Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2014
Storm Warning 28, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 5, 2014, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 5, 2014, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 5, 2014, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
222 FZAK51 PAJK 051258 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-060100- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE N TO THE PANHANDLE AROUND CAPE DECISION THIS EVENING AND WEAKEN OVERNIGHT. A SECOND LOW WILL MOVE NE TO KODIAK ISLAND THU NIGHT WHILE THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL SPREAD GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE COAST THU NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-060100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-060100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING N IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .THU...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-060100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING N IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-060100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-060100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ031-060100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER GUSTS BACK SIDE OF DOUGLAS IN THE MORNING. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-060100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-060100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES... SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 35 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-060100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-060100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 ...STORM WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. SHOWERS. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-060100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 ...STORM WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. SHOWERS. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
1 follow-up statement
243 FZAK51 PAJK 051932 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1032 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-060100- 1032 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE N TO THE PANHANDLE AROUND CAPE DECISION THIS EVENING AND WEAKEN OVERNIGHT. A SECOND LOW WILL MOVE NE TO KODIAK ISLAND THU NIGHT WHILE THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL SPREAD GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE COAST THU NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-060100- GLACIER BAY- 1032 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-060100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1032 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .THU...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-060100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1032 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-060100- ICY STRAIT- 1032 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-060100- CROSS SOUND- 1032 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ031-060100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1032 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-060100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1032 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-060100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1032 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES... SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 35 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-060100- FREDERICK SOUND- 1032 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-060100- SUMNER STRAIT- 1032 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. SHOWERS. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-060100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1032 AM AKST WED NOV 5 2014 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. SHOWERS. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 4, 4:18 PM AKST, 11 hours 42 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 4, 4:18 PM AKST, 11 hours 42 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
418 PM AKST TUE NOV 4 2014
.SHORT TERM...
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTER OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WITH 500 MB TEMPS
AROUND -34C. HAD ISOLD THUNDERSTORMS EARLIER TODAY TYPICAL OF THIS
TIME OF YEAR WITH A COUPLE OF STRIKES OVER BARANOF ISLAND THIS
MORNING. KEPT A HINT OF THESE IN THE FORECASTS THIS EVENING.
AS WE ARE FINISHING WITH THE WEATHER SYSTEM THAT MOVED THROUGH LAST
NIGHT WE ARE GETTING READY FOR A MONDO STORM CENTER TO MOVE UP PAST
DIXON ENTRANCE MAKING LANDFALL AROUND CAPE OMMANEY 06Z THU.IT HAS
BEEN INTERESTING TO FOLLOW THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS OF OUR SEVERAL
COMPUTER MODELS TO SEE THE TRENDS AND PROPOSED TRACKS. 04/12Z GEM
WAS THE DEEPEST THIS TIME WITH A 969 MB OFF DIXON ENTRANCE WED
AFTERNOON. GFS HAS BEEN STEADY AS A WEAKER ONE AND THE ECMWF BACKED
OFF WITH TOO RAPID DISSIPATION BY EVENING. NAM STARTED TO FOLLOW
THE GFS. JET SUPPORT IS NOT PERFECT. THIS ONE IS NOT TO LOADED WITH
MOISTURE.
AS THE MODELS HAVE CHANGED THEIR MINDS WE DECIDED TO STAY THE
COURSE AND NOT DRASTICALLY CHANGE THE FORECASTS THIS PACKAGE. WE
WILL CONTINUE THE HIGH WIND WATCHES DUE TO ABOUT 60% CERTAINTY FOR
60 MPH IN SOME PLACES. MORE CONFIDENT WITH STORM FORCE WINDS AND
SOME HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS PLUS HUGE SEAS ARRIVING ON THE TAIL END.
THINKING THE BENT BACK OCCLUDED FRONT ON THIS ONE WILL BE VERY
STRONG SO PUT SOME REALLY STRONG NW GUSTS ON THE BACK SIDE. TIDES
WILL BE HIGH BUT NOT SUPPER HIGH WITH SOME ONSHORE FLOW. EXPECT THE
BEACH LOGS TO FLY ON SOME SPOTS PARTICULARLY SOUTHERN BARANOF AND
OUTSIDE OF PRINCE OF WALES. LOOK FOR AN UPDATE ON THESE FORECASTS
AND ESPECIALLY THE WATCHES BASED ON 05/00Z NEW MODEL RUNS. HERE
GOES.
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...ON THURSDAY THE BIG SYSTEM
DISCUSSED ABOVE WILL BE WEAKENING AS IT DEPARTS TO THE NORTH. IN
THE MORNING THERE WILL BE A COL OVER THE CENTRAL LYNN CANAL ARE
WHICH WILL SEPARATE THE NORTH/SOUTH WINDS. A BAND OF RAIN SHOWERS
WILL REMAIN ALONG THE TROUGH WHERE THE COL IS THROUGH MOST OF THE
DAY THEN BECOME MORE SCATTERED GOING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THE NEXT
BE WEATHER FEATURE WILL BE AN OCCLUDED FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW
MOVING INTO THE WESTERN GULF. THE FRONT HAS A TROPICAL
CONNECTION...MEANING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE. RAIN AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL MOVE INTO THE COASTAL AREAS LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECT GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE OUTSIDE
WATERS AND OCEAN ENTRANCES LATE THURS NIGHT.
PRECIP BECOMES MORE INTERMITTENT AFTER THE FRONT PASSES. THE BEST
CHANCE OF A BREAK IN THE RAIN LOOKS TO BE SATURDAY NIGHT AND MOST
OF SUNDAY. HOWEVER THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY DURING THIS
TIME FRAME SO HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OR SLIGHT CHANCE OR RAIN IN THE
FORECAST. MODELS DIFFER MORE FOR THE START OF NEXT WEEK WITH WHERE
THE NEXT LOW COMES FROM. BEING FALL TIME STILL NOT EXPECTING ANY
LONG DURATION DRY PERIODS YET.
USED A BLEND OF MODELS FOR THE MID RANGE FORECAST THEN RELIED
LARGELY ON NATIONAL WPC GUIDANCE FOR THE EXTENDED. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE IN THE MID RANGE THEN LOWER FOR THE START OF
NEXT WEEK.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR AKZ023-026>028.
STRONG WIND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR AKZ029.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ035-036-041-042.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-013-033.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-021-022-031-032-034-043-051-052.
&&
JC/FERRIN
VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAUThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 4, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 4, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 4, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 4, 10:00 PM AKST | High Wind Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 5, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 5, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 5, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.