Alert archive / South Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

January 11, 20148 counties in South Carolina; 4 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 11, 2014, 9:51 AM EST for 8 counties in South Carolina; 4 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 54 min. 16 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 11, 2014, 9:51 AM EST (14:51 UTC)
Expired
Jan 11, 2014, 10:45 AM EST
In force
54 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Cleveland County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Abbeville County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Greenville County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Union County, SC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 7 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 11, 9:55 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG3 Nw Fork Shoals, SCTREES DOWN ON ALVERSON ROAD NEAR OAK LAWN RD
Jan 11, 9:56 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG2 E Antreville, SCTREE DOWN ON BELL RD NEAR HWY 184
Jan 11, 10:12 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG1 Wnw Due West, SCTREE DOWN ON WINONA CHURCH RD NEAR HWY 20
Jan 11, 10:12 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG2 Nw Due West, SCTREE DOWN ON WILLIE KAY RD NEAR HWY 185/20
Jan 11, 10:12 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG5 Ne Woodruff, SCTREE DOWN ON PRICE HOUSE RD NEAR HOBBYVILLE RD
Jan 11, 10:12 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG2 Ne Hickory Tavern, SCTREE DOWN ON GREEN POND RD NEAR RABUN CH RD
Jan 11, 10:13 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG3 Wsw Fountain Inn, SCPOWER LINES DOWN NEAR INTERSECTION OF NEW HARRISON BRIDGE RD AND FAIRVIEW RD.
Jan 11, 10:14 AM ESTTSTM WND DMGRutherfordton, NCTREE DONW ON EAST 2ND ST.
Jan 11, 10:15 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG4 Nw Spartanburg, SCTREE DOWN HOWARD STREET AND ASHEVILLE HWY
Jan 11, 10:16 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG4 E Enoree, SCTREE DOWN 775 BROWNING RD
Jan 11, 10:18 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG3 Wsw Sunshine, NCTREE DOWN ON WHITESIDE RD NEAR PEA RIDGE RD
Jan 11, 10:23 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG2 Sw Enoree, SCTREE DOWN ON HWY 221
Jan 11, 10:29 AM ESTTSTM WND DMGHodges, SCPOWER LINE DOWN NEAR HWY 185
Jan 11, 10:40 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG6 Wnw Union, SCTREE DOWN ON POWER LINE.
Jan 11, 10:42 AM ESTTSTM WND DMGUnion, SCMULITPLE TREES DOWN ACROSS COUNTY.
Jan 11, 10:44 AM ESTTSTM WND DMGClinton, SCTREE DOWN ON HOLMES BRIDGE RD NEAR MILAM RD

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 14 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 4 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 11, 9:30 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 245 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-01-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 35 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-01-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 361 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
35 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-173 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
419 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
361 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
406 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

974 
WUUS52 KGSP 111451
SVRGSP
NCC045-089-149-161-SCC001-007-021-045-047-059-083-087-111545-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0004.140111T1451Z-140111T1545Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
951 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN CLEVELAND COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  EASTERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  POLK COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  RUTHERFORD COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHERN ABBEVILLE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  EASTERN ANDERSON COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  CHEROKEE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  GREENVILLE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHWESTERN GREENWOOD COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  LAURENS COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  SPARTANBURG COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  UNION COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 1045 AM EST

* AT 950 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
  EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
  FROM CHIMNEY ROCK TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BROADWAY LAKE...AND
  MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON...SPARTANBURG...LAURENS...GAFFNEY...
  SHELBY...UNION...LAKE ADGER...HAYWOOD MALL...TRYON...TAYLORS...
  SHOPS AT GREENRIDGE...HONEA PATH...MAULDIN...DUE WEST...LANDRUM...
  PELHAM ROAD AT I-85...GREER...GSP AIRPORT AND SIMPSONVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRIEF...WEAK
TORNADOES. SEEK SHELTER IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
HOUSE OR OFFICE BUILDING.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3480 8253 3483 8248 3490 8250 3548 8232
      3546 8225 3549 8223 3555 8151 3449 8157
      3452 8164 3436 8178 3431 8187 3421 8271
TIME...MOT...LOC 1451Z 268DEG 51KT 3540 8222 3440 8248

$$
JOH
1 follow-up statement
105 
WWUS52 KGSP 111515
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1015 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

NCC089-149-SCC007-045-111524-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140111T1545Z/
HENDERSON NC-ANDERSON SC-POLK NC-GREENVILLE SC-
1015 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR GREENVILLE...POLK...EASTERN
ANDERSON AND EASTERN HENDERSON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THIS 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3421 8271 3454 8224 3519 8200 3519 8197
      3551 8202 3555 8151 3449 8157 3452 8164
      3436 8178 3431 8187
TIME...MOT...LOC 1514Z 263DEG 49KT 3542 8186 3441 8219

$$

NCC045-161-SCC001-021-047-059-083-087-111545-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140111T1545Z/
CLEVELAND NC-ABBEVILLE SC-CHEROKEE SC-GREENWOOD SC-LAURENS SC-
SPARTANBURG SC-UNION SC-RUTHERFORD NC-
1015 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
CLEVELAND COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND EASTERN
RUTHERFORD COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...AND WESTERN UNION...
SPARTANBURG...LAURENS...NORTHWESTERN GREENWOOD...CHEROKEE AND
NORTHERN ABBEVILLE COUNTIES IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA UNTIL 1045 AM
EST...

AT 1012 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM SPINDALE TO WARE SHOALS...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SPARTANBURG...LAURENS...GAFFNEY...SHELBY...UNION...BOSTIC...
  WOODRUFF...ROEBUCK...CHESNEE...MAYO...ELLENBORO...COWPENS NATIONAL
  BATTLEFIELD...CEDAR SPRINGS...ENOREE...CLIFFSIDE...COWPENS...CROSS
  HILL...POLKVILLE...CASAR AND BOILING SPRINGS NC.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRIEF...WEAK
TORNADOES. SEEK SHELTER IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
HOUSE OR OFFICE BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3421 8271 3454 8224 3519 8200 3519 8197
      3551 8202 3555 8151 3449 8157 3452 8164
      3436 8178 3431 8187
TIME...MOT...LOC 1514Z 263DEG 49KT 3542 8186 3441 8219

$$
08

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 11, 6:54 AM EST, 2 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 11, 6:54 AM EST, 2 hours 57 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
654 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS OUR REGION FROM THE WEST TODAY AND BE WELL
OFF THE CAROLINA COAST BY SUNDAY MORNING.  DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE
IN CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER SUNDAY AND EARLY MONDAY.  SHOWERS WILL
RETURN MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT
PASSES THROUGH.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 630 AM EST...THE LEAD AREA OF CONVECTION MOVING NWD OVER THE
SHALLOWING CAD LAYER HAS PRODUCED LOCAL ONE HALF TO THREE QUARTER
INCH PER HOUR RAINFALL RATES...AND ASSOCIATED MINOR FLOODING. THIS
REGION OF HEAVIER PRECIP WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NE OVER THE NC
PIEDMONT THROUGH 8 AM. MEANWHILE...RADARS TO THE WEST ARE SHOWING
LINES OF HEAVY PRECIP AHEAD OF THE SFC FRONT MOVING RAPIDLY EWD
THROUGH TN. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE HEAVY RAINFALL TO REFOCUS A BIT
BACK OVER THE SW MTNS IN UPSLOPE FLOW AND IMPROVING UPPER SUPPORT.
MEANWHILE...THE 850 MB JET HAS INCREASED TO 50 TO 60 KT AND AS
INDICATED ON VAD WIND PROFILES. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL THUS CONTINUE
OVER THE RIDGE TOPS THIS MORNING...WITH THE BEST SHEAR PROFILES
WORKING EAST THROUGH THE DAY. AS THE SHALLOW COLD WEDGE LAYER EAST
OF THE MTNS GETS PINCHED AND ERODES IN INCREASING SOUTHERLY BL
FLOW...ENOUGH OVERLAP OF SHEAR AND CAPE IN SRN/ERN SECTIONS WILL
OCCUR TO SUPPORT AN ISOLD SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. THIS IS MENTIONED
IN THE HWO IN LINE WITH THE SPC SLIGHT RISK AREA. SHERB VALUES
CONTINUE TO SHOW 1+ ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 77 BY 18Z.

THE COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE EAST OF THE AREA 21Z TO 00Z JUST AS THE
DEEPER DPVA WITH THE UPPER WAVE SWINGS THROUGH ALONG WITH DRYING.
LAPSE RATES UNDER THE PASSING TROUGH ARE QUITE STEEP TONIGHT...BUT
PROFILES APPEAR TOO DRY FOR PRECIPITATION IN THE COLD ADVECTION
EXCEPT IN THE NC MOUNTAINS WHERE BRIEF NW FLOW MOISTURE WILL OCCUR.
ACCUMULATIONS LESS THAN AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE HIGHER
TERRAIN IN THE COLD ADVECTION TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT 230 AM EST SATURDAY...MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH REGARD
TO OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN AS THE SHORT TERM PERIOD INITIALIZES
SUNDAY MORNING.  DEEP UPPER TROF MOVING THROUGH THE REGION TODAY
WILL BE PUSHING OFFSHORE ALLOWING FOR HEIGHTS TO RISE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST.  DEEP LAYER RIDGING WILL STRENGTHEN AND SHIFT EASTWARD
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY ALLOWING
FOR SUNNY SKIES TO PREVAIL.  WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH
THE DAY AS THE SURFACE RIDGE MIGRATES EASTWARD WHICH WILL SETUP WARM
RETURN FLOW FROM THE EASTERN GULF.  TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WILL BE GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR BOTH DAYTIME HIGHS AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS MONDAY MORNING.

MEANWHILE...ANOTHER UPPER LONGWAVE TROF WILL BE DIGGING OUT ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WHILE WARM ADVECTION RAMPS UP ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY.  A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS MONDAY NIGHT WITH SHOWERS SPREADING ACROSS
THE AREA.  IN RESPONSE...POPS WILL INCREASE TO LIKELY LEVELS LATE IN
THE DAY MONDAY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS OF TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE
DECREASING THROUGH LATE MORNING HOURS AS THE BOUNDARY PUSHES EAST.
BACK TO THE WEST ALONG THE HIGH TERRAIN...A FEW SNOW SHOWERS COULD
INITIATE AMONGST WEAK WESTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
POOLS ALONG THE WESTWARD FACING SLOPES.  THEREFORE KEPT PREVIOUS
FORECAST MENTION OF CHANCES FOR SNOW SHOWERS WITH ACCUMULATIONS
REMAINING GENERALLY LESS THAN AN INCH ALONG THE HIGHER RIDGE TOPS.
CONFIDENCE IN THIS BRIEF UPSLOPE EVENT IS NOT ENTIRELY HIGH AS
MODELS SEEMS TO BE IN DISAGREEMENT WITH REGARDS TO THERMAL
PROFILES.  NAM/GFS HAVE COOLER SOLUTIONS WHILE THE ECMWF IS THE
WARMER OF THE THREE...THEREFORE LIMITED POPS TO LOW END CHANCE
LEVELS.  TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL NOT SUFFER IN THE WAKE OF THE
WEAK FROPA AS NEAR NORMAL HIGHS WILL PREVAIL.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 215 AM SAT...THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE DIFFERENCES IN
TIMING OF SYSTEMS. AT 00Z WED...THEY ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
BUT THEN DIFFER QUITE A LOT LATER IN THE WEEK. A STRONG SHORTWAVE
WILL DROP DOWN FROM THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS TUESDAY EVENING
REACHING THE NC MTNS BY 06Z WED. THICKNESSES PLUG RAPIDLY LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT WITH THE AXIS OF THE TROUGH REACHING OUR AREA WED
MORNING. PRESSURE GRADIENT GREATEST IN THE 12Z TO 18Z TIME WHICH
WILL LEAD TO THE GREATER WIND SPEEDS. LOW LEVEL WIND WILL BE
WESTERLY AT 00Z AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE AND THEN SWITCH TO NW AT
SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25KTS AT 850MB THROUGH WED MORNING. CONTINUED NW
INTO WED EVENING BUT 10 TO 20KT WIND AT 850MB. THE STRENGTH OF THE
SHORTWAVE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SOME LIGHT PRECIP MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS
THE NC FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT...BUT WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO
DOWNSLOPE. SNOW RATES ARE GREATEST WED MORNING AND THEN TAPER OFF
AND END WED EVENING.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST WED NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. THERE IS ANOTHER STRONG SHORTWAVE REACHING OUR REGION ON
FRIDAY BUT MOISTURE SEEMS QUITE LIMITED. THE GFS IS MUCH MORE
PROGRESSIVE WITH THIS SHORTWAVE AS IT REACHES THE NC MTNS 12Z FRIDAY
WITH AXIS OVER OUR AREA AT 18Z FRIDAY THEN MOVING IT OFF THE EAST
COAST FRIDAY EVENING. THE ECMWF HAS IT REACHING THE NC MTNS AT 18Z
FRIDAY WITH AXIS OF TROUGH GETTING TO US AT 18Z SATURDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE MEDIUM
RANGE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT KCLT...LLWS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AS A STOUT 50
TO 60 KT 850 MB JET MOVES IN ATOP A SHALLOWING COLD WEDGE BOUNDARY
LAYER. WILL NEED TEMPO THUNDER FOR A COUPLE HOURS THIS
MORNING...THEN A RETURN TO CATEGORICAL THUNDER AFTER 17Z WITH THE
MAIN PRE/FRONTAL BAND. CONDITIONS MAY VARY AT TIMES...BUT EXPECT
MOSTLY IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS UNTIL FROPA. SRLY WINDS WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY GUSTY THROUGH 21Z AND THEN SHIFT SHARPLY WEST THEN NW
WITH FROPA.

ELSEWHERE...TEMPO MORNING TSTMS WILL GIVE WAY TO BRIEFLY WEAKER
SHOWERS AND THEN ANOTHER ROUND OF FRONTAL TSTMS THROUGH MIDDAY.
EXPECT MAINLY LIFR TO IFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT. WILL CONTINUE THE
LLWS MENTION THROUGH THE MORNING AT MOST SITES GIVEN THE STOUT SRLY
JET JUST ABOVE THE COOL STABLE SFC LAYER. SRLY FLOW WILL INCREASE
UNTIL FROPA 17Z TO 20Z...WITH A SHARP SHIFT TO W THEN NW THIS AFTN.
EXPECT CLEARING EAST OF THE MTNS THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH LINGERING NW
FLOW MOISTURE FLIRTING WITH KAVL.

OUTLOOK...DRY HIGH PRES WILL RETURN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. SWIFTLY
MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS MAY THEN BRING UNSETTLED CONDITIONS BACK
INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST TUE INTO WED.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            12-18Z        18-24Z        00-06Z        06-12Z
KCLT       HIGH  83%     MED   78%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH  89%     HIGH  90%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       MED   64%     HIGH  90%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH  86%     MED   76%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH  89%     HIGH  91%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH  90%     HIGH  92%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NCZ051-052-058-
     059-062-063.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...HG
SHORT TERM...CDG
LONG TERM...DEO
AVIATION...HG
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 11, 9:50 AM EST, 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
950 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

NCZ033-035>037-048>050-056-057-501>506-121500-
AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CATAWBA-ROWAN-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
950 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THE REGION THIS MORNING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS AS A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL
GENERALLY BE AROUND AN INCH OR LESS WITH HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
IF TRAINING OF SHOWERS OCCURS. ADDITIONALLY...A LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS MAY AFFECT THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT DURING THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...POTENTIALLY BRINGING DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ029-NCZ068>072-082-507>510-SCZ003-006>014-019-121500-
ELBERT-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
950 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 2 IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-121500-
SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
950 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING ABOVE
3500 FEET...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

IN ADDITION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS A COLD FRONT
PASSES THROUGH. SOME OF THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE
HEAVY AT TIMES WITH HEAVY RAINFALL BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT. IF
TRAINING OF PRECIPITATION CONTINUES THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS THESE
AREAS...SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS COULD EXCEED THEIR BANKS
RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ053-064-065-121500-
BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
950 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS A COLD FRONT PASSES
THROUGH. SOME OF THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE HEAVY AT
TIMES WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY
THREATS. IF TRAINING OF PRECIPITATION CONTINUES THROUGH THE DAY
ACROSS THESE AREAS...SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS COULD EXCEED THEIR BANKS
RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 11, 8:46 AM EST, 1 hour 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
846 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     HAIL             CLARKESVILLE            34.61N 83.52W
01/11/2014  E0.25 INCH       HABERSHAM          GA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            COUNTY COMMS CENTER REPORT.

&&

07
Local storm report, Jan 11, 8:49 AM EST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
849 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 WSW FOUNTAIN INN      34.68N 82.25W
01/11/2014                   GREENVILLE         SC   PUBLIC

            FARMWOOD DRIVE FLOODED BY PAYNE BRANCH CUTTING OFF THREE
            HOUSES.

&&

07
Local storm report, Jan 11, 9:24 AM EST, 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
924 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0842 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SW CORNELIA           34.49N 83.55W
01/11/2014                   HABERSHAM          GA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREE DOWN ON DUNCAN BRIDGE ROAD IN BALDWIN

0842 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NE CORNELIA           34.53N 83.50W
01/11/2014                   HABERSHAM          GA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREE DOWN ON YORK DRIVE IN CORNELIA

&&

07
Local storm report, Jan 11, 9:35 AM EST, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
935 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0904 AM     TSTM WND DMG     8 NNE TOCCOA            34.67N 83.25W
01/11/2014                   OCONEE             SC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREE DOWN ON UNITY CHURCH RD AND TROUT FARM ROAD

0915 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE SENECA             34.69N 82.95W
01/11/2014                   OCONEE             SC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            POWER LINE DOWN

&&

07
Local storm report, Jan 11, 9:41 AM EST, 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
941 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0929 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NNE WILLIAMSTON       34.64N 82.47W
01/11/2014                   ANDERSON           SC   911 CALL CENTER

            GREENVILLE DRIVE FLOODED AND CLOSED NEAR SMALL CREEK

&&

PTANNER
Local storm report, Jan 11, 9:48 AM EST, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
948 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SW TOCCOA             34.57N 83.34W
01/11/2014                   STEPHENS           GA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            POWER LINES DOWN ON WEST CURRAHEE STREET

0859 AM     TSTM WND DMG     6 SE TOCCOA             34.52N 83.25W
01/11/2014                   STEPHENS           GA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREE DONW ON DORTCH ROAD IN EASTANOLLE

&&

07

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 11, 5:07 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPAnderson3 hr
Jan 11, 5:37 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPGreenville113 min
Jan 11, 6:50 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPSpartanburg2 hr
Jan 11, 8:24 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPOconee66 min
Jan 11, 8:55 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAnderson, Oconee, Pickens65 min
Jan 11, 9:19 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAnderson, Greenville, Oconee, Pickens56 min
Jan 11, 9:21 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPAbbeville, Anderson, Greenville, Laurens, Oconee, Pickens and 1 more6 hr
Jan 11, 9:43 AM ESTTornado WarningGSPAbbeville, Anderson, Greenville, Laurens47 min
Jan 11, 10:15 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPYork6 hr
Jan 11, 10:24 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCherokee, Chester, Laurens, Spartanburg, Union, York66 min
Jan 11, 10:54 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGreenwood36 min
Jan 11, 11:13 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPChester, York62 min
Jan 11, 3:33 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPAnderson, Greenville, Laurens, Oconee, Pickens, Spartanburg6 hr
Jan 11, 8:22 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg, Rowan, Union2 hr
Jan 11, 10:41 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln49 min
Jan 11, 12:09 PM ESTTornado WarningGSPCabarrus21 min
Jan 11, 1:20 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGSPGaston12 hr
Jan 11, 1:40 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningGSPGaston23 hr
Jan 11, 2:29 PM ESTWind AdvisoryGSPAvery, Burke, Caldwell, McDowell, Mitchell, Yancey19 hr
Jan 11, 3:58 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Carolina, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2014Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.