Gale Warning 325, NWS Anchorage, AK

296 
FZAK52 PAFC 232340
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-241230-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL MOVE SLOWLY
NORTHEAST AND WEAKEN THROUGH MON. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA MON NIGHT AND A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA TUE.

$$

PKZ150-241230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-241230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-241230-
BRISTOL BAY-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FOOT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-241230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-241230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-241230-
UNALASKA BAY-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-241230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-241230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-241230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-241230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-241230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-241230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-241230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-241230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-241230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-241230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ185-241230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
340 PM AKDT SUN MAR 23 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 15
KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 25 KT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
131 PM AKDT SAT MAR 22 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL BLOCKING HIGH OVER ALASKA...CENTERED NEAR
KOTZEBUE. THIS IS CURRENTLY A "REX BLOCK" WITH A LOW OVER THE
EASTERN BERING SEA. A LARGE UPPER LOW IS OVER THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA WITH A NEGATIVELY TILTED FRONT PUSHING INTO THE
SOUTHWEST BERING SEA AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 84 HOURS
(TUESDAY AFTERNOON). COMBINED WITH A FAIRLY STABLE BLOCKING
PATTERN THIS LEADS TO HIGHER THAN NORMAL CONFIDENCE IN THE
FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA...THE EASTERN BERING LOW WILL MOVE
NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND JOIN UP WITH THE KAMCHATKA LOW/FRONT SUNDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW THE KOTZEBUE HIGH TO SETTLE IN OVER THE
ENTIRE MAINLAND OF ALASKA...TRANSITIONING FROM A REX BLOCK INTO AN
OMEGA BLOCK BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP SOUTH CENTRAL
ALASKA DRY THROUGH TUESDAY. OFFSHORE WINDS WILL INCREASE ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES NORTHEAST.

FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...CONDITIONS WILL BE DRY OVER MOST OF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH TUESDAY AS THE UPPER HIGH PUSHES INTO THE
AREA. ONE EXCEPTION TO THIS DRYNESS WILL BE ALONG THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. MOISTURE FROM THE EASTERN BERING LOW WILL LINGER OVER
THE PENINSULA THROUGH SUNDAY AND THEN BE JOINED BY THE KAMCHATKA
LOW FRONT ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THERE IS ALSO A RISK OF
PRECIPITATION ALONG THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA ON
MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE FRONT NEARS THE MAINLAND.

FOR THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...THE FRONT OVER THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS WILL PUSH INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AND THEN TO
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS LATE SUNDAY...AND TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA
ON MONDAY. CYCLONIC FLOW AND A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
WILL KEEP CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND
ALEUTIANS BEHIND THE FRONT.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 132 138 150 177.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

LUDWIG MAR 14