Severe Thunderstorm Warning 124, NWS Indianapolis, IN

301 
WWUS53 KIND 172150
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
450 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

INC035-059-065-095-097-135-172215-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0124.000000T0000Z-131117T2215Z/
RANDOLPH IN-MARION IN-MADISON IN-HENRY IN-HANCOCK IN-DELAWARE IN-
450 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DELAWARE...
HANCOCK...NORTHERN HENRY...SOUTHERN MADISON...EAST CENTRAL MARION AND
RANDOLPH COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EST...

AT 445 PM EST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTH OF PORTLAND TO 10 MILES WEST OF NEW
CASTLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE
         HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEW CASTLE...WINCHESTER...SUMMIT LAKE STATE PARK...BLOUNTSVILLE...
MOORELAND...SARATOGA...LOSANTVILLE...MODOC...LYNN AND UNION CITY.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 69 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 216 AND 243.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 92 AND 110.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 93 AND 96.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4004 8493 4000 8507 4000 8519 3996 8520
      3968 8610 3993 8589 3993 8586 3995 8586
      4025 8560 4034 8522 4031 8521 4030 8480
      4013 8481
TIME...MOT...LOC 2150Z 248DEG 61KT 4035 8489 3995 8544

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

JAS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
329 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

.UPDATE...
THE AVIATION SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 242 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL FLOW IN BEHIND THE STRONG COLD FRONT
TONIGHT ENDING ANY LINGERING RAIN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE DRY
CONDITIONS INTO WEDNESDAY. A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS WILL THEN BRING
CHANCES FOR RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. BEHIND THE FRONTS
WILL COME MUCH COLDER AIR BY SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT/...

ISSUED AT 242 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH VERY QUICKLY
EAST ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA THIS AFTERNOON. ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO
FAVOR SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES. WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT
THREAT THIS AFTERNOON AND GO WITH HIGH POPS WITH THE LINE.

BY 00Z ONLY EXPECT FAR EAST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA TO HAVE
CHANCES FOR RAIN AS LINE IS MOVING VERY QUICKLY AND LITTLE
ACTIVITY IS ALONG THE FRONT ITSELF. WILL GO CHANCE POPS THERE FOR
A COUPLE OF HOURS PAST 00Z AND DRY ELSEWHERE.

UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS SHOW STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER 40 KTS WITH
FRONTAL PASSAGE. ALSO EXPECT STRONGER WINDS ALOFT TO MIX DOWN WITH
COLD ADVECTION THIS EVENING. THUS WILL CONTINUE WITH WIND ADVISORY
THROUGH 02Z. GUSTY WINDS BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH THE COLD ADVECTION.

SKIES CLEAR QUICKLY BEHIND THE FRONT BUT SOME LOWER CLOUDS MIGHT
SNEAK IN TO THE NORTHEAST FORECAST AREA IN THE COLD ADVECTION.
STILL EXPECT OVERALL CONDITIONS TO BE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY
THOUGH.

A MODEL BLEND LOOKS GOOD FOR TEMPERATURES TONIGHT GIVEN THE COLD
ADVECTION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

ISSUED AT 242 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

FOCUS IS ON SKY/WIND MONDAY THEN ON CHANCES FOR RAIN ON WEDNESDAY.
MODELS ARE CLOSE ENOUGH THAT A BLEND CAN BE USED.

STILL EXPECT BREEZY CONDITIONS ON MONDAY WITH A DECENT PRESSURE
GRADIENT REMAINING ACROSS THE AREA. GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST AS STRONGER WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN.

EXPECT SOME CUMULUS CLOUDS TO DEVELOP IN THE COLD ADVECTION ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST FORECAST AREA /WHERE COLDEST TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL
BE/. WILL GO PARTLY CLOUDY THERE AND MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE ON
MONDAY. TRENDED TOWARD THE COLDER SIDE OF GUIDANCE GIVEN THE COLD
ADVECTION.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN AND CONTINUE TO DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WITH THE DRY AIR SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY
CLEAR. FOR TEMPERATURES GENERALLY WENT CLOSE TO MOS.

MOISTURE BEGINS TO INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
FRONT. BEST LIFT REMAINS WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE STRONGER
850MB WINDS WILL BE. WITH MAINLY MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE AND
ONLY WEAK LIFT ACROSS THE AREA...CONTINUED WITH A DRY FORECAST
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

ISSUED AT 142 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

EXTENDED MODELS AND ENSEMBLES IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT SEPARATE
FRONTAL SYSTEMS AND FAST MOIST PACIFIC FLOW ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO
RESULT IN NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND SHOWER
CHANCES WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THEN...HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE REMAINDER
OF NEXT WEEKEND DRY WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. REGIONAL
ALLBLEND IS HANDLING THINGS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR THE 172100Z TAF UPDATE/...

ISSUED AT 329 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

CONVECTION HAS REACHED KIND BUT STRONGEST CONVECTION REMAINS TO THE
NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE AREA. STILL EXPECT BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS IN
HEAVIER RAIN. BEHIND TSRA GRADIENT WINDS REMAIN STRONG WITH GUSTS
OVER 40KT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS SPAWNING SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI LATE THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL AFTERNOON
SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA THIS
AFTERNOON FOLLOWED BY A LINE OF SEVERE STORMS. THE BEST TIMING FOR
THE LINE...WHICH WILL BE JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WILL BE IN THE
LAF AND HUF AREAS AROUND 19Z-21Z AND IND AND BMG AROUND 20-22Z.
CONFIDENCE IS GOOD REGARDING THE TIMING OF THIS SQUALL LINE.
SO...WILL START WITH VCTS AND THEN GO WITH TEMPO THUNDERSTORMS FOR 2
HOURS WITH SEVERE GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST AS STORM
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BE SOUTHWEST AT 50 KNOTS OR MORE. SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS ALONE SHOULD GUST TO 35 KNOTS OR MORE WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KNOTS. MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR CONDITIONS IN
STORMS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH WITH CLEARING
LATE IN THE EVENING. SHOULD ONLY SCATTERED DIURNAL CU TOMORROW AFTER
16Z.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR INZ021-028>031-
035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072.

&&

SYNOPSIS...50
NEAR TERM...50
SHORT TERM...50
LONG TERM....MK
AVIATION...MK/50

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IND

FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
820 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-181330-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
820 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK: THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. WINDY
CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF STORMS.

HAZARDS: TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS. WIND GUSTS OF 50 MPH OUTSIDE OF STORMS.

TIMING: BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE STORMS BEGIN NEAR NOON IN WESTERN
INDIANA WITH THE THREAT ENDING NEAR 7 PM IN EASTERN INDIANA. NON
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED FROM NOON - 9 PM.

DISCUSSION: A STRENGTHENING DYNAMIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
FROM THE PLAINS THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST TODAY BRINGING SEVERE
WEATHER TO INDIANA WITH ITS COMBINATION OF STRONG FORCING AND
WIND SHEAR ACTING ON A MOIST AND SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE AIR MASS.

SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT BY LATE
MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LONG TRACK LONG-
LIVED STRONG AND VIOLENT TORNADOES...ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL.

A SQUALL LINE SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT BY LATE MORNING
OR EARLY AFTERNOON OVER ILLINOIS AND MOVE INTO WESTERN INDIANA
BEFORE MID-AFTERNOON AND RACE ACROSS THE STATE...EXITING THE EAST
BY EARLY EVENING. THIS SQUALL LINE WILL PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND ALSO TORNADOES.

WITH THE LOW STRENGTHENING AS IT PASSES TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA
EXPECT TO SEE WIND GUSTS OF 50 MPH ESPECIALLY FOR A FEW HOURS
AFTER THE COLD FRONT PASSES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

OUTLOOK: NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DISCUSSION: HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING QUIET WEATHER THROUGH
MIDWEEK. THEN A SERIES OF UPPER WAVES WILL BRING CHANCES FOR RAIN
TO THE AREA FROM LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED...POSSIBLY THIS MORNING AND DEFINITELY
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

TUCEK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
412 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     TORNADO          RUSSIAVILLE             40.42N  86.27W
11/17/2013                   HOWARD             IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO ON THE GROUND AT 13172 E CR 500 N. HEADING NE
            TO RUSSIAVILLE.

&&

MMB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
413 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0411 PM     HIGH SUST WINDS  JAMESTOWN               39.93N  86.63W
11/17/2013  M65 MPH          HENDRICKS          IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ELB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
414 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0413 PM     TSTM WND GST     ELWOOD                  40.28N  85.84W
11/17/2013  E40 MPH          MADISON            IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ELB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
417 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0411 PM     TSTM WND GST     MCCORDSVILLE            39.91N  85.93W
11/17/2013  E75 MPH          HANCOCK            IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ELB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
418 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     TORNADO          LEBANON                 40.05N  86.47W
11/17/2013                   BOONE              IN   AMATEUR RADIO

            CARS OVERTURNED AND SEVERE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE NEAR US 52
            AND I65

&&

ELB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
422 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     HIGH SUST WINDS  INDIANAPOLIS            39.78N  86.15W
11/17/2013  M65 MPH          MARION             IN   AMATEUR RADIO

0410 PM     HAIL             INDIANAPOLIS            39.78N  86.15W
11/17/2013  M0.75 INCH       MARION             IN   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

ELB