Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2013

Flash Flood Warning 29, NWS Little Rock, AR

May 30, 20136 counties in Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this flash flood warning at May 30, 2013, 8:55 PM CDT for 6 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 30, 2013, 8:55 PM CDT (01:55 UTC)
Expired: May 31, 2013, 12:00 AM CDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Little Rock, AR
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 00:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 260 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1600 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -19 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1217 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 69 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 151 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.8
Supercell composite: 7.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 30, 2:03 PM CDT, 6 hours 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 2:03 PM CDT, 6 hours 52 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
203 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH
ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...HIGH SHEAR...AND INSTABILITY
PRESENT. SOME SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...AND A TORNADO WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED THROUGH 02Z. SOME STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE BRIEF
HEAVY RAINFALL AS WELL...GIVEN THE SLOW MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR...AND
INCREASING PRECIPITABLE WATER.

ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY TRANSLATE NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...DIMINISHING A BIT AFTER SUNSET. HOWEVER...
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS/STORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS ANOTHER WAVE MOVES
THROUGH...AND THE LOW LEVEL JET KICKS IN. THESE WILL MOST LIKELY
AFFECT NORTHERN ARKANSAS.

THERE WILL LIKELY BE A BRIEF BREAK DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. HOWEVER...
COLD FRONT WILL START TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE REGION LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND OVERSPREAD THE AREA...PARTICULARLY IN THE
NORTHWEST. DUE TO ALREADY WET GROUND...THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
EXPECTED COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE...WITH HIGHER TOTALS OF FIVE INCHES OR MORE NOT OUT
OF THE QUESTION. FOR THIS REASON...HAVE ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FOR NORTHWEST/NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS BEGINNING FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH MID DAY SATURDAY. IF MODEL TRENDS ARE ANY INDICATION...
THIS MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED SOUTHWARD A BIT IN THE NEXT 12-24
HOURS.

THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ARKANSAS MID DAY INTO
LATE SATURDAY...WITH SHOWERS/STORMS CONTINUING. WHILE LOCALIZED
HEAVY RAINFALL IS A POSSIBILITY THEN...IT/S NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS
WIDESPREAD.

FRONT SHOULD CLEAR OUT BY LATE SATURDAY...WITH COOLER WEATHER IN
THE OFFING.
&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     70  81  71  81 /  60  30  50  70
CAMDEN AR         70  85  71  88 /  50  10  20  60
HARRISON AR       67  82  68  78 /  60  30  80  80
HOT SPRINGS AR    71  85  73  83 /  50  10  20  70
LITTLE ROCK   AR  71  86  72  84 /  40  20  20  70
MONTICELLO AR     72  90  73  89 /  30  10  20  60
MOUNT IDA AR      72  84  74  83 /  50  10  30  70
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  68  82  68  81 /  60  30  80  80
NEWPORT AR        71  83  71  81 /  60  30  30  70
PINE BLUFF AR     71  85  72  85 /  30  10  20  70
RUSSELLVILLE AR   70  83  71  81 /  50  20  50  80
SEARCY AR         70  83  70  82 /  50  20  30  70
STUTTGART AR      71  85  72  86 /  40  20  20  70
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
FOR BAXTER-BOONE-MARION-NEWTON-SEARCY.
&&

SHORT TERM...57 / LONG TERM...62

Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 8:47 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
847 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-311000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
847 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH MOST OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

YET ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON
FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE
NATIONS MID SECTION. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY AND SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO
POSSIBLY SEVERE...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE MAIN SEVERE
WEATHER THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS BUT THE TORNADO
THREAT CAN NOT BE DISCOUNTED ENTIRELY.

IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG STORMS...THE MOISTURE LADEN
AIR MASS COULD ALSO LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. ROUGHLY THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE STATE IS UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER FRIDAY.

THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST ON
SATURDAY FINALLY ALLOWING A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT TO ADVANCE INTO
THE STATE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE BOUNDARY AND SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO POSSIBLY
SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN THE MAIN CONCERN. THE AREA
OF CONCERN WILL BE ALONG THE BOUNDARY ITSELF AND WILL COVER A MUCH
LARGER AREA THAN TODAY OR FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH MOST OF THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

56/55

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 30, 7:35 PM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
735 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SE NORMAN             34.44N 93.65W
05/30/2013                   MONTGOMERY         AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY 8 WAS REPORTED TO BE FLOODED.

&&

55

Local storm report, May 30, 7:54 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
754 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0747 PM     HAIL             1 E GLENWOOD            34.33N 93.53W
05/30/2013  E1.00 INCH       PIKE               AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

55

Local storm report, May 30, 8:03 PM CDT, 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
803 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 W PARON               34.77N 92.80W
05/30/2013                   SALINE             AR   AMATEUR RADIO

            CHRUCH WAS REPORTED TO BE DETROYED IN PARON.

&&

55

Local storm report, May 30, 8:07 PM CDT, 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
807 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     HAIL             4 SW BONNERDALE         34.34N 93.43W
05/30/2013  E1.25 INCH       MONTGOMERY         AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

55

Local storm report, May 30, 8:11 PM CDT, 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
811 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     TORNADO          5 NNW PARON             34.83N 92.78W
05/30/2013                   SALINE             AR   AMATEUR RADIO

            REPORTED THROUGH THE PARON FIRE DEPARTMENT.

&&

55

Local storm report, May 30, 8:31 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
831 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     TSTM WND DMG     9 SE PERRYVILLE         34.92N 92.69W
05/30/2013                   PERRY              AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES REPORTED BLOWN DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 113.

&&

55

The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 30, 7:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Saline	38 min
May 30, 7:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike	46 min
May 30, 7:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Perry, Saline, Yell	50 min
May 30, 7:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Faulkner	47 min
May 30, 7:30 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Pike, Polk, Scott and 1 more	3 hr
May 30, 7:45 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Perry, Pulaski, Saline	30 min
May 30, 7:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Hot Spring, Saline	42 min
May 30, 7:56 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Pulaski, Saline	34 min
May 30, 8:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Clark, Garland, Hot Spring	45 min
May 30, 8:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell	44 min
May 30, 8:10 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Perry, Saline	3 hr
May 30, 8:13 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline	47 min
May 30, 8:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Conway, Faulkner, White	40 min
May 30, 8:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline	51 min
May 30, 8:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Pulaski, Saline	60 min
May 30, 8:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Hot Spring	35 min
May 30, 8:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Grant, Hot Spring	61 min
May 30, 8:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Montgomery	45 min
May 30, 9:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski	64 min
May 30, 9:13 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski	47 min
May 30, 9:33 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White	3 hr
May 30, 9:38 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Grant, Saline	52 min
May 30, 9:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White	49 min
May 30, 10:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline	45 min
May 30, 10:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff	39 min
May 30, 10:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski	48 min
May 30, 10:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	White	47 min
May 30, 10:34 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Perry, Pike and 5 more	4 hr
May 30, 10:40 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LZK	Saline	36 hr
May 30, 10:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Polk, Scott	49 min
May 30, 10:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Johnson, Logan, Pope	40 min
May 30, 10:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Lonoke, Pulaski	49 min
May 30, 10:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Prairie	47 min
May 30, 11:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell	50 min
May 30, 11:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Lonoke, Prairie	43 min
May 30, 11:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Cleburne, Faulkner, White	40 min
May 30, 11:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff	39 min
May 30, 11:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Boone, Marion, Newton	53 min
May 31, 12:09 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Lonoke, Prairie, White	36 min
May 31, 12:14 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell	61 min
May 31, 12:27 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Cleburne, Faulkner, Independence, White	48 min
May 31, 12:29 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Monroe, Woodruff	31 min
May 31, 12:53 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Monroe, Woodruff	37 min
May 31, 1:24 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Cleburne	46 min
May 31, 1:48 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Van Buren	47 min
May 31, 1:58 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Polk, Scott	47 min
May 31, 2:03 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Hot Spring	6 hr
May 31, 2:30 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Logan, Montgomery, Perry and 4 more	3 hr
May 31, 2:45 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Polk, Scott	45 min
May 31, 3:17 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Baxter, Cleburne, Izard, Pope, Searcy, Stone and 1 more	5 hr
May 31, 3:27 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Montgomery	63 min
May 31, 3:38 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Cleburne, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Stone, White and 1 more	5 hr
May 31, 3:42 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Independence	43 min
May 31, 3:58 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Saline	62 min
May 31, 4:02 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Independence, Jackson, White, Woodruff	43 min
May 31, 6:19 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LZK	Yell	28 hr
May 31, 10:16 AM CDT	River Flood Advisory	LZK	Clark, Hot Spring	26 hr
May 31, 12:33 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LZK	White, Woodruff	15 days

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2013 Every flash flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.