Gale Warning 807, NWS Anchorage, AK

806 
FZAK52 PAFC 061244
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-070115-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 964 MB LOW 165 NM SOUTH OF KISKA WILL MOVE TO 450 NM SOUTH OF
SITKINAK AND DISSIPATE SUN MORNING. A 962 MB LOW AT 100 NM SOUTH
OF SITKINAK SUN MORNING WILL MOVE OVER UNIMAK PASS LATE SUN NIGHT
AT 959 MB.

$$

PKZ150-070115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ155-070115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-070115-
BRISTOL BAY-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-070115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NE 30 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NE 45 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. 
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-070115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-070115-
UNALASKA BAY-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-070115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ173-070115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ174-070115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ175-070115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ176-070115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ177-070115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT BERING SIDE...23 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. BERING
SIDE...SEAS 13 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ178-070115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ179-070115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-070115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY ALONG THE COAST...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NE 30 KT SOUTH OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NE 45 KT SOUTH OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-070115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY ALONG THE COAST...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG
THE COAST.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-070115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
344 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

860 
FZAK52 PAFC 070007
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-071300-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA THROUGH MON
AFTERNOON. A 963 MB LOW NEAR CHIGNIK SUN AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO
150 NM NORTHWEST OF NIKOLSKI MON AFTERNOON AT 967 MB. A 963 MB 
LOW WILL BE 50 NM NORTHEAST OF CHIGNIK MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-071300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND INCREASING TO 55 KT...BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-071300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT...BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON
FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS EAST. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-071300-
BRISTOL BAY-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARDS MORNING.
SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-071300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NE 45 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-071300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-071300-
UNALASKA BAY-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ172-071300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-071300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ174-071300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ175-071300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-071300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ177-071300-
ADAK TO KISKA-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT BERING SIDE...20 FT PACIFIC
SIDE.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ178-071300-
KISKA TO ATTU-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ179-071300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-071300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. 
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT EXCEPT 35 KT N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-071300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG
THE COAST.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG
THE COAST.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-071300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
307 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
527 AM AKST FRI DEC 5 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

STOUT UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES TO PERSIST FROM THE EASTERN
GULF NORTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL AND INTO THE INTERIOR OF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WITH UPPER LEVEL LOWS ROTATING ABOUT EACH OTHER
FROM THE BRISTOL BAY REGION SOUTH AND WEST OUT THROUGH THE BERING
AND WELL SOUTH INTO THE PACIFIC. MEANWHILE...A RAPIDLY
STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA IS MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEAST TOWARD THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS COASTAL WATERS.

THE MAIN STORM TRACK CONTINUES TO PERSIST BETWEEN THE TROUGHINESS
TO THE SOUTH AND WEST AND THE STOUT RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND EAST.
SEVERAL FRONTS CAN BE SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY MOVING FROM THE
MID-LATITUDES OF THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC NORTH AND WEST THROUGH THE
WESTERN GULF...KODIAK ISLAND...SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AND THEN
DISSIPATING OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL BERING.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

OUT WEST...MODELS ARE IN GREAT AGREEMENT WITH THE RAPIDLY
STRENGTHENING LOW SOUTH OF KAMCHATKA. THIS LOW WILL REACH PEAK
STRENGTH LATER THIS MORNING WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS...AND THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES AND MOVES JUST
SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE CURRENT
THINKING IS THAT STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE SOUTHERN
COASTAL WATERS OF THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS...BUT WITH THE LOW
WEAKENING THESE WILL DIMINISH TO GALES AS THE LOW MOVES EAST.

BACK EAST...MODELS ARE HAVING A MORE DIFFICULT TIME WITH TIMING
AND PLACEMENT OF THE FAST-MOVING WEATHER FRONTS IN THE FAST
SOUTHEAST-TO-NORTHWEST STORM TRACK. WITH THE STRONGER
(POTENTIALLY MORE IMPACTFUL) OF THESE FRONTS THE 00 UTC
EUROPEAN...NOW FOLLOWED BY THE 06 UTC GFS...SUGGEST BETTER
AGREEMENT IN DEVELOPING A CLOSED OFF LOW ALONG A FRONT THAT MOVES
ACROSS THE GULF SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AS IT MOVES FROM THE
SOUTHWEST GULF ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA INTO
THE BRISTOL BAY AND SOUTHEASTERN BERING REGIONS.

THE MAIN IMPACTS OF THE LOW AS DEPICTED BY THE 00 UTC EUROPEAN AND
THE 06 UTC GFS WOULD BE A LARGE BUT CONCENTRATED AREA OF STORM-
FORCE WINDS NEAR THE LOW...AS WELL AS A POTENTIAL STORM-FORCE
BARRIER JET ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST AND BARREN ISLANDS REGION.

SINCE MODEL RUNS ARE JUST SEEMINGLY CATCHING ON THIS
SOLUTION...WILL GIVE IT ANOTHER SHIFT TO DECIDE TO LEAN IN THAT
DIRECTION. FOR THE MORNING FORECAST PACKAGE WE WILL KEEP WITH A WEAKER
FRONT BUT WILL KEEP A CLOSE EYE OUT FOR BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT
TODAY WITH THE STRONGER LOW SOLUTION.

WITH THE 06 UTC GFS JUMPING TOWARD THE 00 UTC
EUROPEAN (WHICH WAS WIDELY CONSIDERED AN OUTLIER INITIALLY AT THE
BEGINNING OF THIS SHIFT) CONFIDENCE IS POOR TO MODERATE AT THIS
POINT IN TIME...EXCEPT OUT TOWARD THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS WHERE MODEL CONFIDENCE IS GREATER. THE FORECAST HEAVILY
THE INHERITED AND 00 UTC GFS FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE MAIN IMPACTS THROUGH TONIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE
PERSISTENT RAINFALL OVER THE WESTERN GULF INCLUDING THE KODIAK
ISLAND AND KACHEMAK BAY AREAS...BUT ATTENTION FOR THE WEEKEND WILL
BE CENTERED UPON THE IMPACTS WITH THE POTENTIALLY STRONG LOW
MOVING NORTHWEST ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND AND INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
BERING SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. DEPENDING ON HOW FAR NORTH THE LOW
MAKES IT AS WELL AS ITS STRENGTH WILL DETERMINE THE AMOUNT OF
PRECIPITATION AND WARMING TEMPERATURES FOR COASTAL AS WELL AS
INTERIOR LOCATIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT. WITH THE NEWER MODEL SOLUTIONS OF THE GFS AND EUROPEAN
STRENGTHENING DOWN-INLET AND GAP WINDS COULD IMPACT THE COOK INLET
REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT (OR MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT) AND THE
POSSIBLE ISSUANCE OF STORM WARNING MARINE PRODUCTS MAY BE
POSSIBLE IF MODELS BEGIN CONVERGING ON THE STRONGER LOW SOLUTION
THROUGH TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM WILL HAVE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TODAY AND
THEN BE DRY AND COLDER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS
ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT.

SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN
RANGE INTO THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE TODAY...AND THEN MIX WITH SNOW
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AS COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO THE AREA. AS
THIS MOISTURE MOVES ACROSS THE COLDER KUSKOKWIM DELTA...SNOW
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER THERE REMAINS A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN TODAY AS SOME RAIN MAY FALL INTO
THE COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT. STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ALSO AFFECT THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHERN PACIFIC WILL TAKE
SHAPE SUNDAY MORNING...WITH MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES IMPACTING PARTS
OF THE THE GULF COAST AND ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH MID WEEK. THESE
DISTURBANCES WILL BRING SURGES OF PRECIPITATION AND GUSTY WINDS TO
THE SOUTHCENTRAL COASTLINE AND ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA.
HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE STRENGTH
AND TIMING/TRACK OF THESE DISTURBANCES...AS THE MODELS CONTINUE TO
STRUGGLE WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THESE FEATURES AND THE COMPLEX
SYSTEM OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. AS OF THE MOST RECENT MODEL
RUNS...THEY SEEM TO BE CONVERGING ON A SOLUTION REGARDING THE
INITIAL WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF AND INTO THE
ALASKA PENINSULA DURING THE DAY SUNDAY...AND THE NEXT WAVE MOVING
INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF MONDAY. HOWEVER AS TIME PROGRESSES DEEPER
INTO THE LONG TERM FORECAST...THE MODELS DIVERGE AND CREATE MUCH
MORE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST FROM TUESDAY ON. MODELS DO
HOWEVER AGREE ON AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE PARKED OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF COASTLINE SUNDAY...AND EXTENDING WESTWARD THROUGH THE MAT-SU
VALLEY AND INTO THE YUKON DELTA. WITH THE RIDGE IN PLACE...THE
GRADIENT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND WILL TIGHTEN UP. THIS WILL LEAD TO GUSTY GAP WINDS
THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM AND CHANNELED TERRAIN ALONG THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND ALASKA RANGE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE STRENGTH
AND TIMING OF THESE WINDS ARE ALSO DEPENDENT ON WHICH MODEL
SOLUTION VERIFIES...LEAVING SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST UNTIL
MODEL AGREEMENT IMPROVES.

FURTHER WEST...AN UPPER LEVEL OMEGA BLOCK LOCATED OVER SIBERIA
WILL ACT TO ENHANCE THE NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL BERING/ALEUTIANS BY MONDAY. THIS PATTERN WILL FILTER IN
COLDER AIR OVER THE WARMER BERING SEA WATERS...BRINGING GUSTY
WINDS AND INSTABILITY SHOWERS OVER THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 119 120 130 138 175 176 177 185
         STORMS 178.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DS
LONG TERM...TP