Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 160, NWS St. Louis, MO

May 30, 2013Cole County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at May 30, 2013, 9:14 PM CDT for Cole County, Missouri. It took effect at May 31, 2013, 6:16 PM CDT. It was in force for 60 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 30, 2013, 9:14 PM CDT (02:14 UTC)
In effect from
May 31, 2013, 6:16 PM CDT
Expired
Jun 3, 2013, 6:31 AM CDT
In force
60 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Cole County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Moreau River (MO) near Jefferson City (JCMM7). The gauge peaked at 30.28 ft at Jun 2, 2013, 1:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderatemajor10203005/3106/0106/0206/0306/04
Action stage
13 ft
Minor stage
17 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
29 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06910750, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

619 
WGUS43 KLSX 310214
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
914 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI... 


  MOREAU RIVER 

     NEAR JEFFERSON CITY...AFFECTING COLE COUNTY


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 1 TO 1.25 INCHES OF RAINFALL 
RECEIVED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS...AND UPWARDS OF 1.00 INCH FORECAST 
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS FORECAST INCORPORATES 
24 HOURS OF FORECAST PRECIPITATION...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL BEYOND 24 
HOURS COULD RESULT IN A HIGHER OR PROLONGED CREST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC051-010214-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0160.130601T0445Z-130603T0328Z/
/JCMM7.1.ER.130601T0445Z.130601T1200Z.130602T0328Z.NO/
914 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY LATE EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     05/31  06/01  06/02  06/03  06/04

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0    2.95       8.1   18.5   12.3    4.1    2.7
12 follow-up statements
739 
WGUS43 KLSX 311506
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1006 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...


  MOREAU RIVER NEAR 

      JEFFERSON CITY


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 0.75-1.25 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS AND AN ADDITIONAL 1.50-2.50 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC051-011506-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.130601T0024Z-130603T1928Z/
/JCMM7.2.ER.130601T0024Z.130602T0000Z.130602T1928Z.NO/
1006 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING
  AND CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 25.8 FEET EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/01  06/02  06/03  06/04  06/05

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0    7.59      24.0   22.8    6.1    3.2    2.6
512 
WGUS83 KLSX 311920
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
220 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  MARIES RIVER 

     NEAR WESTPHALIA...AFFECTING OSAGE COUNTY 


  MOREAU RIVER 

     NEAR JEFFERSON CITY...AFFECTING COLE COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 2.50-3.00 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS AND AN ADDITIONAL 1.50-2.50 INCHES FORECAST THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC151-011920-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0163.000000T0000Z-130603T0709Z/
/WPHM7.2.ER.130531T1626Z.130601T1200Z.130602T0709Z.NO/
220 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARIES RIVER NEAR WESTPHALIA
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT  2:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.5 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.3 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 608 NORTH OF THE BRIDGE BEGINS 
  FLOODING NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 512 JUST SOUTH OF WESTPHALIA 
  BEGINS FLOODING NEAR A SMALL CREEK BRIDGE NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 13.9 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 615 JUST NORTH OF THE U.S. 
  HIGHWAY 63 BRIDGE BEGINS FLOODING AT THIS HEIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3827 9202 3827 9194 3846 9194 3850 9197 3840 9205


$$

MOC051-011919-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.130531T2316Z-130603T1904Z/
/JCMM7.2.ER.130531T2316Z.130602T0000Z.130602T1904Z.NO/
220 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  1:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING 
  AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 25.8 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/01  06/02  06/03  06/04  06/05

MARIES RIVER
  WESTPHALIA      10.0   13.12      15.5    7.9    4.5    3.4    3.1

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   12.43      24.5   22.2    6.5    3.2    2.8
305 
WGUS83 KLSX 010241
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
941 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  MARIES RIVER 

     NEAR WESTPHALIA...AFFECTING OSAGE COUNTY 


  MOREAU RIVER 

     NEAR JEFFERSON CITY...AFFECTING COLE COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF UPWARDS OF 3.00 INCHES OF RAIN OVER 
THE PAST 24 HOURS AND AN ADDITIONAL 1.00-1.50 INCHES FORECAST THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC151-020241-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0163.000000T0000Z-130603T0410Z/
/WPHM7.2.ER.130531T1626Z.130601T1200Z.130602T0410Z.NO/
941 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARIES RIVER NEAR WESTPHALIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.3 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3827 9202 3827 9194 3846 9194 3850 9197 3840 9205


$$

MOC051-020240-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-130603T1526Z/
/JCMM7.2.ER.130601T0004Z.130602T0000Z.130602T1526Z.NO/
941 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.7 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/01  06/02  06/03  06/04  06/05

MARIES RIVER
  WESTPHALIA      10.0   14.92      16.3    6.7    4.5    3.4    3.1

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   18.93      23.9   20.5    4.9    2.7    2.2
285 
WGUS83 KLSX 010727
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
227 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF NEARLY 3.00 INCHES OF RAIN THE
PAST COUPLE OF DAYS AND LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH OF ADDITIONAL RAIN
IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC051-020727-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-130603T1556Z/
/JCMM7.2.ER.130601T0004Z.130602T0000Z.130602T1556Z.NO/
227 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* UNTIL SUNDAY. 
* AT 1:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 26.0 FEET THIS EVENING. THE
  RIVER WILL THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/01  06/02  06/03  06/04  06/05

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   22.12      24.4   21.0    4.9    2.7    2.2
382 
WGUS83 KLSX 011436
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
936 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  MARIES RIVER NEAR WESTPHALIA 

  MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY 
 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC151-021436-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0163.000000T0000Z-130603T0646Z/
/WPHM7.2.ER.130531T1626Z.130601T0630Z.130602T0646Z.NO/
936 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARIES RIVER NEAR WESTPHALIA
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 9:01 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A SECONDARY CREST NEAR 18.0 FEET
  EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE FALLING BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3827 9202 3827 9194 3846 9194 3850 9197 3840 9205


$$

MOC051-021435-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-130603T1745Z/
/JCMM7.2.ER.130601T0004Z.130602T0000Z.130602T1745Z.NO/
936 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* UNTIL EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 26.4 FEET EARLY THIS EVENING.
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/02  06/03  06/04  06/05  06/06

MARIES RIVER
  WESTPHALIA      10.0   17.37       8.0    5.2    3.9    3.5    3.2

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   24.97      21.9    6.4    3.3    2.6    2.4
850 
WGUS43 KLSX 020027
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
727 PM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...OBSERVED AND FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR 
SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...


  MOREAU RIVER 

     NEAR JEFFERSON CITY...AFFECTING COLE COUNTY


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL RECEIVED OVER 
THE RIVER BASIN DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS...INCLUDING 3 TO 4 INCHES 
OF RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...AND NO ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION 
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC051-030027-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-130603T2209Z/
/JCMM7.3.ER.130601T0004Z.130602T0600Z.130602T2209Z.NO/
727 PM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...OBSERVED FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY...
...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* AT  6:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.5 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 29.3 FEET...WATER LEVEL REACHES THE LOW STEEL OF THE 
  BRIDGE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/02  06/03  06/04  06/05  06/06

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   29.06      26.4    7.7    3.4    2.6    2.4
524 
WGUS83 KLSX 020821
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
321 AM CDT SUN JUN 2 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY AFFECTING COLE COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WAS 
RECEIVED OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS...AND NO ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC051-030821-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-130603T2222Z/
/JCMM7.3.ER.130601T0004Z.130602T0600Z.130602T2222Z.NO/
321 AM CDT SUN JUN 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  2:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 29.3 FEET...WATER LEVEL REACHES THE LOW STEEL OF THE 
  BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/03  06/04  06/05  06/06  06/07

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   30.21      28.0    8.0    3.4    2.6    2.4
745 
WGUS83 KLSX 020825 CCA
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT ...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
321 AM CDT SUN JUN 2 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY AFFECTING COLE COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WAS 
RECEIVED OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS...AND NO ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION 
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC051-030821-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-130603T2222Z/
/JCMM7.3.ER.130601T0004Z.130602T0600Z.130602T2222Z.NO/
321 AM CDT SUN JUN 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  2:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 29.3 FEET...WATER LEVEL REACHES THE LOW STEEL OF THE 
  BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/03  06/04  06/05  06/06  06/07

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   30.21      28.0    8.0    3.4    2.6    2.4
302 
WGUS83 KLSX 021421
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
921 AM CDT SUN JUN 2 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...


  MOREAU RIVER NEAR

    JEFFERSON CITY
 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 3 TO 6 SINCE THURSDAY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC051-031421-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-130604T1032Z/
/JCMM7.3.ER.130601T0004Z.130602T0600Z.130603T1032Z.NO/
921 AM CDT SUN JUN 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* UNTIL MONDAY.
* AT 8:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 30.2 FEET AT MIDNIGHT AND IS 
  FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 29.3 FEET...WATER LEVEL REACHES THE LOW STEEL OF THE 
  BRIDGE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/03  06/04  06/05  06/06  06/07

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   29.40      16.0    4.4    3.2    2.9    2.8
432 
WGUS83 KLSX 022212
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
512 PM CDT SUN JUN 2 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI..


  MOREAU RIVER 

     NEAR JEFFERSON CITY


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL RECEIVED AT THE 
END OF THE WEEK...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC051-032212-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-130604T1032Z/
/JCMM7.3.ER.130601T0004Z.130602T0600Z.130603T1032Z.NO/
512 PM CDT SUN JUN 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  4:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/03  06/04  06/05  06/06  06/07

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   27.01      16.0    4.4    3.2    2.9    2.8
808 
WGUS83 KLSX 030040
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
739 PM CDT SUN JUN 2 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  MOREAU RIVER

	NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL RECEIVED AT THE 
END OF THE WEEK...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC051-040039-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-130604T1118Z/
/JCMM7.3.ER.130601T0004Z.130602T0600Z.130603T1118Z.NO/
739 PM CDT SUN JUN 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  6:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/03  06/04  06/05  06/06  06/07

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   25.85      16.5    4.4    3.4    3.2    3.0
309 
WGUS83 KLSX 031131
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
631 AM CDT MON JUN 3 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...


  MOREAU RIVER NEAR

    JEFFERSON CITY


.THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS EVENT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC051-031201-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-130604T1118Z/
/JCMM7.3.ER.130601T0004Z.130602T0600Z.130603T0855Z.NO/
631 AM CDT MON JUN 3 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY.
* AT 5:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 4 AM MONDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL TO NEAR 3.5 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY EVENING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/03  06/04  06/05  06/06  06/07

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   14.94       13.3    4.4    3.4    3.2    3.0

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 30, 8:46 PM CDT, 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 8:46 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
846 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 840 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE PROCEEDING ABOUT AS ANTICIPATED THIS
EVENING. WHILE MUCH OF THE SHORT TERM UPDATING WILL BE REACTIVE
FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT...GENERALLY SPEAKING I EXPECT THE LINE
OF STORMS NOW MOVING THROUGH SOUTHWEST/SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI TO
CONTINUE MOVING STEADILY EAST FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE RAP CONTINUES TO SHOW A VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL
JET WITH TREMENDOUS MOISTURE CONVERGENCE OVER THE AREA FOR MUCH OF
THE REST OF THE NIGHT...AND THE HRRR SLOWS THE LINE FURTHER OVER
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CWFA. IT ALSO DEVELOPS THE
CONVECTION NOW PERCOLATING OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS INTO
ANOTHER HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING MCS BEFORE BY 10Z AND IT MOVES EAST INTO
OUR AREA BY AROUND 12Z. DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAIN TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING...AM GOING TO EXPAND THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH TO THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA STARTING IMMEDIATELY AND
CONTINUING TO 12Z SATURDAY.

CARNEY

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THROUGH LATE TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 240 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

TORNADO WATCH CONTINUES UNTIL 8 PM.  ATMOSPHERE OUTSIDE OF OUTFLOW
COOLED AIR HAS BECOME QUITE UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES ABOVE 2000 J/KG.
AT THE SAME TIME...DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS INCREASING IN RESPONSE TO
APPROACHING TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS.  THIS TROUGH
IS THE MAIN FOCUS FOR LARGE SCALE ASCENT TONIGHT AND CONSEQUENTLY IT
WILL DETERMINE THE OVERALL PRECIPITATION TRENDS.  RAP SHOWS THIS
TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CWA AROUND 06Z...SO CURRENT THINKING IS
THAT LINE OF STORMS OVER WESTERN MO WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE
EAST ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
AFOREMENTIONED INSTABILITY AND SHEAR STILL FAVORS THE POTENTIAL FOR
A FEW SUPERCELLS OR ORGANIZED MULTI-CELLS THAT COULD PRODUCE LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  LOW LEVEL SHEAR ALSO SUGGESTS THAT ONE OR
TWO TORNADOES COULD FORM IN THE STRONGER STORMS.  STILL LOOKS
REASONABLE THAT WESTERN MO LINE WILL EXIT THE EASTERN COUNTIES LATER
THIS EVENING. OUTFLOW FROM THE LINE WILL LIKELY STALL OVER SOUTHERN
MO...SO KEPT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS GOING IN THE SOUTHERN CWA INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.   STILL EXPECT REDEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVER WESTERN MO ON THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET OVERNIGHT THAT WILL
MOVE INTO NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL MO TOWARD 12Z.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE AS IS.  HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL FOCUS
OVER THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT AND THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES
HAVE HIGH FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE.  ATMOSPHERE IS VERY MOIST AND DEEP
LAYER FLOW FAVORS TRAINING TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 240 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE SOMEWHAT UNCLEAR FOR FRIDAY MORNING.  SOME
GUIDANCE SHOWS LINGERING CONVECTION ACROSS THE EASTERN OZARKS AND
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. THIS COULD BE POSSIBLE IF THE AFOREMENTIONED OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FROM THURSDAY NIGHT'S CONVECTION IS STILL IN PLACE OVER
THOSE AREAS. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS A DRYING TREND
BY AROUND 12Z ACROSS THE AREA. THEN...THE LOW LEVEL JET REFOCUSES
BACK OVER NORTHERN/NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI. ALL GUIDANCE SHOWS A
TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IN THAT AREA STARTING
ABOUT 12Z AND RAIN DEVELOPING BETWEEN 12Z AND 15Z...SPREADING INTO
NORTHEAST MISSOURI/WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS PROBABLY DURING THE MID
TO LATE MORNING. INSTABILITY WILL BUILD RAPIDLY DURING THE LATE
MORNING WITH MUCAPE EXCEEDING 2500 J/KG ACCORDING TO MOST GUIDANCE
AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 50-60KTS SO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AT ANY TIME DURING THE LATE MORNING. HOWEVER...THE MAIN
SHOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY
EVENING AS ANOTHER LOBE OF VORTICITY WRAPS AROUND THE SOUTH SIDE
OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND PUSHES THE SURFACE FRONT INTO NORTHWEST
MISSOURI. WHATEVER'S LEFT OF THE CAP WILL ALSO BE WIPED AWAY.
AFTERNOON CAPE VALUES LOOK TO BE IN EXCESS OF 3000 J/KG WITH SHEAR
STAYING ABOVE 50KTS. THINK THERE WILL BE SOME DISCRETE STORMS
INITIALLY...BUT WITH LITTLE OR NO CAP AND COPIOUS CAPE WE SHOULD
SEE THE STORMS CONGEAL INTO A LINE. CANNOT RULE OUT ANY KIND OF
SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND EVEN
TORNADOES WITH THE LINE. THE LINE SHOULD PROGRESS AT A MODERATE
PACE INTO SOUTHEAST MISSOURI BY EARLY MORNING SATURDAY. OF COURSE
WITH THE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL AND NEARLY SATURATED GROUND THERE
WILL BE A CONTINUING FLASH FLOOD THREAT...AND IT'S LIKELY THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL NEED TO BE EXPANDED EITHER EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING OR FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO COVER THE REST OF THE CWFA.

CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE INITIAL LINE OF CONVECTION WILL WEAKEN
OVER THE EASTERN OZARKS SATURDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER THERE WILL BE
REDEVELOPMENT BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...PERHAPS AS FAR NORTHWEST
AS THE COLUMBIA AREA...AS THE SURFACE COLD FRONT FINALLY KICKS INTO
GEAR AND HEADS EAST.  SPC STILL HAS THE SOUTHEASTERN 2/3 OF THE CWFA
IN A SLIGHT RISK SATURDAY...INCLUDING THE STL METRO AREA AND POINTS
ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-44/I-55 CORRIDORS.  THE UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE FINALLY SWINGS THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
PUSHING THE COLD FRONT SOUTHEAST INTO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI/TENNESSEE VALLEYS.

(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)

HIGH PRESSURE IS STILL EXPECTED TO BUILD ACROSS THE MIDWEST SUNDAY
AND CONTROL THE WEATHER AT LEAST THROUGH MONDAY.  EXPECTING BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LESS HUMID CONDITIONS THROUGH THAT PERIOD.
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE IS A LITTLE FASTER THAN YESTERDAY IN PUSHING
THE HIGH EAST AWAY FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  SOUTHERLY FLOW
RETURNS TUESDAY AND BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF PRINT OUT PRECIP LATE
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS A SHORTWAVE DIPS INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS.  THE GFS IS MUCH MORE DYNAMIC WITH THIS WAVE THAN THE ECMWF
AND THEREFORE CRANKS OUT A LOT MORE PRECIP.  HAVE OPTED TO JUST
STICK WITH CHANCE POPS FOR THIS PERIOD RIGHT NOW.  WILL CONTINUE TO
WATCH THIS NEXT WAVE AND INCREASE POPS AS NEEDED IF BOTH MODELS
CONTINUE TO TREND WETTER.

CARNEY

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 644 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST ACROSS
THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST THIS EVENING. MOST OF THE
LIGHTNING WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE ON THE LEADING EDGE...THOUGH
RAIN WITH SOME LIGHTING MAY LAST AT ANY ONE AIRPORT FOR UP TO 4
HOURS. CONDITIONS ARE MAINLY VFR EXCEPT IN THE HEAVIER CORES WHERE
THEY MAY TEMPORARILY DROP TO IFR. THE STRONGEST STORMS HAVE NOW
MOVED INTO SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS WHERE SOME STRONG GUSTS AND HAIL CAN
BE EXPECT TO THE EAST OF THE ST. LOUIS METRO TAF SITES. EXPECT
THIS LINE TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST. THUNDERSTORMS MAY PERSIST
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
STILL EXPECT ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER WESTERN MO
LATE TONIGHT THAT WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI ON
FRIDAY MORNING. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS THAT WILL AFFECT KCOU
AND THE ST. LOUIS METRO TAF SITES WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL...THUNDERSTORMS WITH A RECENT REPORT OF WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL PASS NEAR THE AIRPORT WITHIN THE NEXT HALF
HOUR. THIS STORM IS AHEAD OF THE MAIN AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TERMINAL THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
THEN EXPECT MAINLY DRY AND VFR CONDITIONS UNTIL A LINE OF STORMS
MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

BRITT

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR AUDRAIN MO-BOONE
     MO-CALLAWAY MO-COLE MO-CRAWFORD MO-FRANKLIN MO-GASCONADE MO-
     IRON MO-JEFFERSON MO-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-LINCOLN MO-MADISON MO-
     MARION MO-MONITEAU MO-MONROE MO-MONTGOMERY MO-OSAGE MO-PIKE
     MO-RALLS MO-REYNOLDS MO-SHELBY MO-ST. CHARLES MO-ST.
     FRANCOIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-ST. LOUIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE
     MO-WARREN MO-WASHINGTON MO.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR ADAMS IL-BOND IL-
     BROWN IL-CALHOUN IL-CLINTON IL-FAYETTE IL-GREENE IL-JERSEY
     IL-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON IL-MARION IL-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY IL-
     PIKE IL-RANDOLPH IL-ST. CLAIR IL-WASHINGTON IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 3:43 PM CDT, 5 hours 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
343 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-311200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
343 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. THE MAIN
THREATS ARE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...BUT BRIEF TORNADOES
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL...SO A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS FORECAST ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH SATURDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGHOUT THIS PERIOD. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN
EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70 THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING DUE TO THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN.

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY. IN ADDITION TO SEVERE WEATHER...SPOTTERS
ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY RAINFALLS OF OVER AN INCH OR ANY
FLOODING THAT THEY OBSERVE.

CARNEY

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 30, 7:36 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
736 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0723 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 S TAYLOR SPRINGS      39.04N  89.50W
05/30/2013                   MONTGOMERY         IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2 FOOT DIAMETER WALNUT TREE UPROOTED.

&&

GOSSELIN
Local storm report, May 30, 7:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
752 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0732 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HILLSBORO               39.16N  89.48W
05/30/2013                   MONTGOMERY         IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW LARGE TREES WERE DOWN IN THE HILLSBORO IL AREA.
            ONE TREE FELL ON TOP OF A VEHICLE.

&&

PRZYBYLINSKI
Local storm report, May 30, 7:57 PM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
757 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0739 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 N HILLSBORO           39.26N  89.48W
05/30/2013                   MONTGOMERY         IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL LARGE TREE LIMBS 6 TO 8 INCHES WERE DOWN 7
            MILES NORTH OF HILLSBORO IL

&&

PRZYBYLINSKI
Local storm report, May 30, 8:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
805 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GREENVILLE              38.89N  89.40W
05/30/2013                   BOND               IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS SMALL TREE LIMBS DOWN...AND A FEW LIMBS
            MEASURING 6 TO 8 INCHES IN DIAMETER.

&&

CARNEY
Local storm report, May 30, 8:49 PM CDT, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
849 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GIRARD                  39.45N  89.78W
05/30/2013                   MACOUPIN           IL   AMATEUR RADIO

            SEVERAL LARGE TREES ARE DOWN FROM THE WEST OF SIDE
            GIRARD TO 5.0 MILES WEST OF GIRARD.

&&

PRZYBYLINSKI
Special weather statement, May 30, 8:55 PM CDT, 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
855 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

MOZ062-072-073-310245-
CRAWFORD MO-FRANKLIN MO-WASHINGTON MO-
855 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN WASHINGTON...
SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN AND NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM
CDT...

AT 852 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF BOURBON TO 6 MILES
NORTHEAST OF STEELVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  SULLIVAN...
  ANTHONIES MILL...
  ST. CLAIR...
  UNION...
  VILLA RIDGE...
  GRAY SUMMIT...
  PACIFIC...
  PARKWAY...
  RICHWOODS...
  LONEDELL...

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TILLY

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 30, 9:03 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion57 hr
May 30, 9:09 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLincoln67 hr
May 30, 10:29 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXBoone12 hr
May 30, 10:57 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXMarion12 hr
May 31, 12:26 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXJefferson, Saint Louis9 days
May 31, 1:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXReynolds55 min
May 31, 1:41 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXIron, Reynolds, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois, Washington6 hr
May 31, 7:27 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXBoone, Moniteau6 hr
May 31, 7:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCole, Moniteau39 min
May 31, 8:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau51 min
May 31, 8:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Cole, Osage49 min
May 31, 9:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Lincoln, Montgomery, Osage, Saint Charles and 1 more43 min
May 31, 9:36 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXJefferson4 days
May 31, 9:57 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXOsage60 hr
May 31, 12:28 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXReynolds70 hr
May 31, 1:35 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau5 hr
May 31, 4:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Moniteau44 min
May 31, 5:17 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXBoone, Cole, Moniteau6 hr
May 31, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway48 min
May 31, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Lincoln, Montgomery, Warren49 min
May 31, 6:05 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXCallaway, Montgomery, Warren25 min
May 31, 6:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXGasconade, Osage51 min
May 31, 6:14 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXCallaway6 hr
May 31, 6:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Osage38 min
May 31, 6:26 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLSXLincoln, Montgomery, Warren34 min
May 31, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Saint Charles, Warren43 min
May 31, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln, Saint Charles, Warren34 min
May 31, 6:58 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXCole, Gasconade, Moniteau, Osage6 hr
May 31, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXGasconade, Montgomery, Osage32 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.