Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 545

October 10, 20134 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Oct 10, 2013, 4:41 PM MDT for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 10, 2013, 4:41 PM MDT (22:41 UTC)
Expired: Oct 10, 2013, 10:01 PM MDT
In force: 5 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 1 in
Strongest gust expected: 60 kt

All 54 counties

Baca County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Clark County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Ness County, KS, Norton County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Arthur County, NE, Chase County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 2%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 20%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 70%

Warnings issued inside it

28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 10, 4:50 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne	55 min
Oct 10, 5:04 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Greeley, Wallace	41 min
Oct 10, 5:24 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Kit Carson	66 min
Oct 10, 5:47 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Morton, Stanton	43 min
Oct 10, 5:49 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Yuma	56 min
Oct 10, 5:54 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne	66 min
Oct 10, 5:56 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Kit Carson	19 min
Oct 10, 6:05 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Kit Carson, Yuma	55 min
Oct 10, 6:13 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PUB	Baca, Kiowa, Prowers	62 min
Oct 10, 6:20 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Yuma	55 min
Oct 10, 6:29 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Hamilton, Kearny, Morton, Stanton, Stevens	61 min
Oct 10, 6:38 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Greeley, Logan, Wallace, Wichita	52 min
Oct 10, 6:43 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LBF	Chase, Perkins	47 min
Oct 10, 6:45 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne, Rawlins, Sherman, Thomas	60 min
Oct 10, 6:54 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne	66 min
Oct 10, 7:02 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Grant, Haskell, Kearny, Scott	58 min
Oct 10, 7:09 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Texas	66 min
Oct 10, 7:11 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LBF	Keith, Perkins	49 min
Oct 10, 7:17 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Haskell, Seward, Stevens	58 min
Oct 10, 7:27 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Gove, Logan, Wichita	63 min
Oct 10, 7:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LBF	Arthur, Deuel, Garden	30 min
Oct 10, 7:33 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Lane, Scott	57 min
Oct 10, 7:39 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LBF	Chase, Hayes	51 min
Oct 10, 7:42 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Decatur, Rawlins, Sheridan, Thomas	63 min
Oct 10, 7:53 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Haskell, Meade, Seward	52 min
Oct 10, 8:09 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Red Willow	51 min
Oct 10, 8:12 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LBF	Frontier, Lincoln	48 min
Oct 10, 8:26 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Gove	34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 144 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 951 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 85 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 161 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 10, 2:05 PM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Baca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Elbert, El Paso and 10 more	2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2013 Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2013 Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2013 Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.