Gale Warning 706, NWS Anchorage, AK

273 
FZAK51 PAFC 072055
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

UPDATED ZONES 125 130

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-080415-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 979 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO NEAR KODIAK
CITY FRI NIGHT AT 993 MB THEN DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES NORTH. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER THE GULF SAT EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-080415-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY MID MORNING. NEAR
THE COAST...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-080415-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT BY MID MORNING.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-080415-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-080415-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-080415-
PORT VALDEZ-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-080415-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN . 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-080415-
VALDEZ ARM-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-080415-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-080415-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-080415-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT DURING THE EARLY MORNING.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-080415-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SE 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-080415-
CHINIAK BAY-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-080415-
MARMOT BAY-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-080415-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-080415-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-080415-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-080415-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1155 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

843 
FZAK51 PAFC 080036
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-081330-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 985 MB LOW 275 NM SOUTHWEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND
MAKES LANDFALL ON THE KENAI PENINSULA AROUND 125 NM WEST OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A FRONT WILL PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS
KODIAK ISLAND SATURDAY NIGHT AND STALL ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF
ALASKA SUNDAY.

$$

PKZ119-081330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-081330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-081330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SOUTH 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-081330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-081330-
PORT VALDEZ-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-081330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-081330-
VALDEZ ARM-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-081330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-081330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE
COAST.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE
COAST.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE
COAST.
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-081330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING SE. SEAS 14 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-081330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-081330-
CHINIAK BAY-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-081330-
MARMOT BAY-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-081330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-081330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-081330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-081330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
336 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
513 PM AKST THU NOV 6 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
E-W TROF LIFTING TO THE GULF CST THIS AFTERNOON MOVES INLAND AND
DISSIPATES THURSDAY EVENING. LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR ALONG
THE NORTH GULF COAST, WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SOUTHWEST ALONG
THE KENAI PENINSULA ACROSS THE BARREN ISLANDS AND THE EASTERN
SLOPES OF THE WESTERN ALASKA RANGE SOUTH OF PUNTILLA.

972 MB STORM AROUND 320 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK MOVES NORTHEAST
TO 85 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WEAKENS TO 985
MB. MINIMUM GALES AND RAIN KODIAK ISLAND DIMINISH THIS EVENING
BEHIND THE FRONT BUT WILL INCREASE ALONG THE GULF COAST TONIGHT
WITH PRE-FRONTAL SPEEDS OF 40 TO 45 KT. A NARROW BAND OF STORMS
ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS THE BARRENS INTO KAMISHAK BAY WITH
GALES SOUTHERN COOK INLET.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE GFS/EC MODELS WERE USED BY BOTH DOMAINS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...A ROBUST TRIPLE
POINT LOW IS CURRENTLY TAKING SHAPE SOUTH OF KODIAK. THIS WILL BE
THE MAIN WEATHER MAKER FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. BEFORE THAT LOW
TRACKS NORTH TOWARD THE GULF COAST...ANOTHER WEAK WAVE IS BRINING
SOME ISOLATED RAIN AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TO KACHEMAK BAY. THIS FEATURE WILL FALL APART
ALONG THE COAST LATER TONIGHT AS THE LOW TO SOUTH QUICKLY
APPROACHES. MODELS HAVE INITIALIZED WELL WITH THIS SYSTEM AS BUOY
46066 IS REPORTING A PRESSURE AT LOW AS ABOUT 971MB THIS
AFTERNOON. IT LOOKS LIKE THAT IS ABOUT AS DEEP AS THIS LOW WILL GO
AS IT STARTS TO PULL AWAY FROM MOST OF THE JET SUPPORT AND THERMAL
ADVECTION.

AS IT MOVES TOWARDS THE COAST TONIGHT...EXPECT EAST TO NORTHEAST
WINDS TO INCREASE FOR MANY AREAS FROM THE MAT-SU VALLEY TO KODIAK
ISLAND TO THOMPSON PASS. THE PRECIPITATION WILL HIT THE COAST IN
EARNEST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. MOST PLACES WILL SEE SOME WARM
ADVECTION AS IT MOVES INLAND AND SHOULD TURN TO MOSTLY RAIN. BUT A
FEW SPOTS SUCH AS INLAND WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL HOLD ON
TO COLDER TEMPERATURES AND COULD PICK UP SEVERAL INCHES OF
SNOW...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS. MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW SHOULD LIMIT PRECIPITATION FOR THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND MAT-SU
VALLEY TO JUST ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS.

OVER THE WEEKEND...THE LOW MEANDERS ITS WAY TOWARD THE COOK
INLET. AND WHILE IT WILL BE WEAKENING...ITS EXACT TRACK SHOULD BE
MONITORED AS IT HAS AN OUTSIDE TRACK OF BRINGING SOME ACCUMULATING
SNOW TO THE KENAI PENINSULA AND POSSIBLY TO ANCHORAGE AS DOWNSLOPE
WINDS DIE OFF.

&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL PICK UP THIS EVENING ACROSS
THE BRISTOL BAY AREA AS A FRONT APPROACHES THE PENINSULA FROM THE
SOUTH. STEADIER PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN ALONG THE ALEUTIAN
RANGE AND ALASKA PENINSULA INTO TOMORROW NIGHT...AND TAPER OFF
DURING THE WEEKEND. THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WILL
MOSTLY REMAIN DRY..WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS
FORMING MAINLY ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE TOMORROW AND PERSISTING INTO
THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A WEAKENING FRONT CURRENTLY PRODUCING SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL BERING AND ALEUTIANS WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE THIS EVENING...AS RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS BUILDS AND TRACKS EASTWARD. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL BEGIN TO TRACK INTO
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...BRINGING RAIN AND STRONG
WINDS TO THE WESTERN BERING EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. WIND GUSTS
AROUND 75 TO 90 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND
WESTERN BERING FROM TOMORROW MORNING THOUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE
STORM WILL THEN SLOWLY TRACK EAST WHILE WEAKENING...HOWEVER STORM
FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS INTO
SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)...
THE STACKED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHERN BERING WILL MAKE
SLOW PROGRESS TO THE EAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE LEADING FRONT
PUSHES INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN MAINLAND SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
WITH THE BOUNDARY STRETCHING EAST INTO THE GULF. EXPECT A MIX OF
RAIN AND SNOW ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND BRISTOL BAY WILL
SNOW ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA. THE RAIN WILL SPREAD
ACROSS THE GULF TO THE COAST. INLAND AREAS OF SOUTHCENTRAL WILL
MAINLY SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOW PRESSURE WILL
STAY CENTERED OVER THE BERING AT THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL SEND MULTIPLE WAVES ACROSS
SOUTHERN ALASKA AND SURROUNDING WATERS KEEPING CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE LONG TERM FORECAST.

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 191.
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING 178
         STORM WARNING 119 120 130 131 175 176 177
         GALE WARNING 132 137 138 139 150 155 170 172 173
                      174 179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...KH