Severe Thunderstorm Warning 121, NWS Springfield, MO

946 
WWUS53 KSGF 010101
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
801 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

KSC011-037-010111-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0121.000000T0000Z-130601T0130Z/
BOURBON KS-CRAWFORD KS-
801 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN CRAWFORD AND
SOUTHEASTERN BOURBON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED EASTWARD OUT 
OF THE WARNED AREA.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3754 9408 3754 9432 3783 9431 3792 9412
      3793 9408
TIME...MOT...LOC 0101Z 254DEG 40KT 3783 9419 3754 9418

$$

MOC011-217-010130-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0121.000000T0000Z-130601T0130Z/
BARTON MO-VERNON MO-
801 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
VERNON AND NORTHEASTERN BARTON COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM CDT...

AT 756 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTH OF SHELDON TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF
SHELDON...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...VEHICLES AND CROPS.
         EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
IRWIN...MILFORD...MILO...MONTEVALLO AND SHELDON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3754 9408 3754 9432 3783 9431 3792 9412
      3793 9408
TIME...MOT...LOC 0101Z 254DEG 40KT 3783 9419 3754 9418

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

RUNNELS

342 
WWUS53 KSGF 010131
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
831 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

MOC011-217-010141-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0121.000000T0000Z-130601T0130Z/
BARTON MO-VERNON MO-
831 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN VERNON AND
NORTHEASTERN BARTON COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA INTO CEDAR AND NORTHWEST DADE COUNTIES.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3754 9408 3754 9432 3783 9431 3792 9412
      3793 9408
TIME...MOT...LOC 0101Z 254DEG 40KT 3783 9419 3754 9418

$$

RUNNELS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
ISSUED AT 712 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE TORNADO WATCH THAT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM FOR AREAS NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 44 HAS BEEN EXTENDED SOUTH TO THE ARKANSAS BORDER
AND ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 65. SEVERAL STRONG SUPERCELLS HAVE
FORMED OVER NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...AND ARE TRACKING TOWARD THE
NEWLY WATCHED AREA. IN PARTICULAR...ONE PARTICULARLY WELL
ORGANIZED SUPERCELL IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ALONG THE OKLAHOMA
KANSAS BORDER INTO FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI. ADDITIONAL STORMS
MAY FOLLOW IT INTO THE AREA. ENVIRONMENTAL PARAMETERS REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT. MLCAPE VALUES IN EXCESS OF
3000 J/KG...LOW LEVEL HELICITY VALUES EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO
VALUES NEAR 200...AND SUFFICIENTLY LOW LCL HEIGHTS ALL FAVOR THE
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WITH THESES SUPERCELLS. THE 00Z SOUNDING
FROM SPRINGFIELD SHOWS A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH NO CAPPING
AND VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES IN THE MID LEVELS. LARGE HAIL AND A
FEW STRONG TORNADOES ARE SUPPORTED BY THIS SOUNDING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1233 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

SEE MESO AFD FOR MORE DETAILS THROUGH TONIGHT. MAIN CONCERN LATE
TONIGHT WILL BE FLOODING/HYDRO ISSUES. A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL
JET WILL IMPINGE ON APPROACHING MESOSCALE SFC BOUNDARY. PROGGED
PWATS AROUND 1.75 INCHES WITH CONTINUED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
ADVECTION WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS WITH
HEAVY RAINFALL DEVELOPING ON THE OUTFLOW DOMINATE PORTION OF THE
MCS SOMEWHERE OVER THE REGION WHERE STORMS CAN TRAIN ALONG A WSW-
ENE ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. FCST GUIDANCE HAS TARGETED THE MO
OZARK PLATEAU FOR THIS SCENARIO WITH AN EXCESS OF 3-4 INCHES OF
RAIN...BUT CONFIDENCE ON THE PRECISE LOCATION OF THE EXCESSIVE/HEAVY
RAIN WILL BE AN UNFOLDING STORM AND MESOSCALE ISSUE.

THE COLD FRONT WILL FINALLY MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY. MAY
HAVE TO WATCH FOR SOME REDEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT AS IT
EXITS...BUT WILL TACKLE THAT LATER ON.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1233 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE QUIET AND COOL WITH HIGH PRESSURE NOSING
SOUTH INTO THE AREA. ANOTHER UPPER LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE UPPER
PLAINS WITH EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES IN THE W-E UPPER LEVEL FLOW TOWARD
THE MID/LATE WEEK PERIOD WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1233 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

CONVECTION CURRENTLY TO THE NORTH OF THE TAF SITES AT 23Z. WILL
GRADUALLY SEE THIS TRANSITION SOUTHEASTWARD TONIGHT...BUT
TRANSITION WILL BE A SLOW ONE. HRRR SEEMS TO HANDLE THIS THIS BEST
AND HAVE USED AS GUIDANCE ON TAKING PRECIPITATION SOUTH THROUGH
THE AREA TONIGHT. EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION
AND MVFR CONDITIONS WITHIN THE CONVECTION. COLD FRONT SHOULD PUSH
THROUGH THE AREA ON SATURDAY FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

MESOSCALE...KARDELL
SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...DSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
154 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-011900-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
154 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED TORNADO RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP AFTER 4 PM INTO THIS EVENING. SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
BASEBALLS...DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH...AND TORNADOES.

THE GREATEST RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 4 PM AND
MIDNIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST RISK FOR TORNADOES ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI WEST OF MISSOURI HIGHWAY 5.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 4 INCHES COULD LEAD TO
ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING. THE GREATEST RISK
FOR SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING WILL BE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY.

SOUTH WINDS WILL GUST TO 30 MPH AT TIMES ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE RISK FOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY AS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY
RAINFALL CONTINUES.

THERE IS A LIMITED TO ELEVATED RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE
EASTERN OZARKS AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI SATURDAY.

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OVER WESTERN
MISSOURI AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND OVER ALL THE AREA THIS
EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
622 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     HAIL             2 S GIRARD              37.48N 94.84W
05/31/2013  E2.50 INCH       CRAWFORD           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

LDOOLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
627 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0626 PM     HEAVY RAIN       FLORENCE                38.59N 92.98W
05/31/2013  E3.00 INCH       MORGAN             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THREE INCHES OF RAIN IN ABOUT 2.5 HOURS.

&&

LINDENBERG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
650 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

MOZ055-056-010015-
BENTON MO-MORGAN MO-
650 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BENTON AND NORTHERN
MORGAN COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

AT 647 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES NORTH OF EDMONSON...OR 13 MILES NORTHEAST
OF WARSAW...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE COLE CAMP...CROCKERVILLE...EDMONSON...
FLORENCE...MORA...STOVER...SYRACUSE AND VERSAILLES.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN BENTON AND NORTHERN MORGAN COUNTIES...
INCLUDING STOVER AND VERSAILLES...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3869 9284 3868 9283 3860 9283 3844 9264
      3826 9322 3842 9331 3854 9320 3854 9307
      3868 9307 3870 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 2351Z 243DEG 46KT 3839 9314

BOXELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
729 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E GIRARD              37.51N 94.81W
05/31/2013                   CRAWFORD           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY 47 EAST OF GIRARD FLOODED.

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
730 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 S ARMA                37.49N 94.70W
05/31/2013                   CRAWFORD           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY 69 FLOODED NORTH OF FRONTENAC.

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
740 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 E LIBERAL             37.56N 94.50W
05/31/2013                   BARTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER FLOWING OVER HIGHWAY K EAST OF LIBERAL.

&&

KARDELL