Severe Thunderstorm Warning 180, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
354 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

...SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO
THE EVENING...

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...

RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER FOR THIS EVENING IS ON TRACK...BUT BY THIS
EVENING THE RISK WILL BE CONFINED TO AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY AS A COOL FRONT BEGINS CROSSING THE REGION
FROM THE NW. WILL NOT BE MAKING ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE
EXPECTED IMPACTS THIS EVENING...WITH A STRONG TORNADO REMAINING
POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FA. LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FURTHER
NORTH AND EAST TOWARD THE NATCHEZ TRACE AND WILL KEEP THESE RISKS
HIGHLIGHTED IN THE HWO/GRAPHICS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ACROSS
EASTERN/SOUTHEASTERN MS WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE AND WILL KEEP
FLASH FLOOD WATCH INTACT AS IS.

GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW THE MAIN LINE OF ACTIVITY PUSHING OUT OF
THE FA BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT WITH THE COOL/DRY AIR ASSOCIATED
WITH THE COOL FRONT FILTERING ACROSS THE FA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE NIGHT. TOMORROW LOOKS TO BE A PLEASANT DAY...WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES ONLY REACHING THE UPPER 60S ACROSS NW ZONES TO THE
UPPER 70S FURTHER SOUTHEAST. THE CUT-OFF UPPER CYCLONE OVER THE
UPPER MS VALLEY WILL NOT MAKE MUCH HEADWAY UNTIL THU WHEN IT WILL
FINALLY EJECT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. WITH DRY SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH THE CHANCE FOR RAIN
REMAINS MINIMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...DESPITE A DIGGING S/WV
TROF ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL
BELOW NORMAL ON THU BEFORE A WARMING TREND COMMENCES FRI. /BK/

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...

BY THE WEEKEND...MORE RIDGING WILL DEVELOP WITH A STEADY MOISTENING
WITH TIME AS SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS. TEMPS WILL TREND WARMER WITH
SAT COMING IN NEAR NORMAL AND THE SUN-TUE PERIOD BEING ABV AVG. AN
OVERALL DRY AIRMASS WILL KEEP PRECIP CHANCES IN CHECK WITH NO PRECIP
CHANCES FOR THE MED RANGE. /CME/

&&

.AVIATION...+TSRA AFFECTING KHBG PERIODICALLY THIS AFTN BRINGING
BRIEF IFR CONDS DUE TO VIS RESTRICTIONS. CONDS SHOULD IMPROVE OVER
NEXT COUPLE HOURS BUT MORE TSRA XPCTD FOR THIS SITE ALONG WITH VCTS
FOR KMEI/KGTR/JAN/HKS THROUGH EARLY TO LATE AFTN FARTHER EAST. TSRA
COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE AT TIMES WITH TURBULENCE, HAIL, AND STRONG
WINDS INVOF STORMS. STORM TOPS WILL REACH UPWARDS OF 50 KFT. STORMS
WILL MOVE EAST OF ALL SITES BY LATE TONIGHT AS COOL FRONT MOVES
THROUGH. NW WINDS OF 5-10 KT WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT WITH VFR CONDS
PREVAILING. /ALLEN/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       52  71  44  69 /  28   7   0   0
MERIDIAN      56  74  44  70 /  68  13   0   0
VICKSBURG     49  70  42  70 /  14   4   0   0
HATTIESBURG   60  77  48  71 /  66  13   0   0
NATCHEZ       51  70  43  69 /  17   4   0   0
GREENVILLE    48  67  43  69 /  11   4   0   0
GREENWOOD     48  68  42  67 /  16   4   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MSZ030-031-033-
     038-039-045-046-051-052-057-058-065-066-072>074.

LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

BK/ALLEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
531 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>028-034>036-
040>042-047-053-060-302245-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-
HOLMES-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-WARREN-CLAIBORNE-ADAMS-
531 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWESTERN
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT MONDAY.

MSZ029-030-032-037-043-048-059-061-302245-
WEBSTER-CLAY-CHOCTAW-ATTALA-MADISON MS-HINDS-JEFFERSON-
FRANKLIN MS-
531 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING

FLOODING
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS A TORNADO THROUGH
EARLY THIS EVENING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=5
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=6)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NEEDED THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

MSZ031-033-038-039-044>046-049-050-054-062-302245-
LOWNDES-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-RANKIN-
SCOTT-COPIAH-LINCOLN-
531 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...THROUGH MID EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...THROUGH MID EVENING

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...THROUGH MID EVENING

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS...FLOODING RAINFALL...AND TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE THROUGH MID EVENING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=5
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=6)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NEEDED THROUGH MID EVENING.

MSZ051-052-055>058-063>066-072>074-302245-
NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
531 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...HIGH
TIMING...THROUGH THE EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...HIGH
TIMING...THROUGH THE EVENING

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...THROUGH THE EVENING

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS...FLOODING RAINFALL...AND
PERHAPS A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=5
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=6)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
HIGH...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
HIGH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH
 OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
HIGH...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.JACKSONMS.GOV
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER RFC HOME PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LMRFC/
NWS SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/NATIONALFLOODOUTLOOK/INDEX.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESS_RAIN.SHTML
WPC EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFERD.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 7 QPF...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML
WPC QPF DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFHSD.HTML
NWS JAN OBSERVED PRECIPITATION IMAGES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=PRECIPMAPS

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

MSZ038-039-045-046-292250-
WINSTON MS-NOXUBEE MS-NESHOBA MS-KEMPER MS-
448 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
448 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF BLUFF SPRINGS AT 448
PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

PEOPLE IN NORTHERN KEMPER...EXTREME EASTERN NESHOBA...SOUTHERN
NOXUBEE AND SOUTHEASTERN WINSTON COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3285 8835 3260 8893 3297 8893 3320 8831
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 244DEG 26KT 3281 8893

MME

MSZ044-045-051-292250-
NEWTON MS-NESHOBA MS-LEAKE MS-
450 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
450 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER MADDEN AT 450 PM CDT...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHEASTERN LEAKE...NESHOBA AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN
NEWTON COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3257 8932 3257 8935 3270 8955 3293 8903
      3292 8892 3265 8891
TIME...MOT...LOC 2150Z 244DEG 26KT 3267 8933

MME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
500 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0459 PM     HAIL             4 NNE EAST LINCOLN      31.55N 90.27W
04/29/2014  E1.00 INCH       LINCOLN            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            OCCURRING ON US 84 AT THE FAIR RIVER COMMUNITY

&&

DL

MSZ061-062-292305-
LINCOLN MS-FRANKLIN MS-
523 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
523 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CENTER POINT AT
523 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN AND CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3135 9084 3166 9044 3149 9027 3134 9050
      3134 9084
TIME...MOT...LOC 2223Z 230DEG 32KT 3136 9066

MME

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>