Alert archive / Georgia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

January 11, 20145 counties in Georgia; Anderson County, Oconee County, Pickens County, South Carolina; Transylvania County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 11, 2014, 8:55 AM EST for 5 counties in Georgia; Anderson County, Oconee County, Pickens County, South Carolina; Transylvania County, North Carolina. It was in force for 65 min. 10 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 11, 2014, 8:55 AM EST (13:55 UTC)
Expired
Jan 11, 2014, 10:00 AM EST
In force
65 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Elbert County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Hart County, GA, Rabun County, GA, Stephens County, GA, Transylvania County, NC, Anderson County, SC, Oconee County, SC, Pickens County, SC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 11, 8:55 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG1 Ene Uvena, GAONE TREE DOWN AT DEMASCUS ROAD AND PROSPECT ROAD.
Jan 11, 8:55 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG1 Sw Toccoa, GAPOWER LINES DOWN ON WEST CURRAHEE STREET
Jan 11, 8:59 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG6 Se Toccoa, GATREE DONW ON DORTCH ROAD IN EASTANOLLE
Jan 11, 9:04 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG8 Nne Toccoa, SCTREE DOWN ON UNITY CHURCH RD AND TROUT FARM ROAD
Jan 11, 9:06 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG6 Sw Carnesville, GATREE DOWN ON HWY 326 NEAR ROCK PILLOW RD
Jan 11, 9:10 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG8 Ssw Carnesville, GATREE DOWN ON CARREYTOWN RD NEAR HWY 106
Jan 11, 9:15 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG1 Ne Seneca, SCPOWER LINE DOWN
Jan 11, 9:17 AM ESTTSTM WND DMGHartwell, GAMULTIPLE TREES DOWN ACROSS COUNTY. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
Jan 11, 9:20 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG6 N Six Mile, SC35 FT SECTION OF TREE 8 IN DIAM DOWN ON CABIN
Jan 11, 9:20 AM ESTTSTM WND DMG6 N Six Mile, SCLARGE TREE DOWN ON NEWTON ROAD

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 9 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 0 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 173 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2014-01-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 214 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2014-01-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 452 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
214 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
471 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
452 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
501 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

552 
WUUS52 KGSP 111355
SVRGSP
GAC105-119-147-241-257-NCC175-SCC007-073-077-111500-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0002.140111T1355Z-140111T1500Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
855 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN ELBERT COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...
  FRANKLIN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...
  HART COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...
  NORTHEASTERN RABUN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...
  STEPHENS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  WEST CENTRAL ANDERSON COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  OCONEE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  WESTERN PICKENS COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 1000 AM EST

* AT 851 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
  EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
  FROM 6 MILES EAST OF MOUNTAIN CITY TO MAYSVILLE...AND MOVING EAST
  AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  TOCCOA...CARNESVILLE...WALHALLA...HARTWELL...CLEMSON...LONG
  CREEK...PINE MOUNTAIN...MOUNTAIN REST...EASTANOLEE...MARTIN...
  WESTMINSTER...LAKE HARTWELL...SALEM...LAKE JOCASSEE...WHITWORTH...
  LAVONIA...ROYSTON...LAKE KEOWEE...VANNA AND CANON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 8308 3426 8313 3423 8317 3426 8331
      3422 8335 3426 8334 3432 8340 3442 8339
      3448 8344 3498 8323 3503 8301 3504 8304
      3512 8281 3419 8278 3416 8310
TIME...MOT...LOC 1355Z 249DEG 54KT 3492 8322 3425 8348

$$
JOH
2 follow-up statements
792 
WWUS52 KGSP 111429
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
929 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

GAC241-257-111439-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140111T1500Z/
STEPHENS GA-RABUN GA-
929 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN RABUN AND STEPHENS
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THIS 
AREA

LAT...LON 3423 8308 3426 8313 3423 8317 3426 8331
      3424 8334 3435 8332 3454 8311 3504 8302
      3504 8304 3512 8281 3419 8278 3416 8310
TIME...MOT...LOC 1429Z 249DEG 54KT 3510 8264 3443 8290

$$

GAC105-119-147-NCC175-SCC007-073-077-111500-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140111T1500Z/
ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-HART GA-TRANSYLVANIA NC-ANDERSON SC-OCONEE SC-
PICKENS SC-
929 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
PICKENS...EASTERN OCONEE...WEST CENTRAL ANDERSON...SOUTHWESTERN
TRANSYLVANIA...HART...FRANKLIN AND NORTHWESTERN ELBERT COUNTIES UNTIL
1000 AM EST...

AT 925 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM TABLE ROCK STATE PARK TO REED CREEK...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SADLERS CREEK STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN SCATTERED TREES AND POWER
LINES. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 8308 3426 8313 3423 8317 3426 8331
      3424 8334 3435 8332 3454 8311 3504 8302
      3504 8304 3512 8281 3419 8278 3416 8310
TIME...MOT...LOC 1429Z 249DEG 54KT 3510 8264 3443 8290

$$
JOH
096 
WWUS52 KGSP 111440
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
940 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

GAC105-119-147-NCC175-SCC007-073-077-111450-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140111T1500Z/
ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-HART GA-TRANSYLVANIA NC-ANDERSON SC-OCONEE SC-
PICKENS SC-
940 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN PICKENS...EASTERN
OCONEE...WEST CENTRAL ANDERSON...SOUTHWESTERN TRANSYLVANIA...HART...
FRANKLIN AND NORTHWESTERN ELBERT COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THIS
AREA.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 3423 8308 3426 8313 3423 8317 3426 8331
      3424 8334 3435 8332 3454 8311 3504 8302
      3504 8304 3512 8281 3419 8278 3416 8310
TIME...MOT...LOC 1440Z 249DEG 54KT 3516 8245 3449 8271

$$
JOH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 11, 6:54 AM EST, 2 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 11, 6:54 AM EST, 2 hours 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
654 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS OUR REGION FROM THE WEST TODAY AND BE WELL
OFF THE CAROLINA COAST BY SUNDAY MORNING.  DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE
IN CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER SUNDAY AND EARLY MONDAY.  SHOWERS WILL
RETURN MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT
PASSES THROUGH.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 630 AM EST...THE LEAD AREA OF CONVECTION MOVING NWD OVER THE
SHALLOWING CAD LAYER HAS PRODUCED LOCAL ONE HALF TO THREE QUARTER
INCH PER HOUR RAINFALL RATES...AND ASSOCIATED MINOR FLOODING. THIS
REGION OF HEAVIER PRECIP WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NE OVER THE NC
PIEDMONT THROUGH 8 AM. MEANWHILE...RADARS TO THE WEST ARE SHOWING
LINES OF HEAVY PRECIP AHEAD OF THE SFC FRONT MOVING RAPIDLY EWD
THROUGH TN. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE HEAVY RAINFALL TO REFOCUS A BIT
BACK OVER THE SW MTNS IN UPSLOPE FLOW AND IMPROVING UPPER SUPPORT.
MEANWHILE...THE 850 MB JET HAS INCREASED TO 50 TO 60 KT AND AS
INDICATED ON VAD WIND PROFILES. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL THUS CONTINUE
OVER THE RIDGE TOPS THIS MORNING...WITH THE BEST SHEAR PROFILES
WORKING EAST THROUGH THE DAY. AS THE SHALLOW COLD WEDGE LAYER EAST
OF THE MTNS GETS PINCHED AND ERODES IN INCREASING SOUTHERLY BL
FLOW...ENOUGH OVERLAP OF SHEAR AND CAPE IN SRN/ERN SECTIONS WILL
OCCUR TO SUPPORT AN ISOLD SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. THIS IS MENTIONED
IN THE HWO IN LINE WITH THE SPC SLIGHT RISK AREA. SHERB VALUES
CONTINUE TO SHOW 1+ ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 77 BY 18Z.

THE COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE EAST OF THE AREA 21Z TO 00Z JUST AS THE
DEEPER DPVA WITH THE UPPER WAVE SWINGS THROUGH ALONG WITH DRYING.
LAPSE RATES UNDER THE PASSING TROUGH ARE QUITE STEEP TONIGHT...BUT
PROFILES APPEAR TOO DRY FOR PRECIPITATION IN THE COLD ADVECTION
EXCEPT IN THE NC MOUNTAINS WHERE BRIEF NW FLOW MOISTURE WILL OCCUR.
ACCUMULATIONS LESS THAN AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE HIGHER
TERRAIN IN THE COLD ADVECTION TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT 230 AM EST SATURDAY...MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH REGARD
TO OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN AS THE SHORT TERM PERIOD INITIALIZES
SUNDAY MORNING.  DEEP UPPER TROF MOVING THROUGH THE REGION TODAY
WILL BE PUSHING OFFSHORE ALLOWING FOR HEIGHTS TO RISE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST.  DEEP LAYER RIDGING WILL STRENGTHEN AND SHIFT EASTWARD
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY ALLOWING
FOR SUNNY SKIES TO PREVAIL.  WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH
THE DAY AS THE SURFACE RIDGE MIGRATES EASTWARD WHICH WILL SETUP WARM
RETURN FLOW FROM THE EASTERN GULF.  TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WILL BE GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR BOTH DAYTIME HIGHS AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS MONDAY MORNING.

MEANWHILE...ANOTHER UPPER LONGWAVE TROF WILL BE DIGGING OUT ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WHILE WARM ADVECTION RAMPS UP ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY.  A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS MONDAY NIGHT WITH SHOWERS SPREADING ACROSS
THE AREA.  IN RESPONSE...POPS WILL INCREASE TO LIKELY LEVELS LATE IN
THE DAY MONDAY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS OF TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE
DECREASING THROUGH LATE MORNING HOURS AS THE BOUNDARY PUSHES EAST.
BACK TO THE WEST ALONG THE HIGH TERRAIN...A FEW SNOW SHOWERS COULD
INITIATE AMONGST WEAK WESTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
POOLS ALONG THE WESTWARD FACING SLOPES.  THEREFORE KEPT PREVIOUS
FORECAST MENTION OF CHANCES FOR SNOW SHOWERS WITH ACCUMULATIONS
REMAINING GENERALLY LESS THAN AN INCH ALONG THE HIGHER RIDGE TOPS.
CONFIDENCE IN THIS BRIEF UPSLOPE EVENT IS NOT ENTIRELY HIGH AS
MODELS SEEMS TO BE IN DISAGREEMENT WITH REGARDS TO THERMAL
PROFILES.  NAM/GFS HAVE COOLER SOLUTIONS WHILE THE ECMWF IS THE
WARMER OF THE THREE...THEREFORE LIMITED POPS TO LOW END CHANCE
LEVELS.  TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL NOT SUFFER IN THE WAKE OF THE
WEAK FROPA AS NEAR NORMAL HIGHS WILL PREVAIL.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 215 AM SAT...THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE DIFFERENCES IN
TIMING OF SYSTEMS. AT 00Z WED...THEY ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
BUT THEN DIFFER QUITE A LOT LATER IN THE WEEK. A STRONG SHORTWAVE
WILL DROP DOWN FROM THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS TUESDAY EVENING
REACHING THE NC MTNS BY 06Z WED. THICKNESSES PLUG RAPIDLY LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT WITH THE AXIS OF THE TROUGH REACHING OUR AREA WED
MORNING. PRESSURE GRADIENT GREATEST IN THE 12Z TO 18Z TIME WHICH
WILL LEAD TO THE GREATER WIND SPEEDS. LOW LEVEL WIND WILL BE
WESTERLY AT 00Z AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE AND THEN SWITCH TO NW AT
SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25KTS AT 850MB THROUGH WED MORNING. CONTINUED NW
INTO WED EVENING BUT 10 TO 20KT WIND AT 850MB. THE STRENGTH OF THE
SHORTWAVE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SOME LIGHT PRECIP MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS
THE NC FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT...BUT WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO
DOWNSLOPE. SNOW RATES ARE GREATEST WED MORNING AND THEN TAPER OFF
AND END WED EVENING.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST WED NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. THERE IS ANOTHER STRONG SHORTWAVE REACHING OUR REGION ON
FRIDAY BUT MOISTURE SEEMS QUITE LIMITED. THE GFS IS MUCH MORE
PROGRESSIVE WITH THIS SHORTWAVE AS IT REACHES THE NC MTNS 12Z FRIDAY
WITH AXIS OVER OUR AREA AT 18Z FRIDAY THEN MOVING IT OFF THE EAST
COAST FRIDAY EVENING. THE ECMWF HAS IT REACHING THE NC MTNS AT 18Z
FRIDAY WITH AXIS OF TROUGH GETTING TO US AT 18Z SATURDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE MEDIUM
RANGE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT KCLT...LLWS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AS A STOUT 50
TO 60 KT 850 MB JET MOVES IN ATOP A SHALLOWING COLD WEDGE BOUNDARY
LAYER. WILL NEED TEMPO THUNDER FOR A COUPLE HOURS THIS
MORNING...THEN A RETURN TO CATEGORICAL THUNDER AFTER 17Z WITH THE
MAIN PRE/FRONTAL BAND. CONDITIONS MAY VARY AT TIMES...BUT EXPECT
MOSTLY IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS UNTIL FROPA. SRLY WINDS WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY GUSTY THROUGH 21Z AND THEN SHIFT SHARPLY WEST THEN NW
WITH FROPA.

ELSEWHERE...TEMPO MORNING TSTMS WILL GIVE WAY TO BRIEFLY WEAKER
SHOWERS AND THEN ANOTHER ROUND OF FRONTAL TSTMS THROUGH MIDDAY.
EXPECT MAINLY LIFR TO IFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT. WILL CONTINUE THE
LLWS MENTION THROUGH THE MORNING AT MOST SITES GIVEN THE STOUT SRLY
JET JUST ABOVE THE COOL STABLE SFC LAYER. SRLY FLOW WILL INCREASE
UNTIL FROPA 17Z TO 20Z...WITH A SHARP SHIFT TO W THEN NW THIS AFTN.
EXPECT CLEARING EAST OF THE MTNS THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH LINGERING NW
FLOW MOISTURE FLIRTING WITH KAVL.

OUTLOOK...DRY HIGH PRES WILL RETURN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. SWIFTLY
MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS MAY THEN BRING UNSETTLED CONDITIONS BACK
INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST TUE INTO WED.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            12-18Z        18-24Z        00-06Z        06-12Z
KCLT       HIGH  83%     MED   78%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH  89%     HIGH  90%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       MED   64%     HIGH  90%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH  86%     MED   76%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH  89%     HIGH  91%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH  90%     HIGH  92%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NCZ051-052-058-
     059-062-063.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...HG
SHORT TERM...CDG
LONG TERM...DEO
AVIATION...HG
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 11, 3:40 AM EST, 5 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
340 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

GAZ017-018-NCZ033-035>037-048>050-056-057-068>070-501>510-SCZ004>008-
120845-
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-
MITCHELL-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-
GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-
340 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND PORTIONS OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THE REGION THIS MORNING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS AS A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL
GENERALLY BE AROUND AN INCH OR LESS WITH HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
IF TRAINING OF SHOWERS OCCURS. ADDITIONALLY...A FEW RUMBLES OF
THUNDER COULD BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NC PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ026-028-029-NCZ071-072-082-SCZ009>014-019-120845-
FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-YORK-ANDERSON-
ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
340 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION TODAY WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME
SEVERE LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS INCREASING
INSTABILITY COMBINES WITH SUBSTANTIAL SHEAR PROFILES. THE MAIN
THREATS WITH ANY OF THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ010-NCZ053-064-065-SCZ001>003-120845-
RABUN-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
340 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA
MOUNTAINS...SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
MOUNTAINS OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS A COLD FRONT PASSES
THROUGH. SOME OF THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE HEAVY AT
TIMES WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY
THREATS. IF TRAINING OF PRECIPITATION CONTINUES THROUGH THE DAY
ACROSS THESE AREAS...SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS COULD EXCEED THEIR BANKS
RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF FLASH
FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-120845-
SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
340 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING ABOVE
3500 FEET...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

IN ADDITION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS A COLD FRONT
PASSES THROUGH. SOME OF THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE
HEAVY AT TIMES WITH HEAVY RAINFALL BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT. IF
TRAINING OF PRECIPITATION CONTINUES THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS THESE
AREAS...SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS COULD EXCEED THEIR BANKS
RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF FLASH
FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

CDG

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 11, 5:59 AM EST, 2 hours 56 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
559 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

GAZ028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ005>014-019-111300-
HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-
LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTWELL...ELBERTON...STATESVILLE...
MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...SALISBURY...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...
GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...GREENVILLE...
SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
559 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AFFECTING THE PIEDMONT THIS MORNING...

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHING FROM NORTHEAST
GEORGIA TO THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA IS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. ISOLATED FLOODING
WILL BE POSSIBLE UNDER THE HEAVIEST DOWNPOURS THIS MORNING...AND THE
LIGHTNING MAY START FIRES OR CAUSE POWER OUTAGES.

HG
Local storm report, Jan 11, 6:10 AM EST, 2 hours 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
610 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0609 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E BELTON              34.52N  82.46W
01/11/2014                   ANDERSON           SC   NWS EMPLOYEE

            BLAKE DAIRY ROAD FLOODED BY SMALL STREAM

&&

CDG
Local storm report, Jan 11, 6:12 AM EST, 2 hours 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
612 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ANDERSON                34.52N  82.65W
01/11/2014                   ANDERSON           SC   NWS EMPLOYEE

            COX AND WITNER CREEK RUNNING OUT OF THEIR BANKS

&&

CDG
Local storm report, Jan 11, 7:31 AM EST, 1 hour 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
731 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 WSW BELTON            34.51N 82.53W
01/11/2014                   ANDERSON           SC   PUBLIC

            JAMES COX ROAD FLOODED AT PEA CREEK

&&

PTANNER
Local storm report, Jan 11, 8:46 AM EST, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
846 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     HAIL             CLARKESVILLE            34.61N 83.52W
01/11/2014  E0.25 INCH       HABERSHAM          GA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            COUNTY COMMS CENTER REPORT.

&&

07
Local storm report, Jan 11, 8:49 AM EST, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
849 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 WSW FOUNTAIN INN      34.68N 82.25W
01/11/2014                   GREENVILLE         SC   PUBLIC

            FARMWOOD DRIVE FLOODED BY PAYNE BRANCH CUTTING OFF THREE
            HOUSES.

&&

07

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 11, 5:07 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPElbert, Hart3 hr
Jan 11, 8:24 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPFranklin, Habersham, Rabun, Stephens66 min
Jan 11, 9:19 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPElbert, Hart56 min
Jan 11, 9:21 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPElbert, Franklin, Hart, Stephens6 hr
Jan 11, 1:13 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPElbert107 min
Jan 11, 3:12 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningGSPElbert10 hr
Jan 11, 5:37 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPGreenville113 min
Jan 11, 6:50 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPSpartanburg2 hr
Jan 11, 9:43 AM ESTTornado WarningGSPAbbeville, Anderson, Greenville, Laurens47 min
Jan 11, 9:51 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAbbeville, Anderson, Cherokee, Greenville, Greenwood, Laurens and 2 more54 min
Jan 11, 10:15 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPYork6 hr
Jan 11, 10:24 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCherokee, Chester, Laurens, Spartanburg, Union, York66 min
Jan 11, 10:54 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGreenwood36 min
Jan 11, 11:13 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPChester, York62 min
Jan 11, 3:33 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPAnderson, Greenville, Laurens, Oconee, Pickens, Spartanburg6 hr
Jan 11, 8:22 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg, Rowan, Union2 hr
Jan 11, 10:41 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln49 min
Jan 11, 12:09 PM ESTTornado WarningGSPCabarrus21 min
Jan 11, 1:20 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGSPGaston12 hr
Jan 11, 1:40 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningGSPGaston23 hr
Jan 11, 2:29 PM ESTWind AdvisoryGSPAvery, Burke, Caldwell, McDowell, Mitchell, Yancey19 hr
Jan 11, 3:58 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Georgia, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Carolina, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2014Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.