIMEFRAME AS
DECENT COLD CORE MOVES FROM THE PAC NW INTO THE ROCKIES. BACKING
FLOW OVER THE AREA WILL SET UP WARM ADVECTION AND RE-ENERGIZE THE
OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY. CONVECTION LOOKS A GOOD BET BY WEDNESDAY AS
MID/UPPER 60 DEWPOINTS SURGE NORTH OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO AND MID
LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES OUT INTO THE PLAINS. WILL HAVE TO WATCH THE
EVOLUTION OF THIS EVENT AS THE COLD FRONT STARTS TO MOVE. GFS/EURO
ARE SHOWING 1500-2000 J/KG OF CAPE COINCIDENT WITH 350 M2/S2 0-3KM
HELICITY OVER THE NW HALF BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AND AGAIN
THURSDAY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA AS THE FRONT NEARS. SINCE THIS
EVENT IS STILL QUITE A WAYS OUT...WILL HOLD OFF ON MENTIONING ANY
SEVERE POTENTIAL IN THE HWO FOR NOW./26/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       56  70  42  71 /  90  12   0   0
MERIDIAN      57  73  38  70 /  90  14   0   0
VICKSBURG     54  70  41  71 /  90   9   0   0
HATTIESBURG   63  76  44  73 /  90  14   0   0
NATCHEZ       57  70  42  70 /  90  10   0   0
GREENVILLE    55  68  41  69 /  90   6   0   0
GREENWOOD     54  67  38  69 /  90   7   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR
MSZ047>050-053>066-     072>074.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR
LAZ015-016-023>026.

AR...NONE.
&&

22/BB/26

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
325 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-041-292030-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
325 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...HIGH
TIMING...LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS OF 75 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING ACROSS THE REGION. ALSO A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
SYSTEM. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES MAY CAUSE SOME
LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES WITH THESE STORMS. AT THIS TIME...THE
GREATEST WINDOW FOR SEVERE STORM OCCURRENCE WILL BE FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. PLEASE KEEP UP TO DATE WITH
LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON FOR
MORE DETAILS THROUGH THE DAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ029>033-038-039-045-046-052-292030-
WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-LAUDERDALE-
325 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF QUARTER SIZED HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS OF 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MID EVENING ACROSS THE
REGION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES MAY CAUSE SOME
LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES WITH THESE STORMS. AT THIS TIME...THE
GREATEST WINDOW FOR SEVERE STORM OCCURRENCE WILL BE FROM 9 PM THIS
EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. PLEASE KEEP UP TO DATE WITH
LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON FOR
MORE DETAILS THROUGH THE DAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ026>028-036-037-042>044-292030-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-HOLMES-ATTALA-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-
325 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF QUARTER TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MID EVENING ACROSS
THE REGION. ALSO A TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
ONE TO TWO INCHES MAY CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES WITH THESE
STORMS. AT THIS TIME...THE GREATEST WINDOW FOR SEVERE STORM
OCCURRENCE WILL BE FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. PLEASE KEEP UP TO DATE WITH LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON FOR MORE DETAILS THROUGH THE DAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ047-053-054-059>064-072>074-292030-
RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WARREN-
CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
325 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...HIGH
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS OF 75 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE AFTERNOON IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
AND BY MID EVENING ACROSS SOUTH MISSISSIPPI. ALSO A FEW TORNADOES
WILL BE POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES MAY CAUSE
SOME FLOODING ISSUES WITH THESE STORMS. AT THIS TIME...THE GREATEST
WINDOW FOR SEVERE STORM OCCURRENCE WILL BEGIN FROM 5-7 PM ACROSS
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND AT 9-10 PM ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. PLEASE KEEP UP TO DATE WITH LATEST
INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON FOR MORE
DETAILS THROUGH THE DAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ048>051-055>058-065-066-292030-
HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-COVINGTON-
JONES-
325 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF QUARTER TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY 9 PM THIS EVENING
ACROSS THE REGION. ALSO A TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES MAY CAUSE SOME FLOODING ISSUES WITH
THESE STORMS. AT THIS TIME...THE GREATEST WINDOW FOR SEVERE STORM
OCCURRENCE WILL BE FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. PLEASE KEEP UP TO DATE WITH LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON FOR MORE DETAILS THROUGH THE DAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

17

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
HIGH...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
HIGH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH
 OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
HIGH...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.JACKSONMS.GOV
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER RFC HOME PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LMRFC/
NWS SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/NATIONALFLOODOUTLOOK/INDEX.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESS_RAIN.SHTML
WPC EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFERD.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 7 QPF...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML
WPC QPF DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFHSD.HTML
NWS JAN OBSERVED PRECIPITATION IMAGES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=PRECIPMAPS

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
850 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 WSW GALION            32.84N 91.81W
03/28/2014                   MOREHOUSE          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN NEAR COOPER LAKE ROAD AND
            YELDELL ROAD.

&&

JCULIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
905 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SSE LAKE VILLAGE      33.28N 91.25W
03/28/2014                   CHICOT             AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINES DOWNED AT US 82 AND US 65

&&

DL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
909 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0904 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LAKE VILLAGE            33.32N 91.28W
03/28/2014                   CHICOT             AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROADS FLOODED AROUND HIGHWAY 144 IN LAKE VILLAGE.

&&

JCULIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
916 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     HAIL             PORTLAND                33.24N 91.51W
03/28/2014  E1.00 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   PUBLIC

            DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL. REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

JCULIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
944 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 PM     TSTM WND DMG     KILBOURNE               33.00N 91.31W
03/28/2014                   WEST CARROLL       LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TRAVEL TRAILER MOVED OFF ITS BLOCKS

&&

DL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1002 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0912 PM     HAIL             OAK GROVE               32.86N 91.39W
03/28/2014  E1.00 INCH       WEST CARROLL       LA   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM SOCIAL MEDIA OF HAIL A LITTLE BIT BIGGER THAN
            QUARTER SIZED.

&&

JCULIN