Gale Warning 91, NWS Anchorage, AK

234 
FZAK51 PAFC 200820 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1120 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

UPDATED ZONE 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201500-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 963 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO 150 NM NORTHEAST
OF ST PAUL AT 972 MB MON AFTERNOON AND THEN CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHWEST AND WEAKEN THROUGH TUE.

$$

PKZ119-201500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-201500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-201500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-201500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-201500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-201500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-201500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-201500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-201500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-201500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-201500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 25 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-201500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-201500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-201500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-201500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-201500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-201500-
KACHEMAK BAY
1120 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.   

$$

386 
FZAK51 PAFC 201218
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210300-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A SERIES OF WEATHER FRONTS WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GULF THROUGH LATE
TUE NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ119-210300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-210300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-210300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-210300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-210300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-210300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-210300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-210300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-210300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-210300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-210300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-210300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-210300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-210300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-210300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-210300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-210300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 20 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 19 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WEST
COAST OF NORTH AMERICA EXTENDS OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND THEN NEAR
THE ALCAN BORDER. THIS PATTERN IS CONTINUING TO SEND STRONG SOUTHERLY
FLOW ALOFT INTO THE STATE. A STRONG 250 MB JET STREAM WITH A MAX WIND
SPEED OVER 200 KT IS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS BUT IS IN A GOOD
LOCATION TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP STRONG SURFACE LOWS THAT TRACK INTO
THE BERING SEA. THE CURRENT STRONG LOW IS APPROACHING THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND WILL CROSS INTO THE BERING SEA TONIGHT. THIS IS A
FAIRLY STRONG LOW BUT NOT NEARLY AS STRONG AS THE ONE FROM THE END OF
LAST WEEK WHICH WAS STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD. THIS LOW HAS
ALREADY REACHED PEAK INTENSITY AND HAS ALREADY STARTED TO WEAKEN
SLOWLY.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE WAY
THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW SPLITS AND SENDS THE MAIN ENERGY INTO THE
NORTHERN PART OF THE LOW WHICH IS HEADING INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA
TONIGHT. THE REAL UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS LOW COMES INTO PLAY ON
TUESDAY WHEN THE LOW IN CENTERED NEAR ST MATTHEW ISLAND AND A TROUGH
EXTENDS SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE TRACK OF THE LOW. THE NAM AND ECMWF
DEVELOP A SECONDARY LOW CENTER IN THE VICINITY OF CAPE NEWENHAM WHICH
THEY THEN MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. THE GFS AND GEM
BOTH KEEP THIS A TROUGH AS IT LIFTS NORTHWARD. THE DIFFERENCE IN
SOLUTIONS WILL IMPACT THE WINDS AND CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IN THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND BRISTOL BAY AREAS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTH CENTRAL...THE FRONT MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL
ALASKA WILL ONCE AGAIN USHER IN SOME WARMER AIR INTO THE REGION.
WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE IN THE USUAL AREAS SUCH AS TURNAGAIN
ARM...BUT NOT AS STRONG AS THIS PAST FRIDAY. COASTAL AREAS WILL SEE
RAINFALL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY WITH KODIAK ISLAND SEEING THE HIGHEST
AMOUNTS.

SOUTHWEST...THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW NEAR THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST AND NORTHWEST AROUND THIS LOW
AND SET UP OVER THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS TONIGHT AND THEN BE STATIONARY
OVER THAT AREA FOR MOST OF TUESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS AND GOOD LIFTING OVER THE ISLANDS. THIS WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AS SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 4 TO 8 INCHES OF
SNOW IS EXPECTED.
DUTCH HARBOR WILL LIKELY ALSO SEE A LITTLE BLOWING SNOW BUT NOT
ENOUGH TO REDUCE VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS. AREAS
AROUND BRISTOL BAY WILL ONCE AGAIN BE IN VERY MILD AIR WHICH MAY KEEP
SOME OF THE AREAS FROM EVEN GETTING BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE SAME OVERALL ACTIVE PATTERN WILL PERSIST
THROUGH NEXT WEEK. THEREFORE...WHILE THERE WILL BE SOME BRIEF COOLER
PERIODS...EXPECT CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF THE
AREA AND PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COASTAL
AREAS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 195.
MARINE...GALE 119 120 125 130-137 150-171 179 180.
         STORM 172. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JAN 14