Severe Thunderstorm Warning 285, NWS Dodge City, KS

214 
WWUS53 KDDC 110229
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
929 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

KSC055-069-081-119-175-110245-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0285.000000T0000Z-131011T0245Z/
SEWARD KS-MEADE KS-HASKELL KS-GRAY KS-FINNEY KS-
929 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
FINNEY...GRAY...EASTERN HASKELL...MEADE AND EASTERN SEWARD COUNTIES
UNTIL 945 PM CDT...

AT 925 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHARLESTON TO 10 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF HAYNE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
INGALLS...MONTEZUMA...CIMARRON...MISSLER...MEADE STATE PARK...THE
HAGGARD ELEV AND MEADE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3801 10068 3800 10024 3749 10023 3700 10010
      3699 10081
TIME...MOT...LOC 0229Z 243DEG 40KT 3804 10044 3700 10066

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

UMSCHEID

056 
WWUS53 KDDC 110238
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
938 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

KSC055-069-081-119-175-110247-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0285.000000T0000Z-131011T0245Z/
SEWARD KS-MEADE KS-HASKELL KS-GRAY KS-FINNEY KS-
938 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL FINNEY...GRAY...
EASTERN HASKELL...MEADE AND EASTERN SEWARD COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
945 PM CDT/845 PM MDT/...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY.  HOWEVER...GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 3801 10068 3800 10024 3749 10023 3700 10010
      3699 10081
TIME...MOT...LOC 0237Z 243DEG 40KT 3806 10032 3702 10056

$$

UMSCHEID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
830 PM CDT Thu Oct 10 2013

...Update to short term...

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 333 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

This mornings upper air analysis showed a deep 500 millibar trough/
low pressure system situated near Las Vegas. A 110 knot jet at 250
millibars extended around the south and southeast quadrant of the
upper low which is helping kick the low east and northeast toward
the central High Plains this afternoon.  Surface low pressure was
deepening across east central and northeast Colorado where 3 hour
pressure falls of 3-4 millibars were noted by early afternoon. The
increasing pressure gradient across southwest Kansas has helped
increase southerly winds to near advisory levels by early afternoon.
Low level moisture return into the central high plains has been
fairly weak as expected as dewpoints have increased into the low to
mid 50s this afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
ISSUED AT 822 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

A solid line of thunderstorms has developed across western Kansas
along a cold front. Rain chances were increased for much of
central and southwest Kansas ahead of this line. This line extends
into the Texas Panhandle, so current thinking is that places like
Dodge City, Meade and Ness City will get some measurable rainfall,
perhaps a quarter of an inch in many places with a few locations
receiving up to a half inch.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
ISSUED AT 323 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

Medium range models indicate an upper level trough of low pressure
lifting northeast out of the Dakotas into Canada to begin the period
Saturday. As it does so, drier air will filter southward into
western Kansas resulting in dry conditions across the area through
early Sunday. A secondary upper level trough is then projected
to dip southeast across the Pacific Northwest into the Great Basin
Region over the course of the weekend bringing the next reasonable
chance for precip to portions of western Kansas late Sunday. As the
upper level feature approaches, an area of high pressure is
expected to drift slowly east out of the Northern Plains into the
Upper Midwest slowly returning a southeast flow to western Kansas.
A subsequent moisture return will help increase moisture into
central and portions of southwest Kansas with dewpoints climbing
back up into the 50s(F) to possibly near 60F ahead of an
approaching cold front. As favorable dynamic support aloft
increases, periods of showers and thunderstorms are expected
late Sunday through Monday.

Near normal temperatures are expected Saturday, even as cooler air
filters southward into western Kansas in wake of a cold frontal
passage late Friday. The NAM/GFS/ECMWF show H85 temperatures falling
to just above 10C across central Kansas to near 15C in far southwest
Kansas. So, even with plenty of sunshine, look for highs only up
into the 60s(F) along the I-70 corridor to possibly the lower 70s(F)
closer to the Oklahoma border Saturday afternoon. A gradual warming
trend is then projected through Monday as the low level flow becomes
more southerly Sunday and southwesterly Monday drawing warmer air
northward into western Kansas.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
ISSUED AT 644 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

Strong south winds at 30kts will persist ahead of a cold front.
A line of thunderstorms will develop along the front and sweep
across the TAF sites between 02 and 05z. South to southwest wind
gusts as high as 50 kts are possilble ahead and along the storm
line, along with blowing dust and brief heavy rain. After the front
passes, winds will shift to the southwest at 15 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  49  77  43  70 /  80   0   0   0
GCK  49  75  43  69 /  90   0   0   0
EHA  46  73  43  68 /  50   0   0   0
LBL  49  76  44  71 /  80   0   0   0
HYS  56  78  44  68 /  80   0   0   0
P28  62  82  49  73 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY until 1 AM CDT /Midnight MDT/ Friday FOR KSZ030-
031-043>046-061>065-074>080-084>088.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Gerard
SHORT TERM...Finch
LONG TERM...JJohnson
AVIATION...Finch

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
437 AM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-110945-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
437 AM CDT THU OCT 10 2013 /337 AM MDT THU OCT 10 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS WEST OF HIGHWAY 283 THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. SEE THE LATEST URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE
FOR MORE DETAILS.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR WESTERN
KANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. QUARTER SIZED
HAIL...WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE
THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL
IF ANY OF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

A FEW SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED WEST OF HIGHWAY 283 THIS EVENING.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

42

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
739 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 S MANTER              37.49N 101.89W
10/10/2013  E65.00 MPH       STANTON            KS   PUBLIC

&&

GERARD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
751 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0733 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 ENE JOHNSON CITY      37.58N 101.72W
10/10/2013  M63.00 MPH       STANTON            KS   AWOS

&&

GERARD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
824 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0758 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 ESE KENDALL           37.93N 101.52W
10/10/2013  M84.00 MPH       KEARNY             KS   PUBLIC

            A TREE LIMB WAS BLOWN ONTO HOUSE ACROSS THE ROAD FROM
            THIS LOCATION. POWERLINES WERE ALSO BLOWN DOWN.

&&

GERARD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
843 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LAKIN                   37.94N 101.26W
10/10/2013                   KEARNY             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WIND DAMAGE OCCURRED TO THE SIDE OF A MOBILE HOME.
            POWERLINES WERE ALSO BLOWN DOWN.

&&

GERARD