Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 233

May 28, 20134 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 28, 2013, 2:23 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2013, 2:23 PM CDT (19:23 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2013, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 118 counties

Appanoose County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Page County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Atchison County, KS, Barton County, KS, Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Miami County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rice County, KS, Riley County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Bates County, MO, Boone County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

77 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 3:09 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXLucas, Mahaska, Marion, Monroe6 hr
May 28, 3:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Decatur49 min
May 28, 3:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Nemaha44 min
May 28, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Lucas43 min
May 28, 3:57 PM CDTTornado WarningTOPNemaha33 min
May 28, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska, Marion, Monroe48 min
May 28, 4:18 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedTOPNemaha42 min
May 28, 4:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison34 min
May 28, 4:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXNemaha47 min
May 28, 4:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska, Monroe, Wapello64 min
May 28, 4:44 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPBrown, Nemaha3 hr
May 28, 4:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAtchison, Holt6 hr
May 28, 4:55 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedTOPNemaha50 min
May 28, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison47 min
May 28, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXRinggold, Taylor, Union39 min
May 28, 5:19 PM CDTTornado WarningTOPBrown, Jackson, Nemaha26 min
May 28, 5:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXNodaway39 min
May 28, 5:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry, Jefferson, Keokuk, Washington38 min
May 28, 5:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPOttawa52 min
May 28, 5:31 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedTOPOttawa29 min
May 28, 5:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXFremont, Page3 hr
May 28, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay40 min
May 28, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn, Livingston, Sullivan21 min
May 28, 5:41 PM CDTTornado WarningTOPBrown34 min
May 28, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPBrown, Nemaha46 min
May 28, 5:48 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXAdams, Ringgold, Taylor, Union6 hr
May 28, 5:51 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedTOPOttawa39 min
May 28, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Decatur, Lucas37 min
May 28, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Cloud34 min
May 28, 6:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAtchison, Holt, Nodaway6 hr
May 28, 6:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Nemaha25 min
May 28, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Madison, Union38 min
May 28, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPBrown23 min
May 28, 6:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Decatur35 min
May 28, 6:13 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPBrown, Nemaha4 hr
May 28, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud, Republic, Washington32 min
May 28, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXRinggold, Taylor45 min
May 28, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDes Moines, Louisa40 min
May 28, 6:22 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXAppanoose, Clarke, Decatur, Lucas, Mahaska, Monroe and 2 more6 hr
May 28, 6:22 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDVNDes Moines10 hr
May 28, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMonroe, Wapello37 min
May 28, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Nemaha47 min
May 28, 6:29 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedTOPOttawa31 min
May 28, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTEllsworth, Lincoln, Saline42 min
May 28, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPWashington26 min
May 28, 6:36 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPOttawa4 hr
May 28, 6:41 PM CDTTornado WarningICTBarton49 min
May 28, 6:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPBrown34 min
May 28, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXNodaway30 min
May 28, 6:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDoniphan25 min
May 28, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJefferson50 min
May 28, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXLucas, Monroe, Wapello63 min
May 28, 6:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDVNHenry, Jefferson, Keokuk, Washington9 hr
May 28, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPOttawa47 min
May 28, 7:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXWapello6 hr
May 28, 7:06 PM CDTTornado WarningTOPOttawa24 min
May 28, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTLincoln48 min
May 28, 7:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPBrown, Marshall, Nemaha, Washington4 hr
May 28, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDecatur, Ringgold43 min
May 28, 7:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPBrown4 hr
May 28, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTLincoln29 min
May 28, 7:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXAppanoose, Davis, Decatur, Ringgold, Taylor, Wayne6 hr
May 28, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDes Moines, Henry, Jefferson, Keokuk, Louisa, Washington66 min
May 28, 7:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPBrown, Nemaha4 hr
May 28, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Jefferson, Saline48 min
May 28, 7:44 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDVNLouisa9 hr
May 28, 8:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPNemaha25 min
May 28, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Lancaster38 min
May 28, 8:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPNemaha37 min
May 28, 8:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDes Moines, Louisa, Muscatine, Scott56 min
May 28, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAppanoose, Davis53 min
May 28, 8:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew35 min
May 28, 9:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Schuyler30 min
May 28, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, DeKalb24 min
May 28, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNLee, Van Buren23 min
May 28, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Harrison32 min
May 28, 9:38 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAtchison, Doniphan6 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 94 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2013-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2346 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2013-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 334 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2346 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-98 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
645 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
334 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
385 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.4
Supercell composite
25.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

106 
WWUS20 KWNS 281927
SEL3  
SPC WW 281927
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-290300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 233
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHERN IOWA
  NORTHEAST KANSAS
  NORTHERN MISSOURI
  FAR SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 225 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
CONCORDIA KANSAS TO 60 MILES EAST OF KIRKSVILLE MISSOURI.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG SYNOPTIC FRONT EXTENDING FROM LOW
PRESSURE OVER CNTRL KS NEWD ACROSS SRN IA.  OTHER STORMS ONGOING
ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LIFTING NWD THROUGH THE I-70 CORRIDOR OF
MO SHOULD STRENGTHEN AS WELL.  GIVEN THE COMBINATION OF STRONG
INSTABILITY AND 40-50 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR THE POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST FOR INTENSE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.  GIVEN THE MODEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL BE
MODULATED BY MATURE STORMS INTERACTING WITH THE SYNOPTIC FRONT AND
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WHERE VORTICITY IS ENHANCED.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 9:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Page, Ringgold, Taylor53 min
May 27, 9:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDecatur, Fremont, Page, Ringgold, Taylor7 hr
May 28, 3:30 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLee, Van Buren90 min
May 28, 1:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Benton, Cass, Cedar and 39 more113 min
May 28, 5:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Des Moines, Henry and 11 more83 min
May 27, 8:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellsworth, Geary, Jewell and 10 more117 min
May 27, 10:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Marshall, Nemaha, Pottawatomie, Riley, Washington67 min
May 27, 11:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Jackson, Jefferson, Leavenworth and 3 more116 min
May 28, 2:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Kiowa, Pratt62 min
May 28, 2:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ford, Kiowa and 5 more9 hr
May 28, 3:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Greeley, Logan, Rawlins, Sheridan, Sherman and 2 more2 hr
May 28, 3:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne9 hr
May 28, 6:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Sherman115 min
May 27, 8:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Brown, Custer, Dawson, Frontier, Lincoln and 3 more96 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2013Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2013Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.