Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Warnings in 2013

Tornado Warning 1, NWS Jackson, MS

January 10, 2013Concordia Parish, Louisiana; Adams County, Jefferson County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Jan 10, 2013, 6:45 AM CST for Concordia Parish, Louisiana; Adams County, Jefferson County, Mississippi. It was in force for 45 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jan 10, 2013, 6:45 AM CST (12:45 UTC)
Expired: Jan 10, 2013, 7:30 AM CST
In force: 45 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Concordia Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Jefferson County, MS

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jan 10, 7:20 AM CST	TSTM WND DMG	Natchez, MS	TREES DOWN COUNTY WIDE AND SEVERAL MUD SLIDES.
Jan 10, 7:21 AM CST	TSTM WND DMG	Natchez, MS	TREE DOWN ON HOUSE ON BISHOP ST.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 10, 4:31 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr
Jan 10, 6:14 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	11 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 228 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 470 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 272 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 293 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

353 
WFUS54 KJAN 101245
TORJAN
LAC029-MSC001-063-101330-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0001.130110T1245Z-130110T1330Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
645 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN CONCORDIA PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...
  WESTERN ADAMS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF NATCHEZ...
  WEST CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 730 AM CST

* AT 645 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR SLOCUM
  MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  SLOCUM BY 650 AM CST...
  DEER PARK AND SIBLEY BY 705 AM CST...
  VIDALIA...NATCHEZ...FERRIDAY AND WEST FERRIDAY BY 725 AM CST...
  PINE RIDGE BY 730 AM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CST THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

&&

LAT...LON 3122 9168 3145 9167 3169 9161 3168 9125
      3139 9136 3132 9140 3131 9146 3128 9149
      3126 9147 3123 9148 3121 9153 3123 9156
      3120 9159
TIME...MOT...LOC 1245Z 199DEG 32KT 3124 9157

$$

JA

3 follow-up statements

269 
WWUS54 KJAN 101257
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
657 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

LAC029-MSC001-063-101330-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130110T1330Z/
ADAMS MS-JEFFERSON MS-CONCORDIA LA-
657 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 AM CST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON AND WESTERN ADAMS COUNTIES...AND CENTRAL
CONCORDIA PARISH...

AT 657 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES EAST OF SLOCUM MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  VIDALIA...RIDGECREST AND NATCHEZ BY 720 AM CST...
  FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY AND PINE RIDGE BY 725 AM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CST THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

&&

LAT...LON 3125 9161 3126 9166 3145 9167 3169 9161
      3168 9125 3139 9136 3132 9140 3131 9146
      3128 9149 3126 9147 3123 9148 3121 9153
      3123 9156
TIME...MOT...LOC 1257Z 189DEG 35KT 3136 9152

$$

JA

816 
WWUS54 KJAN 101305
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
705 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

MSC063-101315-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130110T1330Z/
JEFFERSON MS-
705 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200
PM CST THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3131 9150 3130 9155 3132 9161 3138 9164
      3149 9166 3169 9161 3168 9131 3139 9136
      3132 9140 3131 9146
TIME...MOT...LOC 1305Z 183DEG 37KT 3143 9147

$$

LAC029-MSC001-101330-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130110T1330Z/
ADAMS MS-CONCORDIA LA-
705 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 AM CST FOR WESTERN
ADAMS COUNTY...AND CENTRAL CONCORDIA PARISH...

AT 705 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SIBLEY MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  NATCHEZ BY 715 AM CST...
  VIDALIA AND RIDGECREST BY 720 AM CST...
  FERRIDAY...PINE RIDGE AND WEST FERRIDAY BY 725 AM CST...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.

LAT...LON 3131 9150 3130 9155 3132 9161 3138 9164
      3149 9166 3169 9161 3168 9131 3139 9136
      3132 9140 3131 9146
TIME...MOT...LOC 1305Z 183DEG 37KT 3143 9147

$$

177 
WWUS54 KJAN 101329
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
729 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

LAC029-MSC001-101339-
/O.EXP.KJAN.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130110T1330Z/
ADAMS MS-CONCORDIA LA-
729 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR WESTERN ADAMS COUNTY...AND CENTRAL
CONCORDIA PARISH WILL EXPIRE AT 730 AM CST...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE TORNADO WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND THE
WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CST THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3131 9150 3130 9155 3132 9161 3138 9164
      3149 9166 3169 9161 3168 9131 3139 9136
      3132 9140 3131 9146
TIME...MOT...LOC 1329Z 183DEG 37KT 3168 9145

$$

JA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jan 10, 5:07 AM CST, 1 hour 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 10, 5:07 AM CST, 1 hour 38 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
507 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

.DISCUSSION...

FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER ARE CONCERNS TODAY MAINLY OVER
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS...

THE GOING FORECAST IS WORKING OUT FAIRLY WELL AS TREMENDOUS UPPER
LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT CONTINUE WELL OUT
AHEAD OF A DEEP CLOSED LOW MOVING NE ACROSS TX. THE GREATEST MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOCUSING OVER THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH AREA WHICH INCLUDES NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL MS. RAINFALL COULD BE HEAVY NORTH OF THE WATCH AREA BUT IT
DOES NOT APPEAR FORECASTED RATES WARRANT A NORTHWARD EXPANSION OF THE
WATCH. THE IDEA THAT A COASTAL MCS WILL KEEP HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS
FOCUSED TO THE SOUTH STILL HOLDS.

ALSO STILL OF A CONCERN IS THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK AS STRONG LOW LEVEL
SHEAR AND A LOW-LCL ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTS A RISK FOR A FEW TORNADOES
TODAY ALONG WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR WHERE GREATER LOW LEVEL TRANSPORT (MID/UPPER 60S
DEWPOINTS) AND INSTABILITY IS FORECAST. A SECOND AREA OF GREATER
STRONG/SEVERE TSTM RISK STILL SEEMS POSSIBLE OVER THE DELTA REGION
WHERE THE GREATEST MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING COULD ENHANCE
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL THERE THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY IF GREATER
DAYTIME HEATING CAN OCCUR AS SUGGESTED BY MAV MOS. OVERALL...WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION THE HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER IN THE
GRAPHICS/HWO FOR TODAY. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY EVENTUALLY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED INTO THE
EVENING.

LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL WANE OVERNIGHT WITH
THE CLOSE LOW LIFTING OUT QUICKLY TO THE NORTHEAST...BUT SHOWERS
SHOULD LINGER AT LEAST INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS THE WEAK COLD FRONT
STALLS OUT OVER CENTRAL MS AND THEN BEGINS A NORTHWARD RETREAT IN
RESPONSE TO THE NEXT APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. SHOWERS COULD
QUICKLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE FORECASTED WARM
ADVECTION REGIME AND HAVE FOLLOWED THE HIGHER MAV MOS GUIDANCE
POPS. /EC/

SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

FOR THIS WEEKEND A STRONGER UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THE WESTERN CONUS AND REINFORCE THE PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST MID/UPPER
LEVEL FLOW OVER THE ARKLAMISS REGION. ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL HELP WARM
FLOW CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ON SATURDAY.  A STRONG COLD FRONT
MARKING THE LEADING EDGE OF A POLAR AIRMASS WILL APPROACH THE LOWER
MS VALLEY REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND ENHANCE LIFT WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS. ANOMALOUS PRECIPITABLE WATER IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN ABOVE 1.5 INCHES.

MODELS AND ENSEMBLES HAVE SOME VARYING SOLUTIONS WITH THE PROGRESS
OF THE FRONT AS IT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND INTO
NEXT WEEK. THE GFS AND ITS ENSEMBLES TRY TO PUSH THE FRONT
SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION THAN IT WAVERS SOME. WHILE THE EURO AS WELL
AS ITS ENSEMBLES HAS THE FRONT HANGING UP OVER THE REGION FROM
SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AS ANOTHER SHORT WAVE APPROACHES FROM
THE SOUTHWEST. OPTED TO GO WITH THE SLOWER CAMP OF THE EURO WITH
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A SERIES DISTURBANCES IN THE FLOW. THE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS SHOULD BEGIN ON SATURDAY IN THE DELTA REGION. IN
THIS SCENARIO WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ANTICIPATING RATHER MILD
CONDITIONS PRIOR TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS THE REGION. IT WILL
BE UNSEASONABLY MILD WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE 70S OVER MUCH OF
THE FORECAST AREA FOR THE SATURDAY AND PART OF THE AREA ON SUNDAY
PERIOD...NEARLY 20 DEG F ABOVE CLIMATIC NORMAL. THE GLOBAL MODEL
CONSENSUS HAS THE FRONT WAVERING AROUND THE THE REGION FOR SUNDAY
THROUGH VERY EARLY TUESDAY WITH THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
THE FRONT WILL FINALLY CLEAR WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION AS WE GO
THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY AS THE NEXT SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE
REGION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY COULD BE FROM
THREE TO FIVE INCHES WITH HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF GREATER
THAN 1.5 INCHES. AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WE WILL LIKELY NEED TO RAMP UP WORDING FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OVER AT LEAST PARTS OF THE ARKLAMISS. THIS
WILL BRING UP FLOODING ISSUES WITH THE ALREADY SATURATED SOILS.
THE DELTA REGION NORTHWEST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE SEEMS TO BE THE PRIME
REGION FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS
STILL EXPECTED TO BE MITIGATED WITH A WARM CAP IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT.

AS WE GO INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE WILL
APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST. OPTED TO GO TOWARD THE WETTER
EURO SOLUTION WITH THIS WET PATTERN. THE GFS WAS DRY WITH THIS
FEATURE.

AS FAR AS TEMPS ARE CONCERNED WENT CLOSE TO THE MAV GUIDANCE PRIOR TO
THE STRONG FRONT...THEN WENT WITH A BLEND OF MAV, GMOS AND ENSEMBLE
GUIDANCE. FOR POPS HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE EURO SOLUTION. /17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       74  56  73  63 /  93  66  27  65
MERIDIAN      73  61  74  64 /  57  74  46  65
VICKSBURG     74  52  73  61 /  96  51  15  64
HATTIESBURG   74  61  76  63 /  96  65  42  31
NATCHEZ       74  53  74  64 /  98  43  19  62
GREENVILLE    73  51  72  58 /  98  70   9  56
GREENWOOD     73  56  72  63 /  90  85  15  61

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR MSZ053-054-059>064-
     072>074.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023>026.

AR...NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 10, 6:18 AM CST, 27 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
618 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ040-041-047-053>066-072>074-111230-
MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-WARREN-
CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-
MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
618 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING TODAY. PLEASE
REFERENCE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MORE DETAILS.

THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER...PARTICULARLY ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR WHERE INSTABILITY AND THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL IS GREATEST. STRONG WIND SHEAR IS CREATING AN ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR STORMS TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS
TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE AS WE GO LATER INTO THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL STALL OUT AND
COMBINE WITH ANOMALOUS MOISTURE TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER A LONG DURATION. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FUTURE FORECASTS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS LIKELY TODAY.

MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-111230-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-
618 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING LATER TODAY...AND THERE
WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS WE GO
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF A PRODUCING 50 TO
60 MPH WIND GUSTS...AND A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE RISK FOR
HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE GREATER AS YOU GO FARTHER
SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE AS WE GO LATER INTO THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL STALL OUT AND
COMBINE WITH ANOMALOUS MOISTURE TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER A LONG DURATION. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FUTURE FORECASTS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS COULD BE NECESSARY TODAY.

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-111230-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-
618 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND
PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO MINOR FLOODING TODAY AND PERHAPS
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. THERE WILL ALSO BE A POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS WE GO INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF A PRODUCING 50 TO 60 MPH WIND GUSTS...AND A
TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE RISK FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE
WEATHER WILL GENERALLY BE GREATER AS YOU GO FARTHER SOUTH INTO
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE AS WE GO LATER INTO THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL STALL OUT AND
COMBINE WITH ANOMALOUS MOISTURE TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER A LONG DURATION. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FUTURE FORECASTS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS POSSIBLE TODAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

EC

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 10, 4:04 AM CST, 2 hours 41 minutes before

MSZ047-101030-
WARREN MS-
404 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
404 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING THROUGH WARREN COUNTY...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF VICKSBURG AT 402 AM
CST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM IS INTENSIFYING AND COULD BECOME SEVERE.

PEOPLE IN EASTERN WARREN COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3222 9098 3229 9097 3230 9092 3237 9087
      3234 9092 3235 9094 3245 9090 3245 9086
      3257 9084 3248 9060 3235 9068 3234 9071
      3234 9070 3214 9081 3216 9085 3213 9084
      3212 9087 3219 9102
TIME...MOT...LOC 1002Z 210DEG 28KT 3225 9085

Special weather statement, Jan 10, 4:53 AM CST, 1 hour 52 minutes before

MSZ040>042-047-101125-
WARREN MS-SHARKEY MS-ISSAQUENA MS-YAZOO MS-
453 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
453 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTY WINDS AND
VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED OVER REDWOOD AT 453 AM CST...MOVING
NORTH AT 35 MPH.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHWESTERN YAZOO...SOUTHEASTERN ISSAQUENA...SOUTHERN
SHARKEY AND NORTH CENTRAL WARREN COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3291 9086 3287 9055 3240 9071 3244 9094
TIME...MOT...LOC 1053Z 191DEG 32KT 3252 9079

MRM

Special weather statement, Jan 10, 5:18 AM CST, 1 hour 27 minutes before

MSZ040>042-047-101145-
WARREN MS-SHARKEY MS-ISSAQUENA MS-YAZOO MS-
518 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
518 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN AS WELL
AS 40 TO 50 MPH WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTH OF OAK RIDGE AT 517 AM
CST...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH. VICKSBURG REPORTED SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING
ON SOME STREETS.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHWESTERN YAZOO...EAST CENTRAL ISSAQUENA...SOUTHERN
SHARKEY AND NORTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3280 9089 3276 9052 3244 9065 3246 9085
TIME...MOT...LOC 1117Z 189DEG 30KT 3257 9074

MRM

Local storm report, Jan 10, 5:19 AM CST, 1 hour 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
519 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0514 AM     FLASH FLOOD      VICKSBURG               32.33N 90.87W
01/10/2013                   WARREN             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LOCALIZED ROAD FLOODING BEING REPORTED. ONE WATER RESCUE
            HAS ALREADY BEEN MADE.

&&

AWEBER

Special weather statement, Jan 10, 5:40 AM CST, 1 hour 5 minutes before

MSZ040-042-101210-
ISSAQUENA MS-YAZOO MS-
540 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
540 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS AND
VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF PHOENIX AT 540 AM
CST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

PEOPLE IN WESTERN YAZOO AND EXTREME EAST CENTRAL ISSAQUENA COUNTIES
SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3268 9070 3266 9069 3268 9066 3269 9066
      3271 9069 3293 9063 3293 9055 3283 9030
      3255 9057 3264 9072
TIME...MOT...LOC 1140Z 209DEG 34KT 3268 9060

MRM

Special weather statement, Jan 10, 6:23 AM CST, 22 minutes before

LAZ024-026-MSZ060-101305-
ADAMS MS-CONCORDIA LA-CATAHOULA LA-
623 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
623 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN
WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF ACME AT 623 AM CST...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHWESTERN ADAMS COUNTY...AND SOUTHWESTERN CATAHOULA AND
SOUTHERN CONCORDIA PARISHES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3165 9191 3135 9132 3131 9142 3131 9146
      3128 9149 3123 9148 3121 9153 3123 9156
      3111 9161 3107 9166 3112 9173 3119 9169
      3122 9179 3129 9188 3128 9194 3122 9193
      3122 9199
TIME...MOT...LOC 1223Z 205DEG 33KT 3121 9178

MRM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 9, 9:57 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Catahoula, Concordia, Franklin, Richland	43 min
Jan 9, 11:48 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Catahoula, Concordia	3 hr
Jan 10, 2:46 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Catahoula, Concordia, Franklin, Richland, Tensas	7 hr
Jan 10, 5:34 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	East Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Richland, Tensas	6 hr
Jan 10, 6:23 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Concordia	42 min
Jan 10, 6:31 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Morehouse, Richland, West Carroll	3 hr
Jan 10, 7:56 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Madison	29 min
Jan 10, 9:14 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Morehouse, Richland, West Carroll	3 hr
Jan 10, 9:46 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Catahoula, Concordia, Franklin, Tensas	3 hr
Jan 10, 10:02 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Madison	25 hr
Jan 10, 10:02 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Franklin	13 days
Jan 10, 11:29 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	East Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Tensas	2 hr
Jan 10, 12:09 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	JAN	Morehouse, Richland, West Carroll	3 hr
Jan 10, 12:42 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	JAN	Catahoula, Concordia, Franklin, Tensas	6 hr
Jan 10, 1:22 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	JAN	East Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Richland, Tensas	6 hr
Jan 10, 4:04 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Warren	26 min
Jan 10, 4:53 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Sharkey	32 min
Jan 10, 5:18 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Issaquena	27 min
Jan 10, 5:40 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Yazoo	30 min
Jan 10, 6:24 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Humphreys, Leflore, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington and 1 more	3 hr
Jan 10, 7:22 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Franklin, Jefferson	33 min
Jan 10, 7:36 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Franklin, Jefferson	54 min
Jan 10, 8:14 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Copiah, Hinds	61 min
Jan 10, 9:11 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Humphreys, Leflore, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington	3 hr
Jan 10, 9:19 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln	116 min
Jan 10, 11:11 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln	2 hr
Jan 10, 11:24 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Marion	41 min
Jan 10, 12:15 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Marion	3 hr
Jan 10, 12:16 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Humphreys, Leflore, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington	4 hr
Jan 10, 12:26 PM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Hinds, Warren	20 days
Jan 10, 12:28 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Hinds	3 hr
Jan 10, 1:39 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln	6 hr
Jan 10, 2:16 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Forrest, Lamar	44 min
Jan 10, 2:34 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Covington, Jones	56 min
Jan 10, 2:40 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Neshoba, Winston	45 min
Jan 10, 3:04 PM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Franklin	19 hr
Jan 10, 3:17 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jones	43 min
Jan 10, 3:41 PM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Sharkey	11 days
Jan 10, 3:51 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Clarke, Lauderdale	54 min
Jan 10, 4:03 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Clarke, Jasper, Jones	42 min
Jan 10, 4:40 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Clarke	30 min
Jan 10, 5:35 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Clay, Kemper, Lowndes, Noxubee	25 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Mississippi, 2013 Tornado Warnings in Louisiana, 2013 Every tornado warning in 2013 Tornadoes in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.