River Flood Warning 12, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
445 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

...SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
REGION TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL HAVE
RECENTLY DEVELOPED IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND OTHER STORMS ARE
ORGANIZING IN EASTERN TX. THIS IS ALL IN RESPONSE TO A POTENT
INCOMING DISTURBANCE REACTING WITH A WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...PLENTIFUL INSTABILITY AND ADEQUATE DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR.
SOME OF THESE SUPERCELLS IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS WILL LIKELY BUILD DOWN
INTO PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS DELTA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND
THIS EXPLAINS THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THOSE
LOCATIONS THROUGH 10 PM CDT.

MUCH OF THE INITIAL CELLULAR ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE INCOMING
DISTURBANCE WILL LIKELY JUST CLIP NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON WITH THE MORE
CONSOLIDATED INFLUX OF THUNDERSTORMS HOLDING OFF UNTIL THIS EVENING.
BUT BY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS NOW DEVELOPING NEAR THE ARKLATEX SOUTH
THROUGH EAST TEXAS SHOULD GROW UPSCALE INTO A CONVECTIVE LINE WHICH
ADVANCES SOLIDLY INTO THE HEART OF THE REGION BY LATE EVENING. MEAN
LAYER CAPE VALUES WITH ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON IN THE ARKLAMISS
DELTA WILL PEAK BETWEEN 1500 AND 2000 J/KG...BUT PEAK VALUES IN
WESTERN ZONES ASSOCIATED WITH THE INCOMING LINEAR COMPLEX SHOULD BE
MORE IN THE 1000-1500 J/KG RANGE. POTENTIAL FOR FORWARD PROPAGATION
OF SEGMENTS INTO THE UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL ENHANCE RISK FOR
SIGNIFICANT WIND GUSTS WHILE LARGE HAIL TO AT LEAST GOLF BALL SIZE
IS A CONSIDERABLE RISK. LOW LEVEL SHEAR THROUGH THIS EVENING IS
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW TORNADIC THRESHOLDS BUT I DO
THINK ENHANCEMENT OF SHEAR IN THE VICINITY OF CONVECTIVELY-INDUCED
MESOLOWS COULD BE ENOUGH TO HELP GENERATE A FEW EMBEDDED TORNADOES
REGARDLESS. THIS SHOULD MAINLY BE IN THE CASE IN WESTERN ZONES
WHERE CONVECTION WILL REMAIN INTENSE THIS EVENING.

ACTIVITY SHOULD TEND TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT HEADS EAST INTO AN
INCREASINGLY STABLE AIR MASS...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF SIGNIFICANT
WEAKENING QUITE HIGH BY THE TIME CONVECTION REACHES THE ALABAMA
BORDER AND THE COOLING EFFECTS OF LAST NIGHTS CONVECTION LINGER
LONGEST. HOWEVER...THIS WEAKENING TREND WITH EASTWARD MOVEMENT MAY
NOT HOLD UP IN MY FAR SOUTHERN ZONES DUE TO BAROCLINIC ENHANCEMENT
OF LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS BECAUSE OF THE PROXIMITY OF THE BOUNDARY
PUT DOWN IN THE WAKE OF LAST NIGHTS STORMS. ADDITIONALLY...POTENTIAL
FOR STRENGTHENING SOUTH FLOW IN SOUTHERN ZONES JUST AHEAD OF
CONVECTION COULD PULL UP GULF MOISTURE QUICKLY ENOUGH TO MAINAIN
STORM INTENSITIES WELL INTO THE NIGHT. THE BAROCLINIC ENHANCEMENT
OF SHEAR IN SOUTHERN ZONES IS ALSO WHY WE ARE ADVERTISING THE
POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED TORNADOES WITH ACTIVITY DOWN THERE WELL INTO
THE NIGHT.

FINALLY IN REGARDS TO ACTIVITY TONIGHT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WAS
ISSUED THROUGH THE NIGHT IN ROUGHLY THE SAME LOCATIONS WHICH
RECEIVED A BIG DUMPING OF RAINFALL LAST NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE
PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH WHERE FLOODING WOULD NOT BE A BIG WORRY BY
ITSELF...BUT UPON SATURATED GROUND A QUICK ONE TO TWO INCHES COULD
CAUSE SOME HIGH WATER ISSUES.

ALL THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE CLEARING TO THE EAST LATE TONIGHT
WITH A COLD FRONT DRIVING SOUTH TO THE COAST DURING THE FIRST HALF
OF THE DAY TOMORROW. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL BE FOUND BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT AND CONDITIONS COULD BE A LITTLE CHILLY BEFORE MIDDAY AS
CLOUDS WILL BE SLOW TO CLEAR AND SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE COULD LINGER IN
SPOTS. BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD BE RELATIVELY MILD BY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON WITH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND PLEASANT AND ONLY A LITTLE
COOLER THAN AVERAGE. /BB/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 435 AM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014/

SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SHORT LIVED AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AS
PROGRESSIVE MID LEVEL FLOW ALLOWS IT TO QUICKLY PUSH EAST AND
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS TO RETURN BY SUNDAY NIGHT. NEXT SHORTWAVE
PULLS OUT OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO THE PLAINS ON MONDAY. THIS
SYSTEM WILL DRAG A WEAK FRONT TO THE NORTHWEST DOORSTEP OF THE
FORECAST AREA BY TUESDAY...BUT DOES NOT SEEM TO HAVE MUCH AFFECT ON
OUR FORECAST OTHER THAN TO INCREASE CLOUDINESS.

PATTERN LOOKS TO AMPLIFY MOVING INTO THE MID WEEK TIMEFRAME AS
DECENT COLD CORE MOVES FROM THE PAC NW INTO THE ROCKIES. BACKING
FLOW OVER THE AREA WILL SET UP WARM ADVECTION AND RE-ENERGIZE THE
OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY. CONVECTION LOOKS A GOOD BET BY WEDNESDAY AS
MID/UPPER 60 DEWPOINTS SURGE NORTH OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO AND MID
LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES OUT INTO THE PLAINS. WILL HAVE TO WATCH THE
EVOLUTION OF THIS EVENT AS THE COLD FRONT STARTS TO MOVE. GFS/EURO
ARE SHOWING 1500-2000 J/KG OF CAPE COINCIDENT WITH 350 M2/S2 0-3KM
HELICITY OVER THE NW HALF BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AND AGAIN
THURSDAY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA AS THE FRONT NEARS. SINCE THIS
EVENT IS STILL QUITE A WAYS OUT...WILL HOLD OFF ON MENTIONING ANY
SEVERE POTENTIAL IN THE HWO FOR NOW./26/

&&

.AVIATION...AS OF LATE THIS AFTERNOON CEILINGS WERE MOSTLY
VFR...EXCEPT MVFR OVER THE EASTERN THIRD. ANOTHER WAVE OF STORMS
WILL AFFECT THE REGION FROM 5 PM IN THE WEST TO AROUND 10 PM IN THE
EAST. THIS WILL BRING ADDITIONAL IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES IN
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS AND SOME
LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL. THE STORMS WILL EXIT THE REGION BY EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       56  70  42  71 /  90  12   0   0
MERIDIAN      57  73  38  70 /  90  14   0   0
VICKSBURG     54  70  41  71 /  90   9   0   0
HATTIESBURG   63  76  44  73 /  90  14   0   0
NATCHEZ       57  70  42  70 /  90  10   0   0
GREENVILLE    55  68  41  69 /  90   6   0   0
GREENWOOD     54  67  38  69 /  90   7   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
     MORNING FOR MSZ047>050-053>066-072>074.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
     MORNING FOR LAZ015-016-023>026.

AR...NONE.
&&

BB/17/26

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
325 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-041-292030-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
325 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...HIGH
TIMING...LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS OF 75 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING ACROSS THE REGION. ALSO A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
SYSTEM. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES MAY CAUSE SOME
LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES WITH THESE STORMS. AT THIS TIME...THE
GREATEST WINDOW FOR SEVERE STORM OCCURRENCE WILL BE FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. PLEASE KEEP UP TO DATE WITH
LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON FOR
MORE DETAILS THROUGH THE DAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ029>033-038-039-045-046-052-292030-
WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-LAUDERDALE-
325 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF QUARTER SIZED HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS OF 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MID EVENING ACROSS THE
REGION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES MAY CAUSE SOME
LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES WITH THESE STORMS. AT THIS TIME...THE
GREATEST WINDOW FOR SEVERE STORM OCCURRENCE WILL BE FROM 9 PM THIS
EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. PLEASE KEEP UP TO DATE WITH
LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON FOR
MORE DETAILS THROUGH THE DAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ026>028-036-037-042>044-292030-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-HOLMES-ATTALA-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-
325 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF QUARTER TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MID EVENING ACROSS
THE REGION. ALSO A TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
ONE TO TWO INCHES MAY CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES WITH THESE
STORMS. AT THIS TIME...THE GREATEST WINDOW FOR SEVERE STORM
OCCURRENCE WILL BE FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. PLEASE KEEP UP TO DATE WITH LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON FOR MORE DETAILS THROUGH THE DAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ047-053-054-059>064-072>074-292030-
RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WARREN-
CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
325 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...HIGH
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS OF 75 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE AFTERNOON IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
AND BY MID EVENING ACROSS SOUTH MISSISSIPPI. ALSO A FEW TORNADOES
WILL BE POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES MAY CAUSE
SOME FLOODING ISSUES WITH THESE STORMS. AT THIS TIME...THE GREATEST
WINDOW FOR SEVERE STORM OCCURRENCE WILL BEGIN FROM 5-7 PM ACROSS
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND AT 9-10 PM ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. PLEASE KEEP UP TO DATE WITH LATEST
INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON FOR MORE
DETAILS THROUGH THE DAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ048>051-055>058-065-066-292030-
HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-COVINGTON-
JONES-
325 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF QUARTER TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY 9 PM THIS EVENING
ACROSS THE REGION. ALSO A TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES MAY CAUSE SOME FLOODING ISSUES WITH
THESE STORMS. AT THIS TIME...THE GREATEST WINDOW FOR SEVERE STORM
OCCURRENCE WILL BE FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. PLEASE KEEP UP TO DATE WITH LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON FOR MORE DETAILS THROUGH THE DAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

17

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
HIGH...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
HIGH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH
 OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
HIGH...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.JACKSONMS.GOV
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER RFC HOME PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LMRFC/
NWS SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/NATIONALFLOODOUTLOOK/INDEX.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESS_RAIN.SHTML
WPC EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFERD.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 7 QPF...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML
WPC QPF DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFHSD.HTML
NWS JAN OBSERVED PRECIPITATION IMAGES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=PRECIPMAPS

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
710 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     HAIL             LAKE VILLAGE            33.32N 91.28W
03/28/2014  E1.00 INCH       CHICOT             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

JCULIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
720 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0639 PM     HAIL             1 S MONTROSE            33.28N 91.50W
03/28/2014  E1.00 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   PUBLIC

&&

EC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
739 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0737 PM     HAIL             5 S GREENVILLE          33.31N 91.05W
03/28/2014  E1.75 INCH       WASHINGTON         MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED AT MS HIGHWAY 1 AND MS HIGHWAY 454

&&

DL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
751 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     TSTM WND GST     7 ESE LAKE VILLAGE      33.27N 91.18W
03/28/2014  E70.00 MPH       CHICOT             AR   STORM CHASER

            STORM CHASER REPORTED 60-70 MPH INFLOW WINDS WITH A
            RAIN-WRAPPED FUNNEL CLOUD TO THE EAST

0735 PM     HAIL             3 E GREENVILLE          33.39N 91.01W
03/28/2014  E0.88 INCH       WASHINGTON         MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            AT REED ROAD AND RACEWAY ROAD

&&

DL

LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ047-053-059>061-290145-
ADAMS MS-WARREN MS-JEFFERSON MS-FRANKLIN MS-CLAIBORNE MS-TENSAS LA-
RICHLAND LA-FRANKLIN LA-CONCORDIA LA-CATAHOULA LA-MADISON LA-
824 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
824 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY TO AFFECT
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI LATER THIS EVENING...

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS MOVING ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST LOUISISANA AT 820 PM. RADAR INDICATED THAT VERY
HIGH WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS. IT IS EXPECTED
THIS LINE WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AS IT MOVES EAST AND AFFECT
NORTHEAST LOUIAIANA AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI ALONG AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN 10 PM AND MIDNIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH COULD
POTENTIALLY BE WIDESPREAD...LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

PEOPLE IN CLAIBORNE...FRANKLIN...JEFFERSON...WARREN AND ADAMS
COUNTIES...AND MADISON...CATAHOULA...CONCORDIA...FRANKLIN...RICHLAND
AND TENSAS PARISHES SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3131 9201 3194 9199 3193 9191 3208 9193
      3210 9188 3216 9190 3217 9197 3248 9194
      3239 9091 3133 9105 3132 9113 3137 9124
      3131 9146 3126 9148 3121 9176 3129 9193
      3123 9191 3122 9198 3128 9203
TIME...MOT...LOC 0117Z 261DEG 46KT 3172 9357 3155 9345
          3127 9348 3104 9357 3079 9383

AEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
850 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 WSW GALION            32.84N 91.81W
03/28/2014                   MOREHOUSE          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN NEAR COOPER LAKE ROAD AND
            YELDELL ROAD.

&&

JCULIN