Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2013
Tornado Watch 565
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 17, 2013, 2:58 PM EST for 10 counties in Indiana; 49 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 17, 2013, 2:58 PM EST (19:58 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 17, 2013, 9:25 PM EST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 59 counties
Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Scott County, IN, Washington County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Woodford County, KY
The radar
The Louisville radar (KLVX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 4:36 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Crawford, Perry | 29 min |
| Nov 17, 4:58 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Butler | 32 min |
| Nov 17, 5:04 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Jefferson, Scott | 31 min |
| Nov 17, 5:09 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Harrison | 31 min |
| Nov 17, 5:22 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Butler, Edmonson, Warren | 28 min |
| Nov 17, 5:23 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Orange, Washington | 27 min |
| Nov 17, 5:28 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Butler | 22 min |
| Nov 17, 5:46 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Butler, Warren | 29 min |
| Nov 17, 5:48 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Barren, Edmonson, Hart | 32 min |
| Nov 17, 5:51 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Logan, Warren | 29 min |
| Nov 17, 6:02 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Logan, Warren | 18 min |
| Nov 17, 6:19 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Barren, Edmonson, Hart, Warren | 31 min |
| Nov 17, 6:22 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Logan, Warren | 28 min |
| Nov 17, 6:33 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Logan, Simpson, Warren | 42 min |
| Nov 17, 6:50 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Allen, Barren, Edmonson, Green, Metcalfe, Warren | 30 min |
| Nov 17, 6:53 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Harrison, Nicholas, Scott | 32 min |
| Nov 17, 7:17 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair, Casey, Green, Taylor | 28 min |
| Nov 17, 7:19 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair, Allen, Barren, Green, Metcalfe | 31 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 619 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 391 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 476 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
839 WWUS20 KWNS 171954 SEL5 SPC WW 171954 INZ000-KYZ000-180300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 565 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 255 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHERN INDIANA CENTRAL KENTUCKY * EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 255 PM UNTIL 1000 PM EST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL TORNADOES WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 561...WW 562...WW 563...WW 564... DISCUSSION...A BROKEN BAND OF TSTMS ONGOING NEAR THE OH RIVER ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY EWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND VERY STRONG SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH A RISK FOR A FEW TORNADOES /SOME POSSIBLY STRONG/...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045. ...MEAD
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 3:06 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Daviess, Dubois, Gibson, Knox, Pike, Posey and 3 more | 84 min |
| Nov 17, 9:40 AM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Benton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Porter | 7 hr |
| Nov 17, 11:01 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Allen, Bartholomew, Benton, Blackford, Boone and 56 more | 119 min |
| Nov 17, 11:17 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gibson, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick | 118 min |
| Nov 17, 11:20 AM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Brown and 65 more | 9 hr |
| Nov 17, 11:43 AM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Gibson, Pike, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick | 8 hr |
| Nov 17, 11:49 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lake, Newton | 86 min |
| Nov 17, 12:57 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Fountain, Jasper, Lake, Montgomery, Newton and 7 more | 93 min |
| Nov 17, 12:57 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Posey | 93 min |
| Nov 17, 2:13 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Bartholomew, Benton, Blackford, Boone, Brown and 59 more | 77 min |
| Nov 17, 2:34 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Crawford, Floyd, Harrison, Perry, Washington | 56 min |
| Nov 17, 3:43 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gibson, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick | 62 min |
| Nov 17, 3:51 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Brown, Clay and 34 more | 84 min |
| Nov 17, 4:46 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Crawford, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison, Orange and 7 more | 89 min |
| Nov 17, 2:05 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ballard, Carlisle | 55 min |
| Nov 17, 4:25 PM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Greenup, Lewis, Mason, Robertson | 5 hr |
| Nov 17, 6:06 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bracken, Campbell, Kenton, Mason | 54 min |
| Nov 17, 6:16 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Bath, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Casey and 40 more | 59 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2013Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.