River Flood Advisory 75, NWS Nashville, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
406 AM CDT THU AUG 8 2013

.DISCUSSION...
LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWING COLD FRONT RUNNING FROM THE GREAT LAKES
DOWN INTO THE PLAINS. AIRMASS AHEAD REMAINS PLENTY MOIST AND
UNSTABLE. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG WITH BITS OF ENERGY PASSING
PERIODICALLY IN ML/UL N/NW FLOW WILL BE KEY PLAYERS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. THIS FRONT EXPECTED TO SAG SOUTHWARD TODAY...SETTING
UP ACROSS KY...AND THEN REMAINS IN THAT GENERAL VICINITY THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY BEFORE DROPPING DOWN AND HOLDING OVER THE MID-STATE.
UVV EXPECTED TO BE ENHANCED AS SERIES OF WEAK WAVES RIDES UP ALONG
BOUNDARY AND COMBINES WITH PASSING ML/UL IMPULSES. MODERATE/DEEP
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AND GIVEN SYNOPTIC/MESOSCALE
FEATURES...CURRENT TREND OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS
WILL REMAIN INTACT THROUGH SUNDAY. SEVERE POTENTIAL OF STORMS
REMAINS ON LOW SIDE BUT LOCALIZED FLOODING VERY POSSIBLE AS
TRAINING AFFECTS ALONG QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY QUITE FEASIBLE.

FRONTAL BOUNDARY SEEMS TO WORK BACK NORTH INTO KY LATE SUNDAY AS
ML/UL FLOW REMAINS MORE WESTERLY BUT SECONDARY FRONT DROPS OUT OF
THE GREAT LAKES. KY BOUNDARY LOOKS TO WASH OUT LATER MONDAY WHILE
SECONDARY BOUNDARY BECOMES DOMINANT. UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS MONDAY-
TUESDAY...WHICH WILL PUSH THIS FRONT SOUTH OF THE AREA LATER
TUESDAY. BOUNDARY BECOMES STATIONARY ACROSS CENTRAL MS/AL/GA
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY. PASSING BOUNDARY WILL KEEP PCPN CHANCES
FAIRLY HIGH EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT CHANCES WILL BE REDUCED MID-WEEK
WITH FOCUS SHIFTED SOUTH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      86  73  87  72 /  60  50  60  50
CLARKSVILLE    86  71  86  70 /  60  50  50  60
CROSSVILLE     80  69  80  68 /  60  40  60  40
COLUMBIA       86  73  87  72 /  60  40  50  40
LAWRENCEBURG   86  72  87  71 /  60  30  50  30
WAVERLY        86  72  87  71 /  60  40  50  50

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
538 AM CDT WED AUG 7 2013

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-081030-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-BENTON-
HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-
SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-
WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-
CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-
GILES-
538 AM CDT WED AUG 7 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT.
STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG AT TIMES LOCALLY...PRODUCING GUSTY
WIND AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. STRONGER STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE
MINOR STREET FLOODING AS WELL AS RISES ON CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

07