Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Jackson, MS

January 10, 2013Copiah County, Hinds County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 10, 2013, 8:14 AM CST for Copiah County, Hinds County, Mississippi. It was in force for 61 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jan 10, 2013, 8:14 AM CST (14:14 UTC)
Expired: Jan 10, 2013, 9:15 AM CST
In force: 61 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Copiah County, MS, Hinds County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 10, 6:14 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	11 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 54 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 228 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 470 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 272 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 293 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

075 
WUUS54 KJAN 101414
SVRJAN
MSC029-049-101515-
/O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0002.130110T1414Z-130110T1515Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
814 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN COPIAH COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CRYSTAL SPRINGS...
  WESTERN HINDS COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 915 AM CST

* AT 814 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
  EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
  FROM 10 MILES WEST OF CARPENTER TO 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARLOW TO 8
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALLEN MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  ALLEN BY 825 AM CST...
  BARLOW AND CARPENTER BY 830 AM CST...
  NEWMAN AND UTICA BY 840 AM CST...
  GLANCY AND DENTVILLE BY 845 AM CST...
  EDWARDS BY 855 AM CST...
  DRY GROVE AND GALLMAN BY 900 AM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY
AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE
DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES
COULD OCCUR.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CST THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

&&

LAT...LON 3183 9073 3185 9071 3224 9073 3230 9070
      3234 9071 3235 9069 3234 9063 3237 9064
      3244 9059 3248 9060 3254 9048 3221 9034
      3196 9031 3169 9065 3170 9074
TIME...MOT...LOC 1414Z 224DEG 29KT 3207 9083 3190 9075
          3171 9076

$$

JA

4 follow-up statements

202 
WWUS54 KJAN 101418
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
818 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

MSC029-049-101515-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130110T1515Z/
HINDS MS-COPIAH MS-
818 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 AM CST
FOR WESTERN COPIAH AND WESTERN HINDS COUNTIES...

AT 817 AM CST...JEFFERSON COUNTY LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED NUMEROUS 
TREES DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES THROUGH OUT THE COUNTY DUE TO 
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  
THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES WEST 
OF CARPENTER TO 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARLOW TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF 
ALLEN MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  ALLEN BY 825 AM CST...
  BARLOW AND CARPENTER BY 830 AM CST...
  NEWMAN AND UTICA BY 840 AM CST...
  GLANCY AND DENTVILLE BY 845 AM CST...
  LEARNED BY 850 AM CST...
  EDWARDS BY 855 AM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY
AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE
DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES
COULD OCCUR.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200
PM CST THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI.

&&

LAT...LON 3183 9073 3185 9071 3224 9073 3230 9070
      3234 9071 3235 9069 3234 9063 3237 9064
      3244 9059 3248 9060 3254 9048 3221 9034
      3196 9031 3169 9065 3170 9074
TIME...MOT...LOC 1417Z 224DEG 29KT 3209 9081 3192 9073
          3173 9074

$$

JA

497 
WWUS54 KJAN 101447
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
847 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

MSC029-049-101515-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130110T1515Z/
HINDS MS-COPIAH MS-
847 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 AM CST
FOR NORTHWESTERN COPIAH AND WESTERN HINDS COUNTIES...

AT 847 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING 
FROM EDWARDS TO UTICA TO DENTVILLE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THESE 
STORMS HAVE HAD A HISTORY OF CAUSING DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES. 

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  DRY GROVE AND GALLMAN BY 900 AM CST...
  RAYMOND BY 905 AM CST...
  CRYSTAL SPRINGS AND BOLTON BY 910 AM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY
AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE
DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES
COULD OCCUR.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200
PM CST THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI.

&&

LAT...LON 3185 9071 3224 9073 3230 9070 3234 9071
      3235 9069 3234 9063 3237 9064 3244 9059
      3248 9060 3254 9048 3221 9034 3196 9031
      3184 9057 3183 9066
TIME...MOT...LOC 1447Z 224DEG 29KT 3232 9065 3209 9053
          3190 9054

$$

JA

603 
WWUS54 KJAN 101505
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
905 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

MSC029-101515-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130110T1515Z/
COPIAH MS-
905 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN COPIAH COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...


LAT...LON 3206 9053 3223 9053 3234 9059 3244 9059
      3248 9060 3251 9053 3251 9052 3252 9052
      3254 9048 3221 9034 3205 9033
TIME...MOT...LOC 1505Z 224DEG 29KT 3244 9055 3221 9043
          3202 9044

$$

MSC049-101515-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130110T1515Z/
HINDS MS-
905 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 AM CST
FOR CENTRAL HINDS COUNTY...

AT 905 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF BOLTON TO RAYMOND TO 9 MILES SOUTH OF DRY
GROVE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  RAYMOND AND BOLTON BY 910 AM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY
AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE
DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES
COULD OCCUR.

&&

LAT...LON 3206 9053 3223 9053 3234 9059 3244 9059
      3248 9060 3251 9053 3251 9052 3252 9052
      3254 9048 3221 9034 3205 9033
TIME...MOT...LOC 1505Z 224DEG 29KT 3244 9055 3221 9043
          3202 9044

$$

JA

371 
WWUS54 KJAN 101512
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
912 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

MSC049-101523-
/O.EXP.KJAN.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130110T1515Z/
HINDS MS-
912 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL HINDS COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 915 AM CST...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS WEAKENED
BELOW SEVERE LIMITS AND THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3206 9053 3223 9053 3234 9059 3244 9059
      3248 9060 3251 9053 3251 9052 3252 9052
      3254 9048 3221 9034 3205 9033
TIME...MOT...LOC 1513Z 224DEG 29KT 3249 9049 3226 9038
          3207 9039

$$

JA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 10, 5:07 AM CST, 3 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 10, 5:07 AM CST, 3 hours 7 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
507 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

.DISCUSSION...

FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER ARE CONCERNS TODAY MAINLY OVER
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS...

THE GOING FORECAST IS WORKING OUT FAIRLY WELL AS TREMENDOUS UPPER
LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT CONTINUE WELL OUT
AHEAD OF A DEEP CLOSED LOW MOVING NE ACROSS TX. THE GREATEST MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOCUSING OVER THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH AREA WHICH INCLUDES NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL MS. RAINFALL COULD BE HEAVY NORTH OF THE WATCH AREA BUT IT
DOES NOT APPEAR FORECASTED RATES WARRANT A NORTHWARD EXPANSION OF THE
WATCH. THE IDEA THAT A COASTAL MCS WILL KEEP HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS
FOCUSED TO THE SOUTH STILL HOLDS.

ALSO STILL OF A CONCERN IS THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK AS STRONG LOW LEVEL
SHEAR AND A LOW-LCL ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTS A RISK FOR A FEW TORNADOES
TODAY ALONG WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR WHERE GREATER LOW LEVEL TRANSPORT (MID/UPPER 60S
DEWPOINTS) AND INSTABILITY IS FORECAST. A SECOND AREA OF GREATER
STRONG/SEVERE TSTM RISK STILL SEEMS POSSIBLE OVER THE DELTA REGION
WHERE THE GREATEST MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING COULD ENHANCE
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL THERE THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY IF GREATER
DAYTIME HEATING CAN OCCUR AS SUGGESTED BY MAV MOS. OVERALL...WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION THE HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER IN THE
GRAPHICS/HWO FOR TODAY. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY EVENTUALLY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED INTO THE
EVENING.

LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL WANE OVERNIGHT WITH
THE CLOSE LOW LIFTING OUT QUICKLY TO THE NORTHEAST...BUT SHOWERS
SHOULD LINGER AT LEAST INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS THE WEAK COLD FRONT
STALLS OUT OVER CENTRAL MS AND THEN BEGINS A NORTHWARD RETREAT IN
RESPONSE TO THE NEXT APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. SHOWERS COULD
QUICKLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE FORECASTED WARM
ADVECTION REGIME AND HAVE FOLLOWED THE HIGHER MAV MOS GUIDANCE
POPS. /EC/

SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

FOR THIS WEEKEND A STRONGER UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THE WESTERN CONUS AND REINFORCE THE PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST MID/UPPER
LEVEL FLOW OVER THE ARKLAMISS REGION. ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL HELP WARM
FLOW CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ON SATURDAY.  A STRONG COLD FRONT
MARKING THE LEADING EDGE OF A POLAR AIRMASS WILL APPROACH THE LOWER
MS VALLEY REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND ENHANCE LIFT WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS. ANOMALOUS PRECIPITABLE WATER IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN ABOVE 1.5 INCHES.

MODELS AND ENSEMBLES HAVE SOME VARYING SOLUTIONS WITH THE PROGRESS
OF THE FRONT AS IT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND INTO
NEXT WEEK. THE GFS AND ITS ENSEMBLES TRY TO PUSH THE FRONT
SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION THAN IT WAVERS SOME. WHILE THE EURO AS WELL
AS ITS ENSEMBLES HAS THE FRONT HANGING UP OVER THE REGION FROM
SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AS ANOTHER SHORT WAVE APPROACHES FROM
THE SOUTHWEST. OPTED TO GO WITH THE SLOWER CAMP OF THE EURO WITH
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A SERIES DISTURBANCES IN THE FLOW. THE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS SHOULD BEGIN ON SATURDAY IN THE DELTA REGION. IN
THIS SCENARIO WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ANTICIPATING RATHER MILD
CONDITIONS PRIOR TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS THE REGION. IT WILL
BE UNSEASONABLY MILD WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE 70S OVER MUCH OF
THE FORECAST AREA FOR THE SATURDAY AND PART OF THE AREA ON SUNDAY
PERIOD...NEARLY 20 DEG F ABOVE CLIMATIC NORMAL. THE GLOBAL MODEL
CONSENSUS HAS THE FRONT WAVERING AROUND THE THE REGION FOR SUNDAY
THROUGH VERY EARLY TUESDAY WITH THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
THE FRONT WILL FINALLY CLEAR WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION AS WE GO
THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY AS THE NEXT SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE
REGION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY COULD BE FROM
THREE TO FIVE INCHES WITH HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF GREATER
THAN 1.5 INCHES. AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WE WILL LIKELY NEED TO RAMP UP WORDING FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OVER AT LEAST PARTS OF THE ARKLAMISS. THIS
WILL BRING UP FLOODING ISSUES WITH THE ALREADY SATURATED SOILS.
THE DELTA REGION NORTHWEST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE SEEMS TO BE THE PRIME
REGION FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS
STILL EXPECTED TO BE MITIGATED WITH A WARM CAP IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT.

AS WE GO INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE WILL
APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST. OPTED TO GO TOWARD THE WETTER
EURO SOLUTION WITH THIS WET PATTERN. THE GFS WAS DRY WITH THIS
FEATURE.

AS FAR AS TEMPS ARE CONCERNED WENT CLOSE TO THE MAV GUIDANCE PRIOR TO
THE STRONG FRONT...THEN WENT WITH A BLEND OF MAV, GMOS AND ENSEMBLE
GUIDANCE. FOR POPS HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE EURO SOLUTION. /17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       74  56  73  63 /  93  66  27  65
MERIDIAN      73  61  74  64 /  57  74  46  65
VICKSBURG     74  52  73  61 /  96  51  15  64
HATTIESBURG   74  61  76  63 /  96  65  42  31
NATCHEZ       74  53  74  64 /  98  43  19  62
GREENVILLE    73  51  72  58 /  98  70   9  56
GREENWOOD     73  56  72  63 /  90  85  15  61

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR MSZ053-054-059>064-
     072>074.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023>026.

AR...NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 10, 6:18 AM CST, 1 hour 56 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
618 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ040-041-047-053>066-072>074-111230-
MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-WARREN-
CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-
MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
618 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING TODAY. PLEASE
REFERENCE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MORE DETAILS.

THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER...PARTICULARLY ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR WHERE INSTABILITY AND THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL IS GREATEST. STRONG WIND SHEAR IS CREATING AN ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR STORMS TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS
TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE AS WE GO LATER INTO THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL STALL OUT AND
COMBINE WITH ANOMALOUS MOISTURE TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER A LONG DURATION. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FUTURE FORECASTS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS LIKELY TODAY.

MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-111230-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-
618 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING LATER TODAY...AND THERE
WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS WE GO
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF A PRODUCING 50 TO
60 MPH WIND GUSTS...AND A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE RISK FOR
HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE GREATER AS YOU GO FARTHER
SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE AS WE GO LATER INTO THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL STALL OUT AND
COMBINE WITH ANOMALOUS MOISTURE TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER A LONG DURATION. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FUTURE FORECASTS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS COULD BE NECESSARY TODAY.

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-111230-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-
618 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND
PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO MINOR FLOODING TODAY AND PERHAPS
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. THERE WILL ALSO BE A POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS WE GO INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF A PRODUCING 50 TO 60 MPH WIND GUSTS...AND A
TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE RISK FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE
WEATHER WILL GENERALLY BE GREATER AS YOU GO FARTHER SOUTH INTO
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE AS WE GO LATER INTO THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL STALL OUT AND
COMBINE WITH ANOMALOUS MOISTURE TO POSSIBLY PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER A LONG DURATION. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FUTURE FORECASTS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS POSSIBLE TODAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

EC

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 10, 7:22 AM CST, 52 minutes before

MSZ059-061-101355-
JEFFERSON MS-FRANKLIN MS-
722 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
722 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH
WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF STAMPLEY TO GARDEN CITY
AT 723 AM CST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

PEOPLE IN WESTERN FRANKLIN AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR
THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3134 9116 3163 9116 3163 9123 3165 9127
      3167 9128 3187 9106 3183 9086 3182 9084
      3179 9085 3179 9078 3160 9075 3133 9104
      3132 9112
TIME...MOT...LOC 1323Z 222DEG 36KT 3161 9120 3153 9110
          3139 9108

JA

Local storm report, Jan 10, 7:39 AM CST, 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
739 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     FLASH FLOOD      VICKSBURG               32.33N 90.87W
01/10/2013                   WARREN             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MUDSLIDE REPORTED ON MISSION 66 AND IS BLOCKING TRAFFIC.

&&

AWEBER

Local storm report, Jan 10, 7:42 AM CST, 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
742 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0721 AM     TSTM WND DMG     NATCHEZ                 31.55N 91.39W
01/10/2013                   ADAMS              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN ON HOUSE ON BISHOP ST.

&&

AWEBER

Special weather statement, Jan 10, 7:56 AM CST, 18 minutes before

LAZ016-025-MSZ047-053-101425-
WARREN MS-CLAIBORNE MS-TENSAS LA-MADISON LA-
756 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
756 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED OVER NEWELLTON AT 756 AM CST...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN NORTHWESTERN CLAIBORNE AND SOUTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTIES...
AND SOUTHERN MADISON AND NORTHEASTERN TENSAS PARISHES SHOULD MONITOR
THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3239 9143 3231 9100 3202 9115 3206 9135
TIME...MOT...LOC 1356Z 192DEG 32KT 3213 9123

MRM

Local storm report, Jan 10, 8:01 AM CST, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
801 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 AM     FLASH FLOOD      NATCHEZ                 31.55N 91.39W
01/10/2013                   ADAMS              MS   NEWSPAPER

            WATER COVERING EASTWOOD ROAD...RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

AWEBER

Local storm report, Jan 10, 8:11 AM CST, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
811 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 AM     TSTM WND DMG     FAYETTE                 31.71N 91.06W
01/10/2013                   JEFFERSON          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN COUNTY WIDE.

&&

AWEBER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 9, 11:48 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Adams	3 hr
Jan 10, 2:46 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Adams, Jefferson	7 hr
Jan 10, 4:04 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Warren	26 min
Jan 10, 4:53 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Sharkey	32 min
Jan 10, 5:18 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Issaquena	27 min
Jan 10, 5:34 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Issaquena, Jefferson, Sharkey, Warren, Yazoo	6 hr
Jan 10, 5:40 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Yazoo	30 min
Jan 10, 6:24 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Humphreys, Leflore, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington and 1 more	3 hr
Jan 10, 6:45 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Adams, Jefferson	45 min
Jan 10, 7:22 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Franklin, Jefferson	33 min
Jan 10, 7:36 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Franklin, Jefferson	54 min
Jan 10, 9:11 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Humphreys, Leflore, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington	3 hr
Jan 10, 9:19 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln	116 min
Jan 10, 9:46 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Adams	3 hr
Jan 10, 11:11 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln	2 hr
Jan 10, 11:24 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Marion	41 min
Jan 10, 11:29 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Sharkey, Warren, Yazoo	2 hr
Jan 10, 12:15 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Marion	3 hr
Jan 10, 12:16 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Humphreys, Leflore, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington	4 hr
Jan 10, 12:26 PM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Hinds, Warren	20 days
Jan 10, 12:28 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Hinds	3 hr
Jan 10, 12:42 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	JAN	Adams	6 hr
Jan 10, 1:22 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Sharkey, Warren, Washington, Yazoo	6 hr
Jan 10, 1:39 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln	6 hr
Jan 10, 2:16 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Forrest, Lamar	44 min
Jan 10, 2:34 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Covington, Jones	56 min
Jan 10, 2:40 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Neshoba, Winston	45 min
Jan 10, 3:04 PM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Franklin	19 hr
Jan 10, 3:17 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jones	43 min
Jan 10, 3:41 PM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Sharkey	11 days
Jan 10, 3:51 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Clarke, Lauderdale	54 min
Jan 10, 4:03 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Clarke, Jasper, Jones	42 min
Jan 10, 4:40 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Clarke	30 min
Jan 10, 5:35 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Clay, Kemper, Lowndes, Noxubee	25 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2013 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.