Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 565

November 17, 201310 counties in Indiana; 49 counties in Kentucky

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 17, 2013, 2:58 PM EST for 10 counties in Indiana; 49 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 17, 2013, 2:58 PM EST (19:58 UTC)
Expired
Nov 17, 2013, 9:25 PM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 59 counties

Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Scott County, IN, Washington County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Woodford County, KY

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 17, 4:36 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Perry29 min
Nov 17, 4:58 PM ESTTornado WarningLMKButler32 min
Nov 17, 5:04 PM ESTTornado WarningLMKJefferson, Scott31 min
Nov 17, 5:09 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison31 min
Nov 17, 5:22 PM ESTTornado WarningLMKButler, Edmonson, Warren28 min
Nov 17, 5:23 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKOrange, Washington27 min
Nov 17, 5:28 PM ESTTornado WarningLMKButler22 min
Nov 17, 5:46 PM ESTTornado WarningLMKButler, Warren29 min
Nov 17, 5:48 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBarren, Edmonson, Hart32 min
Nov 17, 5:51 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKButler, Logan, Warren29 min
Nov 17, 6:02 PM ESTTornado WarningLMKLogan, Warren18 min
Nov 17, 6:19 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBarren, Edmonson, Hart, Warren31 min
Nov 17, 6:22 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKButler, Logan, Warren28 min
Nov 17, 6:33 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLogan, Simpson, Warren42 min
Nov 17, 6:50 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAllen, Barren, Edmonson, Green, Metcalfe, Warren30 min
Nov 17, 6:53 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison, Nicholas, Scott32 min
Nov 17, 7:17 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Casey, Green, Taylor28 min
Nov 17, 7:19 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Allen, Barren, Green, Metcalfe31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2013-11-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2013-11-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 391 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
619 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
391 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
476 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

839 
WWUS20 KWNS 171954
SEL5  
SPC WW 171954
INZ000-KYZ000-180300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 565
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  FAR SOUTHERN INDIANA
  CENTRAL KENTUCKY

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 255 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM EST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF BOWLING GREEN
KENTUCKY.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 561...WW 562...WW
563...WW 564...

DISCUSSION...A BROKEN BAND OF TSTMS ONGOING NEAR THE OH RIVER ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY EWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.  THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
VERY STRONG SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH
A RISK FOR A FEW TORNADOES /SOME POSSIBLY STRONG/...DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 17, 3:06 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDaviess, Dubois, Gibson, Knox, Pike, Posey and 3 more84 min
Nov 17, 9:40 AM ESTTornado Watch PDSSPCBenton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Porter7 hr
Nov 17, 11:01 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Bartholomew, Benton, Blackford, Boone and 56 more119 min
Nov 17, 11:17 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGibson, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick118 min
Nov 17, 11:20 AM ESTTornado Watch PDSSPCAdams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Brown and 65 more9 hr
Nov 17, 11:43 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCGibson, Pike, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick8 hr
Nov 17, 11:49 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLake, Newton86 min
Nov 17, 12:57 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Fountain, Jasper, Lake, Montgomery, Newton and 7 more93 min
Nov 17, 12:57 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPosey93 min
Nov 17, 2:13 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bartholomew, Benton, Blackford, Boone, Brown and 59 more77 min
Nov 17, 2:34 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Floyd, Harrison, Perry, Washington56 min
Nov 17, 3:43 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGibson, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick62 min
Nov 17, 3:51 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Brown, Clay and 34 more84 min
Nov 17, 4:46 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison, Orange and 7 more89 min
Nov 17, 2:05 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Carlisle55 min
Nov 17, 4:25 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCGreenup, Lewis, Mason, Robertson5 hr
Nov 17, 6:06 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBracken, Campbell, Kenton, Mason54 min
Nov 17, 6:16 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Bath, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Casey and 40 more59 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2013Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.