Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS Dodge City, KS

160 
WWUS53 KDDC 222206
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
506 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

KSC057-222245-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0142.000000T0000Z-140622T2245Z/
FORD KS-
506 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN FORD
COUNTY UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

AT 505 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM BELLEFONT TO 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF DODGE CITY...AND
MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
         ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WRIGHT...WINDHORST...DODGE CITY...FT. DODGE AND FORD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 3756 9956 3764 10009 3790 10006 3791 9958
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 016DEG 12KT 3785 9965 3783 10006

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

18

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
158 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2014

...Updated long term discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
ISSUED AT 150 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

Short range models indicate an upper level shortwave ejecting east
out of the Colorado Rockies into the Western High Plains this
evening setting off thunderstorms across western and central Kansas
overnight. Ample low/mid level moisture remains locked in across
central and much of western Kansas ahead of an approaching cold
front from the northwest. As the upper level shortwave kicks out
into the high plains, an associated jet maxima is projected to
intensify as it shifts eastward across northeastern Colorado into
western Nebraska and northern portions of western Kansas. The
increasing dynamic support aloft, combined with plenty of low
level forcing as the cold front pushes through, will support
thunderstorm development across the area this evening into early
Monday morning. NAM/GFS model soundings show steep low/mid level
lapse rates early this evening with SBCAPE values still in excess
of 2000 J/KG and favorable enough vertical shear profiles to
support the potential for severe storms. The primary threat looks
to be large hail initially with the addition of damaging winds
going into this evening. Enough veering exists that an isolated
tornado cannot be ruled out with the strongest storms.
Additionally, the potential for periods of heavy rainfall exists
with the strongest storms with PW values well in excess of 1.5
inches based on the model soundings. Localized flooding could be
an issue, especially during the mid to late evening hours. Any
lingering storms Monday morning are expected to taper off west
to east by early to mid afternoon.

Temperatures will easily fall into the 60s(F) tonight across
southwest and much of central Kansas in wake of a cold front pushing
through western Kansas. The cooler air, not to mention the help of
widespread rainfall, will help drop temperatures. Highs are expected
only up into the 80s(F) Monday afternoon as a north to northeasterly
flow behind the departing front allows slightly cooler air to filter
down into western Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
ISSUED AT 157 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

Several subtle upper level disturbances embedded in a westerly
flow will cross the Central High Plains through mid week. As one
of these disturbances move out into the central plains Monday
night a moist upslope flow will be present north of a stationary
front located in Oklahoma. Convection developing over eastern
Colorado ahead of this next upper level disturbance late Monday
will move east/southeast along the low level moisture axis. At this
time the NAM and GFS differ on where this moisture axis will be but
at this time based on the 700mb baroclinic zone will continue to
favor the slightly further south NAM solution on track and timing
of the Monday night/early Tuesday convection.

By Tuesday night the surface boundary across Oklahoma will begin
to lift north as a warm front with moisture and warm air advection
improving north of this front. Each day this area of moisture and
lift will be a little further north than the previous night so
overnight precipitation chances will gradually shift further north
mid week.

Temperatures will warm in the 850mb to 700mb level mid week and
based on the mixing potential from the model soundings and
temperatures in the 850mb to 700mb level at 00z Thursday and 00z
Friday the previous forecast still looks on track with
temperatures rebounding back into the 90s. Gusty
south/southeasterly winds can also be expected mid to late week as
an area of low pressure develops along the lee of the Rockies.
These gusty winds will begin to draw more humid air back to
western Kansas late week and early this weekend. This will give
rise to some widely scattered thunderstorms near the Colorado
border late week. Improving chances for thunderstorms across all
of western Kansas early this weekend as the next more significant
upper level trough approaches the central Rockies.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

Thunderstorms are likely across central and portions of southwest
Kansas late this afternoon and evening, potentially affecting all
three TAF sites with MVFR cigs/vsbys. IFR cigs/vsbys will be
possible with the strongest storms. Low level stratus is expected
to develop behind a cold front as it moves through southwest and
central Kansas late this evening through the overnight hours. MVFR
cigs will be possible in the vicinity of all TAF sites overnight
with periods of IFR cigs possible generally after 06Z. Winds will
remain light and variable through early this evening as a surface
trough across southwest Kansas moves very little during the period.
An approaching cold front will then push through western Kansas
mid to late evening turning winds north to northeasterly 15 to
30kt. These winds will subside below 20kt by daybreak Monday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  62  83  63  86 /  80  20  20  30
GCK  60  83  63  86 /  80  10  30  40
EHA  60  85  63  86 /  60  10  40  40
LBL  62  85  64  87 /  70  10  40  40
HYS  60  83  63  85 /  80  10  10  20
P28  65  86  67  87 /  80  30  10  30

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JJohnson
LONG TERM...Burgert
AVIATION...JJohnson

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
329 AM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-230830-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
329 AM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014 /229 AM MDT SUN JUN 22 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
MIDNIGHT ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. HAIL UP TO GOLFBALLS AND
WIND OVER 60 MPH WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN.

HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH THE STORMS THIS EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGHOUT
WEDNESDAY. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE COVERAGE AND SEVERE
POTENTIAL OF STORMS DURING THIS PERIOD. CHECK LATER FORECASTS AND
OUTLOOKS FOR UPDATED AND MORE DETAILED INFORMATION.

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEXT WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
344 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

KSZ063-064-077-222130-
FINNEY-GRAY-HODGEMAN-
344 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN FINNEY...NORTHERN GRAY
AND WESTERN HODGEMAN COUNTIES...

AT 340 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES WEST OF KALVESTA...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3818 9996 3793 10001 3791 10064 3814 10065
TIME...MOT...LOC 2045Z 284DEG 6KT 3802 10042

18

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
348 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     HAIL             19 SE MEADE             37.09N 100.09W
06/22/2014  E0.75 INCH       MEADE              KS   PUBLIC

&&

MRUSSELL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
350 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

KSZ031-222130-
ELLIS-
350 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ELLIS COUNTY...

AT 345 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WALKER...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3870 9904 3872 9927 3885 9931 3892 9904
      3891 9903
TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 269DEG 6KT 3882 9906

18

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
415 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     HAIL             ENGLEWOOD               37.04N 99.99W
06/22/2014  E2.00 INCH       CLARK              KS   PUBLIC

&&

MRUSSELL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
429 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

KSZ063-064-077-078-222215-
FINNEY-FORD-GRAY-HODGEMAN-
429 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN FINNEY...NORTHERN FORD...
NORTHERN GRAY AND SOUTHERN HODGEMAN COUNTIES...

AT 427 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTH OF
OFFERLE TO 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHARLESTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5
MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

LAT...LON 3779 9958 3775 10051 3805 10066 3807 9960
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 330DEG 5KT 3799 9961 3798 10049

18

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
452 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0446 PM     HAIL             7 N BELLEFONT           37.98N 99.65W
06/22/2014  E1.00 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   PUBLIC

&&

MRUSSELL